BTCUSDT - Elliott Wave Analysis: Wave 5 Targeting $115,000 Market Overview
- BTC is unfolding a classic Elliott Wave impulse, currently correcting in Wave 4.
- This correction has established strong support near the $94,500-$96,000 zone, aligning with the 38.2%-50% Fibonacci retracement of Wave 3.
- The Wave 5 target is projected at $115,000, based on Fibonacci extensions and historical price momentum.
Technical Analysis
1. Wave Count Breakdown:
- Wave 1: Initiation of bullish momentum with a strong breakout.
- Wave 2: Healthy retracement establishing a higher low.
- Wave 3: Extended bullish rally, peaked at $108,000, showing typical impulsive strength.
- Wave 4: Ongoing corrective phase, respecting key Fibonacci retracement levels.
- Wave 5 (Projected): Anticipated bullish rally toward $115,000, potentially extending to $118,000 under strong momentum.
2. Key Levels to Watch:
- Support Zones:
- $93,000-$94,000: Key demand zone where buying interest is evident.
- Break below $92,000 invalidates the bullish Elliott Wave structure.
- Resistance Levels:
- $108,000: Wave 4 high, pivotal for confirming a bullish breakout.
- $115,000: Projected Wave 5 target based on 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3.
- $118,000: Secondary extension level if bullish momentum sustains.
3. Fibonacci Analysis:
- Wave 4 Correction:
- Aligns with the 38.2%-50% retracement of Wave 3, a standard correction zone.
- Wave 5 Projection:
- Targets 1.618 Fibonacci extension of Wave 3, landing near $115,000.
4. Trendline Analysis:
- A rising trendline connecting Waves 1 and 3 provides structural support.
- Parallel projection supports the expected upward movement toward Wave 5.
Momentum and Indicators
1. RSI (14):
- Wave 4 correction shows RSI consolidating in the 40-50 zone, indicative of oversold conditions.
- A bullish crossover above 50-60 will confirm the start of Wave 5.
2. MACD (12, 26, 9):
- MACD histogram flattening during Wave 4 indicates diminishing bearish pressure.
- A bullish crossover on MACD lines will serve as a strong signal for Wave 5 initiation.
3. Volume Profile:
- Accumulation in the $93,000-$94,000 zone reflects strong institutional interest.
- Wave 5 should see a notable rise in volume as price approaches $108,000 and breaks out toward $115,000.
Trading Plan
1. Entry Points:
- Accumulate positions in the $94,500 - $96,000 support zone.
- Add on breakout confirmation above $108,000 for conservative entries.
2. Stop-Loss:
- Place below $92,000 to limit downside risk and invalidate the current wave structure.
3. Profit Targets:
- Primary Target: $115,000 (Wave 5 Fibonacci extension).
- Stretch Target: $118,000 if momentum sustains post-breakout.
4. Risk Management:
- Risk no more than 1%-2% of capital per trade.
Scenarios
1. Bullish Scenario:
- Price holds the $94,000-$96,000 zone and breaks above $108,000 with volume confirmation.
- Wave 5 achieves $115,000, with possible extensions to $118,000.
2. Bearish Scenario:
- Failure to hold $92,000 invalidates the current Elliott Wave structure.
- Price may retrace deeper, targeting the $88,000-$90,000 zone.
Pro Summary
BTC is setting up for an impulsive Wave 5 rally, with $115,000 as the primary target. A breakout above $108,000 will confirm the next leg of the bullish trend. Maintain a disciplined approach with stops below $92,000 and adjust positions as the price action unfolds. 🚀
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies involves significant risk, and you should do your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions.
Community ideas
BITCOIN - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for BTCUSDT, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to move up in the rising channel, where it at once made correction from resistance line.
Price fell below $94000 level, but soon backed up and later continued to grow to resistance line of channel.
When price reached this line, it made a correction to support line and then rose higher than $103500 level, breaking it.
Soon BTC turned around and declined to support level, breaking resistance level and exiting from channel.
At the moment, price trades close support level and I think it can fall to the support area and then start to grow to $100K.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
NQ1 - Rate Cut Dip Buy Part 2I clicked "trading closed" or whatever on the previous thread so its easier to start another one, but look back for previous detail if you like...
...
NQ1
Quite a wild little period here as you're busy preparing for Christmas 😅.
But this is now a juncture where the wild downside may be coming to an end.
...
Nice little bounce so here and its a weak 1:0.618 extension.
So this tells us that there could be a significant bounce coming.
Didn't quite hit support but front running is common with bullish indexes.
...
Remember that although this is a long term 1.618 reaction that has historically led to major collapses, this area may also be post rate cut volatility.
And so there is the possibility that the first wave of whipsaw is completing.
If that is the case then we may see some strong bullish action.
I think there is a reasonable chance that we may see a V shaped recovery.
Though there can be minor pull backs along the way
Up and up from here 👍.
Not advice
Second $XRP Elliot Wave is over nowThe CRYPTOCAP:XRP re-test of the $2 level could be the end of the 2/5 Elliot Wave of the #Ripple bullish cycle.
The bullish potential is based on:
- The recent launch of #RLUSD,
- Trump's embrace of US #altcoins,
- the appointment of a pro-crypto SEC #chairman
- the resolution of Ripple's legal battle with the #SEC, and
- the approval of the XRP-focused exchange-traded funds
$xrp long entry
### **Market Context:**
- **Support Zone:** Price has reacted strongly from the FVG (Fair Value Gap) near the $2.21 - $2.15 region, showing bullish demand in this area.
- **Resistance Levels:** Immediate resistance is around $2.39, with further key levels at $2.70 and $2.92.
- **Order Block (OB):** Notable bearish order block marked near $2.70, which can serve as a potential take-profit area.
---
### **Key Observations:**
1. **Bullish Structure:**
- The price has established a bullish market structure shift (MSS) after revisiting demand zones.
- EMAs are aligning closely, suggesting consolidation before a potential breakout.
2. **Liquidity Grab:**
- The recent dip into the FVG signals a liquidity grab, hinting at bullish accumulation.
3. **Risk-Reward Setup:**
- The long position setup reflects a favorable risk-reward ratio, with the stop-loss below $2.15 and targets extending to $2.70 and potentially $2.92.
---
### **Trade Plan:**
- **Entry:** Around $2.32 - $2.36 (current price zone).
- **Stop Loss:** Below $2.15 to account for a safe invalidation.
- **Targets:**
- **TP1:** $2.70 (resistance near the OB zone).
- **TP2:** $2.92 (major resistance and psychological level).
---
### **Notes for Traders:**
- Watch for volume confirmation as the price approaches resistance levels.
- If price retraces to the FVG ($2.21 area), consider it an opportunity to add to the position.
---
Keep your risk management tight and follow the plan!
SUIUSD: The 1D MA50 held again. Bounce incoming.SUI turned stayed bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.166, MACD = 0.287, ADX = 25.285) as the short term pullback stopped right on the 1D MA50, touching it for the first time since November 5th. This kept the Channel Up intact while the RSI hit and bounced on its own 4 month S1 Zone. This is the buy signal for the new bullish wave. We are bullish and aiming for the minimum +140% increase (TP = 7.000).
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#BTC reaches support zone📊#BTC reaches support zone✔️
🧠From a structural point of view, all the goals of the short structure have been achieved, and the target area of this structure overlaps with the yellow support area. The overlapping area is regarded as the heaviest support area, so there is an expectation of rebound.
➡️From the perspective of wave theory, the Elliott Pulse Wave has been fully realized, and there is also an expectation of rebound.
➡️If you miss the best entry opportunity, then you can expect to participate in long trades after building a long structure near the buy zone.
Let's see👀
🤜If you like my analysis, please like💖 and share💬
BITGET:BTCUSDT.P
AMD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 300% gains SWING TRADE🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for AMD.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for AMD bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively, so eventually AMD will to the
mean reversion trade and start to catch up with NVDA, however currently
pullback/correction mode in progress.
🔸Well defined swings - 160 to 58 65% correction, then 58 to 210 280% gains,
210 to 75 represents 65% correction, 75 to 290 is a 280% pump.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 75 usd in January 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 290 USD, 280% upside off the expected lows. good luck traders!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Staying calm and buying NVDAThe world is not ending (yet). NASDAQ:NVDA is down a little over 12% since the beginning of November and everyone acts like it didn't have drops of 20+% in August/Sept and 25ish% in July.
Normal state of affairs for NASDAQ:NVDA , so I'm a buyer here. Beware, though. While my algo is historically undefeated on NVDA, it has also gotten me into FAST, APD, CR and some others lately that are acting like absolute dogs. I'm sure they will work out in the end, but these trades would test the patience of most - they're testing me and I know how the story ends already. I'm hoping this trade breaks that ugly streak I'm on rather than joins it. Fingers crossed...
I'm adding as long as the algo says it's a buy and I'm selling any lot on its first profitable close. Same plan as usual. Side note: most of the trades shown on the chart used a more aggressive exit strategy than this does. Closing out on the first profitable close for a lot works especially well when a trade entry is part of a downtrend. The trade should close more quickly, but generate a smaller win when it does.
As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NOVO - final pukeA very quick alert on the Novo crash underway. It looks like Cagrisema has failed to deliver the results it expected on the level of weight loss.
We are now down over 49% on the stock, hitting the 200 week EMA and the golden ratio Fibonacci level.
Is now a good time to buy the dip? If we can hold this level of support at around $80 I think this is a wonderful opportunity to get involved in this industry, where demand is outstripping supply.
Not financial advice
EUR-AUD Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-AUD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A bullish breakout of the
Key level of 1.6596 then
Made a pullback and is
Now going up again
So we are bullish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Retracement is loadinghi every one
happy Yalda night to all humans around the world
in my opinion btc should retrace to 0.5 fibo area even may touch the 0.618 area
but the most important thing is that we are in a bullish phase and selling trades are not allowed , i suggest to keep calm and buy the dip on 80k and 74k .
#Altcoins Q4 2020 x Q4 2024#Alts market cap TOTAL2 After making a major rise after the US elections in November 2020, it made a major correction towards mid-December and started a parabolic run after being rejected from the ($177.8B) Fibonacci 0.5 support.
Altcoins, which made a major rise after the US elections in November 2024, started a major correction phase in mid-December,
It will not be surprising if the correction ($1.19T) continues up to the Fibonacci 0.5 level and starts moving upwards from the current level.
Where do we go from here?If you're looking at this in terms of market cycles in correlation with halvings... These are my opinions in an attempt to pick the top 3 most likely scenarios for the next 12-13 months. Please provide feedback as this is not about ego, it's more of a thought exercise.
The 2 vertical lines are the window/time frame for exiting. The diagonal lines represent the tops of the previous 2 market cycles. Not in any particular order are what I consider the 3 most likely scenarios...
1. The theory of diminishing returns applies. Bitcoin is becoming larger and less volatile. It is possible that this market cycle will not break past the red line projections. If this is true then the next market cycle may see less than 100% return.
Conclusion--market cycle has already peaked.
Projection: bleed-off of BTC price to approximately FWB:73K before starting into the next bull market cycle. Start buying again in about 2 years.
2. Everything the same as 1 except
Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked.
Projection: 3-4 months of pain or longer if the bleed is slow. Tops out by the end of next year between $114k and $130k.
3. We are on the verge of government adoption and regulatory clarity in the USA and several other countries.
Conclusion--market cycle has not yet peaked.
Projection: A steep pull back over the next 3-4 months to meet the fast moving average bringing BTC price as low as 80k-75k before violently snapping up as we see the gears of legislation starting to move, breaking the projection from the previous 2 cycles driving BTC price beyond 200k by the end of next year.
But those are just my thoughts. What do you think?
Technical Insights: Building the Bullish Case for GalaTechnical confirmation of Wave 3 will occur when the price breaks above the Wave 2 high of $0.06649, as shown in the 4-hour chart. Until then, I’ll continue building a bullish case while monitoring price action closely.
Bullish Indicators
To support my analysis, I’m using the daily timeframe as the higher timeframe and the 4-hour timeframe as the lower view. Here's what I'm seeing:
Daily Timeframe
Stochastic RSI: Oversold at 0.41, with the K line on the verge of a bullish crossover with the D line. This signals an opportunity for a potential long setup.
RSI: At 40.79, a favorable level for price interest to increase.
Fibonacci Confluence: The ABC correction has bounced at the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, a strong indicator of a potential reversal.
Note: The Rate of Change (ROC) currently shows bearish momentum at -28.38, likely reflecting the recent price drop. As momentum indicators are lagging, I’ll monitor this closely for a shift upwards as price momentum builds.
4-Hour Timeframe
Stochastic RSI: Oversold at 14.70, with the K line crossing the D line, forming a bullish crossover—an ideal entry signal for a long position.
RSI: Oversold at 27.28, with upward momentum signaling a potential short-term price spike, which would align with bullish momentum on the daily timeframe.
Positioning and Price Expectations
I have already bought in to Gala, and this review reinforces my bullish bias. While time will determine if we are indeed in Wave 3, the following price targets are based on traditional Fibonacci extensions and levels illustrated on the daily chart:
Target 1: 1.618 Fib Level — $0.11303
Target 2: Monthly Resistance — $0.13158
Target 3: 2.618 Fib Level — $0.16193
Given that Target 2 (monthly resistance) is slightly above the 1.618 Fib Level, it’s reasonable to expect price to wick toward this level before potentially settling at or below 1.618.
Final Thoughts
The crypto market is notoriously unpredictable, and no one can perfectly predict price targets. However, the levels outlined provide a solid framework for assessing the price movement during Wave 3. With five sub-waves within Wave 3, I’ll reassess and adjust as each unfolds to refine expectations.