Get started

Oversold

Can SBUX rise from beating beaten down 15% YTD ?SBUX of late has been in a descending channel and has sloped down heavily in April. It is now in deep undervalued and overbought territory at the bottom of the channel and above the 3rd lower VWAP band line. The RSI lines ( both faster and slower) are bearish as well. My trade plan is to watch Starbucks for a reversal which may be signaled by bullish divergence on the RSI. SBUX has fallen through a volume void under the high volume area. Once it reverses it could rise fairly quickly to 90 and then slower to 94. These will be the targets.
NASDAQ:SBUX
by AwesomeAvani
1
Break down on technicals for Alibaba near historical lowsHi Guys. As always, heres a macro chart setup i've found to be a MUST WATCH, at the very least if not a potential long. Analysis done on 1 week, indicating a macro analysis. Alibaba (BABA), at current prices is roughly 75% from its blow off top in 2020. Around October- November 2022, we tested support at the historical bottom and bounced to test the Resistance zone with a REJECTION. Bringing us to our current price action where we have managed to maintain a HIGHER LOW. This supports the idea that perhaps trend is shifting towards BABA wanting to move UP. Notice also the Blue, Green and Purple Moving averages, Flattening out. This can be an indication that price is showing demand after moving averages moved down so much from the highs. look for curve up in MA with crosses happening. This would be significantly supportive of probabilities we see Uptrend. Essentially the order from top to bttom we want to see is: 1. Purple on top 2. Green next 3. Blue below that 4. Red below all This is an indication of a Bull cycle. As you can see blatantly in previous history. Notice also Volume which has been steadily increasing since 2019. Maintainence of Higher lows on Volume is also a good sign, that perhaps BABA may rally if we continue this volume trend. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on BABA in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NYSE:BABALong
by SafofAllTrades
3
EURUSD | MT Long H4 |Overly OversoldPair: FX:EURUSD Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action has some support trend-line holding it - Horizontal trendline looks like a demand zone across the years - Horizontal trendline (Red) is at the 1% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 32.8% Fibo Retracement with 23.6% as the TP 1 level Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - EUR weakness has been mostly been pricing in the expectation that ECB will cut in June and diverge from the FED. Currently, priced in. - Risk is further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 1.0620 - 1.0650 SL @ 1.0589 TP 1 @ 1.0698 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 1.0758 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.44 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
NZDCAD | Long H4 | Buy Limit | Milk/Oil Economy - 2nd EntryTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame - Price action is close to a Demand Zone (Yellow Area) & has Support Trendlines around - Aiming for the next Consolidation Zone of Price Actions Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Very different economies with market data gyration will pretty much determine the direction of this trade. Suggested Trade: Buy Limit @ 0.8098 SL @ 0.8051 TP 1 @ 0.8150 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8213 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.40 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Long
by weekendanalyst
EUR/USD 4H Chart Analysis The EUR/USD pair shows intriguing developments in the 4-hour chart, hinting at potential upward movement. Starting with the RSI, it has recently hit massively oversold levels, indicating a likely reversal as the market may deem the Euro undervalued against the Dollar. Simultaneously, both the MACD and its signal line are trending upward in unison. This parallel rise is typically a bullish sign, suggesting growing momentum in buying activity. Speaking of momentum, this indicator has rebounded notably from its lowest point in four weeks, now ascending towards the zero line. This recovery suggests an increase in the rate at which the price is changing, potentially signaling a stronger move up. Lastly, there's an untouched pivot point at 1.07165, serving as a magnetic target for price action. If current indicators continue to suggest a bullish bias, we might see the pair challenge and possibly reach this level soon. Keep an eye on these indicators for confirmation of continued upward movement. As always, monitor market news and other economic indicators for shifts that might affect this analysis.
Long
by TradingClue
EURGBP | Long H1 | Market Exe | Two Zones StoryTechnical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on H1 & H4 time-frame - Price is currently at a 78.6% Retracement level from Previous Low-High - Price action should bounce between both Supply-Demand Zones - Price is entering a Demand Zone (Yellow Zone) - Aiming for the next Supply Zone (Blue Zone) at a 61.8% Fibo retracement & resistance from Trendlines Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Nothing much can dictate the movement of this FX pair as they are heavily trade-related. Any major movement will come from supply-demand areas, monetary policies or economic data gyrations. Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.8540 - 0.8550 SL @ 0.8526 TP 1 @ 0.0.8580 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.8606 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.63 (Depending on Entry Level) ________________________________ Boosts 🚀, Follows ✌️, Shares 🙌 & Comments ✍️ are much appreciated! If you have any ideas or charts, do share them in the 'Comments' section below and we can discuss our perspectives to improve or strengthen our strategies. If you want something analyzed, do drop me a DM. :D ________________________________ Disclaimer: The above suggestion is an personal opinion in general and does not constitute as investment advice. Any decisions taken based on the above suggestion is purely your own risks. Any websites / brokers / applications suggested here are also provided as informational purpose only. ________________________________
Long
by weekendanalyst
Roku Test with Destiny A 2 year Support trendline A Buy?Hi Guys. So i am always on the lookout for Macro trend setups, signs and opportunities. I believe ROKU is potentially in a position to take a nice swing. This analysis is on 1 day. Notice we have reached a Sloping Support trendline from December 2022. We've had 2 touches previous that resulted in bounces. Trendline theory states trendlines can stay intact for atleast 3 touch points. Owing to the idea that our recent touch point is a solid area to take positions. Has a decent probability of a bounce. On top of that we have the Blue horizontal trendline, which acts as an added layer of Support. Incase the black trendline does not hold, this would be next lvl. Stop loss/limit should be placed below trendlines based on risk tolerance. Small positions can have a larger % loss, vise versa. Now to Support my theory of this buying a solid area to take positions. I have 3 indicators. RSI which is in Oversold conditions after 3+ months. On top of that the momentum indicators MACD and STOCH. Are also oversold. MACD is signaling a waning bearish momentum. As seen by the light red histobar prints. We are looking for and eventually should see Green bars and a bullish cross. Which can bring in necessary demand we need for bounce. Also STOCH RSI is below the 20 lvl, but crossing Bullish as we speak. This must continue and a bullish cross ABOVE 20 lvl, will also bring in demand and help with bounce. If we see bullish changes in the momentum indicaotrs, i believe there would be a even higher probability of prices bouncing. So pay attention, be diligent and manage risk accordingly. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on ROKU in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:ROKULong
by SafofAllTrades
5
AUDUSD | MT Long H4 | Middle of Parallel ChannelPair: FX:AUDUSD Timeframe: H4 - Medium Term (MT) Direction: Long Technical Confluences for Trade: - Stochastics are in Oversold Conditions on D1, H4 and H1 time-frames - Price action is now at the middle of a parallel channel - Price is at 61.8% Fib Extension Level - Aiming for the 50% Fibo Retracement which the horizontal line shows a supply-demand zone. Fundamental Confluences for Trade: - Higher commodity prices is a positive for Australia economy - Further war escalation from the Israel-Iran tension may bring on risk-off moves and affect this trade Suggested Trade: Entry @ Area of Interest 0.6390 - 0.6415 SL @ 0.6351 TP 1 @ 0.6448 (Close Half-Position & move SL to Entry level once TP1 is achieved) TP 2 @ 0.6516 Risk-to-Reward @ Approx. 2.09 (Depending on Entry Level) May the pips move in our favor! Good luck! :D *This trade suggestion is provided on an advisory basis. Any trade decisions made based on this suggestion is a personal decision and am not responsible for any losses derived from it.
Long
by weekendanalyst
Krispy Cream Donut Weekly God Candle Has me lookingHi guys. Always on the lookout for major changes/shifts or Macro signals. Yesterdays 40% increase in Krispy Cream Donuts, has me taking a look into this one. This analysis is on the 1 week. Note, the current candle is not yet confirmed. Weekly close is obviously on fridays. I have highlighted 2 zones. COnsolidation range and a Supply zone. We do need to pay attention to these 2 ranges. BEcause atleast from previous history the supply zone is a resistance zone and thus a sell area. We would need decisive candle closes ABOVE for multi weeks for me to gain confidence that it has flipped to Demand or Support. Same goes for breaking out of the consolidation range. More info is needed such as confirmation. But nevertheless, What had me looking DNUT's way, was candle moving past the major resistance trendline that has haunted us since the stock being traded publically. I would like to note on the weekly timeframe, confirmations have not come in yet, and until proven otherwise it can be a fakeout and can always come back into the consolidation zone. AGAIN, End of week will give us better information. But it does not take away the fact that DNUT is moving. And atleast for now, DEMAND exists. VOLUME needs to follow with continued increase. Things to note in our indicators: RSI, breaking a major trend by signaling a higher high. But again end of week will clarify this. If it prints, i see it as a positive sign. STOCH RSI - crossing bullish with is almost above 20 lvl. This indicates possibility of momentum coming in to support an uptrend. MACD - Has Bullish cross, however we need to see whether or not we can get ABOVE 0 lvl. This would indicate a high probability for a sustainable uptrend. Being that this weeks candle has not yet closed. It is absolutely important to continue to observe. But DNUT has made it to my watchlist for sure. Is Krispy Cream Donuts, the Donut for me and you? Well time will tell. LOL. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on MINAUSD in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:DNUTLong
by SafofAllTrades
20
Americas Car Mart Testing Multi-Year Demand Zone (Buy Zone)Hi guys! This is a MACRO Analysis on AMericas Car Mart (CRMT). Macro meaning larger timeframe aka the 2 week in this instance. Macro moves tend to speak louder than smaller timeframes like the 1 day for example when they start to move in price. I believe CRMT has come to an important area and poses a great trade setup in my opinion. If we look to Price action. Notice 2 Support trendlines outlined. These are MULTI Year Support zones. When price reached the trendlines, we ended up bouncing UP. Notice our current price indicated by Orange box. Our 2 support trendlines have converged. When 2 support trendlines meet it strengthens the Support. Also notice the 21 EMA (Purple moving average) -> We have been below this since Septemberish of 2023. Moves below 21 EMA especially on the 2 week pose for good Buy zones as well. So the combination of converging Support lines and being below 21 EMA = Good area to take positions Now notice the 2 indicators ive included. These are momentum indicators. STOCH RSI has crossed BULLISH. (where blue line moves above orange line) Momentum can pick up and start a move up once this crosses ABOVE the 20 lvl. MACD is currently below the 0 lvl. With the histogram bars changing from dark red to light red. This indicates a waning of bearish momentum. It is also attempting to create a higher low. All good signs. Look for a Bullish cross and green bars to show up. That will help drive prices up. A cross ABOVE 0 lvl would bring about massive moves up. Continue to monitor the indicators and price to stay above the Support zone indicated. __________________________________________________________________________________ Thank you for taking the time to read my analysis. Hope it helped keep you informed. Please do support my ideas by boosting, following me and commenting. Thanks again. Stay tuned for more updates on CRMT in the near future. If you have any questions, do reach out. Thank you again. DISCLAIMER: This is not financial advice, i am not a financial advisor. The thoughts expressed in the posts are my opinion and for educational purposes. Do not use my ideas for the basis of your trading strategy, make sure to work out your own strategy and when trading always spend majority of your time on risk management strategy.
NASDAQ:CRMTLong
by SafofAllTrades
EL jumps on analyst upgrade LONGEL like ULTA was beaten down in covid times. It jumped in 2021 and fell in 2022 and 2023. 2024 might be the year they thrive again. On the weekly chart, EL is back to the support of its levels of 2018. With an analyst upgrade coming from Bank of America it is now getting a bit of attention. Trend strength and relative strength were down. I see this as a good entry for a new long position in EL while also looking at ULTA. Targets are the fib zone and a correction / consolidation area on the downtrend so 200 and 250. Now is the time to invest in female beauty.....
NYSE:EL
by AwesomeAvani
RH appears ready to rise from its base LONGRestoration Hardware on the weekly chart rose from COVID and then retraced for almost two years. It appears now ready to experience some investor and trader interest once again. It is rising from the POC line of its long term volume profile. The trend strength indicator just inflected and curled upward. I like to catch trends early to get as much of a move as possible and before the chasing begins. This is a possible megacap short squeeze set up. Targets are 380 and 480 as horizontal levels of importance.
NYSE:RHLong
by AwesomeAvani
NZDCAD - Already OverSold ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red. Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel. Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
Long
by TheSignalyst
PYPL falls into deep oversold zone LONGPYPL on the 30-minute chart over the past week fell 10 %, Based on the anchored VWAP bands as well as the volume profile it is in deep oversold territory potentially as a reaction to the stablecoin plan. Volumes are relatively hig while the ZL MACD has had a line cross under a flipping histogram. I see this as an excellent long swing trade setup targeting the mean VWAP or the POC line as the first target for 50% of the trade and 25% each targeting the upper VWAP lines. I will take a combination of a number of stocks and a put option 2-3 months out for some trade risk insurance.
NASDAQ:PYPLLong
by AwesomeAvani
Price overextension: misconceptions and common mistakesPrice overextension remains a widely misunderstood concept in trading, causing both novice and seasoned traders to make errors in their decision-making. This misinterpretation often leads to placing trades in the wrong direction or, equally detrimental, overlooking profitable opportunities. In essence, price overextension signifies that the market has undergone a rapid and excessive movement in one direction. Such movements are often perceived as unsustainable. Numerous indicators, such as Stochastic, RSI, Bollinger Bands and many other, attempt to identify such "abnormal" price movements so traders could capitalize on them. Despite variations in statistical methods and calculations, their common goal is to detect instances where price went or down too much and is likely to reverse. In this discussion, I will use Relative-Strength-Index (RSI), a popular indicator, to convey my perspective on price overextension. While some traders argue for customization, the elusive question of "how" often remains unanswered. From my experience, there are no universally perfect settings that consistently yield optimal results. I’ll draw my examples from the recent SPY bar chart (February 2024). The first misconception The first misconception is that if price is overextended it is time to immediately start looking for a trade in the opposite direction. The most important phrase here is “start looking”. Many beginners misinterpret this as an invitation to commence trading, leading to the premature initiation of short positions during perceived market "overextension" and vice versa. So, the first and foremost important advice is to never try guessing top/bottom based on one indicator or gut feeling. Simple as it seems I remember many times breaking this rule myself because the temptation was too strong. It rarely ended up well. On the graph, I've highlighted three recent instances where the RSI exceeded 70 (indicating overbought conditions). What stands out is that, following each occurrence, the price surged significantly before consolidation set in, inflicting losses upon short traders. Even experienced traders, who look for confluence of signals, may fall into this trap. In the first two examples, bearish candlestick patterns failed to prevent subsequent price increases. Most likely, those candles were “created” by weak hands traders, who tried to short market, while it was actually controlled by strong buyers. These instances could have been avoided by considering the daily graph, revealing a robust bullish context – price was in an uptrend, one-time-framing up on weekly. There were couple of moments when bears gained short term control (Tuesdays 13th and 20th) but they never could take the previous week low; bulls always confirmed their control. The second advice is to avoid trading against higher level context. While sometimes those trades might work the result is usually mediocre and most of the times you’ll simply lose. If you really wish to trade against context you need to construct a solid dossier of evidence, supporting your trade. The second misconception What is the second misconception? It is that when price overextended it is not time to go with the market. In this scenario, traders refrain from initiating long trades after RSI indicates overbought conditions, potentially causing them to miss profitable opportunities. It might not hurt your account but who likes missing good opportunities? Surprisingly, seizing these trades correctly is not much harder than any other trade. It simply requires prudence and discipline and getting rid-off cognitive biases. For example, in the second example on the graph a trader could win up to 1% if he played off gap-up open after seeing that the new price has found acceptance. Conclusion It is possible to build a profitable strategy that relies on “price overextension” concept. However, it demands more than a cursory examination of a single indicator and adherence to textbook candle patterns. Personally, I reached a point where I entirely abandoned the use of RSI and similar tools because, instead of providing clarity, they seemed to cloud my thinking. Opting for a more effective approach involves keenly observing actual market behavior, which often defies conventional expectations. Study of high-level contexts, understanding key levels, and discerning confluence in price action signals on lower timeframes consistently prove invaluable. This method helps steer clear of common pitfalls and contributes to enhancing overall trading results.
AMEX:SPYEducation
by hermes_trisme
NVAX- a medical penny stock Buy Weakness LONGNVAX on a 120 minute chart demonstrates a trend down in the past month after a period of consolidation producing the POC line on the volume profile. The MACD shows some bullish divergence. The volume profile has high volume nodes at 4.0 and 5.0 separated by a relative volume void. NVAX fell quickly through that void. It can just as easily rise through it. See the linked article on NVA from TipRanks. Options volume and pricing analysis is that bets are looking at5.0 diligently. Fundamentally, NVAX has been range limited by its focus on COVID but it does have other projects in its pipeline admittedly on various timelines with varying probabilities of capitalizing on them depending on clinical trials FDA approvals and so on. On the imbedded relative strength table as compared with SPY and peers in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology, medical device and healthcare spaces NVAX compares favorably with MRNA its closest peer but is weak compared with most of the others I have selected especially with LLY, which is high-flying from its anti-obesity drug breakout. Device companies Stryker and Intuitive Surgical are quite strong as well. United Healthcare is dominant in the insurance subsector and strong overall. One often effective strategy is to buy when an instrument is oversold and undervalued at a discount. I will buy NVAX here no matter that I have insider connections with one of those medical device companies and a few not on the list. Sentiment only goes so far. I found the article compelling and so Novavax long I go. On a trading site left unsaid my screenname is "Bottom Feeding Grinder". I have an appetite for NVAX found at the bottom right now. This is a reversal/reversion to the mean long trade. It is not without risk. As a penny stock with high volumes, low cost of entry and perhaps low floats, volatility is underscored and exaggerated if a volume inflow gets underway That said, a short squeeze is within the spectrum of possibilities. Enough said for now.
NASDAQ:NVAXLong
by AwesomeAvani