XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/USD "GOLD vs US Dollar" Metal market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a short trade at any point,
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 2540.00 or Before
Scalpers, take note : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Community ideas
NZDJPY bottomed being formed. Huge long-term buy.The NZDJPY pair gave us an excellent sell signal back on our July 10 analysis (see chart below) and not only hit our 95.580 Target but broke below and invalidated the medium-term Channel Up:
The long-term Channel Up however, is still intact and it is evident on the 1W time-frame where the July - August sell-off found support and stopped exactly on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
That was the first strong long-term buy signal. Since then, the price has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), which has already rejected the uptrend multiple times and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up.
The second buy signal came this month, as it made a Double Bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. This whole sequence is very similar with the bottom formations of Jan - April 2023 and December - February 2022. Both started new Bullish Legs and never looked back once the price broke above the 1W MA50.
So the confirmed buy signal for this pair will be if a 1W candle closes above the 1W MA50. If that happens, we will turn bullish with our Target being 102.000 (+18.31%, the minimum Bullish Leg rise within the Channel Up).
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btc usdt short Trend Analysis:
The overall structure indicates a bearish trend, confirmed by lower highs and lower lows. This supports the rationale for entering a short position.
Entry Point:
The short entry was initiated after a significant price drop, followed by a pullback that failed to break above a previous support zone, now acting as resistance. This resistance was confirmed by the bearish reaction at that level.
Stop-Loss Placement:
The stop-loss for this trade is set at 102,260 USDT, above the resistance level and previous consolidation area. This placement helps manage risk by protecting against unexpected upward price movements.
Take-Profit Target:
The take-profit target is set at 82,524 USDT, aligning with a key support zone from a prior swing low. This target captures a significant potential move, with the trade offering a high risk/reward ratio of approximately 15.88.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
The risk/reward ratio of 15.88 indicates an attractive trade setup where the potential profit significantly outweighs the risk involved. This ratio reflects disciplined risk management.
SP500 Weekly Trade Idea – Valid only with Close below 5977.8The S&P 500 has been on a stellar rally this year, rewarding long-term investors who bought and held through market turbulence. However, the current technical and macroeconomic setup suggests a possible correction could be on the horizon. Here’s how to approach it strategically.
🛠️ Technical Analysis from the Chart:
1️⃣ **Resistance Zone (6025-6050):**
- The index is facing strong resistance in this red zone, indicating a potential **stall in bullish momentum**. Failure to break through this level increases the likelihood of a pullback.
2️⃣ Critical Support Levels:
- **5690-5628 Zone:** First significant demand zone. A break below could trigger deeper corrections.
- **5395-5365 Zone:** Key structural support from previous accumulation.
- Long-term potential target near **4500**, aligning with historical correction structures.
3️⃣ Weekly Close Watch (5977.8):
- A **close below 5977.8** could confirm the start of a correction, likely forming a 3-to-5 wave structure typical of corrective phases.
🌍 Macro Context – Inflation and Valuations:
- Inflation Data:
- In **March 2020**, inflation was at **1.5%**, and stimulus packages helped buoy the market.
- By **March 2021**, inflation climbed to **2.6%**, reflecting economic recovery and stimulus impacts.
- November 2024 inflation** sits at **2.7%**, signaling a moderating trend but with base effects and monetary policies still in play.
- Market Valuations:
- The **Buffett Indicator** (Market Cap to GDP ratio) shows the market remains significantly overvalued. This aligns with Warren Buffett’s recent positioning, where **25% of his portfolio is in cash**, waiting for better buying opportunities.
💡 Trade Idea:
📉 Prepare for the Correction:
- A correction to the **4500 level** would represent a compelling buying opportunity for long-term investors.
- Avoid shorting the market; instead, focus on cash preservation and building a watchlist of fundamentally strong companies.
📊 Long-Term Strategy:
- Stick to Warren Buffett’s principle: **"Be greedy when others are fearful."**
- Utilize cash reserves to capitalize on discounted prices during market panic.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: **6025-6050
- Supports: **5690-5628**, **5395-5365**, and long-term 4500.
🚀 Optimistic Outlook:
Corrections are **opportunities, not threats**. They allow investors to buy quality assets at a discount and position themselves for the next bull cycle.
"Price is what you pay; value is what you get." – Warren Buffett 🐂✨
Let volatility work in your favor! 🌟
BTCUSD is holding its MA50 (1d). Bullish!Bitcoin touched the MA50 (1d) today and immediately rebounded, making a strong statement of how important of a support level that is.
The last time it hit the MA50 was on October 11th.
The pull back resembles March 20th from Bitcoin's last major rally, which rebounded and hit the 0.786 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 105000 (the 0.786 Fib).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) patterns of the current correction and March's are virtually identical and in fact today it hit the exact same Support leve (46.50) it had when the price rebounded on March 19th.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
VELO While the market is currently experiencing a correction, I believe Velo will reach the 4 cent mark and potentially go even higher. However, my end goal for Velo, and generally for my entire portfolio, is to sell and rotate into existing assets if Velo hits above 15 cents while other assets remain stagnant.
I have a rule that I usually adhere to: my 100% is typically 80%, with the remaining 20% reserved for unexpected gains beyond my expectations.
Regarding the broader market cycle, I have concerns that this cycle might mirror 2017. Back then, BTC reached an all-time high (ATH) and shortly after, in December 2017, altcoins surged dramatically through January 2018.
I feel this way for two reasons:
BTC is at an ATH similar to 2017.
Trump has stated his objective to have a BTC reserve of 1 million. Do you think they will buy the majority of the 1 million at the current price, or will they tank the market, which is already at a peak in many sectors?
good position for buyhello friends
This currency gave us a good correction considering the growth it has had and the money it has received.
Now, step by step on this point and in case of correction, it is worth buying more than the goals we specified for you.
{Note that it is better to make your purchases step by step...}
Be successful and profitable
Rising from the Ashes: EURO's Path to RecoveryGood day traders,
Trust we all profited from the FOMC report of yesterday.
Please take a moment to go through my outlook and expectation on Euro in the coming weeks into the new year.
Overview
EUR/USD appears to be rebounding after a sharp decline triggered by yesterday's FOMC report, where the FED delivered a hawkish 25bps cut, which drove higher market-driven borrowing costs, a stronger dollar and a sharp drop in stocks. From the start of the week EURUSD had previously been consolidating, during which weak buyers (traders) were caught off guard by a false breakout to the upside, reaching a weekly high of 1.05342 on Tuesday.
Idea
The subsequent sell-off drove the pair to a four-week low of 1.03439, just above the November 22nd low of 1.03324. This drop aligns with a key Fibonacci reversal pattern under Elliott Wave theory, suggesting the potential for a significant rally. If this pattern holds, EUR/USD could gain approximately 400 pips (1.08150) in the coming weeks, with the recovery likely extending into the new year.
Conclusion
The recent low is expected to act as a firm support level, and a breach of the November low appears unlikely. This anticipated rally could mark the beginning of a period of recovery and optimism for the euro.
Cheers! Merry Christmas and Happy New Year in advance.
BTCUSDT: sell then buyBTCUSDT: sell then buy. I had this channel for a long time on my weekly analysis. I forgot to publish it, sorry.
If you think I should do more analysis be more active on my posts so that I know what people are looking for. I will try to publish more analysis. What you see is just 5 % of what I am doing.
BTC.D Long-term SpeculationLooking at this chart objectively, it is currently in a lifelong downtrend and we should now expect a rapid and sustained decline to around 13-17% from where we are now in a wave 3 of 3. This changes if dominance exceeds 63.32% or if the next move down doesn't reach the 1.618 extension and starts to look like the C wave of an ABC correction of an uptrend...
HolderStat | BTC bulls leaving the ship?Over the last 3 days, $2.5 billion has been liquidated in the futures market, 83% of which is longs. The BTC price dropped to $96,613 (-4.6% for the week), the fear index dropped 7 points, and outflows from spot ETFs totaled an impressive $680 million.
❌ Is this a signal? No, it's a pattern. Corrections like this “drop off the tourists,” opening up new opportunities for those who know how to act strategically.
Even El Salvador did not flinch under IMF pressure and bought 11 BTC. Their wallet is usually replenished by 1 BTC per day - something is clearly brewing. What have you done?
💡 What to do?
1️⃣ Analyze key support levels.
2️⃣ Watch liquidity: BTC dominance remains high (59%), which confirms interest in the asset.
3️⃣ Evaluate trading volumes on pullbacks.
⚡️ Correction is not a time for panic, but a moment for cold-blooded analysis and precise actions.
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Always DYOR! 🔬
Bitcoin Santa Rally My view for year-end rally in Bitcoin is based on seasonal and global liquidity (GLI)
My projection for the Treasury General Account (TGA) is an increase from $740B today to a peak of $880B on 12/17 (which will be negative for Bitcoin and assets) and then a decrease (positive liquidity) of $200+ Billion down to a low of $630B on 1/10. This will be the window to buy a dip IMO. These figures do not take into account any additional reduction from the debt ceiling being reinstated on 1/1... which could add additional liquidity not accounted for as it is an unknown. That said, the debt ceiling debate is less of a factor now that we had a red sweep in the elections and the republicans control the votes, thus unlikely to be much of a "debate"...
Simple but my view.
The Crypto Space - Clarity Through COINNASDAQ:COIN has had a phenomenal run since the beginning of 2023, currently up about 1,100% within 2 years!
In this Elliott Wave Analysis, I present my view of where I think Coinbase will stall and fall.
So far the sequence is filling up nicely and has presented, those with a keen eye, several opportunities to join the 11x party :)
As per this 2 day chart, I believe we are quite close to completing w3 of w(5) . In terms of EW, the chart is very clean and has been bouncing off Fibonacci support and resistance, for each wave degree, with relative precision.
I would like to see price tag $353 - $375 then drop to $300 - $271 , before proceeding to a new high between $416 - $457 to complete a full five wave sequence from the 2023 lows.
The sell off, thereafter, should be significant and if the space survives will present another opportunity for similar or greater returns during the next cycle.
This should also coincide with a cyclical top across the cryptoverse.
What are your thoughts?
How low could BTC drop?Bitcoin prices have dropped sharply over the past three days, making it a tough period for crypto and altcoin holders. At one point, ETH was down 24% from its December 16 high, while Litecoin saw a full 41% drop from its peak.
These sharp declines may encourage some buyers to take advantage of the massive pullback in altcoins, but watching Bitcoin's movements is crucial. When BTC finds a low, the chances of a low in altcoins will be greater.
So, from which level could BTC bottom out?
Since November 12, Bitcoin has been moving within a bullish channel, steadily pushing higher as latecomers joined the rally. However, it has now breached the channel, as the chart shows. And as long as Bitcoin trades below today's high of 98,253, this trendline break remains valid, suggesting the potential for further downside.
So, how low could prices go? A 21% correction from the all-time high is reasonable in a typical bull trend. This would bring Bitcoin's price down to approximately 85,000. If that happens, many latecomers who bought since November 12 would likely be stopped out, potentially allowing the price to stabilize and resume its upward trajectory from that level.
A stronger support level exists at the March and October highs of 74,000. Hopefully, the market won't test this level, which marked the start of the latest rally after the US election.
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