Can FSR move higher? LONGFSR on the one hour chart fell from a triple top in mid July into the lower range
of the volume profile's high volume area then bounced higher in a series of higher
highs but then rolled over and fell again/ It has consolidated sideways about
that POC line and now is above it. The indicators including Directional Index
Zero Lag MACD and dual time frame RSI all indicate a return to bullish momentum.
I will take a long trade the horizontal levels on the chart served as tiered targets
for a risk managed trade. I will take some call options contracts as well. I think FSR
may follow the market leader in TSLA for a bit.
Reversalpattern
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the latest market dynamics in our new video as we analyze the USD/JPY movement, surging over 0.90% to 148.05 following a robust US jobs report and elevated Treasury yields. The addition of 353K jobs in January has shifted Fed rate cut forecasts, reflecting a tightening labor market and bolstering confidence in the US economy.
However, amidst this positive momentum, factors such as heightened conflicts in the Middle East are fostering cautious sentiment among investors. The Japanese Yen, drawing in some buying potential, cannot be overlooked. Additionally, the Bank of Japan's recent hawkish stance signals potential shifts away from extensive stimulus and negative short-term interest rates, potentially providing support to the Yen.
As we navigate these intricate market dynamics, this video serves as your guide, offering insights on how to plan your positions strategically for the upcoming week.
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.500. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead.
Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week!
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Bollinger Bands Part II: Reversal PatternsBollinger Bands Part II: Reversal Patterns
Analzying Two Key Patterns Called M-Tops and W-Bottoms
This post will go into greater depth than the basic introduction to Bollinger Bands published last week. In particular, it will discuss two key reversal patterns. Both the M-top reversal pattern and W-bottom reversal pattern are price patterns that form in conjunction with the Bollinger Bands.
M-Top Pattern
The classic M-top reversal pattern forms when two consecutive price highs form an M-shaped price pattern with the first high tagging the upper band and the second high exhausting before tagging the upper band. An example is shown on Supplemental Chart A involving a topping pattern in BTCUSD from early 2021. This weekly chart shows the M-top in red. The second high meets the traditional (strict) criteria of a second peak near—but not touching—the upper band. This is soon evident as a price failure.
Supplemental Chart A
But an M-top reversal pattern may arise even when two actual tags or pierces of the upper band occur, i.e., the second high may tag the band without invalidating the pattern. This is based on the email discussion this author had with the creator of the Bollinger Bands a while back in 2022, recounted at the end of this post.
In short, the most important feature of the pattern is price exhaustion and reversal at the second high . In other words, look for failure of the price move at or near band resistance (e.g., a failed breakout). The following technical signals may provide additional confirmation: weakening momentum indicators, including negative divergences in momentum indicators or a lower high on %B indicator which may present as a %B line divergence.
W-Bottom Pattern
The classic W-bottom reversal pattern forms when two consecutive price lows form a W-shaped price pattern with the first low tagging the lower band and the second low exhausting before tagging the lower band.
Supplemental Chart B
But note that a W-bottom reversal pattern may arise even when two actual tags or pierces of the lower band occur, i.e., the second low may tag the band without invalidating the pattern. This is based on the email discussion this author had with the creator of the Bollinger Bands a while back in 2022, recounted at the end of this post. In short, the most important feature of the pattern is price exhaustion and reversal at the second low. In other words, look for failure of the price move at band support (e.g., a failed breakdown). The following technical signals may provide additional confirmation: Strengthening momentum indicators, including positive divergences in momentum indicators or a higher low on % B indicator which may present as a %B line divergence.
Understanding the Nuances
In June 2022, John Bollinger, the creator of the Bollinger Bands, posted a monthly chart of BTC/USD on Twitter. He described the chart as a “picture perfect double (M-type) top in BTCUSD on the monthly chart complete with confirmation” from %B and bandwidth indicators. He noted also that the signal led to a tag of the lower band. Supplemental Chart C is my own attempt to recreate the monthly chart Bollinger had shown to reflect the same two major monthly highs in BTCUSD in early 2021 and then again in late 2021. Please note that Supplemental Chart C shows a different M-top than the one shown on the weekly time frame above on Supplemental Chart A, which only focuses on one of the two peaks analyzed in this monthly chart.
Supplemental Chart C
This chart that Bollinger originally posted in 2022 showed two actual tags of the upper band. This was not quite technically within the definition of an M-top in much of the technical literature. My previous reading on M-tops and W-bottoms found that all the definitions and examples showed that the second high or low must not touch or tag the relevant band. But this is incorrect to assume that M-tops and W-bottoms are invalid when this technical definition has not been strictly met, i.e., when two (or more) tags of the bands occurred at both price extremes.
Responding to Bollinger’s chart of a “perfect M-top pattern,” I messaged John Bollinger, the creator of the bands, directly, hoping for clarification about the strict definition of M-tops and W-bottoms. My question was whether they can be valid while having two actual tags of the bands at both price extremes—two tags at both highs of an M-top and two tags at both lows of a W-bottom. Or were the technical books correct to say that the second peak or low must approach the bands but fail to touch them.
In response to my questions, Bollinger clarified that whether a tag occurs at the second peak / high of an M-top is not important as price failure at upper band resistance. This reasoning can be applied in the inverse to W-bottoms as well. In other words, completing the second half of each formation requires a price failure, rather than a band-tag failure, upper band resistance (M-top) or lower band support (W-bottom).
So this broadens the scope of what constitutes a valid M-top or W-bottom pattern. But it does not exclude patterns that meet the conventional technical definition. This means that valid M-top and W-bottom patterns include cases where the secondary high / low fails to tag the upper / lower band. Stated differently, failures to tag the bands at a secondary price high / low can also form valid topping and bottoming patterns.
Finally, beware of seeking reversals too soon when price is trending strongly, or walking the bands —pullbacks in that specific scenario are not at all "price failures," and it's important to recognize the difference.
Conclusion
In short, the key is to apply substance over form, to follow the core concept rather than strictly adhering to the technical rules / definitions. Broaden the scope of the technical requirements to include price failures—on the secondary test—at band resistance or support. This will help traders recognize the patterns arising from this technical indicator more effectively.
Further, Bollinger himself recommended using other indicators for confirmation, such as RSI or another indicator that isn't overlapping in its operation too much. Lastly, it may be important to realize that the final failure at or near the bands may not be the second peak or low but the fourth, fifth or sixth. Just draw the M at the end where it fits if there has been strength followed by a failure at or near the bands. And remember trading time frame (M-tops and W-bottoms that are valid have much less significance on shorter time frames and much more and lasting significance on longer time frames. And keep risk management on as always.
________________________________________
Author's Comment: Thank you for reviewing this post and considering its charts and analysis. The author welcomes comments, discussion and debate (respectfully presented) in the comment section. Shared charts are especially helpful to support any opposing or alternative view. This article is intended to present an unbiased, technical view of the security or tradable risk asset discussed.
Please note further that this technical-analysis viewpoint is short-term in nature. This is not a trade recommendation but a technical-analysis overview and commentary with levels to watch for the near term. This technical-analysis viewpoint could change at a moment's notice should price move beyond a level of invalidation. Further, proper risk-management techniques are vital to trading success. And countertrend or mean-reversion trading, e.g., trading a rally in a bear market, is lower probability and is tricky and challenging even for the most experienced traders.
DISCLAIMER: This post contains commentary published solely for educational and informational purposes. This post's content (and any content available through links in this post) and its views do not constitute financial advice or an investment or trading recommendation, and they do not account for readers' personal financial circumstances, or their investing or trading objectives, time frame, and risk tolerance. Readers should perform their own due diligence, and consult a qualified financial adviser or other investment / financial professional before entering any trade, investment or other transaction.
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January witnessed a deceleration in Japan's national capital, dropping to 1.6% from the previous reading of 2.4%. This marks the first time in almost two years that consumer inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2.0% target. Additionally, the Core CPI (YoY) experienced a decline from 3.5% to 3.1%.
The Bank of Japan's December meeting minutes shed light on the monetary policy outlook and Yield Curve Control (YCC). Members of the BoJ Board expressed a consensus in favor of "patiently maintaining an easy policy." Several emphasized the need to observe a positive wage inflation cycle before contemplating the cessation of negative rates and YCC.
BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed a strong commitment to achieving the 2.0% inflation target. His statements hinted at a potential gradual reduction of extensive stimulus measures in the future, aligning with the central bank's objectives for inflation and economic stability.
On the flip side, the USD is experiencing a recovery driven by market adjustments in response to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations. Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December, which didn't significantly impact market expectations on the upcoming Fed meeting, there is speculation about a delay in the easing cycle from March to May. However, the Fed's tone in the upcoming meeting could alter these expectations.
Given these recent developments, how should we navigate the current market conditions?
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead.
Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week!
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAU/USD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsOver the past week, the price of Gold has been fluctuating between $2,000 and $2,035. This is because buyers seem to be taking a break, indicating a neutral to bullish outlook on the daily chart. Furthermore, the USD's recovery, driven by market adjustments related to the Federal Reserve and the resilience of the US economy, is putting pressure on the price of Gold.
Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December not causing a significant market reaction, there is anticipation surrounding the Fed's upcoming meeting. Currently, the markets have shifted their expectations for the start of the easing cycle from March to May, but the Fed's stance could alter these expectations. While US economic data remains strong, the Fed could use trends in core PCE to justify implementing rate cuts.
The Gold price (XAU/USD) is expected to see changes following the release of the US Core Personal Consumption Expenditure – Price Index (PCE) report for December, which indicates a slower pace of price growth than anticipated by market participants. Annual underlying inflation data has slowed to 2.9% from an expected 3% and a previous reading of 3.2%.
Fed policymakers are facing a balancing act, considering robust economic indicators such as consumer spending, the labor market, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). These factors could support arguments for higher interest rates in the first half of 2024.
Given the uncertainties, how do we plan to strategically position ourselves for the upcoming week? I have a strong sense that we may experience significant market movement in the coming week.
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,000 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,000 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Immerse yourself in the latest dynamics of the Gold market! Stay well-informed to make strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
MATICUSDTMATICUSDT was trading in descending parallel channel. The price was reacting well the support and resistance of channel.
Currently the price has given the breakout of triangle and now retesting the broken level where it is also forming a local support zone and seems like the price may go for another leg higher.
If the breakout sustain to upside the optimum target could be 1.00
What you guys think of this idea?
Pfizer - Watch The SupportHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Pfizer.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2012 Pfizer created a massively bullish triangle reversal pattern at the $17.00 level. This was followed by a +200% rally. Since 2022 Pfizer has been dropping significantly and is now retesting the support level which I mentioned in the analysis. If we see bullish conformation on the smaller timeframes, this might be an interesting long trading setup.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
PLU Power Price crushed by dilution announcement LONGOn the 15 minute chart, PLUG got a deserving bad haircut today on the dilution announcement.
Buying shares in a chas burning enterprise is risky business. However, the prospects of
a rescue with a federal grant from the Green Left initiative can come any time. Shares
are on sale. So are OTM call options expiring after the recovery if there is one. Price is
showing a glimmer of a bounce with upgoing MACD lines and the fast RSI line rising and crossing
over the slower one and heading to the 50 level. I will take a long trade when price
gets through the Ichimoku cloud at 3.15 with a stop just below the cloud. I may add to
it when price gets over the upper VWAP band situated at 3.5 which is confluent with
the 0.5 Fib retracement price value. As a penny stock, all can afford
stock or options. As to the options, the monthly in two days if only a prospect for those trading
options.in a day-trade or nearly day trade fashion, I will look at the February 16 expiring
options with a strike of $ 4.00 to $ 5.00 and take a bunch of them allowing for secondary
targets and taking partial profits.
ETH ANALYSIS🔮 #ETH Analysis 🚀🚀
💲💲 #ETH is trading in a Rising Broadening Wedge Pattern. #ETH has seen some fluctuations recently between $2,100 and $2,400, with a current price around $2,300🔍
While there was a 12% dip over the past week, remains cautiously optimistic about price going forward based on the potential for an Ethereum ETF.
💸Current Price -- $2300
📈Target Price -- $2900
⁉️ What to do?
- We have marked crucial levels in the chart . We can trade according to the chart and make some profits. 🚀💸
🏷Remember, the crypto market is dynamic in nature and changes rapidly, so always use stop loss and take proper knowledge before investments.
#ETH #Cryptocurrency #DYOR
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upUSD/JPY appears to encounter resistance around 148.80 over the last three days, with fading bets on a Fed rate cut. While bullish sentiments persist, the bulls take a breather, gearing up for potential momentum next week, pending the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) monetary policy hints.
On the USD front, resilience continues fueled by recovering US yields and positive University of Michigan (UoM) Consumer Sentiment data, providing the Greenback an additional boost. Eyes are on December's Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures, the Fed's preferred gauge of inflation, influencing market bets for upcoming decisions. Despite some easing in dovish expectations this week, the odds of cuts in March and May, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, remain at around 50% and 45%, respectively.
USDJPY Technical Analysis:
As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead.
Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together.
Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week!
#USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsGold's recovery near $2,030 persists as the US Dollar adopts a sideways trend. Despite a less convincing pullback in Gold, traders have tempered expectations for a Fed rate cut in March. While the precious metal has rebounded significantly amid escalating Middle East conflicts, the short-term outlook remains cautious due to limited upside potential, influenced by diminishing bets supporting an interest rate cut from the Federal Reserve (Fed.)
Uncertainty surrounds the US inflation outlook as price growth gradually recedes, counterbalanced by a robust economy fueled by strong household spending. This dynamic adds pressure to inflation and reinforces the likelihood of the Fed maintaining a restrictive monetary policy stance for an extended period.
The upcoming monetary policy meeting on January 31 is anticipated to see the Fed holding interest rates steady in the range of 5.25%-5.50%, marking the fourth consecutive time. Market attention will shift to the Fed's commentary on fitting the expected three interest rate cuts within the remaining seven policy meetings of 2024. Notably, Goolsbee highlights the necessity for further declines in housing inflation for a sustained reduction in price pressures, cautioning that inflation reversals could prompt rate hikes.
How will we navigate this market environment in the coming week?
XAUUSD Technical Overview:
In this video, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of the XAUUSD chart, utilizing both technical and fundamental perspectives. Our examination included an in-depth study of key levels, historical price movements, market behaviors, and the interplay between buyers and sellers, aiming to unveil potential trading opportunities.
Our focal point for the week is the $2,005 zone, endowed with historical significance, rendering it a pivotal level. The sustainability of bullish momentum above this zone could pave the way for continued buying pressure, potentially propelling prices to new highs. Conversely, a breach below the $2,005 level, coupled with persistent selling pressure, might signal a resurgence of bearish sentiment.
Immerse yourself in the latest dynamics of the Gold market! Stay well-informed to make strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Harmonics don't work...Here's how I find my set ups I thought I'd share with you guys the process I use to find my shark setups, this is a strategy I've back-tested and tested several times. I must say textbook harmonic talk poop, the values I use work but the set-up I see written for the shark uses different values. I noted this and thought about it for a minute - then I said so can I break the rules or amend it, because what I see is making sense but following the book is frustrating me lol...
I mean it got through to me through multiple accounts including personal and funded accounts - (side note I'm not rich) hopefully this helps to to understand how I spot moves.
As long as you journal then you have a chapter to start from and that 1!!!!!
SILVER Neckline BreakHi Traders!
SILVER has broken below the neckline break in its head-and-shoulders pattern, and there is a possibility for a continuation to the downside if the market continues to stay below the neckline.
Here are the details:
After the initial momentum break below the neckline, the market is now retesting the neckline as resistance, and the 20 EMA has lined up perfectly with it.
We are looking for the market to stay below both the neckline and 20 EMA and look for exit targets near the 21.90 level.
Preferred Direction: Sell
Technical Indicators: 20 EMA
Resistance: 23.650
Support: 22.681
Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps.
Trade safely and responsibly.
BluetonaFX
Alibaba - Buy The DipHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Alibaba.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Starting in 2016 Alibaba created a pretty obvious higher timeframe bullish reversal which was followed by a crazy bullrun on Alibaba stock. In 2021 Alibaba broke below a major bullish trendline and dropped more than -70%. If we see another bullish reversal at the $65 level and a break above the trendline mentioned in the analysis, I am looking for bullish trading setups.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsThe price of gold surged significantly on Friday, driven by a risk-averse sentiment stemming from escalating tensions in the Red Sea. The US and the UK responded to Houthi's attack on a US ship on Thursday, prompting a surge in gold purchases as the conflict in the Middle East intensified. Additionally, the yellow metal received a boost from the decline in US Treasury bond yields, fueled by growing speculation that the US Federal Reserve would embark on aggressive rate cuts as early as March.
Simultaneously, the latest US inflation report unveiled that producer prices, or the PPI, fell below expectations, with the monthly PPI dropping by -0.1%, contrary to the anticipated 0.1% increase.
As of now, the market sentiment remains inclined towards an upward trajectory, following a rebound from the weekly lows in price action.
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $2,035 zone will be our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then a continued buying pressure above this zone will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if price action drops below the $2,035 level and selling pressure persists below the zone, we could witness renewed selling pressure.
Dive into the latest Gold market dynamics! Stay informed for strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
Spot Bullish and Bearish Divergence PatternsHow to trade with Divergence? A condition where the price candles’ tops or bottoms point in a different direction from the corresponding tops or bottoms of the oscillator's signal line is called a divergence. Such divergence can be bullish or bearish.
In simple words, the price movement is opposite to the stochRSI,
Price lower lows, stochRSI higher lows = bullish divergence>go buy
Price higher highs, stochRSI lower highs = bearish divergence>go sell
XAUUSD | GOLDSPOT | New perspective | follow-up detailsHappy New Year Traders! Gold surged, reaching a daily peak above $2,060, propelled by a nearly 1% decline in the benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield on Friday. This movement was triggered by a mixed bag of macroeconomic data releases from the US, intensifying the rally for XAU/USD.
The safe-haven asset exhibited notable volatility following the release of the mixed US economic data, revealing a robust US labor market but a weaker service sector. As a response, markets swiftly recalibrated their dovish bets on the Federal Reserve (Fed), shifting to higher odds of an earlier initiation of the easing cycle.
In December, the US labor market delivered an impressive performance, highlighted by the Nonfarm Payrolls report, which surpassed expectations by adding 216,000 jobs. This figure not only exceeded the consensus prediction of 170,000 jobs but also marked a significant improvement from the previous month's addition of 173,000 jobs. Moreover, Average Hourly Earnings experienced a monthly increase of 0.4%, surpassing the forecasted 0.3%, and maintaining pace with the previous month. The Unemployment Rate for December remained stable at 3.7%, slightly lower than the anticipated 3.8%.
On the flip side, the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) Services PMI for December recorded a decline to 50.6, falling short of the market expectation of 52.6 and underperforming the previous figure of 52.7. This decline in the US Dollar potentially curtailed the downside for Gold for the remaining session.
As we look ahead to the upcoming week, what are our expectations?
XAUUSD Technical Analysis:
In this video, we dissected the XAUUSD chart from a technical standpoint, analyzed the key levels, analyzed historical price moves, market behaviors, and buyer-seller dynamics, and uncovered potential trading opportunities.
The $2,035 zone will be our center stage for this week. Its historical significance makes it a crucial point. If the bullish momentum is sustained then a continued buying pressure above this zone will serve as a platform for new highs. However, if price action drops below the $2,035 level and selling pressure persists below the zone, we could witness renewed selling pressure.
Dive into the latest Gold market dynamics! Stay informed for strategic investment decisions.
#GoldMarket #SafeHavenAssets 📺🔔💼
Disclaimer Notice:
Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy.
It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances.
Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it.
Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
How you can earn money from this ICT setup?Here you are, please read the summary about Oil price below~
📈 Oil prices surged in early trade on Thursday, extending the previous day’s sharp gains on concerns about Middle Eastern supply following disruptions at a field in Libya and heightened tension around the Israel-Gaza war.
🛢️ Brent crude rose 33 cents, or 0.42%, to $78.58 a barrel by 0101 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures rose 40 cents, or 0.55%, to $73.10.
📈 Both benchmarks rose by around 3% to settle higher for the first time in five days on Wednesday, with WTI seeing the biggest daily percentage gain since mid-November.
🚫 On Wednesday, local protests forced a full shutdown of production at Libya’s Sharara oilfield, which can produce up to 300,000 barrels per day. The field, one of Libya’s largest, has been a frequent target for local and broader political protests.
💥 Also on Wednesday, nearly 100 people were killed in blasts at an event to commemorate commander Qassem Soleimani who was killed by a U.S. drone in 2020. Iranian officials blamed unspecified “terrorists” and vowed revenge. However, no group has yet taken responsibility for the attack. The U.S. has seen no indication Israel was behind the blasts, White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said.
🔥 Swirling regional tensions from the ongoing Israel-Hamas war also continue to support oil prices.
🚀 On Tuesday, Hamas’ deputy leader was killed in a strike in Beirut - the first strike to hit the Lebanese capital in almost three months of near daily fire between the Israeli military and Iran-backed Hezbollah that had been confined to the border region.
🚢 Shipping concerns in the Red Sea also remained after Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis said on Wednesday they had “targeted” a container ship bound for Israel. U.S. Central Command said the militant group had fired two anti-ship ballistic missiles in the southern Red Sea the previous day.
Technical Analysis:
As we can see there are demand zone and FVG near $68 to $70 since the middle of 2023.
Here is a sharp rebounce (Pin bar) on the demand zone. A good ICT Long setup for both Swing and Intraday traders!
US100 16868.6 +0.4% IDEA AHEAD OF THE CPIGOOD DAY TRADER
Hope everyone is great a look at the NASDAQ, S&P 500 & US30 ahead of HIGH IMPACT NEWS TODAY.
* Its been a bullish week for all the above mentioned indices alike as we see a rejection on the weekly time-frame.
AS WE SCALE LOWER TO THE DAILY TIME-FRAME
* We swept those historic highs and rejected back into the range.
NASDAQ DAILY
* The NASDAQ tested the 50% FIB as we see a rally up
* Continuation is possible just as a possibility of sweeping the high.
S&P 500 DAILY
Same as NASDAQ we see the same setup on the US500
DOW JONES DAILY
* THE DOW is highly bullish this bring some interest Ahead of CPI.
* Traded Above the hostoric highs and kept there range bound for a some weeks.
* It will be interesting to see a push higher here but anticipating some reversals.
* With some projections there is still room above we see -2 projection and -4 projection yet to be tested.
A JUMP TO THE HOURLY TIME FRAMES
NASDAQ 1H T/F
* Beautiful bullish trend
* On high alert for signs of momentum shift but we remain strongly Bullish.
* We do see a cisd but this alone is not enough. awaiting more confirmations.
* THE SAME WITH THE S&P 500
US 30 1H
* Some bearish momentum coming into play.
* premature to decide ahead of high impact news but it would be great to see some reversal before continuation with the trend.
* LIKE I MENTIONED AWAITING TO SEE SOME SORT OF REVERSALS ON THE INDICES BUT IF CONTINUE BULLISH WE RIDE THE TREND
*** TRADING HIGH IMPACT NEWS IS HIGHLY RISK AS THE VOLITILITY IS CRAZY THIS IS NOT ADVISE TO EXCECUTE DURING THIS HIGH IMPACT NEWS***
HOPE YOU ENJOYED THIS OUT LOOK, SHARE YOURS BELOW🛑
lets see how it goes.
IF THIS IDEA ASSISTS IN ANY OR IF YOU LIKE THIS ONE
SMASH THAT LIKE BUTTON & LEAVE A COMMENT.
ALWAYS APPRECIATED
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* Kindly follow your entry rules on entries & stops. |* Some of The idea's may be predictive yet are not financial advice or signals. | *Trading plans can change at anytime reactive to the market. | * Many stars must align with the plan before executing the trade, kindly follow your rules & RISK MANAGEMENT.
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| * ENTRY & SL -KINDLY FOLLOW YOUR RULES | * RISK-MANAGEMENT | *PERIOD - I TAKE MY TRADES ON A INTRA DAY SESSIONS BASIS THIS IS NOT FINACIAL ADVICE TO EXCECUTE ❤
LOVELY TRADING WEEK TO YOU!