GBPAUD H4 | Falling to 23.6% Fibo supportGBP/AUD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.89459
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.88988
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Take Profit: 1.90679
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
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Pound
GBPJPY H4 | Potential bearish reversalGBP/JPY has just reacted off a pullback resistance and could potentially drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 184.180
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Stop Loss: 185.087
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take Profit: 181.874
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pound H4 | Falling to pullback supportThe Pound (GBP/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to rise towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.26570
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.26119
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci projection level
Take Profit: 1.27606
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Pound H4 | Heading into swing-high resistanceThe Pound (GBP/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.28189 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level.
Stop loss is at 1.29000 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 1.26948 which is a pullback support.
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GBPUSD: Consolidation and Complete Indecision 🇬🇧🇺🇸
Even though GBPUSD is trading in a bullish trend since October,
the pair is in a deep consolidation, the last 3 weeks.
The pair is currently stuck within a horizontal range on a daily.
Depending on the reaction of the price to its boundaries,
I see 2 potential scenarios.
Bullish Scenario
If the price breaks and closes above 1.283,
we can anticipate a movement higher to 1.294 resistance.
Bearish Scenario
If the price violates 1.26 support and closes below that on a daily,
a bearish continuation may follow to 1.255 level.
Because the long-term trend is bullish, I remain bullish biased.
Chances will be high that the resistance of the range will be reached.
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GBP/USD: Navigating Swings and Shifting Fortunes Amidst Labor...GBP/USD: Navigating Swings and Shifting Fortunes Amidst Labor Market Focus
GBP/USD embarked on a journey of bullish momentum, reaching heights of 1.2730 during the European session on Thursday. However, the narrative took an intriguing turn in the latter half of the day, with the pair closing virtually unchanged below the psychological threshold of 1.2700. As of the time of this analysis, the current trading level stands at 1.2667. This analysis explores the potential for a swing approach in the wake of recent market dynamics.
Technical Perspective:
The recent rebound from the 61.8% Fibonacci area positions the price for a potential swing approach, signaling the formation of a new bullish impulse. This occurs against the backdrop of a bearish opening session on Friday, adding an element of unpredictability to the ongoing price action.
Upcoming Jobs Report:
The focus now shifts to the eagerly anticipated release of the December jobs report by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics. Projections suggest that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) are poised to rise by 168,000, while the Unemployment Rate is expected to inch up to 3.8% from November's 3.7%. The outcome of this report holds significant implications for GBP/USD.
Potential Scenarios:
In the event of an NFP increase surpassing 200,000, investors may recalibrate March rate-cut expectations, bolstering the US Dollar (USD) and exerting downward pressure on GBP/USD. Conversely, an NFP reading closer to 100,000 could reinforce the notion of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy pivot, triggering a decline in US yields. In this scenario, GBP/USD could gain traction, aligning itself with the upward trajectory observed in US stocks.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.2500 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
GJWe clearly have an early tendency, meaning we need more confluences before entering.
Following the wave and awaiting a new entry chance in order to fully succeed here.
Stay watching 183.5
- rejection candles and impulsive bearish candle means we keep sinking
- break above, close and rejection above here we are moving up
GBPUSD Day PlanA very interesting chart on the pound, as we closed with a sweep rather than a full bar close above. The context still remains short, and there's a noticeable descending trend in order flow after the impulsive news-driven move. The third intriguing factor for short positions is that, unlike the euro, we formed equal lows, whereas the euro cleared all liquidity below. In summary, the priority is short positions at the moment.
GJWas about to put a buy limit at 183.45 but then I looked left and looked at what happens after price kisses 184.35.
4H
- Movement up has a lot of traffic (candlesticks)
- HH's & HL's
* Evening star giving us that last touch
- bounce on 183.5 is crucial point for next move
- Close below 183.24, with a followed reject we know we are going down
1H
* H&S
- break of neckline(183.5) will give us another confluence
* RR is in our favour for this POSSIBLE trade
GBP/USD: Navigating Dollar Strength and Technical SignalsGBP/USD at Crossroads: Navigating Dollar Strength and Technical Signals
Under the weight of a resurgent US Dollar (USD), GBP/USD faced downward pressure, descending to its lowest level since mid-December around 1.2610 on Tuesday. While a recovery towards 1.2650 unfolded early Wednesday, the technical landscape hints at the persistence of a bearish bias.
Higher Timeframe Dynamics:
Zooming into a higher timeframe, our H8 chart reveals a more nuanced perspective. The pair finds itself within a bullish channel, marked by a confluence of indicators. Notably, the 61.8% Fibonacci area, the 78.6% level, the dynamic Support trendline, and the 100 Moving Average collectively act as formidable support. This alignment suggests the potential for a fresh bullish impulse, particularly following the preceding pushdown.
Adding another layer to the analysis, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains within oversold territory. This technical signal further strengthens the case for a potential pullback, aligning with the broader perspective of a bullish continuation.
Economic Data Outlook:
On the economic front, focus shifts to key data releases. The ISM Manufacturing PMI is anticipated to show a slight improvement, ticking up to 47.1 in December from 46.7 in November. Simultaneously, JOLTS Job Openings for November are expected to inch higher to 8.85 million from 8.73 million in October. Positive outcomes in these figures could reinvigorate the USD, while mixed data may keep markets on edge, awaiting the release of the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting minutes.
Conclusion:
As GBP/USD grapples with Dollar strength and technical intricacies, traders find themselves at a crossroads. While the recent downturn is evident, the higher timeframe dynamics suggest a potential reversal. The interplay between technical signals, oversold conditions, and economic data releases sets the stage for a dynamic trading environment. As the market awaits key indicators and Fed minutes, investors remain poised for strategic moves in this ever-evolving currency landscape.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.2500 with targets at 1.2750 & 1.2850 in extension
A SELL TRADE SETUP ON GBPUSDHey Traders,
Check this analysis out on GBPUSD.
I have couple of plans on POUND and i am looking forward to sell trade plan since the pair has successfully break below the previous support structure.
I will take an alternative entry if that play out also,
Keep a close tab on this.
#gbpusd #pound
GBPUSD: Pullback From Key Level 🇬🇧🇺🇸
GBPUSD formed a tiny double bottom pattern after a test of a key daily horizontal support.
The neckline of the pattern is now broken and for us it is a very strong bullish signal.
I anticipate a pullback at least to 1.2677 level now.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
GBPAUD H4 | Rising into resistanceGBP/AUD is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower towards our take profit target.
Entry: 1.87571
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.88102
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.86149
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
GBPUSDHello traders ,what do you think about GBPUSD? This pair is located below the resistance zone, also a negative divergence is seen in it, on the other hand, weakness in the movement is also seen in it.
Here are the two bearish scenarios that are shown in the chart
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GJThese are sell stops which I had placed on the 26th of December 2023, I got caught up and forgot about them. The market is currently not moving so I am at risk of losing these.
Having not paid attention I could potentially hit the risk I had planned to lose.
I had seen how the market pushed in between two price points (Blue rectangles).
Found the probability and the possibility.
Set my Trades up.
And now we are following through but if we continue the way we are going, we can actually scale in with where the market currently is. This is only advisable once we move SL into profit, above the previous high (about 179.86)
I'll keep an eye on it when the market opens and act accordingly.
GBP/USD Eyes 1.2800 Amid Dollar Weakness and UK Retail Sales..GBP/USD Eyes 1.2800 Amid Dollar Weakness and UK Retail Sales Surpass Expectations
In the European morning on Friday, GBP/USD is on a positive trajectory, setting its sights on the 1.2800 level. The US Dollar (USD) is consolidating its recent losses as the year comes to a close, with divergent Fed-BoE policy outlooks playing a pivotal role. As thin trading conditions are expected to persist, GBP/USD benefits from the broad-based selling pressure surrounding the Greenback in the latter part of Thursday's trading.
Divergent Policy Outlooks and Dollar Weakness:
The USD's losing streak is propelled by the contrasting policy outlooks of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and the Bank of England (BoE). As the Fed leans towards a more accommodative stance, the British Pound gains traction against the weakening US Dollar. Thin trading conditions, typical of the year-end, further contribute to the USD's consolidation and GBP/USD's upward momentum.
UK Retail Sales Beat Expectations:
Adding to the positive sentiment around the British Pound, the UK's Office for National Statistics (ONS) reported a robust 1.3% monthly increase in retail sales for November. This figure surpassed market expectations of a 0.4% rise by a significant margin. However, the ONS tempered the optimism by revising the annualized Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth for Q3 lower to 0.3% from the initial estimate of 0.6%.
Technical Analysis and Uptrend Continuation:
Amid these developments, our technical analysis suggests a continuation of the uptrend for GBP/USD. A pullback to the 50% - 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels serves as a potential entry point, with a projected take-profit zone around 1.28500.
As GBP/USD advances towards 1.2800, fueled by a weakening US Dollar and robust UK retail sales, traders and investors are cautiously optimistic. The divergence in central bank policies and positive economic data create a favorable environment for the British Pound. As the year concludes, attention remains on potential opportunities in the currency markets, with GBP/USD exhibiting resilience in the face of year-end trading conditions.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.2600 with targets at 1.2850 & 1.2900 in extension.