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Rate Cut Disappoints: Stocks and Gold Experience Sharp Declines◉ Abstract On December 18, 2024, the Federal Reserve lowered interest rates by 0.25%, marking its third cut in a row. However, the Fed also said it might not cut rates much more in the future because it expects the economy to grow stronger and inflation to continue. This cautious message worried investors, causing a sharp drop in the stock market. The S&P 500 fell about 2.96%, its biggest one-day loss since August. Gold prices also dropped by around 1.6%. The declines in both stocks and gold show that investors are feeling uncertain about the economy and are rethinking their investments based on the Fed's outlook. Continue reading the full article: ◉ Introduction On December 18, 2024, both the S&P 500 and gold experienced significant declines, driven primarily by the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions and market reactions to economic forecasts. ◉ Federal Reserve's Decision ● The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 0.25%. This is typically a positive move for equities and commodities like gold. ● However, the Fed signalled a more cautious approach to future rate cuts, expecting stronger economic growth and persistent inflation. ● This cautious outlook raised concerns about the possibility of limited future rate cuts, which spooked investors. ◉ Market Reactions 1. Stock Market Decline ● The S&P 500 fell by approximately 2.96%, marking its largest single-day percentage drop since August 5th. ● The market's reaction reflected a realization that previous optimistic expectations about aggressive rate cuts were misplaced. 2. Gold's Decline ● Gold prices dropped sharply, with an intraday decline of about 1.6%. ● Gold, while a safe-haven asset, is less desirable in a rising rate environment due to increased opportunity costs. ● With the Fed's indication of fewer future rate cuts, investors shifted away from gold. ◉ Overall Market Sentiment The simultaneous decline in both equities and gold can be attributed to a broader market sentiment that reacted negatively to the Fed's cautious outlook on inflation and growth prospects. This created a risk-off environment where investors were uncertain about both stock valuations and commodity holdings.
SP:SPX
by NaranjCapital
1
AUDCHF Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDCHF. Time Frame: 2h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.558. Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 0.553 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
2
symmetrical triangle ?The symmetrical triangle is identified by two trendlines: a descending upper trendline connecting lower highs and an ascending lower trendline connecting higher lows. These trendlines converge toward a single point, known as the apex. The breakout typically occurs before the pattern reaches the apex, often between 50% and 75% of the way through the triangle's formation. The expected price movement after the breakout is estimated by measuring the triangle's height at its widest point and projecting this distance in the direction of the breakout. The symmetrical triangle pattern is a powerful tool for traders. When combined with thorough analysis and risk management, it offers valuable insights into potential breakout points and price targets.
CRYPTO:XRPUSDLong
by keith_williams49
1
CL_LONG_+991 TicksThe CL daily time frame has created an up channel. The market has hit the bottom of the channel and is showing signs of pushing bullish towards the top of the channel. The market has created an up Fibonacci with an extension price point 78.92 about +991 ticks above the market. The market has broke and closed above a counter trend line bullish and showing sings of wanting to push toward the Fibonacci extension. Entry: Counter trend line break bullish above the bottom of the channel. STOP: 64.60 LIMIT: 78.92. This is part of the long idea of the CL 01-25. The market has rolled into the next contract CL 02-25, so we are updating this idea.
NYMEX:CL1!Long
by JoshuaMartinez
1
SOLANA // Will the correction reach 61.8?The daily short countertrend is valid, and the market has reached the correction fibo 50 level. The question is: will it reach 61.8? If the market can significantly break the last clear H4 breakout, it may have a chance. If it turns up, and there is a significant (trigger) candle in the long trigger zone, my target is the weekly target fibo 200. ——— Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼‍♂️ Your comments and support are appreciated! 👊🏼
COINBASE:SOLUSD
by TheMarketFlow
3
BITCOIN Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short! Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 95,186. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 90,936 level. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
2
bull time?Current Trend: The chart shows a recent downtrend, with the gold price falling from levels near $2,630 to around $2,582. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance 1: $2,608 - This level has acted as resistance, where the price has tried to break unsuccessfully on several occasions. Resistance 2: $2,622 - Another higher resistance level, which could be a target if the price breaks the first resistance. Support 1: $2,587 - This is a recent support level where the price has bounced off. Support 2: $2,582 - A lower and critical support, which could be an interesting entry point if the price touches it and bounces off. Technical Indicators: Trading Strategy: Support Entry: If the price touches the support at $2,582 and shows signs of bouncing (possibly confirmed by an increase in volume or a bullish candlestick pattern), it could be a good entry point for a long position. Breakout Entry: If the price breaks above $2,608 with significant volume, it could be an indication of a bullish reversal, making it a good point to enter long. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just below the lower support level to limit losses in case of a downside breakout. Risk Management: Risk/Reward Ratio: Make sure the potential reward is greater than the risk taken. For example, if your stop loss is at $2,570, your profit target should be above $2,610 for a 1:2 risk/reward ratio.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by JAG_Trader
ETH - Update After DumpClearly we see the 0.618 (predicted level) around $4,100 is the most important level of this trend. Please review these two previous posts regarding this level for more information. No after a second rejection at this level we are looking for levels of support. Right now, the $3,500 is the most important level to hold. If we lost that level the next major area of support is between $3,200-$3,300. The absolute worst case scenario would be a drop around $2,700-$2,800ish to form the right shoulder of a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern. We have been pointing out this possibility for a while. You can find our previous analysis regarding our H&S pattern here: Once we start closing candles above the $4,100 level that will be the start of the next major leg for ETH and altcoins.
COINBASE:ETHUSD
by VIAQUANT
2
Ethereum: Regaining Balance After a Bearish Trend ReversalEthereum (ETHUSD): Consolidation Phase Amid Mixed Market Signals Ethereum (ETHUSD) continues to consolidate within a defined range, with the upper boundary near 4085-4100 and the lower boundary around 3530-3440. Despite the recent bearish pressure, the overall market structure still leans bullish, supported by favorable fundamentals—barring certain developments in recent news that have introduced a layer of uncertainty. This consolidation phase reflects a temporary balance between bullish and bearish forces, with potential for significant movement once key levels are breached. Current Market Overview At present, Ethereum is trading near a critical resistance zone between 4090 and 4100, which has historically proven to be a formidable barrier. Breaking through this zone will likely require a substantial influx of bullish momentum and trading volume. The broader trend remains upward, but yesterday's news has introduced an element of caution. The fundamental backdrop is ambiguous, with hints of a possible shift in monetary policy. While the news of a decline in interest rates initially appeared bullish, indications of a more hawkish future stance have tempered optimism. Bitcoin, the market leader, has shown signs of a minor correction, which often correlates negatively with altcoin performance, including Ethereum. Technical Analysis: Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Levels: 4086-4100: A strong resistance zone that Ethereum is currently testing. Breaking above this range could pave the way for a retest of higher levels. 4372: A significant level that aligns with the bullish continuation scenario if momentum sustains above 4100. Support Levels: 3530-3440: This zone has emerged as a robust support area, underpinned by significant liquidity. It is likely to act as a magnet for price action in case of further downside. 3261: The next major support level in the event of a deeper correction, signaling potential bearish risks if the price falls below 3440. Market Sentiment and Potential Scenarios Ethereum's bullish structure remains technically intact, as evidenced by the formation of higher lows and the maintenance of key support levels. The 3530-3440 zone represents a strong demand area, and a retest of this level is a plausible scenario. Such a retest could serve as a "liquidity grab," enticing sellers before the price reverses upward, targeting higher resistance zones. However, risks of further declines cannot be ignored, particularly if broader market conditions deteriorate or Bitcoin extends its correction. In this case, Ethereum may retest deeper support levels, potentially challenging the bullish outlook. For now, the market appears to favor a consolidation phase, with the potential for upward momentum taking precedence. Strategic Approach: Trading the Range Given Ethereum's current position within the consolidation range, a pragmatic trading strategy would involve leveraging the boundaries of this channel. Traders may consider entering long positions near the 3530-3440 support zone, targeting the upper boundary around 4086-4100, while employing tight stop-losses to manage risk. Conversely, short positions could be explored near the resistance zone if bullish momentum falters, with support levels serving as potential take-profit targets. Outlook for Growth Despite short-term uncertainties, Ethereum's longer-term outlook remains optimistic. A successful breakout above 4100, confirmed by strong volume and momentum, would significantly strengthen the case for further growth. Such a move could open the door to the next major resistance level at 4372, potentially marking the start of a renewed bullish rally. For now, the consolidation phase represents a period of accumulation, with the market preparing for the next decisive move. Monitoring macroeconomic developments, Bitcoin's price action, and Ethereum's interaction with key support and resistance levels will be critical in shaping the near-term trajectory.
Long
by lonelyPlayer0
Bears dominate - gold selling pressure below 2600⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance ⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION: Thursday's US economic data revealed a decline in unemployment claims, while the final Q3 GDP report from the Bureau of Economic Analysis confirmed 3.1% year-over-year growth. Despite these figures, market attention remains focused on projections for 2025. The Federal Reserve (Fed), led by Chair Jerome Powell, reduced interest rates by 25 basis points, though the decision was not unanimous, with Cleveland Fed's Beth Hammack dissenting in favor of maintaining current rates. Fed officials have also shifted focus to inflation, as reflected in the dot plot. Their projections indicate two 25-basis-point rate cuts in 2025 and another two in 2026. ⭐️Personal comments NOVA: Strong Bearish Trend - Pressure on Market Maintains Around 2600 ⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE: 🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2626 - $2628 SL $2633 TP1: $2620 TP2: $2610 TP3: $2600 🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2576 - $2574 SL $2569 TP1: $2582 TP2: $2590 TP3: $2600 ⭐️Technical analysis: Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order. ⭐️NOTE: Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well - take the number of lots that match your capital - Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account - Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Nova-Scalper
6
NVDA Analysis in Three Trading Strategies1. GEX Analysis for Options Trading Gamma Levels and Key Insights: * Support Levels: * $130: Major put support, showing strong downside protection. * $128: Next support level (3rd Put Wall). * Resistance Levels: * $134: HVL (High Volatility Level) and pivotal gamma level for upside moves. * $136: Highest NET GEX, indicating a strong resistance zone. * $137–$140: Major call wall resistance. * IV and Sentiment: * IVR: 38.9, suggesting moderate implied volatility. * Calls %: Moderate at 37.3%, indicating mixed sentiment. Options Strategy: * Bullish: * Buy calls above $134 with a target at $136 and $137. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. * Bearish: * Buy puts below $130 with a target of $128 and $126. * Use $132 as a stop-loss. 2. 1-Hour Chart for Swing/Day Trading Key Observations: * Trend: Downtrend with lower highs and lower lows, confirming bearish sentiment. * Support and Resistance: * Support at $130, aligned with gamma levels. * Resistance at $134. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Bearish alignment with price below both EMAs. * MACD: Bearish crossover, confirming downside momentum. Swing/Day Trading Setup: * Bullish: * Entry: Above $134 with volume. * Target: $136 and $137. * Stop-loss: Below $133. * Bearish: * Entry: Below $130. * Target: $128 and $126. * Stop-loss: Above $132. 3. 2-Minute Chart for Scalping Key Observations: * Trend: Strong intraday selling pressure with no significant recovery. * Scalping Levels: * Resistance: $131.20. * Support: $130.00. * Volume: * Selling pressure increased during the latter half of the session. * Indicators: * EMA (9/21): Dynamic resistance, confirming bearish structure. * MACD: Bearish divergence with no signs of reversal. Scalping Strategy: * Bullish: * Entry: Break above $131.20. * Target: $132.00. * Stop-loss: Below $131.00. * Bearish: * Entry: Break below $130.00. * Target: $129.00. * Stop-loss: Above $130.20. Disclaimer This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and manage risk appropriately before trading.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BullBearInsights
1
Bitcoin BEARISH 4 Hour Chart - Trend Line Support BrokeBitcoin has broke down through an important trend line support level on the 4 hour chart. It is currently in the process of re-testing the line before a continuation down again. It's possible that Bitcoin may gain short-term up to around $100000 before the re-testing is complete. Or it may just start falling like a rock before then. The trend line was tested multiple times and is a reliable signal of what is to come. This also agrees with my analysis on the weekly chart too. Both charts indicate a potential drop for Bitcoin to around $75000. Please note: this is a crazy world and anything could happen, but this is my analysis based solely on the chart. I would say the same if it were corn, copper, or whatever else. Be cautious buying Bitcoin anytime soon based solely on hype! As I said above, it could gain short term to re-test the line which is now resistance, but it will probably be short-lived.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
PEPEUSDT: Technical Insights and Trading Strategy Market Overview - PEPEUSDT is currently in a corrective phase after a sharp decline, with price approaching a key demand zone around 0.00001578 USDT. - The analysis suggests potential accumulation and a bullish recovery if the support holds. --- Technical Analysis 1. Support and Resistance Levels: - Support Zone: - 0.00001578: Key accumulation level identified for potential entries. - Below this level, price may test the next support near 0.00001450. - Resistance Levels: - 0.00001900: Initial resistance for price recovery. - 0.00002514: Target resistance zone aligned with the bullish breakout projection. 2. Fibonacci Retracement: - The price has retraced deeply, approaching the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, a common area for reversals in crypto markets. 3. Trendline Analysis: - A potential reversal pattern is visible as price consolidates near the demand zone. - A breakout above 0.00001900 confirms a short-term trend reversal. --- Momentum and Indicators 1. RSI (14): - RSI is approaching oversold conditions, signaling potential bullish divergence. - A rise above 40-50 would confirm increasing bullish momentum. 2. Volume Analysis: - Decreasing sell volume near support suggests diminishing bearish pressure. - A spike in buy volume at this level would reinforce the reversal signal. --- Trading Plan 1. Entry Points: - Accumulate positions near 0.00001578. - Add more positions on breakout confirmation above 0.00001900. 2. Stop-Loss: - Place stop-loss below 0.00001500 to manage downside risk. 3. Profit Targets: - Primary Target: 0.00002514 (aligned with the chart projection). - Stretch Target: 0.00002800, if bullish momentum persists. 4. Risk Management: - Risk no more than 2% of total capital on this trade. --- Scenarios 1. Bullish Scenario: - Price holds the 0.00001578 level and breaks above 0.00001900 with rising volume. - Targets 0.00002514, with possible extension to 0.00002800. 2. Bearish Scenario: - Failure to hold the 0.00001578 support may lead to further downside, targeting 0.00001450 or lower. --- Pro Summary PEPEUSDT is showing signs of accumulation at a critical support level. A breakout above 0.00001900 will confirm a reversal toward 0.00002514 and higher. Traders should exercise caution and set strict stop-loss levels to minimize risks. --- Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading cryptocurrencies carries significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Long
by Supachai-Taechapisit
The World Revolves Around How Easy it is to Borrow MoneyAnd Doge is no exception. Doge jumped 400% in a single day immediately after the January 2021 fed meetings concluded. Was it every American dumping their stimulus check (from a month prior, lol) into Doge as we've heard so many times before ? Absolutely not. We are just riding the wave of big money playing musical chairs. Pray that the Fed doesn't pivot next week. Breakout of 3 year downtrend/accumulation is due to be retested and the sooner the better if you compare how things went in 2016 vs 2020. My guess for the pivot point is .31337. 31337 = leet. iykyk
CRYPTO:DOGEUSDLong
by TheJW
6
ADA. Correction Opportunity: Don’t Miss This Entry! 12/20/24BYBIT:ADAUSDT The market experienced a pullback, and the price returned to the lower boundary of the range before breaking through its support and moving toward a high-volume level, where a strong buyer was present. We also saw a proper Fibonacci correction, which might indicate a potential reversal and a good entry point for a spot position. I'm entering with 0.5% of my deposit and will add another 0.5% in case of further correction. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
4