Text book bullish W-Bottom on weekly. Huge gains here.
USDDKK and a Weekly chart Double-bottom which has just passed through the neckline.
Look for a retrace back to neckline.
On USD strength at the moment, this is sure to climb during trading today and the next several weeks. Massive RR. Thx Chris.
Stupid-bloody software. Ignore the chart above. I tried to delete and overwrite but this damn software that some of us spend so much time is simply bs.
Here is a 5m chart showing the breakout and a retest back on the neckline which is the red-dotted line. It may conduct a retest again or look for a fib retracement or a good ol' market order at these low levels.
Be aware that Double bottom breakouts even over and beyond neckline, often retrace in a big way back underneath the neckline to push traders patience and take stops. Then price breaks out again.
I can't see the above happening because this is a weekly chart firstly, plus the USD is too strong in momentum currently.
Your're welcome:)
Riskmangement
USDZAR moving up fast & breaking out with USD strength
I mentioned in a publication today during the Asia session about how I see the continuation of the US-Dollar to continue to power and move through 106 soon like a knife through melting butter.
This is a big reclaim its making on the Poland currency. I bought in recently as it crossed the 200EMA on the daily.
The weekly chart price is powering up a double-top. It will break through this level, USD is gaining so much momentum and it looks to remain that way for the foreseeable future in my opinion.
Gold under so much pressure despite still in a bull-run, lower prices to ensue this week for Gold. Cryptocurrency and the USD$ to power on.
DYOR. These are solely my opinions. I formulate these ideas from charts and price history. I pick a direction. Last Friday I publicly announced here on TV that Gold and Silver would slide in a bigger way this week. It's happening and it will continue to happen because as I mention above, the USD$ is continuing its breakout over 106 soon.
Cheers,
Chris
Daily chart below:
USDPLN moves up on 4.10 & further breakout past 4.12
I took this trade Long a few moments ago. I thought whether I was getting into the trade a bit late, but I opened the Daily and Weekly charts to see that this is moving fast on the RSI momentum and its chasing 4.12 a previous key record high, which beyond breaking should launch this combo even further.
This is a pair that tends to rally hard and fast, there is a bit of a buy spread usually but it moves fast to break even on the spread.
AUDJPY Short: for educational purposes only. W & 4HR chart
If we look at last weeks WEEKLY CANDLE, well it can only be described as a bearish pin-bar but that is my subjective view, plus this weeks WEEKLY candle is starting to form the same way. Ie. as a pin-bar candle bearish.
I am seeing momentum on all intraday charts to downside right up to the important weekly chart.
Standby, I will enter the trade very soon if I see a good opportunity to Short without being manipulated by the market makers. IE. They will immediately take the other side betting against me. Standby
OMG DOGEUSD is up over 25% again. Clearly undervalued.
I got in mostly around 0.16cents, I will disclose also, it's one of my biggest holdings.
DOGEUSD is hammering upwards in price again today. Don't write it off due to its comical naming, because it's chart structure is very defined, very bullish and it's a very tidy, organised chart. What you see is what you get.
The chart is all I really go by, they could be selling hotdogs and it wouldn't matter, this is going way past $1 VERY SOON. It's one the biggest star breakout performers since Bitcoin recently climbed and broke out beyond 75k.
USDCHF reclaims 200EMA Daily Chart
I alerted traders about a month ago to this idea about USD turning the trend around officially by getting above the 200EMA. This has occurred and why I bought back in early today.
The USD is very strong at the moment and it looks the same going forwards.
On the daily chart USDCHF has also broken through an upper-trend line on historical highs.
The Daily Chart - Bitcoin - Definite pullback occurring now
BTCUSD is conducting a retrace, at most back to 70,000, the big white inefficient candle needs to be revisited and given some 'love', I note that the daily RSI and MACD are showing bearish momentum for the next little while.
Anyway, who would be game to Short Crypto at the moment. Now is a chance on some of them, which are pulling back with Bitcoin, but this is temporary overbought stuff.
Tron TRXUSD has been a bear for a good 2 or 3 weeks. Not anymore
I must declare Tron is one of my biggest holdings, I don't tend to hold onto currency's for very long because you forever get whipsawed around with the changes to the USD, and no matter how good your original setup was, quite often in trading when you see that nice 500 or 1000 green profit, it's best to take it off the table.
This is what happened with the start of the London session today Friday, the USD started to rally and all of the top currency's starting AUD, EUR, GBP etc all went in the red, down below it was the USD pairs in the green.
TRXUSD will knock over the USD today, I did hear that Bitcoin has not followed through on taking the Higher high set recently which would officially give it breakout status. One analysis I read was that Bitcoin is currently in a 15M channel and it may head bearish until it resets. I will check soon.
I keep digressing, TRXUSD has been tumbling downwards slowly and very measured so that nobody would notice on a Daily double top. But on multiple timeframes during Asia Friday TRON has about-faced and is now heading for the bulls.
TRXUSD is one of the few cryptocurrency's that is right at the top of its price cycle, to be honest I don't even recall its fundamentals because I go by the charts, however I do occasionally research the Crypto ones I have bought or am about to buy.
What's more to say? Well there usually is a bit of a buy-spread. I bought 50,000 a little while ago on market because most of the time I can't be bothered with limit-orders because while you punch in your order and price, the ones at the other end are driving the price higher and ripping us off. I have not made a dime out of TRON yet, I can't say to you that it will move fast like DOGE as it may be a turtle (slow), you will find that its chart-structure is a super-strong-foundation and the charts are very organised and usually pointing very bullish.
Bitcoin weekly chart. A hint at how its price may head very soon
My understanding is that BTCUSD has already broken the breakout top-line of the weekly cup, it was a price at about 73,750. I could be wrong, but approximately correct. This means BTCUSD has broken out already.
This weekly chart of bitcoin contains the famous weekly head n shoulders pattern that first started forming back in 2021 or was it 2022? Either year is long enough.
In the chart you will also see a rising wedge on this weekly chart. Well bitcoin is climbing to the top right now and does not have far to go. USD might be very strong today so it may not be the session for Bitcoin, but Bitcoin is so resilient to the USD that anything is possible and BTCUSD moves fast when it wants.
Price will bounce out of the top of wedge and become independent to formations, before it makes a short retrace and then heads over the critical area which is the Cup top-lining. This will probably happen very quickly but there should be a retest of the breakout zone.
Also, you want to view the price action on a very low time frame, like 1m to 5m. There will probably be a bullish rising wedge that price also moves in before separating and breaking out.
Good luck.
GBPUSD bullish divergence daily. Lows and Highs Div.
I put out a buy on this pair a week or 2 ago, GBPUSD, a lot can happen in this amount of time, last time I called a Long-trade on this pair & the same this time.
GBPUSD is moving up towards a neckline breakout on a Double-bottom system intraday.
But the real glossy confluence I see is the Daily chart and bullish RSI divergence. In recent days the RSI on the daily chart, where divergences probably work best because most traders look for divergences on Daily & even Weekly, 4hr charts, has seen lower low to higher low on the RSI AND also lower high to higher high on the daily RSI, but on the price action for GBPUSD it was a lazy lower prices down compared to a bullish turnaround on the RSI.
So this divergence is going to be noticed by traders and GBPUSD should be a buy going forwards.
As an added bonus of confluence, I threw in some MACD's to also highlight that the trade is supported on the Daily by MACD's sweeping upwards.
DogeUsd moves up but watch 4 Bitcoins break above 76,522
Bitcoin is making a sluggish return to the long-side in trading today, so DogeUsd is following suit.
But Bitcoins next leg-up is dependant on a Top2 system 'taking' and a BTCUSD move above price 76,522 should ensure Bitcoins next bullish move but also DogeUsd.
My other pick at the moment is Cardona, ADAUSD which I picked Long at 0.33 & is now at nearly 0.39, however it's chart is indicative of much higher prices as Bitcoin Price Ascends further.
How I Rode the Gold Trend Using Multi-Timeframe AnalysisHey Traders! 📈
I want to share an analysis of a recent opportunity on Gold that came up, focusing on using multi-timeframe analysis to spot a reaccumulation pattern.
Market Context:
On the daily timeframe, Gold was showing a retracement. By zooming into the 1H timeframe, I identified what seemed like a reaccumulation (REACC) model—giving a potential entry point to go long in this trending market.
The Entry Setup:
On the 1H TF, after a retrace, the price continued the uptrend with strong structure, confirming a breakout.
I entered long, aligning with the market trend and using a trailing stop to manage the position and capture potential further upside.
Floating PnL:
Right now, the trade is floating around 12RR and still trailing! This is a great example of how multi-timeframe analysis can help uncover high-probability setups.
This educational breakdown is meant to help others see the power of combining market structure and risk management to stay in profitable trades. Hope this helps you spot similar setups in the future! 🚀
Leave a comment if you surfed with this trend too!
Pick of the Currency Outbreaks AUDUSD. More bulls ahead.
This is the Daily chart of AUDUSD. It's up well over 1% today.
It looks to have strength continuing to the upside due to a change in momentum favouring the Aussie.
You can see in the chart of daily how the 200ema has turned in favour of the Aussie.
I would be looking for a pullback to this 200ema which is about 0.6652 to 0.6655 to offer a wider zone of buying.
If you look ahead on the Daily, you will see a huge head n shoulders bullish setup which the bulls will be chasing.
I wrote a month or 2 ago how I expected the Aussie to breakout, but the USD has also returned to strength.
We also saw AUD perform very strongly against a basket of of other currency's in the Asian session earlier.
Silver very bullish now. Giving its usual false breaks earlier
As I mentioned for Gold price and Silver, although overextended a bit in price still, I am seeing momentum swinging back for the bulls and on the important bigger timeframes like 4hr and daily.
This chart is a recent Fibs pullback. Check it out below.
No false-break upwards here in Gold-It's moving up fast
Gold and Silver had a healthy downwards correction from what I understand.
A few nervous Gold-holders after Donald Trump's re-election.
But there is much more to the story for gold prices to go higher.
I see the intraday charts looking bullish for silver and gold today, as momentum is shifting back to the upside.
Wait and see what the Economic News tells us before rushing to go Long
Economic data just released was probably more in favour of the USD, but I note it was a mixed-bag release and in some ways favouring Gold price. Gold price has shrugged off the data it seems.
BTCUSD Defying a further pullback. Too bullish at Mid 75k
Bitcoin BTCUSD took a normal day of retracement in earlier trading (Asian & Europe Session), but it's recently made a move upwards, which prompted me to check the intraday charts and it looks like the climb will continue today. Mainly on momentum the past couple of days and of course there is that break of the March high, which reminds the pullback earlier today was probably to test this break of a previous high by new price.
The Importance of Financial Discipline in TradingThe Importance of Financial Discipline in Trading: A Pathway to Lasting Success
Achieving consistent success hinges on one fundamental principle: financial discipline. This concept encompasses adherence to a well-structured trading strategy, effective risk management, and emotional control. Distinguishing successful traders from those who struggle, financial discipline empowers individuals to make informed decisions while navigating the often chaotic world of financial markets.
Understanding Financial Discipline
Financial discipline is about maintaining a methodical approach to trading. It requires traders to exercise patience in waiting for favorable market conditions, the courage to cut losses promptly, and the self-restraint to avoid impulsive risks. By establishing clear trading rules and sticking to them, traders can minimize errors, conserve capital, and foster long-term profitability. In contrast, a lack of discipline can lead to devastating consequences, derailing even the most promising strategies and exposing traders to significant financial setbacks.
Also Read:
The Critical Role of Emotional Control
Emotions can be one of the biggest hurdles in trading. Decisions driven by fear, greed, or overconfidence often lead to regrettable outcomes. For instance, fear may result in prematurely exiting a position, causing traders to miss out on potential gains when they could have held on longer. Conversely, the lure of quick profits might tempt traders to overtrade or take on excessive risk.
Disciplined traders minimize the impact of emotions by adhering to a comprehensive pre-planned strategy that emphasizes consistency. This approach includes specific criteria for trade entries and exits, pre-defined risk thresholds, and clear guidelines for position sizing. By operating within these parameters, traders can cope with the inevitable volatility of the market without succumbing to emotional reactions.
Moreover, having financial discipline allows traders to maintain composure during turbulent market periods, a time when many make ill-advised choices. The essence of financial discipline lies in its ability to keep traders focused on their long-term objectives, adapt strategies when needed, and ultimately achieve sustained profitability over time.
Also Read:
Setting Achievable Goals
Successful trading begins with the establishment of realistic, achievable goals. Traders should clarify their objectives—in both the short and long term—to facilitate strategic decision-making. Short-term goals, such as monthly profit targets, should remain specific yet attainable, fostering motivation and providing benchmarks for progress. For example, rather than aiming for excessively high returns, a trader might target a modest monthly gain, reducing the urge to engage in risky behavior.
However, flexibility is essential. Financial markets are dynamic, and goals may need adjustment in response to changing conditions. What may seem feasible during a bull market could become unrealistic in a downturn. Long-term goals, such as building wealth over several years, can help traders keep sight of their overarching aims without getting sidetracked by temporary setbacks.
By setting realistic expectations, traders can avoid the pitfalls of ambition that often lead to burnout or reckless decisions. These well-defined goals serve not only as performance indicators but also as tools to cultivate patience and resilience in the trading journey.
Risk Management: The Heart of Discipline
Effective risk management is paramount for survival in trading, and disciplined traders recognize that controlling risk is essential for long-term sustainability. Every trade carries a degree of uncertainty, and without a robust risk management strategy, even minor losses can escalate, jeopardizing a trader's financial health.
One fundamental risk management technique is the implementation of stop-loss orders. A stop-loss automatically closes a trade once it reaches a predetermined loss threshold, helping traders avoid the pitfall of holding onto losing positions in hopes of recovery. By defining acceptable limits, traders can mitigate risks and safeguard their accounts.
Position sizing is another critical component of a prudent risk management strategy. Traders should only risk a small percentage of their total capital on any single trade, ensuring that a series of losses will not have a devastating impact on their overall account balance. This approach encourages traders to diversify their risks rather than overexposing themselves to any one market or trade.
Additionally, understanding and applying a favorable risk-reward ratio is central to disciplined trading. Aiming for trades where the potential reward significantly surpasses the risk taken helps ensure that traders remain profitable in the long run. For example, a risk-reward ratio of 3:1 means risking $100 to potentially earn $300. By consistently identifying trades with such favorable ratios, traders can weather inevitable losses while maintaining a path to profitability.
Also Read:
Mastering Emotional Control
The psychological aspects of trading cannot be overlooked. Emotions such as fear and greed can markedly hinder progress. Fear may lead to hasty exits from positions, while greed could incite traders to exceed their risk limits in pursuit of greater profits. Both scenarios jeopardize a structured trading plan and can have dire financial consequences.
Long-term success in trading requires emotional control, allowing traders to base decisions on careful analysis rather than spontaneous reactions to the market. Fostering a disciplined routine is key. This starts with a thorough trading plan that outlines clear entry and exit strategies, risk management protocols, and position sizes. Consistently revisiting and adhering to this plan will help mitigate impulsive decision-making influenced by market mood swings or personal stressors.
Embracing losses as an inherent part of trading is also vital. Even the most adept traders experience losing trades, and it's crucial to avoid allowing recent losses to cloud future judgment. Focusing on the broader strategy and long-term performance instead of fixating on individual trades enhances a trader’s capacity to remain rational and composed.
Also Read:
and...
Conclusion: The Path to Consistency and Success
Financial discipline is not merely a concept; it's the bedrock of effective trading. By prioritizing structured strategies, managing risk diligently, and controlling emotions, traders can position themselves for sustained success in the financial markets. The journey to mastery involves setting realistic goals, crafting sound risk management plans, and cultivating emotional resilience. Ultimately, by embracing these principles, traders can improve their decision-making processes and enhance their chances for consistent, profitable outcomes in the exciting yet challenging world of trading.
Gold’s Next Big Move: Election Night’s Hidden Chart Signals!This is an image of the original Video tutorial i made walking through XAU/USD
Chart Analysis Summary
In both charts, we see a prominent ascending channel on a higher time frame (HTF), suggesting an overall bullish structure initially. However, there are signs of potential reversals, especially around critical levels where price fails to break higher and instead forms correctional structures. The ascending channel shown aligns with The Rule of Three, as it often precedes reversals after the third touch due to exhaustion in the trend.
Reversal Signal: Double Top with Bearish Flag
The first chart illustrates a double top pattern within the broader ascending channel, a common reversal signal. This pattern suggests a weakening bullish momentum, aligning with a probable corrective phase. Following the double top, we observe a bearish flag or descending channel, indicating that the price may continue downward after a break. This aligns with Patterns within Patterns, where a smaller bearish flag within a larger corrective structure increases the probability of a downside move.
Bull Flag Structure and Liquidity Zone Testing
The second chart labels a large bull flag on the higher time frame (4H) near a liquidity zone. The corrective phase within this flag aligns with the market psychology of retracement after an impulsive move. Multi-Touch Confirmation indicates that these structures gain credibility with multiple touches on key support/resistance lines, making the upcoming third touch a critical point for deciding the direction.
Potential Entry and Exit Scenarios
Based on Entry Types from your strategy:
High-Probability Entry: Enter on a break of the corrective structure (such as the bear flag or descending channel) following multiple touches. Place a stop loss above the recent high if you’re anticipating a downside continuation, using a reduced-risk entry if you see low-momentum candles and ascending channels close to the top.
Wait for Confirmation: Given the corrective nature, it might be safer to wait for a confirmed breakout rather than entering at the top without solid confirmation. Back-tested data often shows better results when entries are taken after the third touch or initial pullback post-breakout.
Confluence of Multi-Touch and Patterns
The multi-touch confirmation method supports the idea of a third touch before a potential breakout or breakdown. Additionally, patterns within patterns enhance reliability, as seen with ascending or descending channels within larger structures, suggesting the market’s next probable moves more accurately.
Strategy Application:
Assess the Momentum: Enter on the first pullback (flag formation) after a significant breakout if momentum is strong. For a conservative approach, watch for a third touch on the boundary of the corrective channel.
Risk Management: As part of your trading plan, place stops conservatively to avoid getting caught in corrective waves, as tight stops near liquidity zones may result in unnecessary stop-outs.
Psychological Preparation: Avoid the perfectionist trap; if the confluence signals are strong but not perfect, following the 80/20 rule may be more beneficial than waiting for ideal entries, as markets rarely align perfectly with expectations.
BTCUSD puts on the big gains 10+%DogeUsd bounces back
Some of the biggest daily Cryptocurrency gains today as BTCUSD chases the breakout-zone and now sits within striking range.
BTCUSD is still part of a 3 x Top system on monthly, weekly and daily charts. Right now it seems be retracing down in price but I don't think it will move down much further as its immediate and intermediate Gig is to breakout past 75,000 very soon and taking Cryptocurrency with it.
DogeUSD puts on more than 14% during the last trading day.
TRON TRXUSD is in a fantastic setup now on the higher time frames, see my Post on TRON and the setup, why it's one of the structurally strongest charts in existence and why I see a bullish turnaround in its price very soon. It's price is still under 20 cents and its only getting fatter going forwards.
AUDCAD about to Pop to the upside.
Another setup I like mostly from this Daily chart. Price recently decoupling from a falling-wedge and moving briefly to a nearby liquidity zone and then shaping up to move upwards.
Trade has plenty of upwards momentum and should be a good riser commencing very soon.
I have bought at current levels around 0.9195 and SL at 0.9184, quite tight.
For educational purposes on tradingview only.