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CAC 40 Drops Hard! Fed's New Tone Sparks Sharp DeclineCAC 40 (French Index) on a 1-hour timeframe initiated a short trade using the Risological Trading Indicator. The sharp decline aligns with fundamental market dynamics influenced by the Federal Reserve's policy stance. Trade Highlights: Entry : Short position initiated based on bearish sentiment. Current Trend: Sharp downward movement observed. Reasons for Decline: At 8:15 AM, the December futures contract for the CAC 40 fell 110.5 points, settling at 7277.5 points, indicating a 1%+ decline at the open. The Federal Reserve cut its key interest rates for the third time this year, reducing them to a range of 4.25% to 4.50%. Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a "new phase" of monetary policy, characterized by a slower pace of rate cuts, contrary to market expectations. Updated projections show only two rate cuts next year, compared to the four previously anticipated by investors, fueling bearish momentum.
TVC:CAC40Short
by ProfitsNinja
1
PEPE/USDT 4-Hour Chart Analysis. PEPE is trading at 0.00001862, in a downtrend, moving away from the key Ichimoku Cloud resistance area. Significant bearish momentum after breaking below 0.00002285 (key support turned resistance). Immediate support at 0.00001732–0.00001700 (highlighted green area). Strong demand area below at 0.00001641 (key level to watch for risk of further declines). Nearest resistance: 0.00002285. Key breakout levels for potential recovery: 0.00002360 and 0.00002690. Stop loss: Located slightly below 0.00001641, protection against further declines. Take profit zone: Above 0.00002831, targeting a significant correction towards the previous highs. If PEPE sustains the 0.00001732–0.00001700 zone, expect a rebound towards: Short-term target: 0.00002285. Mid-term target: 0.00002690. A breakdown below 0.00001641 could lead to further declines, testing lower unknown levels. Maintaining caution below the Ichimoku Cloud zone is a must for longs. Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. For updates on other coins or personalized insights, feel free to reach out via DM. @Peter_CSAdmin
Long
by CryptoSanders9563
BTC BEARISH SCENARIO IF WE BREAK 95K KEY STRUCTUREPersonally, I don’t think this scenario will play out, but as traders, we always need to consider two possibilities to gauge the likelihood of each unfolding. This is my bearish scenario if we lose the 95K support. The next support level would be at 92K, followed by an oversold bounce toward 99K-100K. This bounce might deceive people into thinking the bottom is in, but it would likely face rejection, leading to a harder fall toward 87K. Again, let me emphasize—I don’t see this scenario playing out, but it’s still a possibility we need to keep in mind. What can you do? Exit altcoins altogether and wait to see if BTC moves back into the 100K region, which would invalidate this scenario from playing out.
by Asma7assan
2
BANKNIFTY : Trading Levels and Plan for 20-Dec-2024 Intro: Review of the Previous Day’s Plan As mentioned in Yesterday's plan BANKNIFTY has found support from level mentioned in Chart yesterday. The chart movement adhered closely to the plan, with Bank Nifty consolidating within the highlighted zones before attempting an upward breakout. The yellow trend on the chart depicted a sideways consolidation, while green and red trends outlined bullish and bearish moves respectively. Today, we prepare for potential scenarios based on expected market openings. Plan for Different Opening Scenarios Gap-Up Opening (200+ points above 51,902): If Bank Nifty opens above 52,068, the index is likely entering the resistance zone highlighted in orange. Watch for rejection signals around 52,381, the last intraday resistance. Plan of Action: Look for bearish reversal candles or patterns near 52,381 to initiate short positions with a target of 52,068 and a stop loss above 52,450. In case of a sustained breakout above 52,381, consider fresh longs targeting 52,600 or higher. Ensure confirmation with strong volume. Key Tips: If trading options, focus on slightly OTM puts for shorts. For breakout trades, consider ATM or slightly OTM calls. Flat Opening (Within 51,800-52,000 range): A flat opening near 51,902 keeps the market in the opening resistance zone. Price action within this zone (yellow trend) will guide the next move. Plan of Action: Observe price behavior for 30 minutes. If the index breaks below 51,800, initiate shorts targeting 51,418 with a stop loss at 52,000. If the index breaks above 52,068, initiate longs with targets at 52,381 and stop loss below 51,902. Key Tips: For flat openings, straddle or strangle strategies can help capture significant moves in either direction. Gap-Down Opening (200+ points below 51,902): A gap-down below 51,418 enters the green support/consolidation zone. Watch for potential reversals or breakdowns near 51,092 or the Wave B lower band at 50,664. Plan of Action: If Bank Nifty reverses from 51,092, initiate long trades with targets at 51,418, maintaining a stop loss at 50,900. A breakdown below 51,092 confirms bearish momentum. Short positions can target 50,664, with stop loss above 51,200. Key Tips: For aggressive trades in this scenario, consider deep OTM puts for higher returns. Risk Management Tips for Options Trading: Avoid over-leveraging; allocate no more than 2-3% of capital per trade. Use hourly candle close as confirmation for entries and exits. Hedge positions using spreads to limit losses. Exit trades promptly if they don’t perform as expected within the first 30 minutes. Summary and Conclusion: Today's trading plan focuses on key levels derived from technical analysis. The yellow trend indicates likely consolidation, the green trend suggests bullish opportunities, and the red trend signals potential bearish moves. Adherence to price action at critical levels will be crucial for maximizing profits and minimizing risks. Always ensure disciplined execution and maintain a balanced approach. Disclaimer: I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by LiveTradingBox
Dogecoin - False breakout in play?This is an update to my previous post about Doge. Last analysis was a bullish triangle play, the analysis has now been changed alongside my view on this coin. Price have printed a turtle soup at the recent high after a good run to the upside. Price have broken out of the pattern and now retested. I am now short based on the retest with a SL of 0.4360 I am now curious to see if my thesis is right and if Doge rolls over i will taget 0.15 area where we have a old major channel that is visible on the 4H if you zoom out alot.
Short
by Norsefx
5
Long Bias Analysis for SOL/USDT (4H Chart): Market Context: Market Structure: A clear Break of Structure (BOS) to the downside occurred, sweeping sell-side liquidity below $190. The price is now trading in a Fair Value Gap (FVG), a common area where demand often re-enters the market. Key Levels: Support Zone: $185.79–$189.31, the FVG and demand zone, where buyers may step in. Resistance Levels: $209.09: First resistance and minor supply zone. $212.73: A significant supply level and previous breakdown point. $263.80: Ultimate bullish target if momentum sustains. Indicators: The price is below the EMA cluster, suggesting oversold conditions. The imbalance (FVG) provides a confluence area for long entries with reduced downside risk. Trade Plan: Entry: Look for entries around $189–$193, ideally after bullish confirmation (e.g., strong bullish candles or wicks rejecting the FVG). Stop Loss: Place the stop loss slightly below $185.79 to account for potential liquidity grabs while minimizing risk. Take Profits: TP1: $209.09 – Close to the EMA and minor resistance. TP2: $212.73 – Significant supply zone and previous structural high. TP3 (Stretch Target): $263.80 – The upper range and major supply level. Risk-Reward Analysis: Entry near $190, SL at $185, and TP2 at $212 provides a 4:1 Risk-to-Reward Ratio. Reaching TP3 would significantly increase the reward potential. Key Notes: Confirmation: Watch for reversal candlestick patterns or increased volume near the FVG. A break and hold above $197 (current resistance) will signal a stronger bullish case. Partial Profits: Take partial profits at TP1 to secure gains, then trail the stop loss to breakeven for remaining positions. Invalidation: A clean break below $185 invalidates this setup and could lead to further downside.
Long
by origami_capital33
The Bitcoin Peak: When Will the Cycle End?Been a while since I published a TA. I’ve been digging deep trying to decipher when the cycle top will come in for Bitcoin. Some say it’s an impossible feat. Well, let’s give it a go. There are two major dates and one minor date for a possible cycle top: May 2025 **Volume Flow**: 1157 Days **From June Bottom**: 1064 days **ETH clear bottom**: June 2022 **Bar Pattern Fractal**: From 2015 bottom **221k Price Target**: Target crosses with the model in May. September 2025 **From November Bottom**: 1064 days **Major Macro Time Fibonacci** **Chainlink Fractal** **Chainlink Time Fib** March 2025 **Small Time Fibonacci** **Bull Flag End** **Average % move and time since 2019** As you can see, there is a lot of evidence to unpack here, so it’s going to be a long one. Let’s start with the first date: May 2025. --- May 2025 Volume Flow on Heikin Candles on the Monthly shows that from the Bearish cross to the cycle top is 1126 days, which ends up being May. Every cycle, Bitcoin has always put in a double bottom to mark its cycle low. As you can see, in 2022 we had two major crashes, and even though it’s not 100% clear here, we got a double bottom. The amazing thing about the first bottom in June 2022 is that it mirrored the first bottom of the cycle low of 2015. That fractal was a mirror, showing the importance of this first low in Bitcoin in June 2022. If we overlay the 2015 fractal, we get the top coming in May. For anyone who doesn’t know, the last two cycles, Bitcoin has taken 1064 days from Cycle Low to Cycle Top. 1064 days from the June 2022 low is May. ETH has a much clearer bottom than Bitcoin this cycle. It also took 1064 days, which puts it in May. So you can see, there is a lot of evidence pointing towards a May 2025 Cycle Top for Bitcoin. --- September/October 2025 1064 days from the second bottom in November 2022 would be October 2025. For years, I have been using this Major Macro Time Fibonacci sequence that shows me important moments in Bitcoin’s cycles. The last pointed to a move down to 48k in August 2023, which is hard to see on the 2Week chart. As you can see, it comes close to pinpointing moves, so the next date is the end of September 2025, which lines up with the 1064 days from November 2022. I have been following this Chainlink fractal for more than a year. We traded LINK using this fractal back in October 2023. You can check my TAs from that period. The fractal is still valid and tops in September 2025. Chainlink Fibonacci Time Sequence has been hitting home runs time and time again, from pinpointing the top all the way down to the bottom. The next date is late August 2025, very close to September 2025. --- March 2025 This date has far less weight for a cycle top but could be part of a major local top and correction. A small Time Fibonacci sequence taken from this level shows that March 31st is the next date, and the one after that is late August 2025, the same as the Chainlink fractal. 240% over 162 days is the average that Bitcoin moves up since 2019. If we just overlay the average, we get 127k by mid-February 2025. A mirror move from October 2023 to March 2024 puts us in March 2025. --- Elliott Wave Section I’m not an expert in this field but will throw in some takes. Could we possibly be in Wave 4 out of 5? Or could we be finishing Wave 3 right now and in for the first large correction of this bull market? The fact is, the last time we hit this band on this model was January 2021. After that, there was a 31% correction lasting 31 days. Sometimes 5 waves are very clear. Take GOLD, for example: there is a clear 5-wave pattern at max Fibonacci extension. This is a massive macro sell signal, in my opinion. Crazy how GOLD hit this level on Wave 5 as Bitcoin breaks 100k. --- ### **Price Targets If we take the first cycle and overlay to 2015 cycle, it gave us the cycle top in 2021. If we do the same for this cycle and overlay the 2015 cycle, we get a price target of 221k, which puts it at the top of my model in May 2025. Just discovered this—that’s one more point for May 2025. As you can see, in the last two cycles it worked. Will it work this time? Who knows. --- Pi Cycle Indicator If we just run a rough projection on when the next cross will be, it crosses in April 2025, very close to May. Keep in mind this is a very rough idea of when it could cross. --- Conclusion We have 5 points in favor of May 2025, 4 points in favor of September 2025, and 2 points for March 2025. As always, the path is never clear for Bitcoin. Until we get much further down the road, I won’t conclusively know which date it will be. This model I have been using has been so accurate thus far. We are so high up the last bands that we are most likely going to get some sort of long consolidation period with a correction soon, which would give the altcoin market a run.
BNC:BLXLong
by Sporia
8
QQQ Bearish Engulfing Candle on Weekly TimeframeAccording to our models QQQ will keep correcting for another 3-4 Weeks and approximate correction would be 8% Entry Short: 524 Exit Short: ~ 480 All the best. Marketpanda Disclaimer: The information provided is for general informational and educational purposes only, and does not constitute financial, investment, or legal advice. None of the content shared should be relied upon as the sole basis for making investment decisions. Prior to making any financial or investment decisions, it is strongly recommended that you consult with a qualified financial advisor, accountant, or other professional who is familiar with your individual circumstances and risk tolerance. Any reliance you place on the information presented is strictly at your own risk, and we are not responsible for any losses, damages, or liabilities resulting from your investment or trading activities.
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by marketpanda123
(RCF) is Poised for a Breakout: Watch These Key Levels!Rashtriya Chemicals & Fertilizers Ltd. (RCF) stock is showing promising technical setups as it consolidates near critical resistance. With strong price action and a trendline acting as support, the stage may be set for an upward breakout. Key Levels and Setup 📈 Support Trendline: The stock has consistently respected an upward trendline starting from ₹155. This serves as a strong base for further price action. 📌 Immediate Resistance: ₹183-188 is the immediate level to watch. A breakout above this zone could trigger significant bullish momentum. 🚀 Upside Targets: Target 1: ₹205 Target 2: ₹240 📉 Stop-loss: To manage risk, a stop-loss can be placed below ₹175 (near the base of recent consolidation). Trading Plan Breakout Confirmation: Look for a daily close above ₹188 with volume to confirm the breakout. Retest Entry: If the stock retests ₹188 as support, it could be an ideal entry point for a low-risk trade. Volume and Momentum Watch for an increase in trading volume as the stock approaches ₹188. High volume during the breakout will strengthen the bullish case. ⚠️ This is not financial advice. Always perform your own analysis before entering any trade. 💬 Do you think RCF will reach ₹240? Share your thoughts below! 🚀📊 #RCF #TechnicalAnalysis #StockBreakout #TradingSetup
NSE:RCFLong
by niveshIQ
VARAUSD Weekly AnalysisThe wich off of the center B Band is developing nicely with a few days left in the weekly candle. I anticipated this pull back due to resistance from trapped longs and upper B Band psychological level. Next weeks candle will likely reverse and develop into a massive green candle, this time absorbing the remaining trapped longs at the $0.04 level. The center B Band is a target long position with next target accumulation zone around $0.045 and $0.11 depending upon BTC and USDX movements.
COINBASE:VARAUSDLong
by fritbjorn
12