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PYPL

PayPal to find buyers at yearly lows?PayPal - 30d expiry - We look to Buy at 69.11 (stop at 65.31) Levels below 69 continue to attract buyers. 67.58 has been pivotal. 66.39 has been pivotal. Early pessimism is likely to lead to losses although extended attempts lower are expected to fail. We look to buy dips. This stock has seen good sales growth. Our profit targets will be 78.51 and 80.51 Resistance: 75.30 / 77.80 / 79.30 Support: 73.00 / 71.09 / 69.00 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by VantageMarkets
Shopify - It's Bear *and* Bull Hunting SeasonBefore Shopify's 10:1 split, it was trading for $1,800 USD. Notable because it was the Toronto Stock Exchange's biggest stock, trading over $2,000 CAD. This was the kind of stock that all the eyes used to be on. The company processes payments on the Internet and the work from home lockdown glory days are gone. The next time we're all under house arrest will be because the governments want to act like the Chinese Communist Party; the priority won't be keeping people stable and placated like it was in 2020. Things will be scary, and so the fundamentals for this company will never be as good as they were before. That being said, it looks like we're about to head/already heading into what I believe is a tech bear trap before Nasdaq goes big or goes home, a two-sided move which I outlined a few weeks ago: Nasdaq NQ QQQ - Reality Will Be a Tough Pill for Permabears Shopify is something to keep on your radar because, no matter how they file shelf offerings to dilute their share count and how that ought to affect share price because it's a really a function of marketcap, Shopify is the kind of thing that likes to go up and down 10 or 15 percent in a day, and when it does go, it has significantly major upside potential, which you can see on weekly bars: And look, I get it, $45 --> $30 --> $115 is a real too good to be true sort of call, but it's not without its principled rationality. After 179 trading days and 263 real days of consolidation, Shopify finally started to take out highs in the earliest part of '23. This comes after it took out significant long term lows in the October Low of the Year for indexes. These two factors combine to tell you that the algorithms no longer point down, but point up. It's only that there is the risk that the "up" peaked when the stops over $50 were taken and everything is going down for real now. I'm only partially psychic. You'll have to get Jamie Dimon and Ken Griffin to tell you the concrete manifestation of what's going to happen. But Shopify's price action is not that significantly different from what Netflix has done, except Netflix just never bothered to run the bottom and never really liked to go down, and has already gone up significantly. What bears are missing from their doom thesis is this: The markets will crash when the Federal Reserve pivots, not before. It's a "buy the rumor, sell the news" equation, my friends. They've been hiking for over a year, and long term, none of the big 3 indexes are actually bearish on monthly or weekly candles. What people don't realize is that everything is setting up for a situation where inflation appears to be waning and will continue to appear to be waning for the next few months, and it's because we're in winter. This apparently deflationary environment will set the stage for the narrative that leads us to Nasdaq 14,500+. Natural gas, oil, and gasoline will all supermooncycle in the summer because of significantly increased societal demand, and that means food, goods, services all go up too. And in the meantime, the Fed is going to continue to hike at least 25 bps a session. So they're going to hike and hike and we're going to walk right back into big inflationary numbers starting in late May and through July while the FFR is already too high. The Fed won't be able to start hiking 50 and 75 bps when we're already at 5.5% because the national debt is so super bloated thanks to the U.S. socialists spending trillions and trillions of dollars on so-called "stimulus," which really just amounts to raiding the Treasury and the future generations like pirates. And so, the Fed is going to be forced to pivot at the worst time: in the middle of inflation that was worse than 2022, and the two factors combined is what is really going to cause the big gap downs. And the gaps are going to run, because the Fed obviously won't be able to bail out the market this time, so there won't be any hopium for retail to huff. There are other things that can unfold geopolitically around the same time, like the collapse of Xi Jinping and his Chinese Communist Party, Russia defeating NATO in Ukraine, and large scale environmental disaster and significant genuine pandemic diseases that are beyond the control of the globalists and their technology. All of this combines to tell you that the dumpster the bears dream of is far away, which means that much higher prices are coming. It presents a death trap for people who are obediently following Discord signal groups, Zerohedge, Fintwit, and CNBC, instead of thinking for themselves, and an opportunity for the "few" who understand that "The Big Short" is being set up, and that "The Big Short" inherently means a run back towards high levels. So buy this coming dip, don't capitulate, and enjoy the fruit of the moon mission that is the biggest exit pump of all time. Just make sure you get out, take profit, and keep your risk light. You have to keep your eye on the Chinese Communist Party. It's been two weeks since the Lunar New Year and all the resulting travel stimulus from hundreds of millions of people being freed from months of house arrest have finished, and now there are reports that there are multiple significant mutations of Omicron SARS-CoV-2 emerging all over the world. Meanwhile, if you check Our World in Data or the other aggregators, you'll see that the CCP claims there have been 0.00 new COVID cases or deaths since roughly Jan. 6. This is obviously totally impossible. Not to mention the Communist Party is a chronic liar that only cares about its "stability" and isn't one bit concerned with how many people might die as it lies to the world and the Chinese people. All of this should tell you that the pandemic situation is volatile outside of China, and extremely dangerous inside of China. The situation could devolve at any time, and at any time you can be stuck on the wrong side of a gap. What you have to understand about the Communist Party and the globalist factors who have cultivated its methods and ways, who seek to export them globally for the unveiling of the One World Government/New World Order, is that the Specter of Communism's life's work is to destroy your life and to destroy humanity. No joke. Its fundamental wish and its fundamental goal is to ruin each and every person and each and every thing. And so, the test for all of Creation is whether you can evidence, with both your words and deeds, that you don't want the Devil Red, and instead you want to enter the future that is the resurrection of China's 5,000 year-old culture of Heavenly Dynasties. The choice is yours. It's your job to choose. It's my job to tell you these words.
NYSE:SHOPLong
by LordWrymouth
2
PYPL (Major Support Bounce)PYPL PRICE RECAP: On Feb 2nd, 2022 PYPL sold off to create a massive GAP ranging between $140.57 to $170.76. Ever since this GAP down, PYPL has been in a longterm down trend that has been consolidating into a larger falling wedge formation. PYPL has recently broken out of this longterm down trend / falling wedge. After the breakout, PYPL attempted to make a move to the upside from Jan 27th to Feb 2nd to retest the resistance zone between $90.13 and $92.59. PYPL has now retraced back down towards the support and demand zones near the 2020 lows. This retracement is also a retest of the falling wedge downtrend resistance line turned support. Dating back to 2018, PYPL’s price has bounced from this MAJOR support zone between $68.41 and $73.39 a total of 7 times since then, resulting in some big moves to the upside. Now that PYPL is back at this MAJOR area, it is a great watch for a long term investment opportunity or even a long term LEAPS opportunity. In confluence with PYPL’s price returning to such a strong support zone, price is also within the 78.6% and 88.6% FIB levels, which are very key levels when using fibonacci retracements to make longterm investment decisions. Another piece of confluence is that PYPL has formed and completed a falling wedge at this level, which is a bullish reversal chart pattern. For the final confluence factors, PYPL is displaying bullish divergence on the weekly RSI (shown on chart) as well a possible inverted head and shoulders on the daily/weekly timeframes. TRADE IDEA: I am now watching for PYPL to make another move lower between $73.39 and $74.99 to start scaling into some longterm holds. If you have no interest in grabbing and longterm holds on PYPL, you be interested in buying some longterm LEAPS options contracts. If you decide to enter LEAPS do so with an expiration of at least 6 to 12 months out with a first target of $85 0r $90. Stop Loss below $66.17 (break and hold on the daily/weekly)
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by Stockstradamus_
1
$PYPL: CEO departing could be bullishNice technical setup and an interesting earnings report. To begin with, the CEO will be departing by year end, which normally is a long term bullish pattern after a huge decline. Branded checkout maintained E-commerce market share during 2022, and guidance is surprisingly positive if we don't have a recession here: "2023 guide assumes pressured discretionary spend. We see signs of cooling inflation & it's logical to expect rising discretionary spend... but we did not build this into forecasts. Q1 is starting stronger than anticipated with branded checkout accelerating." (Schulman dixit). There was a substantial risk reduction from cost savings and layoffs (around 600m) which investors will appreciate as a safety net in this environment. It's been a long winding fall, since the stock peaked in late 2021: This could be the next $META type idea...Worth a shot. Best of luck! Cheers, Ivan Labrie.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by IvanLabrie
PYPL is Near Record Low ValuationPayPal (PYPL) stock has come down to the lowest valuation value and come close to record low valuation. PYPL stock is traded near 3x book value. The stock has earn steady stream of income. The price has comedown to the level where it is more make sense to hold it for long term growth. I guess it's a good time to enter the market and hold it now for longer term. We are using Stock Value Rainbow to evaluate stock valuation based on four valuation metrices: book value, earning, dividend and cash flow. The rainbow color depict the multiples values of all these four factors sum up together. The rainbow above the gray lines represent 1x, 2x, 3x, .., 10x of stock value. While rainbow below the gray line represent 0.8x, 0.6x, 0.4x, 0.2x stock value. The higher the value the more expensive the stock, the lower the value the cheaper it is according to these fundamental or financial valuation metrices.
NASDAQ:PYPL
by danny_peanuts
Timestamped Market Overview 1/1/23 Short Version of DXY and VIX 8:24-9:24 DXY 0:14 VIX 4:45 APPL 9:25 HSI 11:11 NASDAQ 12:10 BTCUSD 14:18 MARA 16:00 PHUN 16:47 NVDA 16:58 PYPL 18:15 TSLA 18:55 Closing words (Will be interesting to see where the dollar opens) 19:43 Overall I think things look fairly bullish. At least in the ability to regain some of the loses from the past two weeks. My big issue as always, is that the dollar is dropping more and more and stocks just are not going up as much as they need to in order to counterbalance. If the DXY hits 98-100 and bounces, then it wont be pretty for stocks if they haven't positioned themselves from a technical/chart perspective.
NASDAQ:AAPL
by TrendLINEBoys
1
15 Companies that have organic growth of financial resultsIt is good options to buy when the market is at the bottom (we think it is summer 2023, you can see our macro scenario here ) Type: growth stock 1. Okta – operates in the Identity Management market (identification protocols). It sells its products to individual companies and as part of integration with the other industry leaders (Zscaler). Organic growth is expected due to a low penetration of Identity Management in corporate environment (20% now). The market could reach the value of 70 bln, according to McKinsey. We anticipate revenue to expand by ~30% over the next few years. Downside: 1) The company regularly dilutes equity to finance R&D and marketing. Upside 1) Has a positive EBITDA margin, will have a positive FCF as soon as 2024. 2. Twilio – operates in the CPaaS market. The valuation already reflects negative expectations from the slowdown of the CPaaS market amid shrinking advertising budgets (weak consumer). We expect revenue to expand by 25%+ over the next few years, which is also reflected in the company’s long-term valuation. Downside: 1) The company regularly dilutes equity to finance R&D and marketing. The emergence of various solutions in the market that are powered by GPT-3 (a neural network), which generates human-like responses based on the learning of the target audience. These solutions are less costly for companies; however, major companies aren’t bent on integrating it just yet. I believe that Twilio could integrate it in its own product, as GPT-3 has an open source code. Upside 1) Has a positive EBITDA margin, will have a positive FCF as soon as 2024. 3. Zscaler. The company operates in the narrowly specialized SSE market. Industry leader. Organic growth is expected due to the current low penetration in corporate solutions (around 3%). We anticipate the company will practically double its cash flow every year over the next 2 years + it’s profitable 4. Paypal. In the third quarter PayPal demonstrated again that the company’s strategy is bearing fruit even as the global economy is slowing down. The multipronged development of PayPal’s services remains key for its organic growth. What used to be a fairly narrow-focused service to pay for goods and services is adding ever more new functions: PayPal continues to cooperate with Apple and is expanding the opportunities for contactless payment, while also working to increase engagement with the audience through the Braintree payment system. Therefore, even in the middle of an unfavorable macroeconomic environment and faced with declining consumption in the cyclical sectors, the company is seizing ever more market share. Upside: the management plans to boost operating margin by about 100 bps next year by developing infrastructure and reducing transaction costs. 5. Tesla. Tesla publishes fairly strong reports: Revenue and operating profit grow by 50-60% y/y. unlike other players, Tesla also improves its business margins. When China ends lockdowns, the issue of downtime at Tesla’s Chinese plant, its largest, will go away. Also, as soon as this quarter (the fourth quarter) Tesla will share access to its FSD and release it to the mass market. In general, the company is feeling well. Its stock price has fallen ahead of the market amid Musk’s purchase of Twitter and the current perturbations at Twitter. Also. Musk sold some of his Tesla shares to fund the purchase of Twitter. Musk’s current share is ~13%. Type: cyclical stocks 1. Livent. The company is moving ahead in line with our forecast. The company has several growth projects that start as soon as 1Q 2023, and also in 4Q 2023. They will add 100% of lithium carbonate production. Lithium prices, give or take, are set to remain near their current levels as demand from the EV industry continues to be strong (even as consumption is low, the market cannibalizes ICE models). Downside: 1) Poor reporting on sales volumes. Chemicals prices continue to hold high. If lithium prices turn around, that will erase the margin. Upside: 1) The company operates with a high gross margin. Its costs are $7,000 per 1 ton of production while the price now is about 80,000 a ton. 2. Darling. The company has piled up a lot of cash on the balance sheet. It now uses it for strategic precision purchases, which fuel its growth. + 30% of EBITDA comes from DGD, the growth of operating metrics will largely happen in 2023, so by 2024 operating metrics will rise by 50%. The stock took a lot of hammering as Biden seeks to revise the 17-year-old EPA and shift the program toward biogases. EBITDA will get a strong boost due to declining agricultural commodities prices. Downside: 1) Margin is tamped down because of the acquisition spending (temporary impact) + agricultural commodities prices could hold above our expectations, which means EBITDA wouldn’t get as much of a boost Upside 1) core business is stable 3. Crocs. the company grows fast in terms of operating metrics (physical shipments of footwear of its own brand and HeyDude), and has been able to switch to air freight delivery, which has been immediately reflected in EBITDA, as was expected. Crocs is now laser focused to consolidate the Asian rubber footwear market, as it regards it as the main and priority market. Downside: 1) High debt, which was taken out to buy HeyDude. However, they are paying it back as they are successfully integrating HeyDude in its organic structure. Upside 1) They are able to pass a high share of costs on to the consumer (high gross margin). The average selling price of footwear is $25, while production costs are $10. The brand name is actively working for the company, advertising costs aren’t rising too much (the collaboration with stars that have audiences of millions of people does its part + go on advertising: let’s say, when you see a celebrity wearing Crocs out in the street, rather than on your phone screen, you want them, too. 4. Pinterest. In the third quarter Pinterest showed a net increase of monthly active users for the first time this year. It totaled 445 million people: 95 mln in the US and Canada and 350 mln in other regions. Although the digital advertising market has taken a heavy blow in 2022 as economy slowed down and advertising budgets were downsized, Pinterest continues to show a stable growth of average revenue per user: The total ARPU reached $1.54 (+8.16% y/y) in 3Q, compared with our forecast for $1.59. 5. Ulta. As of now, organic growth is possible only through opening mini outlets at Target stores. The beauty industry, including Ulta, isn’t falling that much as the company/industry get the bulk of their revenue from beauty enthusiasts (who use cosmetics no matter what, even expensive ones). + the company continues to show a high pace of LFL sales growth due to foot traffic and the average ticket. For two straight quarters now, the company has beaten analyst expectations, but not ours for EPS, due to an increased efficiency of inventory accounting/arrangement of products per 1 square meter (essentially, every inch is used for commercial purposes). 6. Netflix. The business is essentially mature. What could breathe life into it is a strategy to acquire users in low-income markets + add-supported subscription. 7. Transocean. For a few straight quarters now, RIG has showed it’s getting new contracts, including long-term ones, at elevated prices. As long as the trend continues, we expect the company’s gross margin to expand because RIG, when it concludes contracts, includes the future growth of costs in the contract value. All the contracts have fixed revenue, rather than adjustable one, so that’s why. With oil price at $70+ and given underinvestment in the industry, RIG is sure to have demand for its ships. Type: Chinese, Taiwanese stocks 1. TSMC. TSMC shows a stable growth of financial results and growing business margins. TSMC, in effect, has a monopolistic position in the market, with major companies in the US and China relying on its products. If China seeks to maintain economic growth and improve the well-being of its citizens, then most likely nothing will happen to Taiwan before 2024 (the year of presidential elections in Taiwan). Therefore, 2023 will be a year of continued growth for TSMC, even amid a global recession. 2. Li Auto. Li Auto shares have been dumped amid the decline of its gross margin as demand skewed toward the more expensive EV. That’s the most expensive EV made in China and the strong demand for it demonstrates that the company’s revenue will continue to rise. Li Auto is in the middle of an investment phase now, being busy boosting its R&D in EV software and various components in order to achieve a greater vertical integration. The company continues to expand in terms of capacity, dealerships, and invest in its autopilot. The company holds substantial promise, just like Tesla. What’s more, Li Auto is on the party list as the third-largest EV producer. 3. Baidu. If China relaxes its lockdowns, Baidu’s core business – advertising – will gain pace, with revenue and operating revenue getting a boost. Baidu actively invests in its proprietary systems for AI-powered driving and digitalization of industrial businesses and state-owned companies. In 2024 Baidu is set to start manufacturing EVs jointly with Jidu.
SP:SPX
by InvestHeroesGlobal