GBPUSD: 18/09/2023: Will liquidity collected?
I am targeting sell-side liquidity for GBPUSD.
There are two scenarios to reach that point.
The first scenario is (that I follow) price can go lower from here.
The second scenario is the price test of the bearish order block and then goes for the sell-side liquidity.
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🗓18/09/2023
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Pound
GBPJPY H4 | Approaching overlap supportGBPJPY is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 182.957 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 181.800 which is a level that aligns under the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level.
Take profit is at 184.462 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Surprised by Fed hinting at another rate hike this year?The big story of the day is of course the Fed signaling one more rate hike this year.
At the conclusion of its FOMC meeting a few hours ago, The U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates unchanged, but projected another rate increase by the end of the year. Additionally, higher for longer is probably the new reality, with projections showing rates falling only half a percentage point in 2024 compared to the full percentage point of cuts anticipated at the meeting in June.
Financial markets had widely expected that the Fed would leave rates unchanged, but the revision to its projected cuts has caught markets off-guard.
The biggest mover of the day; GBPUSD was doubling impacted by the Fed decision and UK Inflation Rate Slowing Further to 1-1/2-Year Low (to 6.7% in August 2023 from 6.8% in the previous month, falling below the market consensus of 7.0%.)
The GBPUSD moved from around 1.238 to a low at 1.233 (but not before some indecision and a shot up to 1.238 within the first hour). In the end, the price fell below the pre-decision (panicked?) low. The current price trades at 1.234 just above that level, but an eye will be kept on this new short-term resistance for the downside prospects of this pair
GBPNZD: Selling into confluence of supportsWe can see that GBPNZD has broken below the mid-point of the rising channel.
Looking for sells going into the BoE rate decision this week, with NZD generally strengthening and GBP generally weakening.
Depending on what happens on Thursday we we'll see either a break of a bounce off this point.
I'm targeting 2.072 initially, where I see confluence of the rising channel and horizontal support.
GBPAUD: Trendline break, waiting for retestWe can see that GBPAUD has broken the weekly rising trendline with gusto at the end of last week.
We have a small pinbar close on Friday which suggests a retracement back up to retest.
I'm expecting strength to build up for the AUD with the positive signs coming out of China, we can see it is recovering across most crosses, and sterling weakening.
BoE decision on Thursday is important, however I think whatever happens this is a good pair to trade and I'm expecting lots of short pips from this pair over the next few months.
Watching out for the retest and then I'll be starting to short.
📈GBPUSD analysis, Weekly insight into price behavior📉FX:GBPUSD
OANDA:GBPUSD
Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas.
If the Pound stabilizes above the weekly Bollinger midline, the bearish scenario won't be fellfield.
In the bearish scenario, the price can fall to the yellow zone.
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GBP/USD Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookOver the course of the past two weeks, the GBPUSD currency pair experienced a pronounced decline, breaching the pivotal monthly support at 1.2448. Notably, there was a subsequent rally to retest this critical level during the Friday session of the preceding week, following the initial breach observed on Thursday. In the upcoming trading week, our strategic outlook is anchored on the potential for a price resurgence, with an aim to revisit and validate the 1.2448 level before anticipating a subsequent descent, as indicated by the directional arrow.
GBP/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future OutlookThe asset in question is currently adhering to a prevailing downtrend, exhibiting a prolonged phase of consolidation. Notably, it has recently dipped below the support level observed in the previous two weeks, located at the 184 area. In the upcoming sessions, our strategy revolves around the potential for a price rebound, targeting the 180.4 threshold as a prospective entry point for short-selling positions. We will closely monitor price behavior at this level; should it maintain resistance, we anticipate a subsequent descent, with an objective set to ride the downward momentum towards the 182.7 area.
GBPUSD: Bearish Outlook Explained 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD is trading in a bearish trend on a daily.
The price broke and closed below a key daily horizontal support last week.
The broken structure and a falling trend line now compose the contracting supply zone.
We already saw a strong rejection from its lower boundary on Monday.
Bears will most likely keep dominating.
Next support 1.24
For entries, consider the underlined blue area.
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GBPUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GBPUSD? This pair has been placed under the resistance zone. On the other hand, British economic data appeared weak. It is expected to fall to at least the specified level with an upward correction and reaching the specified resistance zone
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GBP/JPY Forecast: Analyzing the Future Outlook Last week, the asset saw a downward movement, although it didn’t reach our entry before the movement. Throughout, we held onto the hope that the price would reach our entry point for an upward move, which it eventually did. Our analysis relies on retracements within crucial support and resistance zones. The chart indicates our outlook for the upcoming week with an arrow. Stay tuned for more updates throughout the week.
GBPAUD: Curve Analysis (1W)BIG PICTURE TREND IS NEUTRAL
(aggressive risk)
SLO2 @ 2.0233 ⏳
SLO1 @ 1.9850 📉
TP1 @ 1.9115
TP2 @ 1.8495
TP3 @ 1.8040
TP4 @ 1.7335
BLO1 @ 1.7165 ⏳
BLO2 @ 1.6755 ⏳
Based on the 1W chart for GBPAUD, the pair is currently trading in a symmetrical triangle pattern. This pattern is considered to be a neutral pattern, meaning that it could break out to the upside or downside. The price has been consolidating between the upper and lower trendlines of the triangle for the past few weeks, and it is now approaching the apex of the triangle.
The next few days will be critical for the GBPAUD pair. If the price breaks out of the triangle to the upside, it could target the 2.7000 resistance level. However, if the price breaks out of the triangle to the downside, it could target the 1.6755 support level.
The GBP is currently trading near its 200-week moving average, which is a bullish signal.
The AUD is currently trading near its 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal.
The RSI indicator is neutral, suggesting that the market is neither overbought nor oversold.
The MACD indicator is in a bullish crossover, suggesting that the momentum is turning positive.
Overall, the technical analysis for GBPAUD is mixed. The symmetrical triangle pattern is a neutral pattern, and the other technical indicators are giving mixed signals.
However, the GBP is trading near its 200-week moving average, which is a bullish signal. Therefore, I would lean towards a bullish bias for the GBPAUD pair in the short term — particularly watching a buy signal around 1.9385
GBP/USD bearish uncertaintyGBP/USD Fundamental and Technical Analysis (FTA)
The GBP/USD price is found in a narrow range of 1.2490-05 on September 7, 2023, staying close to the June lows. On the hourly chart, the GBP/USD is still trading below the MA (200) H1 (1.2615) moving average line. The situation is similar on the four-hour chart.
On the 30 min chart, see the mentions on the chart.
From a fundamental perspective, there are a few factors that could weigh on the GBP/USD in the near term. These include:
The ongoing political uncertainty in the UK, as the country prepares for a general election in the coming months.
The weak economic outlook for the UK, as the country grapples with high inflation and slowing growth.
The strong dollar, which is being supported by rising US interest rates.
On the technical side, the GBP/USD is currently trading below the 200-day moving average, which is a bearish signal. The pair is also trading below a number of Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting that further weakness is possible.
However, there are also some factors that could support the GBP/USD in the near term. These include:
The Bank of England's (BoE) hawkish stance, as the central bank is expected to raise interest rates again in the coming months.
The potential for a breakthrough in the Brexit negotiations.
The weakness of the euro, which could make the GBP/USD more attractive to investors.
Overall, the outlook for the GBP/USD is mixed. The pair is likely to remain under pressure in the near term, but there are some factors that could support it in the longer term.
I hope this post is helpful.
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British Pound supported at $1.25? British Pound supported at $1.25?
The US dollar index is poised to reach a new multi-month peak. Contributing to DXY’s rise the most is the GBP/USD, with the pound losing 0.45% against the USD due to recent comments from the Bank of England’s governor.
On Wednesday, Governor Andrew Bailey spoke in front the Treasury select committee, saying " I think we are much nearer now to the top of the (tightening) cycle. And I'm not therefore saying we're at the top of the cycle because we've got a meeting to come”. In case you forgot, the Bank of England has implemented rate hikes in its previous 14 meetings, and it is expected to increase borrowing costs once more later this month, pushing the rate to 5.5%.
The above remarks were tempered by comments that suggest that rates will be higher for shorter than expected, saying “(we) are signaling that the fall in inflation will continue and - as I've said a number of times - I think will be quite marked.” It is this later comment that might be the cause for the British pound dipping beneath the crucial $1.25 level, marking its lowest value since early June. There might be support at this level though, as the bearish bias becomes potentially overextended.
🔥 NEW: GBPUSD 🔥 SWING 🔥SLO @ 1.2850 ⏳
SSO @ 1.2735 ⏳
TP2 @ 1.2630 (2nd paycheck)
TP3 @ 1.2485
BLO1 @ 1.2450 ⏳
BLO2 @ 1.2365 ⏳
— PA appears to be reacting to a Major Resistance Level @ 1.2754.
— If so, we have an amazing opportunity to jump back in on this short.
💲PROFIT POTENTIAL
Share Price: +$0.025
Percentage: +1.96%
Pips: +250 pips
GBPUSD: The Intraday Confirmation 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Update for our yesterday's post for GBPUSD.
The pair retested a recently broken daily supply zone.
The price formed a bearish flag pattern and broke its support on an hourly time frame.
It may push the prices lower now.
Goals: 1.2554 / 1.2530
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GBPUSD - AnalysisReexamination & Unsuccessful Attempt at the Daily Resistance Point 1.2620.
Monitoring the price thresholds on both the daily and 15-minute charts of GBPUSD.
The price has surged back towards the significant daily resistance mark at 1.2620.
1.2620-31 signifies the daily resistance threshold coupled with the 79% Fibonacci retracement level.
We are keeping a vigilant eye on the possibility of the price surging and then encountering failure around this intraday resistance zone, which could lead to a subsequent downtrend, with a target set at the daily support level of 1.2544.