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Recession

Potential U.S. Recession Incoming? | MASSIVE AUDUSD SELL!?Could it be possible that if the U.S. isn't able to raise the "Debt Ceiling" and potentially enters into a Recession because it defaults on its debt, AUD/USD would drop dramatically? Keep your eyes open for this Thursday and weeks to come! Ex: The 2008 Financial Crisis What do you think? Let me know in the comments! :) Disclaimer: I am NOT a financial advisor, so invest at your own risk. Be sure to analyze, research, and proper risk management!
Short
by alphalicious
2
$SPY ~ Why A Crash Won't Surprise MeFirstly: This is not a prediction. I just say what I see. And what I see is, a tentative market top that looks different than all the previous "tops" this year, including the 2020 crash. I will put "top" in quotes because of course, I cannot be sure that is indeed a top until after the fact; obviously. What's different about this "top"? My labelled chart tells all, but in summary: There are very few or very small gaps. A clear gap almost always represents a "shock" in the system. A fall with virtually no gaps, in my view, means a structured, calm, almost rational fall. There is a cluster of red candles meaning this indeed "methodical" selling, also relating to the fact that there are no big gaps Take a look at the 2020 crash, and all mini tops this year (2021). You'll see nothing but choppiness and gaps. Panicking, in other words. Take a look at the 2008 crash: As you can see, virtually no gaps near the top. A structured, "rational" fall, later ending up in a recession. I'm not saying a crash will happen, obviously. But I would not be surprised, and I just say what I see. And what I see is, a "top" that looks different from everything recently before it. Side Note: It also looks the "Smart Money Index" has been on a consistent downtrend since 2018. I don't think this is my strongest point, so I left as a mere side note. Make of it what you will.
AMEX:SPY
by realcapmillen
2
Oil is about to crash. Divergence. Inflation near its end.Oil is its last stand. Dollar is on its rescue from devaluation the currency. No hyperinflation is modern time. FED bank have printed and push not just oil to record levels from minus prices. Lumber to stellar levels with copper. Commodity sector is very overpriced over all because of the inflation thats been going on since 2017 and zero rate for 10 years. We are in Inflation to Deflation status for now. next move is to resurrect the dollar is to midpoint and probably highs again like in 2020 like 97-105 dollars. With that in mind, everything is going down with the next move. Dollar and VIX and bonds will go up when investors and bankster will go into cash and more secure products. 35 dollar in WTI is most likley in the near future. prev: There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks. In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook , Amazon, Google , Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits. Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows. Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
TVC:USOILShort
by PivotX
The target no one believes. NASDAQ There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks. In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook , Amazon, Google , Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits. Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows. Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by PivotX
Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. The Banksters.Corona the Pandemic, The Recession of 2021. There too many factor playing out and 2021 the Q3-4. Printing more and more money to stabilize market. Wont last. Too much devaluation of dollar would risk more to the ecnonomy. Money would become worthless and it will never be a hyperinflation again. Dollar is already hovering around lows but still building upwards. As we seen in 2020 the dollar spike hard at crash of all the bond buying and selling of stocks. In the greatest Pandamic of all time is the best year for big companies and worst for smaller ones. I proves big things are gonna come very soon. If you look at all the insider trasaction of 2021 you can see Walmart, Facebook, Amazon, Google, Netflix and many more of the biggest shareholders selling of big profits. Some every day and some every week. Tells they have fear and retail person have no clue. Time to call this move. The banksters did a massive move from highs with above 20% move to the upside to liquidate retails marginal calls. Prices of Lumber sored most in history and crash this summer to its lows again. We had minus price in WTI and almost 80 in WTI after its lows. Big things is going down and it will get a lost worse. Unemployment is still at its highs, what will happend when savings account and stockmarket will fail. 10x the 2008 is coming. By just looking at the FED system and the debt. We know. By looking at insider trasaction. We know. By looking at technicals are all levels we are going to have a big Deflation/Recession to stabilize the currency of domination and reset the economy to whats needed. Exit the market or do you placements. But dont get greedy for more upside. (To be clear, recession has not begun. -35.87% drop is not a recession. its above 50% to be a recession counted as one. we did a too rapid drop and too rapid recover for sustainability. Index have done around 1450-1500 point move every sustainable move. now we have done 2280 points in a year in one go. We had Disjunction Pattern in 2017-2021. We are about the get the worst crash in history. Biggest companies in the world are selling of massive share. So many things proves this is one of the biggest bubble every created. Printing money cant sustain. It devalues the dollar. Dollar is on is recover.)
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by PivotX
Working with anglesWorking with angles is something I see myself doing more often lately, meaning they have proven some reliability to me over time. When exactly is still quite intuitive and this publication is also an idea to further explore by other traders and so develop a competitive edge, and therefore should remain secret how to apply in further detail. Here I look at Swiss company Nestle which always has been a high performer, at least since last recession. It price made a double bottom over the course of 2006-2009 with a top in December 2007. From that 2009 onwards it delivers a good opportunity for bullish investors. When I see it touching an imaginary trendline I draw a line using the "Trend Angle" drawing tool. Often I discover that certain angles persist although with an offset up or down in price. Here I have drawn a 23 and 22 degree trendline with almost 10 years between them. Long persistent trend angles objectively tell me something about strength and trend line reliability. For example, it would add weight to my decision for going short or long at this point in time. Not saying I would go short here. This is where you can add your variables to make your own decision as a trader.
SIX:NESN
by Deep-Peat-Shark
TLT Breaks Out of Descending Wedge to seek new All-Time Highs?Using the same fractal analysis method I used to forecast the BTC dump & dead-cat bounce, I began watching US Treasuries as TLT was set to break out of a descending wedge. Now that it is has, I'm publishing the idea for others to weigh in on. If the pattern plays out we could see new all time highs; which suggests we could be entering another period of recession much like the financial crisis of '08. I do not currently have a position & this is not financial advice. Just sharing observations as they occur. If you wanted to play the pattern, TMF(long) & TMV(short) are leveraged ETFs you can use.
NASDAQ:TLTLong
by jsgiardino
1
The global market crash of 2020 and the invisible recessionThe global market crash of 2020 and the invisible recession: Laying over a select number of my tweets from 2019 and 2020 with calls for the a 40% correction, the start of the recession, and tentative dates for the global market crash. I was off by a few days, but it's hard to predict the future. Obviously, right? Also, I had my confirming signal exactly two years ago in July 2019 which is why I am sharing this now. 2 years since from confirmation. I used various dark patterns, analyses, and techniques which gave me then the confidence that there was a black swan underway.
TVC:SPX
by mgogel
Massive Correction coming in the financial markets!!DXY SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY SMP Strategy Market Direction: Long Position Chart time frame - MONTHLY Timeframe - 4-5 Months You will see a very strong USD move to the north which will drive down commodity levels, Metals and the crypto market. This may last for 4-5 months so hold on!! Plenty of opportunities in the second half of the year! A – Activating Event Market will meet support in zone @ current levels - ... . In order to enter into this trade, the pair MUST be in line with my Entry Procedure.... B – Beliefs Market will move towards the first Target 1 level @ 110.00 C - Fundamentals that may affect the pair N/A D - Trade Management Entered @ 92.8 Stop Loss @ ..... Trailing Stop Loss@..... Target 1 @ 110.00 Target 2 @ .... Risk/Reward @ 1.4 Happy trading :) Follow your Trading plan, Remain disciplined and Keep learning !! Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow :) This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
TVC:DXYLong
by SMPTrader
Lumber bubble pops - what does it mean?Some may not be aware of the importance of lumber price movements. Basically lumber rocketed like nobody's business, then crashed (>50% correction) pretty quickly. This post is not an analysis of why lumber prices rose so crazily. Viewers will need to do some background reading. The collapse was the worst seen since 1978 . That's something to chew on. In essence it was a bubble that popped. It was about demand going wild for all sorts of reasons, with no true underlying 'value'. That phenomenon has been seen repeatedly across all asset classes. It happens when something is fundamentally wrong with market booms. Those who would purchase lumber wised up; the market became saturated in extreme overbought territory, and those who would have been using lumber (for house-building etc) basically switched from 'commodity' purchases to 'services'. That's the broad brush and I can't give chapter and verse here. People went on holidays! I didn't say 'everybody'. Yes - read about it. They decided, ' Now is not a good time - I'll do some travelling and living instead '. Funny but true. But what's underlying the lumber bubble pop, is that the Housing market has suffered a similar pop. Ahhhh.. some will disagree with me because they're not seeing much about that in the news. Well BigMedia news is usually 3 to 6 months late! And of course, people believe more than 50% of what they read in the #LameStreamMedia news - but will never admit that. I'm not about to deviate onto the metrics for the Housing Bubble pop here. Serious traders and investors can find that on the net from reputable channels on popular non-conventional streaming channels. But don't expect the whole picture to be found in one place. The lumber pop, in conjunction with the housing pop - is basically bad news for loads of commodity sectors. If you don't believe me go back to 2007-2009. This is literally where the 'house of cards' (pun intended) collapsed. History repeats itself because human nature doesn't change much. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities on live accounts. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
L
by Captain_Walker
2
The target no one believes. (Recession)The target no one believes. (Recession) -Dollar at massive support. Deflation = recession -Oil at big ressistence. -Banks cant keep risking printing money anymore, would risk hyperinflation -Double tops with massive algo trasaction growing with big insider selling high staks. -Summer is the slowest part of the investing period -Momentum totaly useless -Vix at history lows and making support. -EURUSD and GBPUSD at massive resistence. Currencies getting too expensive. -Gasoline prices too high to sustain profits in airline indutries. -Unemployment still too high. -More small companies are suffering, big index stocks overvalued.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by PivotX
2
Major Market Correction/Crash Imminent(Not financial Advice) They say History repeats itself, but history rhymes throughout the times. Last week NASDAQ seemed to perform relatively well in relation to the DOW JONES (DJI,US30). However there are signals of a correction or a potential crash. FUNDAMENTALS - Drastic increase of inflation , the highest since 2008 before the collapse. When the cost of goods/services rise, people will not have the money to invest. -INSIDER TRADING, Directors, CEO's, Upper Level Management across the board have been selling their shares From Amazon, Google, Microsoft, Walmart, Apple ect. - Gold/Lumber Ratio has declined. When the prices of lumber rise it usually signals people moving into more risk-on assets. But as Lumber prices have started to significantly decline it may signal the start of a potential downturn if Gold rallies higher. -PE Ratios and other valuation methods are similar to levels of Dot Com. TECHNICALS DOW JONES and other Major Indices crossing over on the Weekly MACD DOW JONES Dow theory can come into fruition US 10 Year Treasury Bond 4hr MACD cross over The Majority of the people in the markets do not make money over a long period of time. Where the masses come at the top of a market. The majority/masses also do not understand "what is money?" and what is true genuine value. Where when the market crashes a lot will sell at a loss forcing prices to drive lower.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by ITSLITPHAM
2
Are we entering recession phase now? Nasdaq is looking similar to other major indexes around the world and that is exhausted, the #crypto rally is also looking tired now. Maybe this is the time the bull run finally comes to the end. Nasdaq made ATH near 14k just few weeks back, but that was an failed rally to get back in the ascending channel. If we were to continue this bull run it shall get back up and above 15k this time otherwise we will see it continue declining to near 12k as first stop and then after some battle maybe near 10k. 10k comes with a very strong support so we likely wont give up easy but remember that 20% off from ATH will be around 11500 so if we hit anywhere below 11500, the economy will be considered in recession. Higher taxes, and not so strong job numbers, slow growth due to global hit of COVID will have a prolonged recession this time. I wish this was not true, but sometime you do not choose your battle - the battle choose you. So its recommended to go light on high beta stocks, and heavy on cash or FMCG sector
TVC:NDQShort
by UnknownUnicorn1616991