Parallel Channel
GOLD → Area of Interest 2475. What's next? 2450 or 2500?FX:XAUUSD is shedding downward on the background of unexpected NFP, which was published on Friday. The dollar is rising, which is generally negative for the metal. But, globally, gold is still strongly bullish....
The first half of the week should be extremely quiet, as important news will not start to arrive until Wednesday. Traders are waiting for CPI, PPI, as well as the Fed meeting scheduled for September 18, where they are expected to make a decision on interest rate cuts. A rate cut makes currencies cheaper, which only increases the interest in gold.
Technically, the price of gold can't consolidate above 2500 and is trading below the critical level of 2494, indicating buyer weakness, which goes into the accumulation or waiting phase....
Resistance levels: 2493, 2500
Support levels: 2485, 2475, 2450
Technically, it is worth considering a decline and a retest of 2475, as after the upward rally from below there is a huge pool of liquidity that attracts the market. Further, further scenario will depend on the market reaction to the range support: False breakdown may give a chance for growth to 2500, and breakdown and consolidation below 2475 may provoke longsqueeze to 2450.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Euro will rise almost to resistance line and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it at once made a first gap and then broke the 1.0780 level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then price rose to the resistance line of the channel, making a second gap, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. After this movement, the Euro rebounded and continued to move up inside the channel, until it reached a resistance level. Price broke this level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then exited from the channel also, but when it reached the resistance line, EUR turned around and started to decline. Soon, the price broke the 1.1135 level and continued to decline, but recently price rose to this level, after which rebounded and continued to fall. Now, I think that the Euro can little rise, maybe almost to the resistance line, and then continue to decline next. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can leave pennant and fall to $2440Hi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to falling channel, where it rose to resistance line and then continued to decline.
In a short time, price fell to support level, which coincided with support zone and made a fake breakout of this level.
Gold exited from channel and later rose to 2478 points, after which made correction and started to grow in pennant.
Price rose to $2525 resistance level and some time traded near this level, trying to break it, but failed.
After this, XAU fell to support line of pennant and then started to grow, so, I think Gold can little grow.
Then price can turn around and start to decline to $2440, thereby exiting from pennant.
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All About the Flag Pattern (Beginner-Friendly)Hello everyone,
Today, I’ve prepared an educational guide on chart patterns, specifically focusing on the Flag Pattern.
This content is designed to be easy for beginners to follow, so I hope you find it engaging and informative. :)
Below is the outline I’ll be using for this post:
————
✔️ Outline
1. What is a Flag Pattern?
Definition
Key Components
Characteristics
2. Bullish Flag Pattern
Basic Characteristics
Examples
3. Bearish Flag Pattern
Basic Characteristics
Examples
————
1. What is a Flag Pattern?
1) Definition
A Flag Pattern forms during a brief consolidation phase after a strong price movement, often signaling the continuation of a trend. It typically appears when prices make a sharp move, either up or down, followed by a period of sideways or slightly counter-trend movement.
Flag Patterns can occur in both uptrends and downtrends, named for their resemblance to an actual flag. After a strong price move, the market consolidates briefly before continuing in the original trend direction.
2) Key Components
Flagpole: The initial strong price movement that sets the overall trend direction before the consolidation phase.
Flag: The consolidation period where prices move sideways or slightly counter to the trend, often forming a rectangle or parallelogram. This phase typically occurs with a decrease in trading volume.
Breakout: The moment when the price resumes its original trend direction. In an uptrend, this is an upward breakout, and in a downtrend, a downward breakout, confirming the continuation of the trend.
3) Characteristics
Duration: The Flag Pattern typically lasts longer than the Flagpole but varies depending on the timeframe.
Volume: Volume usually decreases during the Flag’s formation and increases once the breakout occurs.
Reliability: The Flag Pattern is considered a reliable indicator of trend continuation, making it a favorite among traders using trend-based strategies.
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2. Bullish Flag Pattern
1) Basic Characteristics
A Bullish Flag forms after a strong upward price movement, signaling a temporary consolidation phase. During this consolidation, volume typically decreases, suggesting that the market is pausing rather than reversing. After this phase, the price often continues its upward trend, accompanied by an increase in volume. Bullish Flag Patterns also help relieve overbought conditions in technical indicators, providing the market with a chance to prepare for another move up.
2-1) Example 1
This chart from May 2023 shows a strong Flagpole followed by a long consolidation phase (Flag). The volume then increased as the price broke out, completing the Bullish Flag Pattern.
2-2) Example 2
In this chart from March 2021, we see a similar setup: a strong Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase, leading to a breakout that continued the upward trend.
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3. Bearish Flag Pattern
1) Basic Characteristics
The Bearish Flag Pattern is the inverse of the Bullish Flag. It follows a strong downward move (Flagpole) and is followed by a period of consolidation (Flag) with decreasing volume. Like its bullish counterpart, the Bearish Flag can relieve oversold conditions, leading to a continuation of the downtrend after a breakout.
2-1) Example 1
This chart from May 2022 displays a Bearish Flag Pattern: a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a Flag consolidation phase. After the consolidation, a breakout occurred, continuing the downtrend.
2-2) Example 2
This chart from February 2022 also illustrates a strong downward Flagpole, followed by a consolidation phase (Flag), leading to a breakout that completed the Bearish Flag Pattern.
This guide will help you better understand the Flag Pattern and how it can be used in your trading strategy effectively!
————
✔️ Conclusion
I hope the various Flag Patterns and market analysis techniques covered in this post prove helpful in your investment journey. Chart analysis is not merely a technical skill but also a deeper understanding of market psychology and movement. Flag Patterns, along with other chart patterns, visually reflect the psychological dynamics of the market. Mastering their use can greatly contribute to successful trading.
That being said, the crypto market is inherently unpredictable and fast-moving. While technical analysis is a valuable tool, it’s important to adopt a comprehensive approach that considers broader market trends and external factors. I encourage you to apply the insights gained from this post with a balanced and cautious perspective when making investment decisions.
New opportunities are constantly emerging, and those who are prepared to seize them will find success. The chart represents the market’s voice. Listening to it, interpreting it, and making informed decisions based on that interpretation is "the essence" of chart analysis.
I sincerely hope that, through continuous learning and experience, you’ll evolve into a more confident and successful investor.
GOLD (XAUUSD): Support and Resistance Analysis For Next Week
Here is my latest structure analysis for Gold for next week.
Resistance 1: 2525 - 2531 area
Support 1: 2471 - 2484 area
Support 2: 2432 - 2447 area
Support 3: 2353 - 2381 area
The price is now stuck within a horizontal range based on Resistance 1 and Support 1.
Consolidation may continue, and we may see one more bullish movement to its upper boundary.
Alternatively, a breakout of one of the boundaries of the range will indicate the future direction of the market.
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BTC Long and Short OptionsBTC in green support zone.
Not interested in a long here on this double bottom there is no volume to support it on the 2hr and the daily is showing signs that volume is consistent for further down moves.
Only entertaining a long position if it traps off that next low, honestly isn't a great low since that was a panic move from the Japan blow out so I'm dubious if there will be much reaction there and price action suggest it just caught a lot of people off guard. Only a V shaped reversal for now.
For a short continuation price has to break that low and find some price acceptance and some sort of channel to form, be looking for a pull back to trap off one of the lower highs made.
Using candle close above 21EMA on daily or 2hr setup of a similar nature. V shaped with a solid 2hr close candle across the EMA with an increase in volume. No volume, then no entry.
Just a consolidation or a downtrend ? Since hitting an all time high in March, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a downtrend channel.
the Price is currently oscillating between the 23.60% ($60’000 area), currently acting as resistance, and the 38.20% ($51’500 area), currently acting as resistance.
The MACD is confirming that further downside potential appears technically viable, notwithstanding the expected interim rallies, until the price is able to break out of its down-trending channel.
Bitcoin can continue to decline inside downward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago entered to the range, where it at once reached the top part, which coincided with the resistance level and then dropped. BTC fell to the bottom part of the range, which coincided with the current resistance level, and at once rebounded and started to move up. In a short time, the price reached the 61800 level, and broke it, thereby exiting from the range also. Next, the price made a small movement up, after which turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel, where BTC broke the 61800 level one more time. Later, the price declined to the support line of the channel, and at once rose to the resistance line and continued to move down. Price fell to the 56600 level and broke it, after which made a retest and continued to decline. For this case, I think that Bitcoin can make a small movement up and then continue to decline inside the downward channel. Therefore I set my TP at 51000 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
BTC: The beginning of a rebound.Hello everyone,
Here’s a quick and simple breakdown of the key support and resistance zones.
Below are the reasons why these zones have been selected:
✔️ Support Zone 1. ($53,329.5 ~ $52,372.5)
Descending channel
Fibonacci 0.786 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
✔️ Resistance Zone 1. ($55,969.0 ~ $55,499.6)
Fibonacci 0.236 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
✔️ Resistance Zone 2. ($58,218.0 ~ $57,348.7)
Fibonacci 0.382 retracement
Significant low (S/R Flip)
There's a strong likelihood of significant price action within these zones, either as support or resistance. Keep a close eye on Bitcoin’s movement in these areas. Best of luck!
*S/R Flip: Support/Resistance Flip
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
It is a personal perspective and should be used for reference only.
All decisions and responsibilities lie with you.
GOLD → Aggressive bulls and double bottoms. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is testing the support of the range, forming a double bottom and distribution. Buyers are not ready to say goodbye to 2475, aggressively holding this area. Price is heading towards the upper end of the range.
Bulls held global support, bringing price back to ATH amid expectations of key economic data from the US. NFP, and inflation data on Friday weigh on markets' assessment of the size of the Fed's rate cut this month. Gold traders will be focused on ADP private sector employment data, Initial Jobless Claims and ISM services PMI.
Technically, the focus is on the 2526 - 2504 range. Such a strong move (distribution) is fraught with a false breakdown and rebound, but there are fundamental nuances: favorable news can strengthen the rally and break the resistance, while negative news can turn the price all the way to 2475.
Resistance levels: 2526, 2531
Support levels: 2510, 2504, 2494
Emphasis on the retest of resistance 2526. High probability of a rebound to 0.5 fibo. Further, the market will be influenced by economic data, which will be published from 12:15 GMT. It is not excluded that the price will reverse earlier or fly to 2550.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
TON of bricks or light as a feather?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Killed the impulse up. Doesn't feel natural to label the larger X as such due to the separation of correctives, but it's this or C of running flat.
Either way, the paths lead the same direction.
Impulse up with a corrective to LOI...of interest.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
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Bullish Take:
Breakout Possibility: The price has been testing the downtrend line (blue line), and a potential breakout above could lead to a bullish rally.
Key Levels to Watch: The next target after a breakout is the $10.812 level.
Recovery Formation: The price is hovering near a critical support level at $9.910, and if it breaks and holds, this could trigger a bullish reversal.
Bearish Take:
Downtrend Still Intact: The price remains under the blue trendline, suggesting the downtrend is not yet broken.
Support at Risk: If $9.910 fails to hold, the next support lies around $9.329, which could lead to further downside.
Lower High Formation: The chart shows a series of lower highs, reinforcing a bearish sentiment unless a strong breakout occurs.
In summary:
Bullish outlook if price breaks the trendline and moves above $10.812.
Bearish outlook if price breaks down below $9.910, potentially leading to $9.329.
Trade Safe,
Trade Clarity.
USDJPY → Consolidating before the news.... FX:USDJPY has been in consolidation for a long time, correlating with the dollar. Traders are waiting for key news and are not ready to act early.
The currency pair is in the downward phase, which is a consequence of the strengthening of the Japanese yen on the background of the dollar's decline. The Central Bank of Japan actively considered the issue of raising rates, but postponed this step for later because of destabilized markets.
Today is an important report on inflation in the USA. So far, everything is going according to the Fed's plan. Markets are actively plotting the start of a Fed rate cut in September.
Technically, the bearish trend may continue, there is a huge pool of liquidity above 147.9, which may be liquidated before further decline.
Resistance levels: 147.9, 150.2, 150.86
Support levels: 146.29, 144.04
Technically and fundamentally we have prerequisites leading to a possible decline. We should wait for news to take some actions....
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:USDJPY ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Dollar Index (DXY): Time to Grow?!
Dollar Index has a nice potential to keep growing next week.
The market nicely respected a daily horizontal structure support,
bounced and violated a resistance line of a falling parallel channel on an hourly time frame.
The market may reach at least 101.44 level.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Important Decision Ahead
The release of the today's fundamentals is favorable for bulls in the Gold market.
The price is now testing the resistance cluster based on the current All Time High.
As always, our strategy is to wait for is bullish breakout.
A daily candle close above that will confirm a violation.
A bullish movement to 2550 will be expected then.
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GOLD - Price can exit from flat and continue to move upHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A not long time ago price bounced from $2405 to $2475 level and then turned around and fell lower $2405 level, breaking it.
Then price started to grow inside rising channel, where it rose to $2475 level, breaking $2405 level one more time.
Gold some time traded near $2475 level and later broke it, exiting from channel and entering to flat.
In flat price some time traded between the top part and bottom, and a not long time ago it bounced from $2475 level.
Now, Gold trades near top part of flat and I think that price can reach this part and then make a small correction move.
Next, price will exit from flat and continue to move up to $2570
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