$TSLA - What happens in the red circle? Low risk 9/16 putsWhile I usually use candle charts, sometimes I switch to line charts for better perspective. On the weekly you can see:
* resistance at 50sma ~298.40, price is there
* white down trend line is ~308-310
* price already reversed from 50ma, tested 20sma, and put in a big upward move this week (reason for caution on puts)
Look at the yellow circle on RSI (14 day). It tested 50 and is back up. If RSI closes above 50 today, then a trade above today's high negates RSI support for puts. It could still rise and move down later Monday or Tuesday, but support from RSI will be weak.
Stochastic - %K is red in the yellow circle however as seen on the left we cannot expect it will immediately turn down. I like %D, gray line, which has already dipped once and is now up again. This is a good time to buy puts - put options are cheaper when bought as price is rising. You can look left and see that %D will zig zag in the process of %K turning down from over 80 (or turning up from under 20).
Remember this is a weekly chart. Choose when you take profits. Today I am keeping the position as long as price stays below 289. My risk thus is very low since I bought when TSLA was ~298.30. Since I carry the risk of a gap or move higher on Monday I have a very small position to hold over the weekend.
I have support on the 30m chart - directional buying volume is elevated (buyer exhaustion) and both 5ema and price are above the Keltner channel. On the daily chart today is the 4th green candle while 10ema is still below 20sma. If today the candle closes above 200sma I see a good possibility that price at least pulls back on Monday.
