100 YEARS OF GLOBAL CRISES, PANDEMIA, RECESSION and DEPRESSIONHere is the modern 100 years history of Human Being. Starting from WW1-Depression-WW2-ColdWar-DotComBubble-FinancialCrisis-COVID
Will the history repeats again with Crash and Recovery?
On chart I pointed with 1&2 phases of history is from 1915 to 2001 and from 2001 to current.
Chart as image:
1. The Great Depression, World War II, Cold War, Dot Com Bubble
The Great Depression began in the United States after a significant drop in stock prices, which began around September 4, 1929, and became world news after the stock market crash on October 29, 1929 (known as Black Tuesday). Between 1929 and 1932, global gross domestic product (GDP) declined by about 15%. In comparison, global GDP fell by less than 1% from 2008 to 2009 during the Financial Crisis. Some economies began to recover by the mid-30s. However, in many countries, the negative effects of the Great Depression continued until the outbreak of World War II.
The Great Depression had devastating consequences in both rich and poor countries. Personal income, tax revenue, profits and prices fell, and international trade fell by more than 50%. Unemployment in the United States rose to 23%, and in some countries rose to 33%.
Cities around the world have been hit hard, especially those that depend on heavy industry. Construction was virtually halted in many countries. Agricultural communities and rural areas suffered as crop prices fell by about 60%. Faced with a sharp drop in demand with several alternative sources of jobs, the most affected areas are those dependent on primary sector industries such as mining and logging.
What stocks survived the Great Depression?
Electric Boat Company gained +55,000% from 1932 to 1954, topping this interesting list of the top-10 performing Great Depression Stocks.
Electric Boat (Defense; +55,000% Return) ...
Truax Traer Coal (Coal; +30,503%) ...
Spicer Manufacturing (Auto; +26,221%) ...
Zenith Radio (Radios, Televisions; +24,146%)
World War II , also called Second World War, conflict that involved virtually every part of the world during the years 1939–45. The principal belligerents were the Axis powers—Germany, Italy, and Japan—and the Allies—France, Great Britain, the United States, the Soviet Union, and, to a lesser extent, China. The war was in many respects a continuation, after an uneasy 20-year hiatus, of the disputes left unsettled by World War I. The 40,000,000–50,000,000 deaths incurred in World War II make it the bloodiest conflict, as well as the largest war, in history.
Cold War , the open yet restricted rivalry that developed after World War II between the United States and the Soviet Union and their respective allies. The Cold War was waged on political, economic, and propaganda fronts and had only limited recourse to weapons.
The result in 1989 was a wave of revolutions that (with the exception of Romania) peacefully overthrew all of the communist governments of Central and Eastern Europe. The Communist Party of the Soviet Union itself lost control in the Soviet Union and was banned following an abortive coup attempt in August 1991.
The dot-com bubble (also known as the dot-com boom, the tech bubble, and the Internet bubble) was a stock market bubble caused by excessive speculation in Internet-related companies in the late 1990s, a period of massive growth in the use and adoption of the Internet.
There are various ways to measure the amount of wealth that was annihilated when the bubble burst. As early as November 2000, CNNFN pegged the losses at $1.7 trillion
What companies survived the dot com bubble?
Here are some companies which survived the dot-com bubble.
Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) +45000% Return since 2001
eBay (NASDAQ: EBAY) +1700% return
Apple (NASDAQ: APPL) +36000% return
2. The Financial Crisis of 2007–08, COVID-19 recession, the Great Shutdown
Financial crisis of 2007–08 , also called subprime mortgage crisis, severe contraction of liquidity in global financial markets that originated in the United States as a result of the collapse of the U.S. housing market. It threatened to destroy the international financial system; caused the failure (or near-failure) of several major investment and commercial banks, mortgage lenders, insurance companies, and savings and loan associations; and precipitated the Great Recession (2007–09), the worst economic downturn since the Great Depression (1929–c. 1939).
The U.S. government then came out with National Economic Stabilization Act of 2008, which created a corpus of $700 billion to purchase distressed assets, especially mortgage-backed securities. Different governments came out with their versions of bailout packages, government guarantees and outright nationalization.
The financial crisis of 2007-08 has taught us that the confidence of the financial market, once shattered, can't be quickly restored. In an interconnected world, a seeming liquidity crisis can very quickly turn into a solvency crisis for financial institutions, a balance of payment crisis for sovereign countries and a full-blown crisis of confidence for the entire world. But the silver lining is that, after every crisis in the past, markets have come out strong to forge new beginnings with some kind of turnaround. A small selection of investors even profited from the crisis.
The coronavirus recession, also known as the COVID-19 recession, the Great Shutdown, or the Great Lockdown , is a major global recession which arose as an economic consequence of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. The first major sign of the coronavirus recession was the 2020 stock market crash on 20 February, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) reported on 14 April that all of the G7 nations had already entered or were entering into a "deep recession" and that there had already been a significant slowdown of growth in emerging economies. IMF projections suggest that the coronavirus recession will be the most severe global economic downturn since the Great Depression, and that it will be "far worse" than the Great Recession of 2009.
The pandemic has led to more than a third of the world's population being placed on lockdown to stop the spread of COVID-19. It has caused severe repercussions for economies across the world, following soon after a global economic slowdown during 2019 that saw stagnation of stock markets and consumer activity worldwide.
This recession has seen unusually high and rapid increases in unemployment in many countries, and the inability in the United States for state-funded unemployment insurance computer systems and processes to keep up with applications. The United Nations (UN) predicted in April 2020 that global unemployment will wipe out 6.7 per cent of working hours globally in the second quarter of 2020—equivalent to 195 million full-time workers. In western nations, unemployment is expected to be at around 10%, with more severely affected nations from the COVID-19 pandemic having higher unemployment rates. The developing world is also being affected by a drop in remittances.
The recession saw a drop in the price of oil triggered by the 2020 Russia–Saudi Arabia oil price war, the collapse of tourism, the hospitality industry, the energy industry and a significant downturn in consumer activity in comparison to the previous decade. Global stock markets crashed around 20 to 30% during late February and March 2020, respectively. During the crash, global stock markets made unprecedented and volatile swings, mainly due to extreme uncertainty in the markets.
👉 So many people claiming for next crisis/recession and global shit to happen, but:
👉 General question, are you really want this to happen?
Stay profitable
this is Artem Crypto
Recession
Bold US30 predictionCourtesy for this opportunity goes to @FOXofLA and I immediately noticed the agreement with my US30 intermarket correlation chart.
The market is still very undecided and causing sideways movement most of the time with sudden strong momentum when one of the leading competing parties is not paying attention. It is therefore also. and including worldwide CB stimulus, that bullish sentiment still exist and imho capable of reaching 30k.
I wouldn't even be surprised if for a moment it looks like it is breaking through the trendline as well. Somewhere June/July or maybe August the awareness of worldwide failed monetair policies kicks off capitulation of world's most popular stock market.
Big Short II?
Historical Analysis of bearish market durationBased on the historical data, it looks bearish market stays for a minimum of 12 months during recession. And we are just 6 months in to the bear market since Jan'20, i expect it may extend till this December or Jan'21. Also during 2008 the bear market fell around 60% from its peak, ie., 6100 to 2500. If we assume the market dip 60% this time from its peak 12200 then the bottom might be somewhere around 6000. Its just market analysis based historical data , there are many factors that can change the trend of the market. So don't follow this chart for your trade.
JPN 225 or Nikkei 225 shortWe have an indice analysis to share - as the Japanese stock market could be seeing a big move to the downside in terms of Drop base drop formation, where we have an impulse - corrective pattern and forming a base in the supply and then selling off.
We will look to add this to our portfolio and not the CFDs as the spread is high for many traders even with small spread accounts.
But you can look for ETFs short leveraged positions. Choice is down to the individual.
We have a target area we would like to sell from, however we will look for sells within the two red blocks of orders.
the R:R is just to show possible risk rewards possible to targets.
Thanks
Lupa
An Obvious Investment. Profits 100%+.Everyday you hear of recession and taking a quick look at gold stocks, they seem to be the safe haven and profit maker during financial uncertainty. Take a quick look at New Gold during the recession years of 2009-12. Gold stocks rose with the price of gold and this stock under $1 is an absolute must buy.
NGD is in line with its historic lows of 2008 and has only up to go from here. A slowdown is happening, recession is inevitable. Some say that Bitcoin is the answer, but, large investors and institutions will direct their funds from Bitcoin to gold , gold stocks, and precious metal mining stocks. The price of Bitcoin would drop during a recession as investors will seek safe havens. Bitcoin does not have the stability to be considered a safe haven as it can drop 20-40% in a single day. You can rest at night knowing that gold at most falls $40-50 a day, but averages $5-10 swings per day. That is true monetary stability.
- Buy In : $0.90-0.99
- Short Term Target : $1.30 or 30%
- Long Term Target : $7.00 - $10.00 or 600-900%.
The signs are everywhere, the numbers prove it. Most of Europe is in recession. Import/Exports are down. China's GDP is the lowest in 25-years. Brick and Mortar stores are closing faster than ever. Massive restructurings = massive layoffs. This is sounds like 2008 all over again. Be prepared, invest smart.
US Pushing Previous High/Safety Point Whilst Inner World CrumbleUS markets recovering from Q1 downfall. Markets must have attached themselves to the Falcon 9 and being dragged up to the International Space Station it seems considering what’s transpiring below it… (numbers V reality) Both markets flowing up the inner upward channel. The below remains the same but obviously with each positive day the market assumes a point of being stronger to tell a certain narrative. But we all know the saying ‘The bigger they are, the harder they fall’
VERY BEARISH if the following transpires before breaking the above safety points:
S&P: If P action closes below the orange line at 2723.3 attention will turn more bearish and watch for market to fall to 2460.2. In this instance will reassess market dynamics as it may bounce in this range or continue to fall
Dow: The same flows for Dow Jones with P action closes below the orange line at 22931.5 attention will turn more bearish and watch for market to fall to 20842.4. In this instance will reassess market dynamics as it may bounce in this range or continue to fall.
If a rise to Safety Zone seems the world is running ‘normal economics’ again.