Bitcoin - Please Look At This Timeframe!Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD ) is still totally bullish:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Please just make sure, that you don't trust Bitcoin with its daily swings of more than -5%. Looking at the overall picture, Bitcoin is still incredibly bullish and almost trading at its all time high. Bulls are 100% in control of everything and some profit taking along the way is just normal.
Levels to watch: $70.000, $100.000, $300.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Parallel Channel
GBPUSD → One step away from breaking support and falling awayFX:GBPUSD is facing difficulties. Negative fundamental background, strong dollar and price entry into the selling zone gives a bunch of preconditions hinting at the continuation of the fall
Yesterday the UK GDP came out, which remained at the same level, there is no driver for GBP at the moment, but there is for USD, which is growing after interest rate cuts, but the growth is not because of this, but because of hints of stopping the cycle of further rate cuts and the change of officials' mood to hawkish, which in general, against the background of Trump's policy indicates medium-term potential. Technically, the currency pair is testing the risk zone, a false breakout will form a rebound reaction and I think it will be a short-term reaction.
Resistance levels: 1.257, 1.2597, 1.2665
Support levels: 1.2488, 1.245
After the false breakdown, the currency pair may test the local resistance. But retest of the support within 1-3 days will play an important role. Formation of a pre-breakout base at 1.2488 will strengthen the potential for further decline
With Respect R. Linda!
Euro can fall to buyer zone and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago broke the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and started to grow inside the upward channel. In this channel, the price grew to the resistance line, after which turned around and started to decline in a downward channel, exiting from the upward channel. In this channel, the Euro declined to the seller zone, where it soon broke the 1.0485 level and fell to the support line, but soon turned around and backed up. Next, the price some time traded near the resistance level and later rebounded and made a strong impulse down, breaking the 1.0390 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby exiting from the downward channel as well. Later Euro turned around and started to grow and some time later reached the 1.0390 level, broke it, and continued to move up. But a not long time ago, the price started to decline, so, for this case, I think that the price can decline to the buyer zone. AFter this movement, Euro will turn around and start to move up to the resistance level from the buyer zone. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0485 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD - Price can start to decline, breaking support levelHi guys, this is my overview for XAUUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price fell inside falling channel, where it soon reached and broke at once $2720 level.
Then price continued to decline and later fell to $2535 points, after which XAU started to grow.
Price exited from falling channel and soon entered to flat, breaking $2620 level, where it soon reached top part.
After this, price was corrected and some time traded near $2620 level, and then grew to top part one more time.
But soon, Gold turned around and declined Below $2620 level, exiting from flat and recently rising back to this level.
Now, I think that Gold can make a small move up and then start to decline to $2540
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USDCHF: Bullish Move Confirmed 🇺🇸🇨🇭
It looks like a local correctional movement is over on USDCHF
and the pair is returning to a bullish trend.
The release of the today's US fundamentals made the pair
violate a resistance line of a narrow consolidation range on an hourly.
The price will most likely go up to 0.9007 level.
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GOLD (XAUUSD): Intraday Bearish Bias
Gold nicely retested a recently broken key daily horizontal support.
After its test, I see very intraday bearish price action with
a confirmed local Change of Character CHoCH.
The price will most likely drop lower at least to 2585.
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BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to move up in the rising channel, where it at once made correction from resistance line.
Price fell below $94000 level, but soon backed up and later continued to grow to resistance line of channel.
When price reached this line, it made a correction to support line and then rose higher than $103500 level, breaking it.
Soon BTC turned around and declined to support level, breaking resistance level and exiting from channel.
At the moment, price trades close support level and I think it can fall to the support area and then start to grow to $100K.
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META pullback to $586MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
2HR CHART (expect target to hit THIS WEEK)
Price at or above top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near 3.618 Fibonacci level
Target is $586 or channel bottom
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
ETH over the last year and now todayI wanted to zoom out of the chart that I provided yesterday identifying this potential for buying the dip. We did break down through bottom of ascending channel for just a fast wick but it likely indicates we are breaking out of this ascension. As you see there is a lot of potential for a sideways channel here at the top of the larger (slightly descending) sideways channel, here we could consolidate in the top third of the channel and then build up the courage to try to break out of top of this year long channel again, or break down and potentially trace all the way back to bottom of channel which as you see is as low as $2200. If we break that $3500 support, I will become short term bearish. Market has been strong though so good chance we maintain top of channel and try to break out again in the near future.
IMO daily candle charts are the most important and reliable charts. I do like 4 hour candles as they are more granular for seeing trends and are pretty close to as reliable and I often look at 1 hour candles for a pulse on the now but generally speaking, the shorter candle you use, the less you can rely on it.
Lets take a look at the break down of the daily candle.
---------------------------------------------------------------
# ETH/USD Analysis – Daily Chart 📊
## Structure and Price Action:
**Ascending Channel with Breakdown Risks**
ETH/USD is currently trading within a **parallel ascending channel**, with price oscillating between its upper and lower bounds (green lines). Recently, the price sharply rejected at **$4,100** and is now testing the **lower trendline support** near **$3,500**.
**Bearish Rejection Near Key Resistance**
Sellers emerged strongly at the **$4,100 Bearish Order Block (OB)**, leading to a steep reversal. This highlights a significant supply zone at this level.
**Approaching Key Demand Zone**
The price is nearing **Bullish Order Blocks (OB)** around **$3,500–$3,600** (green zones), where buyers have defended historically. This is a critical support area within the larger channel.
---
## Support and Resistance:
**Immediate Resistance**
- **$3,600–$3,700**: Overhead resistance zone, aligned with EMA 20 and mid-channel range.
- **$4,100**: Major supply zone, previously rejected at this level.
**Key Support Levels**
- **$3,500**: Current demand area reinforced by a key trend line
- **$2,800–$3,000**: Next structural support if breakdown occurs.
---
## Indicators
**EMAs (20/50/100/200):**
- The price has dropped below **EMA 20 ($3,800)** and **EMA 50 ($3,750)**, indicating short-term bearish momentum.
- **EMA 100 ($3,610)** is providing immediate dynamic support.
- **EMA 200 ($3,380)** remains a critical long-term support level.
**Parabolic SAR**
- SAR dots are below the candles indicating an up wave in progress but it seems muted.
**Volume**
- Recent sell-off saw a **volume surge**, confirming active participation in the pullback.
**Stochastic RSI**
- Currently **oversold** (9.30/26.79), favoring a short-term bounce from this zone.
**Money Flow Index (MFI)**
- MFI is sitting at **51.26**, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions but showing signs of selling pressure easing.
---
## Pattern Analysis:
**Ascending Channel Breakdown Risk**
ETH/USD is testing the **lower channel boundary ($3,500)**. A breakdown below this level could invalidate the top of channel, leading to bearish momentum targeting lower support levels.
---
## Probabilistic Outlook
**Bullish Scenario (Primary Case):**
If buyers defend the **$3,500–$3,600** zone with rising volume:
- **First Target**: $3,800–$3,850 (EMA 20 and mid-channel resistance).
- **Second Target**: $4,000–$4,100 (upper channel resistance).
**Bearish Scenario (Alternate Case):**
If the price closes below **$3,500**:
- **First Target**: $3,200 (next structural support).
- **Second Target**: $3,000–$2,800 (psychological level and major demand zone).
---
## Key Signals to Watch:
1. **$3,500 Support**: Holding or breaking this level will decide the next move.
2. **Volume Confirmation**: Rising volume on bounce or breakdown strengthens directional bias.
3. **Stochastic RSI Oversold Levels**: Signals a possible bounce unless selling pressure increases.
---
## Order Book Update:
Order books continue to look dirty but with potential for recovery. Both asks and bids tracking a downward trend, asks is staging a potential ascending channel though many times asks have lost a bit more than bids on pullback, indicating negative trader sentiment or fear in the market, it is in a position to change course over the next days but until it does, books are under pressure.
---
## Conclusion:
ETH/USD is at a **critical inflection point**, testing the lower trendline of the ascending channel converting to a sideways channel to consolidate before breaking out or breaking down. Bulls need to defend **$3,500** to sustain the medium term bullish structure. A successful defense targets **$3,800–$4,100**, with anything higher than $4100 starting a new breakout and while failure to maintain $3500 opens the path toward **$2,800** or lower.
🔍 **Monitor volume, key support levels, and stochastic momentum for confirmation.** 🚨
Gold - Starting A Major -25% Correction!Gold ( TVC:GOLD ) is starting to reject resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After rallying an incredible +35% during 2024, Gold is now (finally) starting to show some expected weakness at a major resistance trendline. Following this quite significant overextension, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term bearish correction now.
Levels to watch: $2.700, $2.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Focus Shifts to Greenback and the 10-year TreasuryThe Federal Reserve triggered violent drops in stocks yesterday and two key charts could be attempting important breakouts.
We first consider the U.S. Dollar Index with weekly candles. There’s a falling trendline along the peaks of October 2023 and late April. DXY rallied through that resistance and turned it into support earlier this month. That may be consistent with an uptrend.
Second, DXY has advanced in 11 of the last 12 weeks. That could also suggest direction is accelerating higher.
Third, some traders may now eye the October 2022 high around 114 as the next key level.
Next is the 10-year Treasury Yield with 3-day candles (to clearly display almost 2 years of history):
A falling channel began in late 2023 at the same time stocks began their latest rally, but TNX didn’t reach the lower end of the channel. That was the first sign that yields might still be rising.
TNX also failed to reach its March 2023 low and refused to stay below its December 2023 low.
The index dipped last month but held its mid-July low above 4 percent.
Next comes the historically important long-term peak of 4.34 percent from the start of the Global Financial Crisis. After that, TNX closed above its November daily high.
Each of those points additionally suggest that that yields are moving higher. They also shift attention to the next big level near 5 percent from October 2022.
Given the importance of DXY and TNX for risk appetite, some traders may find potentially useful intermarket signals on their charts.
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EconOptic| We are still in the ascending channel Bitcoin Analysis in the 4-Hour Timeframe
Yesterday, Bitcoin experienced a price correction, reaching the lower boundary of the ascending channel, as the midline of the channel lacked sufficient strength to support the price.
The observed correction and decline were stronger than the previous upward wave, which may indicate the sellers' dominance. However, since the price remains within an ascending channel and the overall trend is bullish, I do not recommend opening short positions at this time.
My first trigger for a short position would be a lower high formation and a confirmed break below the ascending channel's bottom line.
For long positions, the safest entry remains above the green line at **107,538**. Alternatively, another viable option could be waiting for price consolidation and the formation of a new breakout trigger, likely around the midline of the ascending channel. This scenario would be ideal if accompanied by a decrease in red candle volume and an increase in green candle volume, signaling momentum building in favor of the trend.
i recommend you to use safe stoploss .
Conclusion:
While the recent correction suggests increasing selling pressure, the overall bullish trend and channel structure indicate better opportunities for long positions. A confirmed breakout trigger with momentum support will provide the most favorable entry for buyers.
Thank you for reading this analysis.
-EconOptic
GOLD (XAUUSD): Massive Breakout
FED rate decision and FOMC made Gold very bearish yesterday.
The price violated a support line of a wide horizontal range on a daily.
Its breakout signifies a strong bearish pressure.
It opens a potential for more price depreciation.
Next support - 2563
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NFLX pullback to $803MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is positive
Price at 4.618 Fibonacci level
Down from $876.75
Target is $803 or channel bottom
will manually stop loss
Z tags $85, pulls back to $75MODs have suggested that I provide more detail about the picks I make.
Sorry. I'm not as verbose as y'all, and I don't like things to be complicated.
My trading plan is very simple.
I buy or sell at top & bottom of parallel channels.
I confirm when price hits Fibonacci levels.
So...
Here's why I'm picking this symbol to do the thing.
Price at or near top of channels (period 100 52 39 & 26)
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) at overbought level
VBSM is spiked positive
Price at or near Fibonacci level
Buying a put if price reaches $85
Target is $75 or channel bottom
Stop loss is TBD
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
Bitcoin - More blood will follow (Do not buy now, buy here!)Bitcoin is completely manipulated by the banks and huge institutions. They sent Bitcoin down just to make your Christmas and New Year celebrations bad. But luckily I warned you about this crash a few days ago, just before it happened in my previous analysis, when almost everyone was drunk with strong greed. Bitcoin crashed by 15% so far; altcoins are down by 30% to 70%.
The last days were very profitable, but let's focus on the future, because that's the most important. Bitcoin bounced a bit from 92k to 99k, giving players hope that the bottom is in. But do not be fooled, this looks like a corrective move for multiple reasons.
The first reason is that the crash was extremely fast and strong, pretty much no one expected such a drop in the short term. My Elliott Wave analysis suggests that this is a strong impulse wave 12345 and therefore the start of a larger corrective structure ABC. We have finished wave A, now we are in wave B, and we can expect wave C to finish at around 85k! You want to take a Fibonacci extension, as you can see on my chart.
I strongly recommend waiting for 85k because we have an unfilled FVGAP on the daily chart, and this needs to be tested. Write a comment with your altcoin, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Also, please hit boost and follow for more ideas. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!