Pound
GBPCHF: Looking like a fake out and drop to meI see GBP as continuing to be weak, poor GDP data last week, hikes expected to be over, and expecting to see some CHF strength.
BoE interest rates this week, but with the market expecting hiking to be over, I don't think it matters what happens, sterling will fall.
We saw a move above my descending trendline, seeing this as possibly a fake out - we've broken back through my support, now resistance line which would suggest a fall back down to recent lows here.
GBPUSD Analysis 10-11-23The GBPUSD broke down from yesterday's consolidation at 1.2280 due to the DXY strength.
As the price currently consolidates along the 61.8% fib retracement level (1.2225), the easy trend-following setup would be for a continuation of the downside toward the support level of 1.2160 and trendline, if the DXY continues to strengthen.
However, an alternative view to consider would be for a retracement on the GBPUSD, to retest the resistance level and 38.2% fib retracement level (1.2290), especially given that the UK GDP data was released today at 0.2%, slightly higher than forecasted.
Pound H4 | Bullish bounce off 61.8% FiboThe Pound (GBPUSD) is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level and rise up to our take profit target.
Entry: 1.22151
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.21550
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.23116
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPCAD H4 | Bullish bounce off supportGBP/CAD is trading very close to an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.68678 which is an overlap support.
Stop loss is at 1.67180 which is a level that sits under a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.70881 which is an overlap resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
GBPUSD: Wow, some move on Friday, needs to close FVG?That fundamentals last week had a serious impact on this pair.
The FED held rates with a dovish tone, and then the cooling labour market data slammed the USD.
The BoE also held rates, but with a hawkish tone.
UK data is not great, USD real yields are stronger, and there are still global tensions which are normally strong for the dollar, that said, this pair has broken out of weekly descending path with some umph, so this could well be the start of a reversal.
Normally in these cases we get a retracement first to fill the fair value gap, we're also at strong resistance so will I believe we have to fall back to attract more buyers.
Overall I think we could be looking at a reversal so will be keenly watching the move down with tight SL but with an expected target around 1.221.
GBPCAD: One More Bullish Confirmation 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD formed a falling wedge pattern after a breakout of a key horizontal resistance.
The price bounced sharply after a retest of a broken structure,
violating a resistance of the wedge.
Probabilities are high that the pair will keep growing now.
Goal - 1.6985
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EURGBP:08/11/2023:🔴Sell opportunity🔴As you can see, the market structure is bearish and we looking for a sell.
There is a bearish order block with liquidity that makes it even stronger.
Attention please: We need LTF confirmation for entry.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓08/11/2023
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
GBPJPY: Bearish Move From Key Level 🇬🇧🇯🇵
GBPJPY nicely respected a wide horizontal daily resistance.
The price broke a support line of an expanding wedge pattern on
an hourly time frame and formed a cup & handle formation.
We may anticipate a bearish continuation to 184.79 / 184.52
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GBPCAD May Go Higher! Here is Why: 🇬🇧🇨🇦
GBPCAD is trading in a bullish trend on a daily since the end of September.
The price set new higher lows, respecting a solid rising trend line.
On Friday, the price set a new higher high higher close, violating a local
daily horizontal resistance.
It signifies a strength of the buyers and a highly probable bullish continuation
to the next strong resistance.
The next structure on focus - 1.699
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Placed a reasonable low 1.2260, hold?#GBPUSD... Today market placed 1.2260 around low,
It's a reasonable low sofar,
Means in tomorrow this low will be very important and it will be your key level in tomorrow,
Keep close it,
Powell and Gov. Bailey is on table in tomorrow,
Don't hold your buying positions below 1.2260 in tomorrow .
Trade wisely
Good luck
GBP/JPY eyes retest of YTD highWhilst USD/JPY remains range-bound within a tight range just beneath 150, GBP/JPY appears to be making a break higher.
The daily chart remains in a strong uptrend and momentum has recently realigned with that trend. Prices have teased the retracement line ahead of the UK open, so we're either looking for prices to break above the prior swing at 138.82 high or pull back towards 182 to buy the dip, in anticipation of a break higher.
A Great Deal of Bearishness Expected on the GBPUSDFrom our analysis of this pair in the previous weeks, we saw a good amount of bearishness.
With the close of last week, this pair witnessed a bullish reversal on the 1 hour and 4 hour timeframes, invalidating our bearish zones and PBs and going all the way into the north.
Today, we are beginning to see another round of bearishness. On the 1-hour, the market has already reversed bearish with the breach of our bullish PB.
We are setting up for a short trade position, and we will look to take it when we get the needed retracement.
Is The Cable Going Bearish Again...?On the 1 hour, we have seen how the market has danced back and forth in the past few days.
In our last analysis from yesterday, we noticed a strong threat by the bulls to invalidate our zone. The zone was finally invalidated and the bulls took over without giving us a chance to take the trade to the downside.
Following the bullish shift, we witnessed the market stay bullish for a very short term as it again u-turned bearish with the invalidation of our 1 hour zone and PB. It would be safe to say that the seeming bullishness was nothing but the market aiming to make a deeper retracement on the 4 hour timeframe.
THe 4 hour chart is still bearish and we expect prices to switch into the extension swing and stay so. With the 1 hour now aligning bearish with the 4 hour, we are confident the extension is here and that prices will ultimately begin to dip towards our liquidity target below.
We will look to catch this bearish trade and milk the market as it moves towards our target.
GBPUSD H4 | Heading into resistance?GBPUSD could rise towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.22653
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Stop Loss: 1.23229
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Take Profit: 1.21216
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSD: Rejection from trendline, supported by fundamentals?As we can see price has is currently respecting the descending trendline again.
I'm expecting the BoE to maintain their hike-pause stance, this result is already baked into the price...
I'm placing a small trade on the basis that my expectations will be correct...
If there's a pause or reduction (highly unlikely) I'm expecting a fall back to around 1.208 to continue the creation of the wedge, important not to be greedy here as I feel like we could break out of the wedge at anytime, so probably will be considering buys once this trade is closed and keep a close eye on PA in the LTF's.
Let's see what the BoE do!
GBPCHF November 2nd, 2023Based on the Daily timeframe for GBPCHF, a clear technical analysis reveals a notable development. The previous support trendline has experienced a downside breakout, now functioning as a resistance zone. Currently, the price is approaching this trendline, showcasing a retest scenario. There's a potential for a bounce off this resistance area.
This probability is reinforced by the stochastic indicator, specifically with parameters set at 5,3,3. These settings are well-suited for the D1 forex market, where the 5-day (weekly) average aligns with the market's open days (Monday to Friday). The stochastic has crossed above the overbought (>80), indicating a potential reversal.
In terms of price targets, a decline is anticipated towards the 1.09-1.08 range. It's advisable to set a stop loss if the price surpasses the current resistance level. This analysis aims to provide a straightforward and easily understandable overview of the GBPCHF pair's current technical situation.
GBPJPY H4 | Falling to 50% Fibo supportGBPJPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 182.397
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 181.851
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that sits under the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 184.289
Why we like it:
There is a swing-high resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP H4 | Falling to 50% Fibo supportEUR/GBP is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.86869 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.86530 which is a level that sits under an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is between 0.87350 and 0.87541 which is a recent swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Still Holding Bearish... But for How Long...?This pair is bearish on the 1 hour and the 4 hour. We choose to limit ourselves to just the 4 and 1 hour charts for now; those are the charts we will be considering the most when taking our trades.
On the 4-hour, we found a bearish push last week, and we were able to catch a bearish trade. We have held on to that position till now, believing that the market still has a bearish trend.
On the 1 hour, we see the market in a bearish PB. The current bullish push has not been able to overthrow the bearish setup. We can see from the charts that the bullish push has come deep into our refined PB zone. We agree that the zone is threatened, but it is still yet to be breached. Until our Bearish zone is breached, we cannot say the bulls have taken over, and as such, we will still hold on to our bearish perspective.
Now for the further analysis:
We hope to see the bearish zone hold. Where it holds, prices are expected to drop bearish toward the 1-hour liquidity target.
Where our expectations fail, we will see our zone breached. In that circumstance, we hope to see prices soar higher for a bit to give us a deeper retracement into the 4 hour PB. From there, we will hope to see a deeper retracement reversal, after which the market will be expected to run the 4 hour liquidity target below.
GBPUSD H4 | Heading into 50% Fibo resistanceGBPUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.21761
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.22138
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.20742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.