Possible Wave Counts of RELIANCE : Near to Bottom ?Reliance Industries Technical Analysis based on Elliott Wave Counts (Possible)
Chart: The analysis is based on a 2-hourly timeframe chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE).
Elliott Wave Theory: The analysis utilizes Elliott Wave Theory, which suggests that market prices move in repetitive patterns called waves. These patterns consist of impulsive waves (numbered 1-5) that move in the direction of the main trend and corrective waves (labeled A-B-C) that move against the main trend.
Possible Wave Counts:
Overall Trend: The chart suggests a potential overall uptrend, with the analysis focusing on a smaller degree wave structure within this larger trend.
Impulsive Waves: The chart highlights several impulsive waves (1-5) of varying degrees, indicating periods of strong price movement in the direction of the trend.
Corrective Waves: The chart also identifies corrective waves (A-B-C), representing periods of price consolidation or retracement against the main trend.
Current Wave: The analysis suggests that the price is currently in a corrective wave (2), following an impulsive wave (1).
Potential Target: Based on the wave counts, there is a potential for further upward movement once the current corrective wave completes. However, specific price targets are not provided in this analysis.
Key Levels:
Invalidation Level: A key level to watch is the "Invalidation Level" marked on the chart. If the price breaks below this level, the current wave count may be invalidated, suggesting a different interpretation of the market structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
RELIANCE
RELIANCE : BET ON FNO AND SWINGTechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries on 1-Hour Chart
Overview of the Chart
The chart represents Reliance Industries on the 1-hour timeframe , highlighting key concepts such as CHoCH (Change of Character), demand zones, and the golden retracement zone.
Tools Used:
Price Action : Key highs/lows, retracement zones.
Demand Zones : Mitigated demand areas.
Golden Retracement Zone : Optimal entry for Wave B based on Fibonacci levels.
Swing Target : Projected target for Wave C.
Key Levels and Concepts Explained
Extended Retracement Zone (Deep Retracement): ₹1,261.20 – ₹1,252.70
This zone marks a potential support area for buyers after a correction in Wave A to B.
Buying Tip: Look for reversal signs in this zone.
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,252.70 to manage risk effectively.
Golden Retracement Zone (Wave B): ₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20
Located at the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, a high-probability area for a reversal upward.
Buying Strategy:
Enter within this zone if price shows bullish signs like engulfing patterns or pin bars.
Stop Loss: Just below ₹1,241.30.
Target: Swing high at ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 (Wave C).
CHoCH Zones:
Failed CHoCH: Price rejected near ₹1,273.75 and corrected lower.
Demand Zone: Strong demand needs to emerge at ₹1,261.20 for a reversal upward.
Tip: Look for bullish confirmation near demand zones or the golden retracement.
Swing Target Zone: ₹1,341 – ₹1,354
Represents the projected target for Wave C if the retracement zone holds.
Partial Profit Tip: Book profits near ₹1,341 – ₹1,354 and trail stops for further upside.
Stop Loss Strategy
Stop Loss on Failure: Below ₹1,241.30.
If price closes below this level, the bullish setup is invalid, and traders should exit to limit losses.
Buying Tips at Key Levels
Primary Buy Zone: ₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20 (Golden Retracement)
Look for bullish confirmation like pin bars, engulfing candles.
Stop Loss: Below ₹1,241.30.
Target: ₹1,341 – ₹1,354.
Aggressive Buy Option: ₹1,261.20
Scale into positions near mitigated demand with tight stop losses.
Key Observations
Wave Structure: Price is in Wave B (corrective phase), aiming for an upward Wave C.
Demand Zone: Buyer defense at the golden retracement confirms bullish outlook.
Risk Management: Always use stop losses to avoid significant drawdowns.
Summary of Key Levels
Key Levels Actions
₹1,241.30 – ₹1,261.20 Buy Zone (Golden Retracement)
Below ₹1,241.30 Stop Loss
₹1,341 – ₹1,354 Swing Target Zone
By following this plan, traders can align with price structure, optimize risk-to-reward, and trade effectively.
BUY RELIANCE ABOVE 1280Reliance formed a strong bullish candle near previous low and looks like a double bottom. Reliance looks a good buy if sustains above 1280 for the Targets of 1320, 1350 and 1400 until 1215 in intact on the downside.
To motivate us, Please like the idea If you agree with the analysis.
Happy Trading!
InvestPro India
Reliance - A Reversal from bottom? Reliance fell 2.95 % and made a bearish pattern on the weekly chart. Week’s OHLC were 1303, 1315, 1239 and 1272. On Friday, it rose sharply from week’s low to close near day’s high. I dived deeper into Reliance's whole week performance on multiple timeframes to see whether Friday's rise had any signs of bottom formation or reversal.
On Monday 9 December 2024, Reliance took rejection from 100 dema on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1315. It closed the day at 1295, down 1.25%. On Tuesday it fell another 0.80%. On Wednesday, it tried to go past the 100 dema, then placed at 1290, in the opening hour but did not succeed. Later in the day, it made another attempt but this time took a rejection from the moving average then placed at 1288. It closed the day at 1279 (-0.52%). On Thursday, it kept trading below the short term moving averages and fell 1.20% on the day. On Friday, after falling 1.22% in the opening hour, the stock made a doji in the second hour with the low at 1239. In the third hour it rose sharply. At 12:15 pm, the stock gave a breakout above the 100 dema on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1258. Later it took support from the moving average and closed at 1272, above the midpoint of the bollinger band on the 5 minutes chart placed at 1267. The 100 and 200 dema are now at 1264 and 1268 respectively and could act as support. The stock is a clear breakout on the 5 minutes chart.
On the 15 minutes chart, the 100 and 200 dema are placed at 1273 and 1283 respectively. So a breakout is pending on the 15 minutes chart.
I already described how the stock behaved on the hourly chart, where it made a doji at day’s low and rose sharply to close near day’s high. It is clearly visible on the hourly chart that the stock made a double top formation below the resistance of 1330 on 5 December 2024. It fell more than 6% from the top.
On the daily chart, the stock made a bullish candle and also a higher low. It is making a double bottom formation. It made a low of 1217 on 21 November 2024. Friday’s high and low were 1275 and 1239 respectively. It closed at 1272 with a gain of 0.79%. Once the stock closes above 1275, it will be a breakout on the daily chart. The resistance for the stock is placed at 1290/1315/1325/1370/1430. Whereas the stock should find support at 1260/1250. A close below 1250 could take the stock to 1200 levels.
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RELIANCEHi guys,
In this chart i Found a Demand Zone in RELIANCE CHART for Positional entry,
Observed these Levels based on price action and Demand & Supply.
*Don't Take any trades based on this Picture.
... because this chart is for educational purpose only not for Buy or Sell Recommendation..
Thank you
Daily Market UpdateFriday 13 December 2024
Gift Nifty was showing a 100 points gap down opening for the index. Nifty opened with 50 points gap down and fell 186 points (-0.76%) in the first hour. In the second hour, the index fell another -0.71% to 24180, the day’s low from where the recovery started. The second hour closed with a loss of 74 points (-0.30%) at 24278, just above the support of 24250. Then the market rallied in the third hour. It rose 281 points (1.16%) in the third hour and then continued to rise with every passing hour. Day’s high was 24792 and the index closed the day with a gain of 219 points (0.89%) at 24768. I mentioned in my report on 4 December 2024 that till 24100 is intact, this is a buy on dips market. Today was a confirmation of that.
All the sectoral indexes had a similar pattern on the hourly and daily charts.
Even Nifty Midcap 100 and Smallcap 100 had a similar pattern. For Midcap, I wrote yesterday that “It closed below the rising trendline from which it fell on 7 November 2024. After a one way upside move, there is a possibility for the index to retrace to 58000/57500 (-1.69%/-2.54%).” Midcap 100 bounced from the low of 58012, just above the first support of 58000. It closed the day flat.
For the Smallcap 100, yesterday I mentioned that “It is possible for the index to retrace to the level of 19000/18930 (-2.39%/-2.75%) before making a fresh upside move.” 19047 was the low for the day and it closed with a loss of -0.30%.
Biggest sectoral gainers for the day were FMCG 1.29%, Infra 1.19%, Private Bank 0.80%, IT 0.64%, Auto 0.48% and Energy 0.46%. Whereas the biggest losers were Metal -0.72%, Media -0.59%, Realty -0.44%, Pharma -0.32% and PSU Bank -0.18%.
Reliance was down -1.22% in the opening hour. In the second hour, it made a doji with the low at 1239. Then the stock rallied and closed at 1272, near day’s high, which was 1275. It gained 0.79% for the day and closed in green for the first time this week.
Reading the charts and Learning Techno-Funda Analysis. We will continue our weekly study of reading charts Today we will try to understand how to read the chart of Reliance Industries and learn how to make assumptions based on the same. First thing that one must understand that reading the charts is not a rocket science. One has to be creative, attentive and a sort of meditative while reading a chart. When you keep looking at it with focus and keep on asking the question and reasoning behind the moves you will definitely get your answers. Thus by asking the question to the chart and by observing the chart and searching fo the answers by noticing the patterns, historic layouts, supports, resistances and applying certain amount of basic maths and common sense one can come to know about the risk is to reward ratio in buying a stock or a derivative. Let us have a look at the Weekly chart of Reliance Industries. Remember we are not recommending this stock we are learning how to read the chart. The purpose of article was is purely Educational.
The First thing that I observe here is that trend line provided the stock is moving in a particular parallel channel. Many of the stocks do move in channels. Reliance hit the channel top at 1608 and has been correcting and searching for bottom ever since. The low that it made was 1217 where it found a support at a trend line. After that it again tried to move upwards but faced a resistance near 1316 and corrected again this week until it found a support on the same trend line today at 1239 and bounced again to close the day and week at 1272.85. Again the resistances for reliance will be near 1316, 1355 and then 1380. 1380 will be a difficult resistance to conquer as it is the 50 Weeks EMA or the Mother line of weekly chart. 1380 currently also happens to be the mid channel resistance. Making it again a difficult resistnace to conquer. Above 1380 Reliance becomes very strong and can go to 1442, 1530 and 1602. Channel top seems to be at 1770.
Supports for Reliance seems to be at 1241, 1218 and the zone between 1174 and 1181. This zone seems to be a very strong support as 1181 is 200 Weeks EMA and 1174 is the channel bottom support. So in all likely hood in case there is a closing below 1241 this is the zone where the stock can end up. MACD is in the negative zone but it is starting to turn towards positive zone. However there is still some distance to go before the moving averages converge and becomes positive. RSI of the stock 35.37 and looks bearish. RSI support zone can be the zone around 30.
Fundamentally Reliance as we all know is one of the premier Indian company with a market cap of Rs.1722468.1 Cr. Price to Earning ratio of the stock is 25.6 which can be considered moderate valuation. Negative aspects of Reliance are that promoter holding of the stock decreased slightly by 0.1%. Net cash flow is again a slight issue currently alsong with fall in QonQ revenue. Positive aspects of the company are that Net profit has grown along with profit margins QonQ. Reliance is a company with low debt. Reliance has Zero promoter pledge. MFs have increased their shareholding in last quarter. Why I mentioned the fundamentals of the stock here is because when you buy a stock you need to look at the Fundamentals of the stocks along with Technical analysis. That is Techno-Funda analysis of a stock in true sense.
I sincerely hope that this write-up will help you in reading the charts, understanding the importance of charts and understanding fundamentals of the company. These aspects are necessary for you to becoming a better investor. For more such snippets of knowledge please keep reading my Smart Investment, Smart Bonanza and Smart Plus articles. I also have a youtube channel by the name of Happy Candles Investment. You can also find me on X by the handle @candles_happy. For in-depth understanding of Techno-Funda investing you can read my book which is The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. This book is available on Amazon in paperback and Kindle version. The book contains valuable tips for you to maximise your profits from stock market and wealth creation. It also explains my much coveted Mother, Father and Small Child Theory.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Reliance Down but seems not out. Reliance is one of India's premier companies with a market cap currently at Rs.1710830.2 Crores. After the stock split the stock lost momentum and had been falling drastically. Right now it is belo Mother and Father line on daily charts. With profitability and EPS set to increase from 2025 onwards as per the last Speech of Mr.Mukesh Ambani Reliance still can to be ruled out as a long term pick and a portfolio stock.
Technically the stock is weak but as it is a Long term investment idea and Portfolio stock the levels at which it is trading are looking mouth-watering. Tracking quantity entry or X/3 entry levels are mentioned below for the stock.
There is a news today of Reliance entering a long term contract with Russia worth 13B a year at current prices. Along with this news Reliance is trading at a price of 1263. The near by support zones are at 1241 and 1218. Long term support is near the zone of 1150 to 1043. X/3 entry for educational purpose of tracking quantity of Reliance can be taken at current levels or if it falls further to 1241 or 1218 levels and bounces from there. (Entry on bounce not while it is falling). The second entry can be taken on bounce after closing above 1328. Final entry after closing above 1387 levels. Long term targets for Reliance will be 1442, 1530 and 1600+ levels. Stop loss can be maintained at a monthly closing below 1043 (It is very unlikely if it goes there).
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
The Next Chapter for Reliance...?Reliance has demonstrated a significant shift in its price action by breaking out of the prevailing downtrend. This is an important indicator as it suggests potential momentum for upward movement. Following this breakout, the stock has successfully retested the downtrend line, confirming its strength and validity.
Currently, it is trading within a critical support range between 1280 to 1290 rupees. This level has historically provided a foundation for price stability, indicating that there is buying interest around this area.
There are three compelling reasons to consider entering a long position at this juncture:
1. **Break of the Trendline**: The breach of the downtrend signifies a potential change in market sentiment, which can often lead to further gains.
2. **Successful Retest**: The fact that Reliance has tested the broken trendline and held suggests that the previous resistance is now acting as support, which increases the likelihood of upward movement.
3. **Maintaining Support Levels**: The stock's ability to stay above the significant support range of 1280 to 1290 rupees indicates strong buying pressure. It reflects investor confidence and may serve as a psychological barrier against further declines.
Given these factors, now may be an opportune moment to consider a long position in Reliance.
Reliance near major support zone. Reliance is a large cap company with a market cap of Rs.17,15,224 Crores. CMP of the stock is Rs.1268 with and EPS of Rs.50.2. PE of the company is 25.2. Ten year PE is 21.2. PE in July was 30.9 which has corrected to 25.2 now.
Reliance Industries is a fundamentally strong stock. The company covers following sectors.
1) Energy
a) Oil and Gas Exploration & Production
b) Refining & Marketing
c) New Energy & New Materials (Production of Green energy
2) Petrochemicals
a) Textiles
b) Polymers
c) Polyesters
d) Fibre Intermediates
e) Aromatics
f) Elastomers
g) Reliance Composites Solutions
3) Retail
a) JioMart
b) Smart Bazaar,
c) Reliance Digital
d) Just Dial
4) Jio
a) Digital Services
b) Telecom
5) Media and Entertainment
a) Jio Cinema
b) via com18
c) Network 18
d) Jio Studios
Thus Reliance is a company with vivid portals of revenue generation and investing in one company called Reliance empowers you into investment in spectrum of companies with multiple revenue sources. Investing in Reliance is like investing in Mutual fund.
The Weekly Chart (which we use for gaining long term perspective of a company) of Reliance indicates it is near a support zone. Immediate support being at 1254. 200 Weeks EMA of the stock or the Father line support is at 1176. This indicates that the stock might be near the bottom if it has not formed the bottom already. On the upper side when Reliance starts to move upwards the resistances will be at 1331 and 1396. 1396 being major Mother line resistance of 50 Weeks EMA. Above 1396 weekly closing Reliance will be very bullish again and can regain the levels of 1532 and 1600+ levels in 6 to 12 month. Channel top seems to be in the range of 1753 to 1980 range depending on the future results and future performances of various revenue streams. Bollinger band suggests a bounce in short to medium term in the stock. Looking at the index and weightage of Reliance in the index it will be imperative for Reliance to bounce for index to bounce in a most probable scenario. The waiting period can be 6 to 12 months as the stock is not very strong on technicals. however it is not below 200 Weeks EMA either.
Overall Reliance is a large cap stock that has created immense wealth over the years and I do not see any reason currently why it can continue to perform and create wealth for years to come. Outlook for the company in the year 2025 specially 3rd Quarter onwards looks very upbeat once the Green Energy production and revenue strats to trickle in. There is also a possibility of listing of JIO Digital and Telecom as a separate company in they year 2025. Listing of Reliance Retail as a company will be next. (Post Jio telecom listing). The potential of value unlocking in the stock remains immense in our opinion.
To know more about Techno-Funda investing, Mother Father and small child theory, Parallel channel you can read my book The Happy Candles way to Wealth creation available on Amazon in paperback or Kindle version. My book is now also available on Google Play books. Do read it. Have a look at the reviews which say that the book is a masterpiece and can be considered as a hand book for investing in equities.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. There is also chance of bias in our opinion. I, my family or my clients may have a long position in the stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Reliance has formed H&S & seem to be in process of making a top!NSE:RELIANCE seem to have formed H&S formation. Structure is tilted on the left and has formed over a long period (~10 months). Finally the structure seem to have completed though the price is still trying to bounce from the neckline. Today we have an evening star kind of formation which might push the price towards neckline in a breakdown attempt this week.
I can see similar formation across charts and when you see such formations in multiple charts, it typically suggests a top formation is occurring. It has been a slow process and might take some more time before these H&S start materializing so some amount of patience is needed. I guess we are close to making a near term top in Indian markets.
Reliance BuyBuy Reliance and hold it till March 2025. These 4-5 months return in Reliance will be equal to or more than the returns of average mutual fund returns. It is the best period to buy the company as it is almost 17% down from its lifetime high.
Please do your own analysis before investing.
Hope you learned something new from my ideas.
Do like, share and follow me. thank you!
Elliott Wave Outlook for RELIANCETechnical Analysis of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) based on Elliott Waves
This analysis is based on Elliott Wave Theory and is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Investing involves risk, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Elliott Wave Analysis
The provided chart of Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) outlines a potential Elliott Wave pattern within a 1-hour timeframe. Elliott Wave Theory suggests that financial markets move in predictable and repeatedly patterns based on investor psychology.
Key Observations:
1. Impulse Wave: The primary uptrend appears to be an impulse wave, a five-wave structure.
Wave 1: The initial uptrend from the low point.
Wave 2: A minor correction or pullback.
Wave 3: A strong extension of the uptrend.
Wave 4: A smaller correction.
Wave 5: The final wave of the impulse, often ending with a climactic price movement.
2. Corrective Wave: The current downward movement was a zigzag corrective pattern.
Wave A: The initial decline.
Wave B: A minor retracement.
Wave C: The expected continuation of the downward trend.
Potential Scenario:
If the current corrective pattern zigzag finishes here or near, then further wave ((3)) is to start post completion of wave (C) of ((2)), and it would not go sudden upside, because any impulse wave unfolds in five subdivisions, so wave (1) of wave ((3)) can start any time post completion of wave (C) of wave ((2)).
Note: This analysis is based on a specific interpretation of the Elliott Wave pattern. Other analysts might have different interpretations. It's crucial to use multiple tools and indicators to confirm your analysis.
Additional Considerations:
Fundamental Analysis: Consider factors like company earnings, industry trends, and economic indicators to support your technical analysis.
Risk Management: Always use stop-loss orders to limit your potential losses.
Diversification: Don't put all your eggs in one basket. Diversify your investments across different assets.
Remember: Elliott Wave analysis is a complex tool that requires practice and experience. It's essential to approach it with caution and always consider the potential risks involved in trading.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Reliance breaks the trend line and mid channel support. Reliance breaks the trend line and mid channel support after below par support. Only saving grace can be that it is entering the oversold zone and another major support territory. The major support territory for Reliance is 2561 and 2657. We can expect a reversal from this zone. The stock can be added post bounce and further compounded after it crosses the mother and father line. After bottom formation takes place. Which has not taken place as of now.
The stock can be bought/added/averaged in X/4 quantity. Remaining 3 X/4 entries will be above Mother line 50 days EMA, above Father line that is 200 days EMA and finally after closing above 3007. As it is a long term investment Idea and Portfolio stock, Part of my personal portfolio too I would rather not keep a stop loss here. If a trader and investor wants to keep a stop loss he / she can do it after monthly closing below 2250 zone.
One or 2 quarters poor / below market expectation result should not deter an investor in holding on to GEMs. Jio Platforms Q2 profit rises 23.4% to Rs 6,539 crore; ARPU for JIO is at Rs 195.1. Green Energy Segment may start performing for Reliance from 2025. Long term outlook for the stock still remains positive.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. I an my clients have long positions in this stock. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Reliance Looking Good...Buy REL at current level and all dips
Target1 - 3000
Target2 - 3200
Target3 - 3627 (if close above 3210)
Disclaimer :-
I am not SEBI registered. The information provided here is for education purposes only.
I will not be responsible for any of your profit/loss with this channel suggestions.
Consult your financial advisor before taking any decisions
Reliance Intraday Levels : 20-Sep-24Reliance closed nr resistance and respect Trendline(both) .
Breakout of resistance & Trendline(White) can expect upside or Breakout of Trendline(Blue) & rejection from resistance can drag price downside.
Bullish> 2945
Bearish < 2935
Use SL trailing method to secure profit.