HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance level and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price reached the trend line, making a first gap as well and then starting to decline. EUR dropped to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and soon broke resistance 2. Then it started to trades inside consolidation, where it declined to resistance 1, which coincided with the bottom part of the range with the support zone. After this movement, the EUR rebounded up, making a second gap, and later almost reached the trend line. Then the price little declined and later rebounded up to resistance 2, breaking the trend line, after which it turned around and started to decline. In a short time, Ethe uro declined to resistance 1, broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation, and then fell to the trend line. A not long time ago, the price bounced and started to grow. So, I expect that EURUSD will reach a resistance level and then continue to decline next. For this case, I set my goal at 1.0270 points, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Range
Reason to worry on Alts?With Bitcoins huge institutional backing seeing it far surpass $100k and reaching a new high of $108k, it's easy to say that the biggest cryptos future looks bright, but what of altcoins? Looking at the TOTAL3 chart there are a few key points I'd like to highlight, some positive and some negative:
4H 200 EMA - This moving average is so important for the short/mid term bias. In a bear market we very rarely see trading above the 4H 200 EMA and vice versa in a bullmarket. Currently TOTAL3 is retesting the MA as support, with first tap wicking below and then a move back above, this is positive so far showing that buyers are willing to step in at this level. Bullish.
Bearish structure forming? - At its core, trading is simple. You buy low and sell high, now we all know there is more to it than that but the basics are still the most important. The trend is your friend, so lets analyse the trend.
Clear Higher high and Higher lows ever since the US election result, bullish structure/trend. However, we recently got our first Lower high since then and now the question is will we get a Lower low to flip the structure bearish? So far that is not the case ass the 4H 200 EMA swooped in to save the day but if price were to dip below the Daily support we'd have a trend flip on the 4H.
Since that is an IF, lets see what is happening now, a tightening of the highs and lows would equal an accumulation phase and in this instance an accumulation phase after a strong rally is a setup for the next leg which is bullish. Just got to keep an eye on that structure for now.
The formation of a downtrend - This ties into the structure point, like how we saw 8 months of "chop" on BTC which in reality was a downtrend after a strong rally, this chart pattern is looking similar to 4H TOTAL3 we see now. If we see a new LL at the downtrend support level I will switch to trading TOTAL3 as a range until proven otherwise.
Bitcoin can correct and then continue to move up to new ATHHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see how the price trades inside the range, where it reaches the top part and then starts to fall. In a short time, BTC fell almost to the bottom but then turned around and made an impulse up, exiting from range and continuing to grow inside an upward wedge. In this pattern, the price soon reached the 90500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and then broke it, made a retest, and continued to move up. Later BTC reached the resistance line of the wedge and then corrected the support level, after which it rebounded at once and then rose to the current support level. Price tried to break, but failed and dropped to the 90500 level, after which at once continued to move up and soon reached the current support level, which coincided with the seller zone. Then the price broke the 103000 level and rose to the resistance line of a wedge, but a not long time ago it declined to the seller zone, where BTC continues to trades to this day. So, in my mind, the price can decline to the support line and then start to grow to the resistance line of an upward wedge. That's why I set my TP at 110000 points (new ATH), which coincided with the resistance line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Bitcoin can enter to seller zone and then start to fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago entered a wedge, where it at once rebounded from the support line and started to grow. In a short time, the price grew to the 91500 support level and even a little higher, reached the resistance line of the wedge, and then made the correction, after which some time traded inside the buyer zone. Later BTC broke the 91500 level one more time and rose until to the 98000 level, which coincided with the seller zone and even entered to this area, after which it turned around and started to decline. Price exited from wedge and started to trades inside range. In range, the price declined below the 98000 resistance level, to the support level, after which BTC turned around and quickly rose back. Price some time traded near the resistance level and recently it little declined, but then started to grow. So, in my mind, BTC can enter to seller zone and then start to fall to the support level. For this case, I set my TP at the 91500 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can make retest of support line and then continue move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago started to decline inside the range, where it in a short time fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone with the bottom part of the range. Next, the price turned around and quickly rose to the top part of the range, making a first gap, after which turned around and made impulse down, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0760 level. Then the price tried to back up, but it made a fake breakout of 1.0760 level and then continued to fall inside the downward pennant. Later, the Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and broke it too, after which declined to support line of the pennant. Then the price made an upward impulse, thereby making a second gap, after which broke the 1.0480 level one more time and continued to move up. Some time later Euro reached the resistance line of the pennant, after which made a correction to the support level, but a not long time ago it rebounded up, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern. Now I think that the Euro can make a retest, after exiting from the pennant and then continue to move up. For this reason, I set my TP at 1.0680 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
In the worst-case scenario, do nothing!As mentioned previously, when EMAs are close to each other, they become ineffective. This proximity warns that radical behaviour may be imminent, especially when the price is between them.
When Bollinger Bands converge, a breakout is close to happening. The direction is unclear.
This represents the absolute worst-case scenario a trader can encounter: do nothing!
Bitcoin can rebound up from support area to 101K pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and dropped to 85000 points. After this, the price turned around and started to trades inside the wedge, where it later rose to 89400 level and broke this level. Next, BTC rose to the resistance line of the wedge, after which it turned around and made a correction to the support line of the wedge, after which it continued to grow. Soon, the price broke the 89400 support level one more time, made a retest, and later made a correction to this level again and then bounced up. Price rose to the resistance line of the wedge and soon exited from this pattern. Then the price reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area and broke this level. After this, BTC started to trades inside the wedge, where it reached the top part of the range, but a not long time ago, BTC made a correction to the 97300 support level. So, in my opinion, Bitcoin will fall to the support area and then start to grow to the top part of the range. Then it can exit from this pattern and continue to move up next, therefore I set my TP at 101000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
TradeCityPro | NZDJPY Weekly Close and Key Outlook👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channe l!
Let’s quickly analyze the current NZD/JPY setup as the market closes and prepare for an important upcoming week.
📉 F undamental Outlook
NZD/JPY has been under pressure, with the RBNZ maintaining a dovish stance amidst an economic slowdown, while the JPY gains strength due to potential BoJ tightening and safe-haven demand.
📊 Weekly Chart Insight
The pair rejected 99.090 and moved down toward the 87.093 support zone before bouncing back to 91.864, marking a pullback.
Recent weekly candles with upper shadows indicate strong seller dominance and lack of buyer momentum. Continuation of this pattern could increase the likelihood of breaking 91.864 resistance.
📅 Daily Chart Perspective
Price is consolidating between 90.095 and 91.892, reflecting indecision among traders.
We remain breakout-focused:
Above 91.892 signals a bullish continuation , Below 90.095, support levels at 88.862 and 86.680 come into play.
Stay tuned for updates, and let us know your thoughts on the week's outlook!
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Euro can reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.0450Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the top part and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later, EUR entered to this area, where it reached the bottom part of the range and some time traded near, after which started to grow to the top part of the range. Also, when the price rose, it made a gap and after it reached the top part of the range, the EUR turned around and made impulse down. Price exited from the range broke the 1.0805 resistance level, and continued to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern, the price first rose to the resistance area and tried to break the 1.0805 level, but failed and continued to decline to the 1.0600 current resistance level. Soon, the price broke this level too and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which a not long time ago rebounded up. Now, the price trying to exit from the wedge, so, in my mind, the Euro can reach the seller zone and then turn around and start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
SOL/USDT 1D trade idea Solana has been one of the best performing majors so far this Bullrun, and has had one of the best reactions to the recent sell off.
The DAILY chart is an interesting one and clearly respects the range structure, currently the price has just rejected off the MIDPOINT and for me is an area of contention, there are some triggers i'd like to see and can take action on:
- Accumulation below the Midpoint before a break above putting in higher highs and higher lows when above. The target would then be range high with the 0.75 line as first TP.
- A new lower low and lower high on the LTF from now may signal a move lower, this could then find support at the 0.25 line which is also where the 1D 200EMA is and therefore good support.
Believe it or not, Bear Market is almost finishedhello traders
Bitcoin is outside its price range and approached a strong retracement area that is difficult to pass (MONTHLY IMBALANCE _ RESISTANCE BECOMES SUPPORT _ NOT FRESH DEMAND)
At least for the next period, Bitcoin will return to its price range, and there are other TARGETS that it can reach
Euro can exit from pennant and rise to 1.0700 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to range, where it at once fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the bottom part of the range. Then price bounced and in a short time rose to the top part of the range and some time traded near, after which it turned around and started to decline. In a short time price broke the 1.1005 resistance level, exited from range, and continued to decline inside the downward pennant. In this pattern, the EUR reached its current resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then started to grow. Price rose to the resistance line and then made impulse down. Euro broke the 1.0760 level, but tried to back and failed, after which continued to decline to support line of the downward pennant. When the price reached this line it a not long time ago rebounded and now, I think that the Euro can exit from the pennant, make a retest or not, and continue to move up. For this case, I set my TP close current resistance level, at 1.0700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD 10/11/24Last week’s shift in the EU bias changed our view from short to long. However, as we always say, high-impact fundamentals can move the market, sometimes in line with our bias and sometimes against it. In the case of the U.S. election, the result pushed prices lower. This happened because the USD gained significant strength when the new president was elected.
Now, we're back to our more favorable sell bias. With the recent shift lower, the higher timeframe aligns with this bias again, allowing us to target last week’s lows. We have several points to watch for a bearish shift: the supply area in the middle of our current range and the two highs at the top of the range from Friday’s 4:00 AM move. If these highs are taken, we expect price to sell off and continue down to our target lows.
There's a possibility of price moving up to the major high we’ve marked, but this is unlikely given our bearish bias. If this happens, we’ll still aim for the target low. A pullback would give us an even better position to sell into that low. As it stands, we have a relatively large fundamental range, so price may fluctuate within this range for some time.
Follow your plan and stick to your risk!
Bitcoin can fall little more and then rebound up in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. By observing the chart, we can see that the price declined to the support level, and soon turned around and started to grow. But soon turned around again and dropped lower 68000 level, breaking it, and started to trades inside range. In the range, the price fell to the bottom part and then in a short time rose to the support level, and even made a fake breakout. After this, BTC fell back to the range, and even declined to bottom par again, where it made impulse up and rose higher than the 68000 level, breaking it, thereby exiting from the range too. Next, the price continued to grow and reached the 71000 level, which coincided with the seller zone and then broke this level. Then the price rose to 73600 points, after which started to decline inside the downward channel. In the channel, the price broke the resistance level and fell to the support line, after which tried to back up, but failed and continued to fall. Recently BTC reached a support level, after which rebounded and has now grown. So, in my opinion, the price can decline a little more and then rebound up to the resistance line of the channel. That's why I set my TP at 70400 points, which coincided with this line. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
ADA Beautiful Range. Lower First!?Currently rejecting from the local POC. IMO it would make sense to test the untested daily level, VAL, GP below before attempting to move higher into September highs, untested monthly level and channel highs. #Cardano
Calculate Your Risk/Reward so you don't lose more than 1% of your account per trade.
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Breakout Watch: Trading Nikkei Futures Ahead of Its Micro Launch1. Introduction: Nikkei Futures and Current Market Setup
Nikkei Futures (NIY1!) remain a cornerstone of Japan's equity market exposure for traders globally, offering insights and trading opportunities tied to the performance of Japan’s stock market. In recent days, the Nikkei Futures market has entered a phase of tight consolidation, with the trading range narrowing between 39515 and 38785. This setup presents a classic breakout opportunity, with price poised to either break above the upper boundary or fall below the bottom one. Traders should remain vigilant, as a breakout could lead to a market movement in either direction.
2. Contract Specifications: Nikkei Futures vs. Micro Nikkei Futures
Nikkei Futures (NIY1!) are a valuable tool for traders seeking exposure to Japan’s economy. The contract size is tied to the Nikkei 225 index, with each tick movement having substantial financial implications for the trader. Here’s a breakdown of the key specifications:
o Nikkei Futures (NIY1!):
Tick Size: 5 points.
Tick Value: 2,500 JPY per tick.
Margin: 1,500,000 JPY (varies as market conditions change)
Starting October 28, 2024, CME Group will introduce Micro Nikkei Futures, which will provide a more accessible option for retail traders by offering a smaller contract size and lower margin requirements. The Micro Nikkei contracts will allow traders to take advantage of the same market exposure with greater flexibility and reduced capital risk:
o Micro Nikkei Futures:
Tick Size: 5 points.
Tick Value: 250 JPY per tick.
Margin: 150,000 JPY (varies as market conditions change)
This introduction opens up new opportunities for traders looking to manage risk more effectively or for those who prefer to trade with smaller position sizes.
3. Breakout Trade Setup for Nikkei Futures
Currently, Nikkei Futures are stuck in a range-bound market, oscillating between 39515 and 38785. A potential breakout beyond these levels is potentially imminent, and traders can prepare to capture the momentum once it occurs.
The key to this setup is patience: wait for the price to either break above or fall below before entering any trades. Here’s the breakout strategy we’ll be focusing on:
Breakout to the Upside: Enter a buy trade if price breaks above 39515.
Breakout to the Downside: Enter a sell trade if price falls below 38785.
By leveraging this breakout strategy, traders can capture the volatility that usually follows a breakout from a tightly held range.
4. Breakout to the Upside: Trade Idea
In the event of an upside breakout, we anticipate that the price will rally after breaking through the 39515 level. Here’s the breakdown for this trade setup:
Entry: Buy at 39515, the upper boundary of the current range.
Target: The target is set at 40285, where there is a significant UFO resistance and a technical resistance level. This level marks a strong area where sellers may come in, making it a logical point to exit the trade and secure profits.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, place the stop loss a third of the profit zone below the entry price. In this case, the stop would be at 39258, minimizing downside exposure while allowing the trade to develop.
o Risk/Reward Calculation:
Profit zone: 40285 - 39515 = 770 points.
Risk (1/3 of the profit zone): 770 / 3 = 257 points.
Stop loss: 39515 - 257 = 39258.
For standard Nikkei Futures, each point is worth 500 JPY, so:
Potential profit: 770 points × 500 JPY = 385,000 JPY (approx. USD 2,580).
Risk: 257 points × 500 JPY = 128,500 JPY (approx. USD 860).
For the Micro Nikkei Futures, everything would be reduced x10 (approx. USD 258 and USD 86).
5. Breakout to the Downside: Trade Idea
In the case of a downside breakout, we expect a decline once the 38785 level is breached. Here’s how the trade setup would work:
Entry: Sell at 38785, the lower boundary of the current range.
Target: Set the target at 37920, a level supported by a UFO support, a technical support, and two nested Fibonacci retracement levels (23.6% and 61.8%).
Stop Loss: The stop loss is set at a third of the profit zone above the entry price. This protects against excessive losses if the market moves against the trade. The stop would be at 39073.
For standard Nikkei Futures:
Potential profit: 865 points × 500 JPY = 432,500 JPY (approx. USD 2,910).
Risk: 288 points × 500 JPY = 144,000 JPY (approx. USD 970).
For the Micro Nikkei Futures, everything would be reduced x10 (approx. USD 291 and USD 97).
6. Risk Management
Effective risk management is key to long-term success in trading. In both breakout scenarios, the use of stop-loss orders ensures that traders can limit their losses if the market moves against them. Additionally, setting precise entry and exit points reduces the likelihood of emotional decision-making, allowing for more disciplined trading.
The upcoming launch of Micro Nikkei Futures offers traders enhanced control over their position sizing and risk exposure. With smaller contracts, traders can engage in these setups with a fraction of the capital required for standard futures contracts. This flexibility is particularly beneficial for retail traders looking to manage risk effectively while still capitalizing on market opportunities.
Whether you are a seasoned futures trader or new to the Nikkei market, these breakout setups provide a solid foundation for capturing momentum. As always, risk management should remain at the forefront of your strategy, ensuring you protect your capital while pursuing profits.
When charting futures, the data provided could be delayed. Traders working with the ticker symbols discussed in this idea may prefer to use CME Group real-time data plan on TradingView: www.tradingview.com - This consideration is particularly important for shorter-term traders, whereas it may be less critical for those focused on longer-term trading strategies.
General Disclaimer:
The trade ideas presented herein are solely for illustrative purposes forming a part of a case study intended to demonstrate key principles in risk management within the context of the specific market scenarios discussed. These ideas are not to be interpreted as investment recommendations or financial advice. They do not endorse or promote any specific trading strategies, financial products, or services. The information provided is based on data believed to be reliable; however, its accuracy or completeness cannot be guaranteed. Trading in financial markets involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Each individual should conduct their own research and consult with professional financial advisors before making any investment decisions. The author or publisher of this content bears no responsibility for any actions taken based on the information provided or for any resultant financial or other losses.
Gold will start to decline to support level inside wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a few days ago entered to range and started to trades inside. In the range, Gold reached the support area, which coincided with the support level, and then made a correction movement to the bottom part of the range. After this, the price made a fake breakout and in a short time rose to the 2530 level and broke it, thereby exiting from the range pattern. Next, the price a little rose, after which made a small correction and then continued to move up inside the wedge. In the wedge, the price reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area and the resistance line of the wedge, after which turned around and started to fall. Gold declined to support line of the wedge and then continued to grow and soon reached the 2680 level, broke it, and made a retest. The price bounced and rose to the resistance line of the wedge, where continues to trades close to this day. So, in my opinion, Gold can little grow higher than the resistance line and then start to decline to the support level. Also, I think the price, after falling to the support level, will break it and continue to decline, therefore I set my TP at 2660 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GBPJPY buyBritis pound vs Japanese Yen is has completed its downward 👇 rally now price is going towards its Support level first it will take support then will start rally upwards to its Resistance level as we can also see price is pretty much consolidating inside support and resistance level of 1H so we will be deciding its direction upwards as SMA 50 on 1H is showing its gj will go down so we will wait until break above of the range
EURUSD Scalping-Day trading LONG1st Entry - 15min POI:
I decided to open three trades using the OTE reversal strategy within the 0.705 to 0.79 zone, taking advantage of the range between the swing high and swing low.
Entry timeframes:
1min
Emotions: Calm and confident
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.58
Lot size: 0.5
2nd Entry:
Entry Price: 1.0968
Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.53
Lot size: 0.8
Emotions: Calm and confident
3rd Entry:
Entry Price: 1.0967
Risk/Reward Ratio: 3.45
Lot size: 0.3
Emotions: Calm, but I entered too quickly, as the price was nearly the same as my second entry. However, I'll close this trade earlier at the STR.
Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to range, where at once fell to the current resistance level and then rebounded up. EUR rose to the top part of the range and then turned around and dropped to the resistance area, thereby exiting from the range. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Inside the channel, the price rose to the 1.1175 level, after which rebounded and fell to the support line of the channel, and then it backed up. EUR even rose higher than the seller zone, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then made a correction movement, breaking the 1.1175 level again. After this, the price in a short time rose to the seller zone and then made an impulse down, thereby breaking the 1.1175 level, and exited from the upward channel. Also soon, Euro broke the 1.1030 level and now it is trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can grow to the resistance area and then continue to decline more. That's why I set my TP at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can exit from range and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to wedge and at once started to decline to the support line from the resistance line. After this, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge and then at once made a correction movement. Next, EUR continued to move up and soon reached the 1.1030 support level, but at once made a correction to the support line of the wedge and then rebounded up, breaking this level. After this, in a short time, the price rose to the seller zone, where it turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range, where it fell to the buyer zone. Soon, the price turned around and rose to the 1.1180 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Also then, the EUR tried to break the resistance level, but failed and a not long time ago dropped to the support level. Just now, the price trades very close to this level inside range. For this reason, I think the price can break the support level, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move down. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
CADJPY - Bearish Pressure Soon!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 CADJPY has been hovering within a big range marked in blue.
Currently, CADJPY is retesting the upper bound of the range.
Moreover, the upper green trendline acts as a non-horizontal resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the major high and upper trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #CADJPY is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich