Fib Retracement From ScratchHello, traders!
As you can see, SkyRock traders always use Fib tools for our analysis and predictions. We find Fibonacci tools a great powerful series of instruments that’s necessary to use. Today we’ll speak about one of my favorite TA tools - Fib Retracement.
Fibonacci retracement levels are horizontal lines that indicate where support and resistance are likely to occur. They are based on Fibonacci numbers. Each level is associated with a percentage. The percentage is how much of a prior move the price has retraced. The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low. The indicator will then create the levels between those two points. Well, it seems to be not very important and attractive how to calculate Fib Retracement Levels. You should just know that they are based on something called the Golden Ratio. It’s believed that all natural laws are based on this ratio. However, the right usage of it is deadly important.
To initialize it, put the first point to the previous lower low and the second to the confirmed higher high during the up-trend and vice versa during the sown-trend.
What can it tell you?
Initially, support and resistance. It could hardly be possible to find the tool better for such purpose. Then, the levels of it is usually reached, thus it may produce some signals. Although it’s very powerful tool, it’s kinda ridiculous idea to use it marginally. Also, the areas of sideways is also defined by it, cause of high probability of consolidation in «Golden Pocket». And at last, it helps ms to define Gartley and Elliott patterns.
Well, guys, as you can see it’s really great and multifunctional instrument that can help every of you to trade and make money trading. Use it in the right way! Have a nice trading day, dear traders!
DISCLAMER: Information is provided only for educational purposes. Do your own study before taking any actions or decisions at the real market.
Retracement
Retracements and Expectations👨🏫 A students ask me to clarify a strategy I use when momentum trading using retracements in something I call the "Springboard Effect"
The theory is, the deeper the retracement after the initial impulse move the less chance of an extension or "strength" of the continuation.
I like to use the analogy of a Spring Board, (or diving board) and the stiffness of the board or the amount of "spring" it has 👇
🤔 Imagine we we have 4 different boards, all with a different amount of springs and we are going to drop the same amount of weight ⚖️ from the same height onto each board.
When we drop the weight onto the board that has lots of springs, it wont retract far before launching the weight high 🚀
If we drop the weight on a board that has a less springs it will retract further, but have less strength to launch the weight very high 🛫
If we drop the weight onto a board that has barely any springs then it will retract a lot and then struggle to even launch the weight higher than the height it was dropped from 😤
In this analogy.....
The height we dropped the weight from, is the top of the impulse move 📈
The different boards are the different fib retracement levels 🧮
The springs are the buyers at those levels 💵
How far it throws the weight is the strength or price action of the extension 💪
👉 A Bounce on the 382 tells us that there are plenty of buyers wanting to enter this market asap, this is a good sign that the extension could be strong. I like to target the 1.618 extension and or match it up to a level of resistance close by
👉 A bounce on the 50 tells me there is still a lot of bullish momentum but buyers where happy to buy it much lower, I'll still consider this bullish and target the 1.272 extension and match it up with some resistance close by or front run the level if I have to.
👉 A bounce on the 618 I dont really consider to be a strong move, I feel we will get a good bounce and may extend further, but I play close attention to the previous high incase we double top. I will look for things like candle stick reactions and use the CCI to spot divergence if momentum is lacking.
👉 A bounce on the 782 I consider a failure of the trend, I will expect buyers to still step in, but it will be a weak bounce and only really look to target other fib levels inside the retracement as potential resistance and this trade becomes more of a short term scalp.
I hope this makes sense and adds some value to your trading, peace ✌️
Rebound USOIL? 15.07.2021Crude oil price dropped heavily yesterday as the inventory reports came out. Quite the opposite of what should have happened because it shows that actual figure is way more negative than the one that was expected. Price fell from 75 to 71.5 USD/barrel in one day. This looks like an opportunity.
Expecting a retracement until the level 73 USD/barrel.
Good Morning 12.07.2021. GBPUSD Monday Retracement?The Fibo retracement levels show a possible profit of 15 pips until the 61.8% level.
Pros:
-Possible downward breakout after 1.3880. Range trading market on a slow day
Cos:
-Volatility issue since no significant news or reports are scheduled and is Monday.
Next stop at conservative level 1.3865
US100 going down for short/mid termgot a short position on Nasdaq with the stop loss already moved to BE
it is still a good idea to go short... I think
NQ Power Range Report with FIB Ext - 7/8/2021 SessionContract - CME_MINI:NQU2021
- PR High: 14814.75
- PR Low: 14804.50
Evening Stats
- Gap: = N/A
- Session Open ATR: 164.85
- Volume: 17k
- Open Int: 226k
- Trend Grade: Bullish
- From ATH: -0.5% (Rounded)
Key Levels (Rounded - Think of these as a range)
- Long: 15247
- Mid: 14676
- Short: 14104
Keep in mind this is not speculation or a prediction. Only a report of the Power Range with Fib extensions for target hunting. Do your DD! You determine your risk tolerance. You are fully capable of making your own decisions.
NVAX to attack down trend line again, Watch carefully !NVAX is going to attack the down trend line once more after a short recovery and regaining some energy. Who wins the battle? lets follow and see.
NVAX has reacted well to very strong support formed by 0.618 Retracement of last major rally and 0.786 projection of possible wave A of an ABC form of correction. This is shown on the chart.
It is worth to note that chart is in logarithmic scale.
I, myself think that NVAX is not able to break the line this time and it needs one more attack later. But who knows?
Please take into consideration that :
Market never follows our predictions , We are the one who should follow the market.
Good luck my friends
AMC, May fall to 35 USD. Be cautious !AMC is too risky to go long now. 0.786 Retracement of last drop proved itself as a strong resistance.
It may fall to 35 USD which is the golden ratio Retracement of last rally. please note that lower prices is also possible.
Stochastic indicator has made a bearish reversal while its near overbought zone in weekly.
I can strongly suggest that at least AMC is not offering an ideal setup to go long.
My Recommendation :
Do not go long at current prices unless you are a swing trader or you find any other strong reason.
Good luck everyone.
NAS100 Retracement Monday? 05.07.2021The index was performing well again last Friday 02.07.2021, more than 200 dollars upward move and now settled after hitting the resistance 14740.
>> Well, the Fibo retracement to 61% of the move might be actually possible.
>> Indicative Calcs: 1 index trading with TP 14673 generates approx 35 Eur, while the SL can be above the 100% fibo level.
BTCUSDT - Do you want me to for the dips?#BTCUSDT 31.05.2021 1W
Since April 14, when we closed the long position (63k USD), the BTCUSDT pair has suffered a -50% drop in 45 days. Although there are multiple reasons to technically understand the decline, it is also true that this is a young market and with certain participants that move huge volumes, called whales and krakens, which are unthinkable for a shrimp or plankton such as the ordinary citizen. When a wallet with a lot of bitcoins moves from cold addresses to an exchange, it is a sale alert that scares the market without even the sale itself having occurred. It is also healthy to remember that one of the essences of this market is high volatility and if you see difficulties as opportunities, it is something you can tolerate if you have always followed the advice not to invest beyond the money you can afford to lose.
China has never liked BTC and from time to time some related news appears that later remains as an anecdote. About Musk and his media show is just that, a show and has contributed to a greater interest of the #nocoiner public in the world of crypto assets so any mention is positive, they say that bad publicity does not exist.
Our forecast for the MA10 MA20 crossover was advanced a couple of weeks due to the price drop that has put MA10 on a tighter curve than expected. This supposes the exit of the bull market and the beginning of a crypto winter. Our RSI forecast has been correct as it is in the expected accumulation phase and a lateralization phase begins. The faces say it all.
Taking the cross as 1 and a retracement in #FIBO there is a high support at 0.786 that allows a time of accumulation and stabilization after the drop of -50%. At the end of this icy season, a second big fall comes that breaks the 0.618 and tests the 0.5, to then start a new spring. We do a close up on the forecast to clarify. Point E is an alternative in case of looking to test resistance to 1 in the 49k.
They always ask me at what price it is good to buy bitcoin, the answer is, learn to make your own decisions because every day is a good day to buy bitcoin (and ethereum).
to the 1.25 area as next target..then 1.26-1.28Expecting rise to 1.26-1.28
weekly; After supply has been in power for so long, demand started showing power ever since the week of the 24th May'21 and had kept increasing after that showing more presence, especially after it broke upside the 1.21 area.
On the daily
- From the 15 June to the to the 16th June price moved up to the 1.25 area on increasing considering demand. Then from the 21/06 to the 23/06 made a retracement to 1.22 and showed signs of supply weakening with some absorption of it for again after moving it to the 1.25.
Which long-term makes me bearish but on the short term expecting a re-touch back to 1.25 and 1.26-1.28 zone as next target at the break upside 1.25 on a SOS