Rsidivergence
Interpreting RSI (Relative Strength Index)The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum indicator that measures the speed and magnitude of price movements. It is a versatile tool that can be used to identify overbought and oversold conditions, as well as divergences and trend strength.
Overbought and Oversold Conditions
The RSI oscillates between 0 and 100. Traditionally, the RSI is considered overbought when above 70 and oversold when below 30. These levels are not set in stone, and they can vary depending on the security and the market conditions. However, they are a good starting point for identifying potential buying and selling opportunities.
Overbought:
An RSI reading above 70 indicates that the security is overbought, which means that it has been trading up rapidly and may be due for a correction. However, it is important to note that the RSI can stay in overbought territory for an extended period of time before a correction occurs.
Overbought RSI indicator
ETHUSD(Day Chart)
As you can see in the chart, when the RSI indicator hit the 70 level, the price started dropping continuously.
Oversold:
An RSI reading below 30 indicates that the security is oversold, which means that it has been trading down rapidly and may be due for a bounce. However, like with overbought conditions, the RSI can stay in oversold territory for an extended period of time before a bounce occurs.
Oversold RSI indicator
BTCUSD (weekly Chart)
As you can see in the chart, when the RSI indicator hit the 30 level, the price started bouncing from the bottom level.
The RSI indicator has accurately predicted the bottoms of Bitcoin's major bear markets in 2015, 2018, and 2022.
Stay tuned for more updates on this topic.
Regards
Hexa
$SOL Next stop is $60.50
CRYPTOCAP:SOL moving toward approximately $60.50. The precision of its recent respect for the 0.786 Fibonacci retrace level is phenomenal. See the touch down at three points marked with the yellow trend line. It literally closed on the daily candle a mere $0.20 from the level two nights ago. Also see the trend intact as this recent price action aims for $60.50. Almost as good as a crystal ball! 🔮
Its recent correction has reset the RSI. See the "bull" green marker on the RSI indicator below the chart. 🟩
CRYPTOCAP:SOL will be a winner. Excuse me, CRYPTOCAP:SOL is a winner. 🥇
Do your own research. My chart is for entertainment only. Never financial advice. I am not a professional in any regard. Well, maybe I'm a professional dharma bum. 🪷 Peace.
Potential Bearish Moves Amidst Bullish SignalsNZDJPY presents an intriguing trading setup despite being a counter-trend trade.
The observation of a Bearish Shark Pattern checkback on the Weekly Chart , along with RSI Divergence , adds weight to this potential trade opportunity.
I'm waiting for a shorting opportunity on lower timeframes and, specifically, looking for a 1-1 trading setup , intending to initiate a short position at 91.99 on the Daily Chart.
Trade plans can vary among traders based on their analysis and risk management approach.
What's your trade plan or strategy for NZDJPY?
Feel free to share your insights or plans below!
Navigating Bullish Trends Amidst Retracement SignalsUSDJPY is currently demonstrating a Bullish Trend .
For traders preferring long positions, the Bullish Deep Gartley Pattern on the 4-hourly chart might serve as an attractive opportunity for going long.
As part of the strategy, waiting for the market to retest the support level on the 1-hourly chart at 149.26 before entering could be a wise move.
Each trader may have a different approach or perspective based on their analysis and risk appetite.
Feel free to share your trade plan or insights on how you intend to approach USDJPY!
Other see this as Coal, I see this as DiamondA retest of previous resistance on the daily chart combined with a strong bullish candle movement (an engulfing candle) is an intriguing setup. The observation of RSI Divergence at these levels serves as a significant indicator for a potential reversal.
Regarding the recent deviation from the PRZ zone of the crab pattern on AUDUSD, it seems it hasn't reached the HOP (Harmonic Optimal Price) level before reversing. This deviation could be a point of interest for observation on the H4 chart.
Your decision to take an aggressive shorting opportunity due to the attractive profit factor is noted. However, as you rightly mentioned, managing risk is crucial in such trades. Wishing you success in your trade management and strategy execution!
Potential Bullish and Bearish SetupsThis week, GBPAUD introduces an element of confusion into the FX market.
On the Daily Chart, two opposing trading setups vie for attention. There's the Bearish Flag Pattern, offering a shorting opportunity, yet simultaneously, a Type2 Bullish Fib3 Bat Pattern emerges. With the right filter, one can discern which trading setup is likely to be the more profitable choice.
For those inclined towards a shorting opportunity, the Bearish Bat Pattern on the 1-hourly chart presents a viable trading opportunity.
Now, it's decision time. What's your pick? Your insights matter. Please share your perspective below!
Bullish divergence on TLT HEYYYY
I like bullish divergence.
The SAFEST Way to play this is to buy shares and do some covered calls.
It will chop around a bit. In STRONG power down-trends; you want to be really careful selling puts or doing bull put spreads. But - as long as you are comfortable with the risk.
I do not buy call options on stocks that are in strong downtrends. Unless I'm day trading.
Either way, I love the bullish divergence on the multiple RSI timeframes.
MKRUSDTOur uptrend line is reserved for the time being.
In the daily time frame, the crab pattern has appeared for us, which overlaps with the negative divergence of the RSI in the same time frame.
This pattern is a reversal of the trend.
If the upward trend line is broken and the range of $1,383 is consumed, the possibility of a corrective trend will be strengthened up to the price range of $993.
MaTicHi guys
I just think this currency is very attractive or do you also believe that we have an attractive trend ahead?
Our long-term downtrend line is preserved. As a result, we do not expect an upward trend in the medium term.
However, due to the engolfing of the resistance area and maintaining the support area of $0.4856, and most importantly the price lag in Ichi Moko, I expect the formation of an upward trend.
BTC long DIV 4H res became supportHello everyone and happy pumpktober to you (no tricks just treats)
As long as we stay above the newly formed support we can expect a price increase until the next resistance so around 28400 and then 29200
A Stop loss around 27000 is advised (anything higher could be triggered with these recent huge spikes)
As always dont take my analysis for a investement recommandation and do your own research
Good week to you and happy trading !
🚀 BTCUSD #Bullish Signs: Prepping for Lift-Off? 🚀Understanding the BTCUSD Market (#Bitstamp) - Date: September 12, 2023, 22:47
The Big Picture:
Hey there! I've been looking into the BTC market, and I've found some interesting things. Before we dive deep, here's a quick summary: BTC's buying and selling activity is quite calm right now, but other signs suggest some upward energy. Let's break it down.
How Busy is the Market?
There aren’t many BTC trades happening right now. When the market is quiet like this, sudden spikes in buying or selling can shift prices quickly. So, keep an eye out!
Checking the Market's Pulse with Moving Averages:
Short-term (MA50 at 25,822.5): This tells us how BTC has been doing over the last 50 days. Right now, it's showing some positive vibes, but it's being a bit shy about aiming higher.
Mid-term (EMA144 at 26,379.7): BTC's price is playing it cool below this level. If it breaks past this, it's a good sign!
Long-term (MA200): Seems there's a mix-up with this number. Just a reminder to always double-check data!
Are We Overdoing It or Taking It Easy? (RSI):
The RSI tells us if BTC is being traded too much or too little. Right now, it's chill, not too high or low, hinting that there's still some room to grow.
Feeling the Market's Energy (MACD):
The MACD is like our market mood ring. Currently, it's glowing with a positive vibe, suggesting that BTC might want to dance upwards.
Setting Targets with Fibonacci:
Imagine if the market had steps it liked to climb or descend. That's what the Fibonacci levels help us with:
If BTC decides to go on a hike, first it will aim for 26,396.2. Past that, the next steps are 27,437.4 and then 28,279.
But if BTC wants to take a break and rest, the 25,822.5 step (our MA50) might be where it chills.
Here’s My Game Plan:
If we're hoping for a profit, we should aim for 26,396.2, then 27,437.4, and then 28,279. But if things don't go our way, consider stopping around 25,500 to avoid more dips.
A Final Note:
Even though things look promising for BTC right now, the crypto world can be full of surprises. Always stay updated with the latest news, and remember: knowledge is your best tool in this game.
🌟 Found this breakdown helpful? Join our community for more insights and elevate your trading game! ✅ #TradeWithConfidence
Happy trading! 🚀
#STMX 1 HOUR PERFECT GOLDEN POCKET BOUNCE🎯🔥🤓Hey there, fellow crypto enthusiasts! 🚀 Let's dive right into the exciting world of cryptocurrency trading with a focus on #STMX (StormX) and its recent 1-hour performance that has got us all buzzing! 📈💥
So, here's the scoop: #STMX has just pulled off a perfect golden pocket bounce on the 1-hour chart. 🌟 What's that, you ask? Well, my friends, it's a pretty cool trading strategy that involves identifying a specific Fibonacci retracement level (the golden pocket), and when the price bounces off that level, it's like hitting the jackpot! 🎯💰
In simpler terms, this bounce suggests that #STMX found solid support at a key level, which can be a really bullish sign for us traders. It means that there's some strong demand for #STMX around that price point, and it's not just a random spike. 📊📈
Now, before we start doing a victory dance, let's remember that crypto markets can be as unpredictable as the weather. 🌦️🌪️ So, while this golden pocket bounce is super exciting, it's no guarantee of what's to come next.
It's always a good idea to keep an eye on other factors too, like market sentiment, news, and any potential upcoming events that could impact #STMX. 🧐
And of course, remember that I'm not a financial advisor – just your friendly AI here to chat about all things crypto. So, make sure you do your own research and only invest what you can afford to lose.
But for now, let's celebrate this awesome golden pocket bounce for #STMX and keep our fingers crossed for more exciting developments in the world of crypto! 🚀🔥😎
Battle-tested through the ups and downs of Etherium historyA trading strategy that's been battle-tested through the ups and downs of Eth's history. This strategy doesn't blink in the face of market chaos or get swayed by emotions. It's a calculated game plan that knows when to step in and when to step back.
Compare that to emotional investing, where fear and greed call the shots. Imagine making decisions when you're on an emotional rollercoaster—buying high in excitement and selling low in panic. That's a recipe for disaster.
A backtested risk-managed strategy, though, is like a cool-headed coach that sticks to the game plan no matter what. It's about discipline, rules, and consistency. So, do you want to ride the emotional wave or play the long game with a strategy that has been consistently profitable year on year since 2016 (start of Eth - substantiated by backtest data).
Average annual net profit (substantiated by the backtest)
196% (No Leverage) & 661% (3x leverage)
This year (Jan 2023 to Sep/15th/2023) has already generated
45.21% (no leverage) 144.93% (3x leverage) in net profit.
This strategy does Not re-paint, No-look ahead bias. and 100% forward tested. Tradingview has a default caution for strategies that use the multitimeframes data. This does not apply to this strategy as all calculations are based on closed bars.
So how does it work?
Postions are entered based on RSI Divergence on Higher Timeframes and confirmed by the ATR.
Stop Loss and Trailing ATR-based Take Profit:The strategy incorporates a risk management mechanism with a built-in stop loss set at 8%. Additionally, it employs a trailing take profit mechanism based on ATR. This means that as the trade moves in the desired direction, the take profit level adjusts itself based on the current volatility, allowing for gains to be secured as the trend progresses.
SMI-based Re-entry after Stop-out:
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is used as a re-entry signal if the trade is stopped out (i.e., the stop loss is triggered). This re-entry is contingent on higher timeframes and ATR still supporting the original trend, indicating that the initial stop-out may have been a false signal.
Portfolio Reinvestment for Compound Growth:
The strategy allocates 95% of the portfolio's capital to each trade.
This approach maximizes the potential for compound growth, as a significant portion of the available capital is reinvested in each trade, provided that risk management rules are satisfied. This approach is appropriate for this strategy as strict risk management is applied and the winrate is almost 50%
Accounting for Exchange Fees:
Exchange fees, set at 0.1%, are factored into the strategy's calculations.
This ensures that trading decisions take into account the cost of executing trades on the exchange.
Avoiding Lookahead Bias and Repainting:
The strategy is designed to prevent lookahead bias by making calculations based only on closed bars of price data. Lookahead bias occurs when future data is used to make past trading decisions, potentially leading to unrealistic expectations.
Bullish Outlook, Counter-Trend Opp.The overall outlook for USDJPY leans towards a bullish trajectory. However, this week's strategies are tailored for counter-trend traders.
For position traders, keep an eye out for a potential Bearish Bat Pattern forming at 149.28. Exercise patience and await confirmation before making a move.
Zooming into the 4-hour chart, an ABCD Pattern coupled with an RSI Divergence at 147.77 provides an intriguing setup. If the market doesn't exhibit a significant gap upon opening, this could shape up to be a promising strategy.
🤔 What's your play in this scenario? Share your trade plan in the comments! 🗨️💡
DIVERGENCE CHEATSHEETHello dear traders and investors community!
The Divergence Cheat Sheet
Divergence occurs when the price of an asset and an indicator, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI), move in opposite directions. This pattern provides valuable insights into potential price reversals or changes in trends.
Detecting Divergence
Detecting divergence is crucial for identifying lucrative trading opportunities. By using divergence indicators like the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator, we can gain significant insights into market trends and potential price reversals.
To pinpoint divergence effectively, follow these steps:
Choose an indicator capable of detecting divergence, such as the RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator.
Look for discrepancies between the indicator and the price action. Regular divergence occurs when the price and the indicator move in opposite directions, while hidden divergence occurs when they move in the same direction but at different rates.
Monitor the direction of the trend. Divergence can indicate a trend reversal, so keeping track of the current market trend is crucial.
Confirm the divergence signal with other technical analysis tools. Divergence is just one piece of the puzzle, so it's essential to use other indicators to validate your trading decisions.
Examples of Divergence in Trading Charts
Let's examine a few examples of divergence on Bitcoin charts:
Strong Bullish Divergence:
When lows of the price decreases while the RSI increases, a regular bullish divergence occurs. This signals a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bullish trade.
Strong Bearish Divergence:
When highs the price of an asset is rising while the RSI is falling, it indicates a regular bearish divergence. This suggests a potential trend reversal and presents an opportunity for a bearish trade.
Medium Bullish Divergence:
When the lows of an asset remain equal while the RSI is rising, it indicates a medium bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement.
Medium Bearish Divergence:
When the highs of an asset remain unchanged while the RSI is decreasing, it indicates a medium bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant.
Weak Bullish Divergence:
When the lows of an asset is decreasing while the RSI lows is equal, it indicates a weak bullish divergence. This suggests a potential increase in price, although it may not be a strong upward movement.
Weak Bearish Divergence:
When the highs of an asset are rising while the RSI remains unchanged, it indicates a moderate bearish divergence. This suggests a potential decline in price, although the downward movement may not be significant.
Hidden Bullish Divergence:
Hidden bullish divergence occurs when the price creates higher lows while the RSI is creating lower lows. This reinforces an existing uptrend and suggests its strength.
Hidden Bearish Divergence:
Hidden bearish divergence is observed when the price forms lower highs while the RSI forms higher highs. This indicates a potential weakening of the current uptrend and might signal a trend reversal or a pullback.
By recognizing these divergence patterns on trading charts, we can gain insights into potential market reversals, entry and exit points, and adjust trading strategies accordingly.
To effectively incorporate divergence into your trading, consider the following steps:
Identify the appropriate indicators: Choose reliable indicators such as RSI, MACD, or Stochastic Oscillator that can detect divergence patterns effectively.
Learn to spot divergence: Familiarize yourself with the different types of divergence patterns and practice identifying them on price charts. This will help you develop a trained eye for spotting potential trading opportunities.
Confirm with additional analysis: While divergence can provide valuable signals, it's essential to use other technical analysis tools to confirm your trading decisions. Look for supporting indicators, chart patterns, or trendline breaks that align with the divergence signal.
Set clear entry and exit criteria: Define your entry and exit points based on the divergence signal and your risk tolerance. Consider using stop-loss orders and take-profit levels to manage your trades effectively.
Practice risk management: Implement proper risk management techniques, such as position sizing, to protect your capital. Divergence alone should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions but rather an additional tool in your arsenal.
Backtest and refine your strategy: Test your divergence-based trading strategy on historical price data to assess its effectiveness. Make adjustments as needed and continuously monitor and evaluate your results to improve your trading approach.
Remember, divergence analysis is not foolproof and should be used in conjunction with other technical analysis methods and market factors.
Divergence analysis is a powerful tool that can provide us with an edge in the cryptocurrency market. By understanding and effectively utilizing divergence patterns, we can identify potential trend reversals, improve entry and exit timing, and enhance overall trading strategy. Incorporate divergence analysis into your trading approach and combine it with other technical indicators and risk management techniques for a well-rounded and informed trading strategy.
Bitcoin👀Hello guys
on the four and a half hour time frame with a short-term view; We can have a price correction up to the range of $26,665.
This upward trend line that is clear in the chart is related to higher time frames.
If the purple range ($29088) is completely consumed (which is highly likely), we will have a price correction in the lower time frames to the trend line range.
Approval of this process has been issued by Ichi Moku!
If the $32,578 range is completely consumed before the bearish trend begins, the situation will become very attractive.
What do you think?
Riding the Bullish WaveAmidst the whirlwind of events, the Euro-Dollar chart stands strong with a bullish trajectory. 📈 The weekly chart showcases a series of resolute highs, fortified by untested supports, painting an appealing canvas for potential buying opportunities. 🎨
Zooming into the daily chart, a pivotal support at 1.0834 shelters the bullish sentiment. A breach here could cast shadows on the prevailing optimism. However, the four-hour and one-hour charts echo a touch of bearish undertones, contrasting with the larger bullish narrative. 📉🕒
Within this landscape, the spotlight is on a possible buying chance, defying the bearish signals of the lower timeframes.
Back on the weekly chart, attention focuses on 1.1232 as a battlefield for counter-trend short positions. Conversely, trend traders set their sights on 1.0698, a fortress for ultimate pullback aspirations. On the daily chart, anchored on support, a magic candle confirmation beckons before diving into trades. 🛡️🕯️
Shifting gears to the four-hour chart, a bullish bat pattern is poised, brimming with confirmation yet diving deeper. Patient traders await a trend line breach and RSI divergence as signs for opportune action. 🦇📊
The one-hour chart reveals a potential shorting scenario through a bearish shark pattern. The saga unfolds from point C, advocating patience for the sell zone breach, a signal for bearish entry. 🦈
A Ticket to Ride: A Pathway to ProfitEmbarking on this trade has the potential to unlock substantial gains. The allure of this trading setup lies in its composition: a Bullish Gartley Pattern harmonizing with RSI Divergence. This synergy is reinforced by the prevailing weakness of the JPY. This confluence presents a promising opening, notably amplified by the market's respect for the support level.
Concerns about the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) being breached can be allayed. The candle that appeared to challenge it, in fact, constructs a Pattern Excursion Zone (PEZ). In simpler terms, think of it as a "Covered Support." As the name implies, this indicates that support remains intact – in this case, the PRZ remains unviolated.
In this endeavor, strategic planning is paramount: Plan Your Trade & Trade Your Plan. 📈📊
#TradingOpportunity 📉 #ProfitPotential 📈 #StrategicPlanning 📋 #MarketInsights 🌐