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Prediction

Cycles and Their Impact on Market TrendsCycles are a powerful tool to integrate into your trading awareness. Plotting from bottom to bottom is the most straightforward way to visualize cycles. The concept of Hurst cycles comes into play here—they highlight the importance of understanding periodicity in market behavior. Hurst cycles focus on the timing of market movements and how price tends to repeat over consistent intervals, giving traders insight into potential future price action. They’re particularly useful for spotting turning points and understanding the rhythm of the market. In this chart, I’ve drawn several green semicircles to illustrate cycles of varying lengths, from larger to smaller. While these cycles don’t always align perfectly, they offer a useful framework. It’s crucial to remember that when multiple cycles end or begin simultaneously, the resulting move (whether up or down) tends to be much stronger than when a single, smaller cycle completes on its own. What goes up must come down, and vice versa, but these fluctuations don’t change the overall degree of trend. By acknowledging these cycles, you gain a better understanding of how market fluctuations occur. You can also backtest historical data and project forward to identify likely peaks and troughs in future trends. However, it’s important not to rely solely on cycle analysis. Combine it with your cocktail of methods—whether that’s Elliott Wave, Fibonacci, or other technical indicators—and look for patterns or signals that align across multiple strategies. The goal is to find where your methods “jive” and provide you with the most confidence in your market outlook.
by cryptechcapital
UPTOBER: Bitcoin’s Pump and Higher Low FormationSince May, Bitcoin has been trapped in a bearish price structure, characterized by lower highs and lower lows . Every attempt to break out was met with resistance, pushing the price lower. However, after the August lower low , Bitcoin began a reversal , producing two consecutive higher highs and higher lows . This shift is crucial because it indicates a bullish price structure, meaning the market is finally beginning to move upward again. While a small reset in Bitcoin’s price from $66K to $60K was expected and I stand here to say, I was wrong and I apologize to fail giving you the other side of the apple for being bearish during my live stream and other documents and shot calls, the retracement was largely influenced by external factors, specifically the geopolitical tensions in Israel. Even though the pullback occurred earlier than anticipated, the market structure remains bullish, and we could soon see Bitcoin break through the $68K resistance level. As the chart shows, Bitcoin has created a solid foundation for this next leg of the rally.
Long
by osodatsismoso