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GBPUSD BEARS STILL GOT IT! WHAT HAPPENED TO THE BULLS??!The bears came in this week as anticipated but failed to reach the expected AOI from the previous short projection, hence, leaving us with no short trades this week, yet. Now attention is shifting towards the bullish side of the curve as price approach two significant AOIs (a weekly FVG and a 3-month demand zone). As we still seek to see a potential retracement of all the shorting from September, we will watch keenly what price does first within the FVG for bullish signal. Should it violate this level also, the demand zone below becomes our ultimate area for longs.
Long
by LloydFX
Nifty Intraday 23 Oct 2024 Levels for SellingToday Nifty made new low and following price action on every timeframe. For good risk reward if price starts moving upwards and taking reversal near 24600, then we can go for sell trade. For Followup trade, any 5 min candle close below 24445 then also we can go for sell trade. Note : Its just an analysis, wait for the price to confirm. Disclaimer : Always follow risk to reward, this is the only key to success in market, no matter how much good a trade is looking we never know the future.
NSE:NIFTYShort
by smrgrover2
SasanSeifi|Will 0.66800 - 0.66500 Support the Price Movement?Hey there, ✌ In the 4-hour timeframe, a downward trend is evident from the level of 0.69400. Currently, due to the breakdown of the significant support level at 0.68, the price has corrected to the liquidity zone of 0.67. If the momentum weakens in this price range and the level of 0.67 is maintained, we may witness a ranging trend with minor positive fluctuations. To better understand the continuation of the trend, attention should be given to the price's reaction at levels 0.67500, 0.67800, and 0.68. Overall, our outlook leans more towards a decline and correction towards the target of 0.66800 and the demand zone at 0.66500. It is expected that the price will be able to correct to the desired support levels. Subsequently, if the price maintains the ranges between 0.66800 and 0.66500 and confirms it, we will enter a ranging phase with positive fluctuations. The potential trends are also illustrated in the image above. ⭕The important support levels are 0.66500–0.66. 💢 This is just my personal analysis, not financial advice. If you found this helpful, feel free to like and comment – I'd love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
by SasanSeifi
2
2024-10-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Indexes - Sideways movement with some lower lows but closes were mostly weak. Neutral going into tomorrow, since both sides can get the breakout. Market is still controlled by bulls until we close below the daily 20ema and those are far away. dax futures comment: Look at the daily or 4h chart, cause the lower time frames are misleading. This is not as bearish as it looks on the 15m chart. It’s still just a minor pullback in this bull trend and we still have not touched the daily ema. The bull trend line and daily ema are coming closer and we will probably chop more until we hit them. Then we see where the market wants to go next. I still expect 20000 but not much more. I am neutral until I have seen 20k or daily close below 19300. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19500 - 20000 bull case: Bulls did not find enough buyers above 19780 but they bought 19600, which was expected and important. We did not learn much and nothing changed to what I wrote in my weekly outlook. Invalidation is below 19500. bear case : Bears had a minor pullback but stayed inside the trading range under the ath. Nothing to get excited about. Will they try to get follow through tomorrow and fight for this to hit 19500? Less likely than bulls buying the dip again. Invalidation is above 19820. short term: Neutral inside given range. Still favoring the bulls for 20k but we could hit 19400 first. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. Right now there is no selling pressure. I am confident that we will hit 17000 in 2025 but timing is more important than price, so let’s not waste brain capital on being bearish for now. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Selling 19770 since market found no buyers above that price and produced many tails. The EU open was just weakness and we did not stop until we hit 19600.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-10-21 - priceactiontds - daily update - oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr Oil - Trading range 68 - 70.6 continues. Neutral as it gets in between. Don’t over analyse this range. comment : Bulls fighting for 70 and there is a chance this today was a lower low major trend reversal and we go up from here. Validation is only a daily close above 71, so don’t be early like me last week. Continuation of the trading range is a bit more likely than a bullish breakout. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 68 - 71 bull case: Bulls want to keep 70 support and break above the bear channel now. They still need to break the bear trend line and above the daily 20ema. Given the current chart, you simply can not hold longs above 70 for now. Invalidation is below 67.7. bear case: Bears keeping this at the lows is good for them. They could still try to get a third leg down to retest the September low 63.46 but right now that is as unlikely as bulls breaking above 71. I do think one side will give up this week and we see a bigger move. Do not trade on hopes of an event which could sent oil prices higher. That is not a trading strategy, that is gambling. Invalidation is above 71. short term: Neutral inside given range. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Long 68.6 since it was previous support and close enough to the bull trend line to expect it to hold. Was good for 150+ ticks.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
EURUSD Potential LongAs EURUSD stalls at the immediate demand level talked about in the previously shared idea, our expectation was to see bullish price action print, which was delivered with Friday closing very bullish. While this was expected, it does not appear the buy move is ready as there are still some bears lingering in this market. With this in mind, my anticipation for this week is to see the Fiber trade above last Thursday's high (1.0874) where we have sell-stops sitting in the interim. Clearing this liquidity should be sufficient in seeing price roll deeper into that demand where we expect to see the bulls take charge for a bit, 1.0808 being the price of interest for buying. Should price print as predicted, we should have a retracement buy move play into our hands. See y'all mid-week,GLGT!! LloydFx
Long
by LloydFX
GOLD OUTLOOKIn this analysis we are focusing on 30M time frame for XAUUSD. In this analyze we are using parallel channel along with price action. Gold has been growing recently and the pair seems locally overbought, so as the pair is approach a parallel channel of 2680 - 2685. Price decline is to be expected. Let's delve deeper into these levels and potential outcomes. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and risk to reward ratio. #GOLD M30 Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - wti crude oilGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr wti crude oil: Bulls nowhere to be found. We are near the minor bull trend line starting from the September low below 64 and it is more likely that this trend line holds and we do not go below the October low 65.74. Can you long this based on that assumption? I would not. Wait for bigger buying pressure and break of the bear trend line currently around 70.4. Can you sell this? On a pullback yes, but not below 70. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish doji on the weekly with big tails above and below. 71.5 is a good low and likely to hold. I do expect another try by the bears though. Only question now is will we see 77+ before 74? I don’t know. So watch for momentum and hope along. I still favor the bulls for at least a retest of 77/78 but I do think we can hit 80 again. Given the strength of the move up, it is reasonable to expect a bigger second leg to 80 or higher. comment: Bulls started ok on Monday and the close was neutral but Tuesday really killed every last bull who bought above 71 and hoped for a second leg up above 75. Market has now left a giant bearish island reversal between 71 and 72.5 and that is as bearish as it gets. Bulls last hope now is to hold above the bull trend line at 68. current market cycle : trading range (triangle on the weekly tf) key levels: 63 - 78 bull case: No more bullish thoughts from me for now. Only an event can save the bulls. Monday they had another chance and they blew it on Tuesday. Now market has formed a big bear wedge but the hope that this will break to the upside is slim. Bull trend line at 68 has to hold or bulls will give up until 65. Invalidation is below 68 bear case: Bears won last week big time. Now they want to run all the stops below 65 and retest 63.46. Problem with their case is the bull trend line and the bear wedge. We are trading at the lows and above the bull trend line, which is a bad spot for new shorts. Any short around the daily 20ema near 71 is probably a decent trade. Invalidation is above 72. outlook last week: short term: Neutral but expecting a retest of 77 and higher again. The closer to 74 you can long this, the better is what I think. → Last Sunday we traded 75.56 and now we are at 68.69. That outlook was garbage. short term: Neutral 68-70 but leaning bearish near 71. Not the best spot to trade currently. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-20: No idea where this wants to go in the remaining 2 months of this year so I am neutral until we have a better pattern. The big triangle on the weekly chart is alive and until that changes, no more updates. current swing trade: None chart update: Removed bullish pattern, added bear gap and bear wedge.
NYMEX:MCL1!
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - goldGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr gold: 4 consecutive good bull bars last week and we are on our way to 2800. I have two trend lines pointing to at least 2760, so the last thing I want to be here is bearish. Clearly W5 of this rally and we will likely see bigger profit taking into year end or early next year. Quote from last week: comment: Longer pullback than expected and stopped out on a long but got back in since 2620 held and bulls rallied hard on Friday. I do think it’s bullish only and we will likely make a new ath and also a decent chance to break above again for 2750+. comment: Bullish it was and still is. 2800 is the next big target to hit. After 4 very strong consecutive bull bars, you can not hold a bearish thought while the market makes daily new ath. Two upper bull trend lines are still to hit, one of them leads to 2760 and the other to 2800. On the monthly chart we are in a 8 month micro channel upwards without any selling pressure. At some point market will pull back more and we will see a correction but until we see much greater selling pressure, we can not trade on hope. current market cycle: very strong bull trend key levels: 2650 - 2800 bull case: All arguments are on the bull side and they have a big round number ahead. Any pullback will likely be bought, unless some event would change that. Invalidation is below 2650. bear case: Bears got nothing right now. If they somehow break below the most recent trend line below 2650, that would be a start but they would have to keep the market below 2700 then and make it go more sideways longer before it can reverse more. They know it’s the third leg up (W5) and 2800 is the obvious target. Most will likely not do much until we hit it. Invalidation is above 2820. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 2700+ → Last Sunday we traded 2676 and now we are at 2730. Perfect outlook, hope you made some. short term: Bullish for 2800. medium-long term - Update from 2024-09-22: Very strong breakout above, again. Market currently has no ceiling. Most likely 2700 next and I do think 3000 could be a potential target if we continue. There is certainly an argument for a measured move based on the bull rally from 2018-08 to 2020-08. current swing trade: None chart update: Added latest bull gap
COMEX_MINI:MGC1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - sp500 e-miniGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500: 4 different upper bull trend lines for multiple wedges and all are kinda valid. You just never know which one will be most respected by the algo’s. 6000 is the target, much more likely we get there before a bigger correction. Don’t try to be the first bear on this. Quote from last week: comment: Two decent days were enough for the bulls to make new ath. Again a bad place to trade, 8 points below the new ath. We have nested bull wedges and market broke above the bigger one. Odds favor some pullback but I would rather wait and be flat than to short this. comment : Monday made the 50 points higher and that’s all bulls achieve last week. We had two pause bars on the daily chart with Tuesday and Thursday but that was not enough to put doubt in bulls minds that this rally is over. 6000 is the target and, same as dax, we will likely hit it one way or the other. current market cycle: nested bull wedges key levels: 5800 - 6000 bull case: Bulls know technically we are at the top of them all and the rally is on it’s last legs. Big round numbers are still just too good to not hit if history tells us anything. Bears are not doing anything and not enough bulls are taking profits, so the market only knows one direction. As long as we are staying above the two bull trend lines that are closest, bulls are good and we continue. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears are not doing enough. They have many reasonable targets below but what good are those if the 4h 20ema keeps getting bought almost the entire week? Can you sell new highs for a scalp? Sure. Bears need anything below 5800 to start having arguments. Reasonable scalp is probably a break below 5850 for 5800 but as of now, there isn’t much more to expect for Monday. I am open to surprises though. Overall I just doubt many bears want to short 5900 when they know everyone wants to see 60000 and there is much more value to short there. Invalidation is above 6050. outlook last week: short term: Neutral since we are exactly at the top of two big patterns and 8 points below the ath. Sitting on hands is best here. → Last Sunday we traded 5859 and now we are at 5906. Neutral wasn’t too bad since market made 60 points on the week. Wasn’t good either, I know. short term: Neutral between 5870 - 5930 and bullish above 5930 for 6000. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-13 : Very rough guess for the remaining trading weeks in 2024. Spike up, decent correction (~10%), nasty (blow off top) year end rally if earnings hold in Q4. Don’t trade based on that guess. current swing trade: None chart update: Adjusted the many bull trend lines to show it’s pure guesswork which one will be respected. All are valid until clearly broken. Big dotted means that the pattern is on the weekly or monthly chart, and some breaks above are tolerable and do not mean the pattern is invalid. Close is always close enough.
CME_MINI:MES1!Long
by priceactiontds
#202442 - priceactiontds - weekly update - dax xetraGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax: We are in W5 and no idea how high it will go. 20000 is the obvious choice and only 300 points higher on xetra. Until we hit that level, it’s hard to get bearish. The bull channel is also perfectly leading up to that price and who tf am I to deny technical patterns eh. Only longs for me are on strong momentum and they will be scalps. I am awaiting the weakness to short this into oblivion over the next 2 years. Quote from last week: comment: Bullish outlook was good. Bulls will likely retest ath on Monday/Tuesday and have good chances of making new ones. My targets above are 19500 and 19600 with 20000 being possible if we get blow-off top. Don’t be a bear until bears can close below 18900. comment : Bullish was good but the rally is losing steam. We are in the final leg before we probably transition into a trading range before we go down. 20000 is the target for bulls and I expect them to get it one way or the other. Preferred path is a spike followed by huge profit taking. Nothing about the chart is good for bears and I would not even think about shorts, before we see some decent selling again. You never want to be early in a trade as a retail trader. current market cycle: bull trend key levels: 19000 - 20000 bull case: Bulls have all arguments on their side again. My bullish wave thesis is still fitting perfectly and W5 could lead to 20000. Any close below 19200 would seriously hurt the bull case. I can’t write anything else but the stuff from last week. Nothing changed. We are moving higher, bears have no arguments, 20k is the target. Don’t make this more complicated as it is. Invalidation is below 19300. bear case: If you don’t want to long this, you simply have to wait. Bears are doing nothing and until we see much greater selling pressure, I will not even waste time on thinking bearish. Will this overvalued trash index lose 30-50% in the next 5 years? I have zero doubts about that. Is this the time to start scaling into shorts? Absolutely fucking not. Invalidation is above 19400. outlook last week: short term: Bullish for 19500 and higher. → Last Sunday we traded 19373 and now we are at 19779. Everyone is a genius in a bull trend. Never forget that when your uber driver tells you about Nvidia or Dogecoin. short term: Bullish for 20000. Can see a pullback first or not. We are in the middle of the channel, which is always a bad spot. Trade momentum or long a decent pullback. medium-long term - Update from 2024-10-19: 20000 is the goal for 2024, if bulls do not get it until year end, it will probably not happen for the next 5-10 years. This market is beyond overvalued and will drop 30-50% in the next 5 years. I have no doubts about that. That fact should not be relevant to your trading at all. Right now there is no selling pressure. I am confident that we will hit 17000 in 2025 but timing is more important than price, so let’s not waste brain capital on being bearish for now. current swing trade: None chart update: Added minor upper bull wedge trend lines (dotted) which will likely be broken on Monday and deleted again and a possible two legged correction.
XETR:DAXLong
by priceactiontds
NAS100USD shows volume up (↑)Trading is all about repeated patterns, and the most unlikely pattern are the one that goes against the trend. Either way it might just be a 50% chance of being right, but then once you're right, the chances of your trade to make a big move is even higher. Now the repeated pattern on this chart is determined by volume, it is recently showing repeated movements up with more volume up on each repeated move. The first line shows a potential pattern and the second white line shows the next point which a repeated move will go unless there's a reversal which are not showing at the moment.
OANDA:NAS100USDLong
by CyberFxTrader
1