Hang Seng heaviness opens door to downside flush Hang Seng futures look heavy. Friday’s bearish engulfing candle has been followed by two consecutive declines, leaving the price teetering just above horizontal support at 20280.
With RSI (14) and MACD providing bearish signals on momentum, the inclination is to sell rallies in the near-term. It may also see a potential break of 20280 stick where so many other attempts have failed recently.
If we were to see futures break (and preferably close) below 20280, you could sell with a stop above the level for protection. The May 20 high of 19772 would be the initial trade target, especially with the 50-day moving average located just below.
If that level were to be broken, it opens the door to a potential deeper flush to 18500 with only minor support at 18945 located in between.
Good luck!
DS
Oscillators
Entered the important Fibonacci ratio point 2.618 - 1.618
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-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It has risen by more than 10% for the first time in a long time.
It has touched the target range of 2.618 (87814.27) ~ 1.618 (89050.0).
Accordingly, it is expected to determine the trend again.
If there is an additional sharp rise, it is possible to touch the area around 3.618 (98841.11).
The next volatility period is around November 16 (November 15-17).
-
(1h chart)
The creation of the BW(100) line means that a high point has been formed.
Therefore, when the BW(100) line is created, it will mostly show a downward trend.
However, since we do not know how much it will fall, we need to check the movement at the support and resistance points.
In addition, when a real decline begins, it ignores all support and resistance points and falls, so in fact, the support and resistance points do not have much meaning.
However, it can be used as a location to proceed with a split sell.
-
We have several indicators that can respond to the decline.
BW(100), HA-High, StErr Line, MS-Signal (M-Signal on 1M, 1W, 1D charts), and 5EMA on 1D charts are included.
The first to appear among these are BW(100) and StErr Line.
The next to appear are HA-High and MS-Signal.
Therefore, when it falls below a certain indicator, you can choose whether to sell in installments or buy more.
-
Since BTC has risen by more than 10%, it is highly likely that it will move sideways in the current section.
At this time, the point to watch is whether the HA-High indicator rises and is created.
When the HA-High indicator is created, it will be easier to respond because it creates a box section.
However, since there is a process of shaking up and down to form a box section, caution is required at this time.
This is because it is not possible to know whether a box section is formed or a decline is in progress.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are the points where resistance is likely to be encountered in the future. We need to see if we can break through these points.
We need to see the movement when we touch this section because I think we can create a new trend in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start by creating a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
KO longCoca-Cola ( NYSE:KO ) stock, traded on the NYSE, is one of the most established and widely held stocks in the consumer defensive sector, specifically within non-alcoholic beverages. KO is currently priced around $63 per share, with a 52-week range between $56.06 and $73.52. The stock has shown resilience despite recent challenges, including inflationary pressures affecting consumer demand. Coca-Cola's recent quarterly earnings report reflected strong performance in North America, although global volumes dipped slightly due to pricing increases impacting demand.
KO is known for its dividend stability, with a yield close to 3% and a payout ratio that investors find attractive for income. Analysts hold a generally positive outlook, with an average target price around $71.81, indicating potential upside. However, the company has also been cautious, as competition with peers like PepsiCo and Nestlé continues to intensify, especially in emerging markets.
This stock is often considered a "safe" choice for conservative portfolios, given Coca-Cola's consistent profitability, strong brand, and global market presence.
Start of trading: When the candle is a bearish candle
(Title) Start of trading: When the candle on the 1D chart is a bearish candle
--------------------------------------------
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-------------------------------------
(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
The point to watch is whether the ATH can be renewed.
-
(1W chart)
To do that, the key is whether the uptrend can be maintained above 202.45.
If it falls below 202.45, you need to check whether it can be supported around 147.74-168.41.
-
(1D chart)
It has not yet updated the ATH, but it is located in a section where there is no support or resistance point to respond to.
Therefore, it is not easy to trade in this section.
Therefore, when the candle of the 1D chart is a downward candle, you have no choice but to check the support on the 1h chart and trade.
-
(1h chart)
The names of indicators that should be considered important on the time frame chart below the 1D chart are displayed.
When the candle of the 1D chart is a downward candle, you can trade depending on whether there is support near BW(100) and BW(0) on the 1h chart (you can use the chart you usually see and trade).
When trading spot, it is recommended to buy when the BW(100) and BW(0) indicators break upward, if possible.
-----------------------------------------------
As the price rises, you start to feel anxious.
If you feel like you are the only one making little profit and you start to feel like you have to buy now, it means that the coin market is approaching its peak.
What do you think?
When the spot market is rising, the number of transactions decreases.
Otherwise, if the number of transactions is increasing, I think it is likely that you are in a state of FOMO.
Therefore, you need to make an effort to find peace again.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
It is expected to touch 81K-95K in the next bull market.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
If it rises above 3438.16-3644.71, it is likely to renew the ATH
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-------------------------------------
(ETHUSDT 1W chart)
The 3438.16-3644.71 section is an important support and resistance section.
If it rises above this section and maintains the price, it is expected that there will be a movement to renew the ATH.
-
(1D chart)
To do that, the key is whether it can rise with support near 3265.0-3321.30.
Currently, since the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart is formed at the point of 3787.59, it is highly likely that a full-fledged uptrend will actually begin when it rises above the HA-High indicator of the 1D chart.
Therefore, we can proceed with additional purchases when it shows support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
If it falls after receiving resistance near the 1st and 2nd levels, the 2895.47 point is expected to be an important turning point based on the current price position.
-------------------------------------------
The longer the BW indicator rises to the 100 point and remains there, the more the pressure for a decline increases.
In order to reduce this pressure, you must sell in installments.
However, in a bull market like the current one, selling in installments is also difficult, so you should use a method of placing a reservation sell order at a point where it seems that it should not fall below this point.
A sharp movement up and down is a signal that the bull market is ending.
Since BTC has currently risen by more than 10%, it can be seen that there has been a sharp rise.
Therefore, we must prepare for a sharp decline.
When a sharp decline occurs, you should sell in installments to secure profits and buy more to maximize profits.
These transactions are ultimately determined by how you place the reservation order.
Since ETH has not yet updated its ATH, you can use the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
Therefore, you should set the importance of the support and resistance points and place a split trading reservation order accordingly to prepare for the decline.
Currently, the important support area for ETH is 2895.47-2912.45.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start after rising above 29K.
The area expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Cronos (CRO) - Bullish divergenceOn the above 6-day chart price action has corrected 92% since November 2021 @ 70 cents. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Strong bullish divergence as measured over 60 days. 8 oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
3) Look left (orange line, best seen on 2-day chart) price action prints on historical support.
4) The macro bull flag forecasts a first wave target of 30 cents.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: act now
Return: 400%
S&P 500 INDEX to 6000 before mid 2023Firstly a big thank you for taking me past the 10k likes on Tradingview. That’s a great milestone and tells me the ideas must be appreciated. If it is okay with you I’ll continue to share them freely.
As a thank you for taking my ideas past this milestone I want to share the idea that will challenge 95% of those reading. You will just not believe what is about to happen in the following 6-9 months. Use this idea as a cheat code to take you to the 5% club.
It is highly probable the market will rip higher and I’m betting on a new all time high before the middle of next year in the area of 6000. Then we can have our recession.
Still reading? Or have you gone straight to the comments for some club 95% ‘you mad bro’ comments?
What’s the evidence? There’s technical and fundamental. Firstly the technical on the above weekly chart:
1) A ‘great buy’ signal has printed. Look left.
2) Every year that ends with a ‘2’ for the last 70 years has beautiful symmetry with its roots in pi-cycle theory, but I’ll not go into that here, just accept it.
Each of the annual charts below are the last 70 years with years ending in a ‘2’ with the vertical lines approximately identifying a 12 month window.
1952 -
1962 -
1972 -
1982 -
1992 -
2002 -
2012 -
And finally 2022 - see a pattern?
The Fundamentals
1) Mid-term elections - the FED will not crash the market with up and coming mid-term elections. They never have in the above years.
2) Insider trading - The people making the decisions / your glorious leaders, they are actually buying the dip:
“U.S. House speaker Pelosi discloses trades in Apple and Microsoft”
Source: www.reuters.com
This is not an isolated event.
3) Sentiment is at the lowest it has been for 40 years! Not even 2008 comes close. People are so bearish right now that it is actually bullish.
4) The Put / Call ratio. The number of retail traders ‘short’ on the market is at levels not seen since August 2020. Remember then? The world was ending then too.
5) The ‘Put/Call’ ratio is printing bearish divergence just as it was back in August 2020. The market ripped higher afterwards.
Well that’s it - Hope you enjoyed, this took some hours of study and preparation.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: 6 to 9 months
Return: 50-80%
Verizon: Weak in a Strong MarketThe S&P 500 just had its biggest weekly rally in a year, but Verizon Communications didn’t participate. Are the bears moving in?
The first pattern on today’s chart is the trio of drops following the last three quarterly reports. Those may reflect weakening sentiment towards the telecom’s fundamentals.
Second, VZ peaked below $45.55 in late September. That was a long-term low from May 2022, which may suggest old support has become new resistance.
Next, VZ has chopped around its 2023 high of $42.58 but is now below it. That could be a sign of resistance taking hold.
Fourth, last week’s slide below the 200-day simple moving average could mark an end to its longer-term uptrend.
Finally, MACD is falling.
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Boba Network (BOBA) — Get Ready for Explosive Wave 3 (Easy 28X)I'm not going to make many posts about altcoins and I'm only posting some of those that I'm holding personally and have the best structure in my opinion.
This is another great opportunity similar to my previous posts.
During a wave 2 correction price action did a retracement to the 0.786 level and is now moving sideways inside a support zone.
RSI is stable and moving sideways on support as well.
Nicely looking structure on the BOBA/BTC chart, sleeping on support:
Look at these wild green weekly candles in the first wave: +70%, +45%, +98%.
And +5000% in one week in 2021.
Judging from the size of wave 1, wave 3 can easily reach previous all time high and even exceed it.
Conservative target: $6.00 (2700%).
USD/CAD 4H Bearish Double Top with RSI Divergence Trade SetupUSD/CAD 4-hour chart is forming a bearish double top pattern near a resistance zone, signaling a potential reversal. The RSI shows bearish divergence, with the price making higher highs while RSI trends lower, indicating weakening upward momentum. This setup suggests that a bearish move is likely if the price breaks below the key support level at 1.38138, which is the designated sell entry level in the plan. The stop loss is set above the double top, at 1.39624, to protect against a breakout above resistance.
For targets, Take Profit Level 1 is set at 1.36665, while Take Profit Level 2 is positioned at 1.35443, aligning with lower support levels that could serve as points for a potential reversal or pause in the downtrend. The plan projects the double top breakdown using a red line labeled "Projection of DT," indicating the estimated move downward if the pattern completes. This trade strategy utilizes confluence between price action, RSI divergence, and a clear breakdown structure to establish a high-probability short trade setup.
Where are you going dear crypto? (long term)Bitcoin finished 5 weekly wave in end of 2021 and we are in more complex forth monthly wave. So where we are?
TOTAL3 also finished 5th wave and alt coins are in corrective move (ABC) - look at elliott wave oscillator and squeeze indicator
BTC.D looks like accumulation structure. Note: I am not sure if we saw spring yet.
ratio TOTAL3/BTC looks like triple top (ratio 1 looks like strong resistence) and rising wedge with decreasing volume.
LONG: Mahindra & Mahindra on the Rise: Targeting New Highs!🔍 Technical Analysis Report: NSE:M_M
Current Overview: 📈 NSE:M_M have shown a strong reversal from its recent low of ₹2,665.55. This recovery is significant as it has crossed the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level, with the highest reference point being the level 1 Fibonacci at ₹3,214.95.
Key Observations:
Volume Analysis: Over the past 3-5 trading days, the stock has displayed consistent positive volume, indicating sustainable upward movement. 📊🔼
Critical Resistance: Since mid-June, the stock has been approaching a key resistance level. It briefly breached the 0.5 Fibonacci level yesterday but closed near the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🚧
Price Movement: Today, the stock opened around the 0.382 Fibonacci level at ₹2,827.10 and is inching upwards. 📈
Technical Indicators:
MACD Analysis: The current MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) shows an impending buying crossover. If market conditions stay favorable, we anticipate the MACD histogram turning green tomorrow, reinforcing the bullish trend. 🔄🟢
Target Levels:
🎯 First Target: ₹2,942.15
🎯 Second Target: ₹3,005.10
🚀 Extended Target (if resistance is broken): Around ₹3,100.00
Risk Management:
Primary Stop-Loss: ₹2,800.00 to protect against downside risk. ⚠️
Extended Stop-Loss: ₹2,720.85 for those accommodating broader market volatility. 📉
Conclusion: 🟢 If M&M opens in the green tomorrow, this will confirm the buying trend, potentially reaching the target levels mentioned above. However, cautious trading is advised, particularly around the set stop-loss thresholds, to manage inherent market risks effectively. ⚖️
#Hashtags: #MahindraAndMahindra #StockAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #FibonacciLevels #MACD #TradingInsights #StockMarketIndia #BullishTrend #InvestmentStrategy #RiskManagement #FinogentSolutions
Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading and investing involve significant risk, and you should conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Bearish signals piling up for crude oil pricesA lack of direct stimulus measures in China likely contributed to the rough end for crude oil last week, with prices not only breaking minor uptrend support but also closing below the 50-day moving average.
It’s the latter that’s got me eyeing a potential short setup. The ratio of how often the price has traded through this level versus how often the break has stuck is notable over recent months. The uptrend in RSI (14) has been trashed, and MACD is on the verge of confirming a bearish signal, skewing risks lower.
However, I’d like to see a break and hold below $69.74 first, the low hit on US election night. The price bounced strongly from there, so it looms as potentially key level for near-term directional risks.
If that level breaks, shorts could be initiated with a stop above either the low or the 50-day moving average. Targets include $66.72 (October 29 low), with $66.33 and $65.27 next.
If the price reverses above the 50-day moving average and closes there, the bearish bias is negated, opening up potential bullish setups.
Good luck!
DS
ALTS PUSH ? - After weekend this will decideAfter the weekend, a double break of the trendline and RSI will decide if we have the long awaited FINAL PUSH for the Altcoins.
This time, unlike 2018 and 2021 I think it will be selective. Not all alts are going to fly or even go up, so we will have to choose wisely.
Some of the ones I follow individually with the confirmation of this chart are #LINK, #ONDO, #XRP and #VELA.
They all depend on this chart and what happens with #BTC.
Let's follow it closely!
CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:XRP BIST:LINK LSE:ONDO LSE:VELA
Important volume profile section: 0.5941
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-------------------------------------
(ADAUSDT.P 1M chart)
Important volume profile section is formed in the 0.4346-0.5941 section.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise near 0.5941.
-
(1W chart)
Currently, the BW(100) point is formed at the 0.6818 point, so the point to watch is whether it can rise above 0.6818.
To do this, we need to see if it can be supported near 0.5941
1st: 0.6206
2nd: 0.6818
and rise to the 1st and 2nd ranges above.
Since the HA-HIgh indicator and the BW(100) indicator indicate the high point range, if it breaks through this indicator upward and receives support, it is highly likely to renew the high point.
If it fails to rise, it may fall until it meets the HA-Low indicator or the BW(0) indicator, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
-
(1D chart)
If it is supported near 0.6818 and rises, you should set the target point at around 0.9242 and think about a countermeasure for it.
If it falls below 0.5941, you need to check if the BW(100) line is created.
If the BW(100) line is created, it is likely to lead to an additional decline, so you need to think about a countermeasure for it.
For now, if it falls below 0.5693, I think there could be a sharp decline, so you need to prepare a countermeasure for it.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will begin when it rises above 29K.
The next expected range to touch is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to receive resistance in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this range is touched because it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting range.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next Volatility Period: Around November 16 (November 15-17)
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If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1W chart)
The target range is around 2.618 (87814.27) on the left and 1.618 (89050.0) on the right.
If it rises to this range, it is expected to determine the trend again.
To do so, the key is whether it can break through the 1st and 2nd ranges upward.
-
StochRSI EMA has not touched the 100 point so far.
Therefore, as the StochRSI EMA approaches the 100 point, the downward pressure becomes stronger, so caution is required when trading.
-
(1D chart)
This volatility period is until November 11th.
Therefore, the point of interest is whether it can receive support near 80K after passing this volatility period.
-
The BW indicator is currently maintained at the 100 point.
This also means that the upward strength is strong.
However, if the BW indicator shows a downward trend from the 100 point, BTC is likely to show a downward trend.
Whether this downward trend will create a pull back pattern or the start of a downward trend can be predicted depending on whether there is support near 75571.99.
I will tell you more details when it falls near 75571.99.
----------------------------------------------
Since the prices of most coins (tokens) have risen significantly, it is quite burdensome to buy them.
Therefore, in order to trade, you have no choice but to use time frame charts below the 1D chart.
However, you should draw support and resistance points on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts and check the movement near those points.
In fact, coins (tokens) that are renewing their ATH have no support and resistance points, making it very difficult to trade them.
Therefore, for coins (tokens) that are renewing their ATH, you should purchase them in installments when the candles on the 1D chart are falling candles, lowering the average purchase price.
Buying when the candles on the 1D chart are falling candles means that you should perform a breakout trade when the time frame chart below the 1D chart goes down and then rises.
That is, the method is to buy when the price falls below the BW(100) point of 79844.01 and then rises above 79844.01 again.
It is important to buy when the price starts to rise, but it is also important to buy when the price falls below the important support and resistance points and then rises again when the price has already risen.
I hope this answers the question of why I am the only one who is recording a loss when everyone else is making a profit.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
- Big picture
It is expected that the full-scale uptrend will start when it rises above 29K.
The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Bitcoin Cash Long Setup Setting / Two sides of the MarketBINANCE:BCHUSDT
COINBASE:BCHUSD
📈Which side you pick?
Bull or Bear
SL1 ---> Low-risk status: 3x-4x Leverage
SL2 ---> Mid-risk status: 5x-8x Leverage
(If there is just one SL on the chart, I suggest, low risk status)
👾Note: The setup is active but expect the uncertain phase as well. also movement lines drawn to predict future price reactions are relative and approximate.
➡️Entry Area:
Yellow zone
⚡️TP:
379
385.4
391.9
399.3
🔴SL:
358.8
🧐The Alternate scenario:
If the price stabilize against the direction of the position, below or above the trigger zone, the setup will be canceled.
Is a 70% crash to 20k for Bitcoin going to print ??This is a 3 week chart. Each candle print takes 3 weeks. This is not a forecast for tomorrow or the day after. This is months in the making.
On this timeframe months pass until targets are realised. Regardless, there are some important signals now printing that require attention.
When:
1) Stochastic RSI was above 80 AND then crosses down 50 (red arrows)
AND
2) RSI 50 level confirms resistance once a breakout has printed (black circles) as it is now, you must watch for a confirmation of resistance.
A and B had confirmed resistance in 2018 and 2019. 80% and 70% corrections followed. Point C in early 2021 was a false breakout only confirming in late 2021. A 75% correction followed.
Look left. This chart is now either repeating years 2018 / 2019 or 2021.
There are some important takeaways from all of this.
1) Whether it is a repeat of 2018 or 2019 or 2021, the bull run is over inside the next 6 months. There are far too many calls for higher highs into 2025 and beyond. That is not going to happen.
2) This is not a forecast for something that is going to happen right away.
3) The market top is not in yet. True. Market tops arrive with Euphoria not fear.
4) When this RSI resistance confirms, there will be no long opportunities in the market until 2027 at the earliest.
Ww
Palantir, expecting retracementPalantir uptrend move from June 2024 so far has been incredible. But I think enough is enough!
Palantir broke out of its "cup and handle" pattern in mid June and already hit its target at about 50$ per share.
The stock price is currently standing at 58$ per share, which is surpassing its cup and handle target and even 4.76 Fibbonaci extension level.
I believe we will see a retracement to around 50$ per share soon. We also see that the when RSI indicator is at these elevated levels, there is usually a retracement or sideways price action.