WTI OIL Buy SignalPattern: Fibonacci Channel on 4H.
Signal: Buy as the price just hit the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). The region within the 4H MA50 and 4H MA100 (green trend-line) has been the most optimal buy level since November. Also the RSI is very close to its Support Zone.
Target: 69.00 (just below the 2.5 Fibonacci extension) and 72.00 (just below the 3.0 Fibonacci extension).
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Oilsignals
WTI OIL pull-back needed for next Higher HighPattern: Bullish megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Buy once the price touches the 4H MA100 (green trend-line) again.
Target: $69.00 (right below the 2.5 Fibonacci extension and on the Higher Highs trend-line of the Megaphone).
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Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup (refer to the trade marked with "2")
🔵 Entry: $62.24
🟢 TP & RR: $64.55 (2.69)
⛔ Stop Loss: $61.38
Trade Reasons:
✔️ Support Level
📝 A very basic setup relying on a support bounce. I still believe that we need to reach the 1.618 level before price reverts (the setup posted yesterday and marked with "1"). In the meantime I want to take advantage of the move up (if I even get a fill), but my position will be much smaller than usual due to the last trading day of the month.
Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry: $64.49
🟢 TP & RR: $61.02
⛔ Stop Loss: $66.14
Trade Reasons:
✔️ 1.618 Fib Level Extension
✔️ Expecting the formation of higher high price with lower high on the Market Flow indicator (divergence)
📝 This trade will probably take a while to form and will require monitoring of the entry level, to assess the situation.
💡WTI . Weekly Technical Analysis UpdateMidterm forecast:
51.60 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 51.60 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 63.10, 66.50, 72.55 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 79.
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Oil Short SetupOil Short Setup
🔵 Entry: $58.51
🟢 TP & RR: $53.68 (4.24)
⛔ Stop Loss: $59.65
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
✔️ Reached upper trendline
✔️ Seems like we are going to form a lower low
✔️ Divergence in the Market Flow indicator
📝 This is continuation of the short setup I posted a few days ago (1). If you are in a trade already this additional short (2) will increase your exposure, so I suggest moving your SL down.
WTI OIL First buyers on the 4H MA50Pattern: Channel Up and Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Bullish once the price makes contact with the 4H MA50 (strong buy accumulation level since November).
Target: 60.00 (top of the Channel Up), if seeking more risk aim at 62.50 (top of the Megaphone and 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which indicates the Higher High since November).
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
54.40 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A trough is formed in daily chart at 54.40 on 02/01/2021, so more gains to resistance(s) 62.30, 66.05, 70.35 and more heights is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 73.
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WTI OIL Wait for a 4H MA50 test before enteringPattern: Channel Up & Bullish Megaphone on 4H.
Signal: Buy once contact is made again with the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
Target: 60.00 (top of the Channel).
Most recent WTI idea:
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Crude Oil Long SetupOil Long Setup
Entry: $53.68
TP & RR: $57.65
Stop Loss: $52.57
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Contrary to most expectations that Oil was overpriced, it continues to trend up. I won't open a long order at the current level, nor would I short obvious strength. However, if price retraces back to previous resistance, which is now support, I am more than happy to buy. I believe we are now in a channel and we are yet to see how we go through the awaited $55-$56 level.
With that being said, we may not get filled at all. Should this be the case, we will be targeting the upper channel with a short order.
Judgement time for WTI Oil according to the DXY.Simple chart comparison on a +12 year time span. Oil on a Channel Down, DXY on a Channel Up. Every time DXY kept its Support (green zones), Oil failed to make a Higher High and break its Lower Highs trend-line.
Oil hasn't made a Higher High since July 2008 and the Sub-prime mortgage crisis. Is it time to do so, if DXY breaks its Support this time? Thoughts???
Most recent WTI idea:
Most recent DXY idea:
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Oil Lower High Formation - Short TradeOil Lower High - Short Order
Entry: $53.55
TP & RR: $51.05 (2.38)
Stop Loss: $54.60
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Oil has entered into a bit of a range recently, but the formation of the lower high on Friday makes me think that we are about to see another lower high, which should then form a lower low. This is where we will be looking to take profit. The Stop Loss is set well above the highest high, so if we are to break that level, then we have clear invalidation of the setup. So, pay attention to the price action around this area, and should it break it, feel free to close the trade prematurely.
The wide SL is purely for decreasing the position size, as I don't want us to lose a full 1% on a trade without a clear signal from my indicators.
Oil Descending Channel - Short TradeOil Descending Channel - Short Position
Entry: $53.16
TP & RR: $51.61 (2.77)
Stop Loss: $53.72
REASONS FOR THE TRADE
Similarly to my previous trade idea about SPX500 from today, I am placing an alert at $53 and I will be patiently waiting to see how price action develops. You never know what's been going on in the traders' and investors' heads over the weekend, so we want to see the volume and a 1h close around that level before opening a position.
I believe we are now in a downtrend channel, which should bring more balance to that longer-than-expected move up. My entry is quite high and we very much may miss it, so I have highlighted the upper trendline as an entry-level suggestion. Any position around that level with a SL place reasonably high should provide a good trade setup. Ultimately, I am expecting that we reach the $49 level (bigger trendline) before we move up again.
Let me know what you think in the comment section below.
💡Brent Crude Oil - Weekly technical analysis updateMidterm forecast:
52.45 is a major support, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be uptrend.
Technical analysis:
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 57.25 on 01/13/2021, so more losses minimum to Major Support (52.45) is expected.
Price is above WEMA21, if price drops more, this line can act as dynamic support against more losses.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 61.
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