Rising Wedge
Classic Reversal Pattern You Must Know
☑️WHAT IS THE RISING WEDGE PATTERN?
The rising (ascending) wedge pattern is a bearish chart pattern that signals a highly probable breakout to the downside. It’s the opposite of the falling (descending) wedge pattern (bullish). A rising wedge can be both a continuation and reversal pattern, although the former is more common and more efficient as it follows the direction of an overall trend.
The rising wedge consists of two converging trend lines that connect the most recent higher lows and higher highs. In a rising wedge, the lows are catching up with the highs at a higher pace, which means that the lower (supporting) trend line is steeper.
☑️KEY FEATURES
• The price action temporarily trades in an uptrend (the higher highs and higher lows)
• Two trend lines (support and resistance) that are converging
• The decrease in volume as the wedge progresses towards the breakout
The third point is seen more as a boost to the validity and effectiveness of the pattern, rather than a mandatory element. And it is applicable either for stocks trading mostly.
☑️SPOTTING THE RISING WEDGE
Identifying a rising wedge is not so difficult. As a first step, you should eliminate all types of wedges that are present in the sideways-trading environment. The ascending wedge occurs either in a downtrend as the price action temporarily corrects higher, or in an uptrend.
☑️TRADING THE RISING WEDGE
Trading the rising wedge pattern is pretty easy. After we correctly identified the pattern all we need to do is wait patiently for the breakout of the wedge to the downside. After the breakout is confirmed(usually at least a 4H candle needs to close below the broken level) we can place a limit order to short the pair on a pullback giving us a better risk to reward ratio. The correct Stop Loss should be placed above the last higher high established by the wedge before the breakout. What concerns the Take Profit level, it must be based on the technical levels below( If there are any). If not, then we might use Trailing Stop or just choose a minimal acceptable RR of 1:1,5
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Could the rising wedge still be valid on the EUR/USD?With short positions still being held at 1.0788 and 1.0645, I'm looking to see if we break below that pivotal zone which would potentially open things up for sellers to come pouring in. I will not look to add any positions as of right now.
The best course of action is to stay patient and observe the price action.
If we do break, I will lower stop losses to control risk and let it ride potentially towards 1.0100.
Trade idea is invalidated if we find strong support around 1.0600 - 1.0550 zone.
Ethereum - Final 24% drop before a new all time high!
Ethereum is now in an extremely difficult situation because the price is at the resistance of this symmetrical triangle and also inside the bearish rising wedge pattern on the daily chart! These patterns are bearish, so the probability of breaking down is higher at this point. Of course, we can breakout bullish, but do you really want to bet on it?
What's more, it looks like the first impulse Elliott wave has been completed, and we should take a look for a potential buying level on the next bull run! An ABC correction is on the way, and in this case personally, I am targeting the previous POC or the 0.618 FIB of the impulse wave, which is a 24% drop.
The very good news is that this triangle has impulse waves to the upside and corrective waves to the downside. It's a sign of trend reversal, and that's why I think this symmetrical triangle will break to the upside (later)! I think the bull market has started, but we are still stuck in this symmetrical range.
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
As you can clearly see, we have an unfilled GAP, and it is very dangerous to go up without filling it. The reason is that the market will want to fill the gap later, maybe in 2024, and you probably don't want it. So let's fill it now.
If you haven't seen my previous very popular idea about "Bitcoin to 18K," "The big crash is coming!" You have to check out the related section down below, because it's absolutely mind-blowing.
Currently I am bearish on Ethereum and Bitcoin, but only temporarily until we reach my targets. It's hard to speculate on the breakout of the symmetrical triangle while the price is still inside it. So from my perspective, the probability of going down is 75%.
It was a very good rally with tons of profits, but now we need to trade the market differently. Of course, it will be more difficult for the majority of traders, but it is doable!
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
OP - Similar signs to BTCWas I wrong about OP back in December? Yep. I sure was. I'm not afraid to admit it, either. Nobody is right 100% of the time and if they claim to be, they're lying to you.
Alright, now that we have that behind us, lets look at OP from a purely tecnicaly perspective. I'm going to focus on the wavemaster and the momentum indicators and check the confluence they have with each other here on this 4h timeframe.
The red eyes on the chart are displayed when buy or sell signals formed on both indicators. The most recent orange eye happened to occur when the wavemaster indicator signaled a sell, but the momentum indicator showed that we weren't at the top of the momentum channel (not displayed).
We're also starting to see some signs of bearish divergence on these higher timeframes and we're also starting to see patterns of higher highs and higher lows with some compression evidence as well. I'd rather wait to see how the formation breaks vs trying to just simply short here and hope for the beest.
If you tried to short back in December, for instance, and had no risk management, your face got ripped off completely. At least exit with some dignity and know when you're wrong. Leave the asset and move on to something else if you're wrong. You can always come back and revisit another day which is exactly what I am doing with OP now. I walked away, let it go nuts, and now I'm back watching the formation to see what is coming next.
I'll continue to wait. The formation we're in typically resolves down, but we'll have to see what BTC decides to do and see if alts follow suit. Pay attention to USDT.D and BTC.D on higher timeframes. They'll give you the first clue as to what the market wants to do.
Technical Analysis on the EUR/USD and what to look forward toFX:EURUSD
We take a look at what the EUR/USD may do going forward and how the current short positions unfolded.
We have made a nice and steady decline into the main Pivotal zone and the question now is, do we stay short or watch for buyers to come back into the market and swing momentum back to the upside. In this Video, I describe the thought process and outlook on what price action may be showing us next.
Hope you enjoy the video and analysis.
BTCUSDT vs DXY - Pro Bitters or Dolly?DXY touching a Monthly resistance in a Rising Wedge. Bitters Weekly support in a Pennant. Bitters also in a Falling Wedge. Bias bitters (BTCUSDT) to the upside. BTC Weekly also local CC 0.618.
DXY close above Weekly 104.650 will be a Game Changer. Possibly, probably push BTC down a notch. Will be looking at the pwLow approx. 23,415 .. Monthly 23, 300.
AUD.NZD rising wedgeHello Traders,
AUD.NZD daily seems to be forming a rising wedge.
Usually when there's a rising wedge, price seems to break to the downside.
I'm definitely watching this pair to see where price will break!
What do you think about this chart? Do you think it will break to the downside? thoughts?
Have a great day!
Samantha
Bitcoin - 30k next stop, then big crash! (whales plan)
This is a strategic plan on how to play the upcoming price action on Bitcoin in the next few weeks. As a trader, you have to see it!
As we can see, Bitcoin pumped with a strong impulse in previous days, and the 30k level currently acts like a magnet because there is no resistance on the way up other than this.
You probably want to trade with the trend, so I would recommend only long positions to increase the probability of a successful trade. I've been using this strategy since the start of January, as you can see on my profile.
After we hit 30k, there will be a tremendous dump, and this dump you can short. We have a lot of confluence to short bitcoin in this region; see my previous analysis in the related section down below for more info.
After we hit 30k, Bitcoin will take a break, and we should see an alt-season. Of course, there will be an initial dump for the whole crypto space first. So make sure you know what to do!
This analysis is not a trade setup; there is no stop-loss, entry point, profit target, expected duration of the trade, risk-to-reward ratio, or timing. I post trade setups privately.
The price has been moving in the ascending parallel channel on the log scale. This channel is very well respected, and it's very important to watch it because if it breaks, then the uptrend will be exhausted. Make sure you follow me, because I will warn you if this happens! You want to stay updated.
You can see my Elliott Wave count on the chart; we are in the 5th wave of the first major impulse wave to the upside, which is a sign of a huge bull market. Bitcoin could reach 130,000 USDT in 2025 and even more.
Thank you, and for more ideas, hit "Like" and "Follow"!
All of the reasons to take profits or short bitcoin above 30k can be found here:
NAS100 RISING WEDGE Hello traders,
The market has retraced filling half of the fair value gap and now the chart is telling us the bulls are in control, plus on the commitment of traders for nas the big boys are closing massive short positions and adding to their longs. We might see a strong bull take over on Nas.
COT Report: www.tradingster.com
BITCOIN Rising Wedge PatternI've found a rising wedge in Bitcoin chart 4 hours.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
I'm gonna setup short sell if breakdown pattern
and the target for take profit is
21997.98
21547.68
20906.59
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