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Oilshort

Short oil Above 38.2% Fib LineCrude oil is trading it highs to low short fib at the 38.2% line. Oil has a history of trading this short fib line in this downtrend. The last time it traded this level, crude dropped from 81.72 level to 77.57, hitting the objective to nearly the penny. Now, we are trading the highs to low 38.2 level. And, once again, we are having issues getting past it. So, let's take a small risk here and see if we can get a trade out of it. I am looking for a 15 minute candle with a wick or two above this 80.37 level. A rapid fall back beneath this level would be the right price action for a big break to the downside, targeting the objective at 75.87. The chart shows the previous Fib draw (left) and subsequent decline to the target objective. On the right, the current fib draw from low to highs, including this 38.2% line. For this trade risk no more than 25 cents on your fill. Based on projected move, this is a 20:1 Reward:Risk level.
NYMEX:CL1!
by CeresTrader
1
China's Economic Woes and Increased Oil Production Introduction: Recently, the global oil market has been experiencing significant fluctuations due to a combination of factors. The economic slowdown in China and the increased oil production in Iran and Venezuela have led to a drop in oil prices. As traders, it is crucial to approach this situation cautiously and explore opportunities to take advantage of this market scenario. Understanding the Factors at Play: 1. China's Economic Deterioration: China, the world's second-largest economy, has been grappling with a slowdown, which has had a direct impact on the oil demand. As the country's manufacturing and industrial sectors face challenges, the need for oil decreases, contributing to the price drop. 2. Increased Production in Iran and Venezuela: The easing of sanctions on Iran and the resurgence of oil production in Venezuela have further added to the supply glut in the market. As these countries ramp up their production, the oversupply of oil leads to a downward pressure on prices. Capitalizing on the Situation: While the oil price drop may pose risks, it also presents opportunities for traders to profit from the market. However, it is crucial to approach this situation with a cautious mindset and consider the following strategies: 1. Diversify Your Portfolio: As the oil market remains volatile, it is essential to diversify your trading portfolio to minimize potential risks. Consider exploring other sectors or commodities less affected by the oil price drop. 2. Monitor Global Economic Indicators: Keep a close eye on economic indicators, particularly those related to China's financial performance. You can make more informed trading decisions and mitigate potential losses by staying informed about the latest developments. 3. Analyze Geopolitical Factors: Stay updated on geopolitical events that may impact oil prices. Developments in Iran and Venezuela, such as political tensions or changes in production policies, can significantly impact the oil market. Remain vigilant and adapt your trading strategies accordingly. 4. Utilize Risk Management Tools: To protect your investments, implement risk management techniques such as stop-loss orders and trailing stops. These tools can help limit potential losses in case of unexpected market movements. Call-to-Action: Seize the Opportunity to Profit from Oil While the oil price drop may seem daunting, it presents a unique opportunity for traders to capitalize on the market situation. By carefully analyzing market trends, diversifying portfolios, and utilizing risk management tools, traders can navigate the oil market cautiously and potentially secure profitable outcomes. Stay informed and adapt your trading strategies to the evolving market conditions is crucial. Take advantage of this period of oil price drop by making well-informed decisions and seizing the profit potential. Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders are advised to conduct their own research and consult a professional financial advisor before making investment decisions. Note: It is essential to consult with a financial advisor or professional before making any investment decisions.
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
OILUSDHaving surpassed three instances of touchpoints, the price has diligently followed an ascending trend. Regrettably, on Tuesday, August 15, this course was disrupted as the price concluded below 81.70. Forecasts suggest a continued descent in the trend, with the price anticipated to gravitate towards the range of 77.68 to 77.8 in the subsequent occurrences. This shift marks a departure from the earlier upward trajectory, raising expectations of a sustained downtrend for the time being. Traders and observers are keenly watching the price movement to ascertain the accuracy of this projected decline and its potential implications. Meanwhile, as the market undergoes these fluctuations, Wagner Corporation's CEO, Mr. Wagner, has embarked on a well-deserved vacation. In a separate realm, Ukraine's situation takes center stage as they appeal for a period of tranquility and conciliation. Amidst these diverse developments, global attention remains divided between financial trends and geopolitical dynamics, underscoring the intricate interplay between economic and political landscapes.
EASYMARKETS:OILUSDShort
by robinhoood
1
Russia's Oil Exports Plummet to Lowest Volume Level Since JanIntroduction: In a surprising turn of events, Russia's oil exports have hit their lowest volume since January, raising concerns within the trading community. This unexpected decline has far-reaching implications for the global oil market, warranting a moment of reflection and reconsideration for traders worldwide. In this article, we delve into the reasons behind this decline and propose a call to action, urging traders to pause oil trading temporarily. The Unforeseen Decline: Russia, one of the world's largest oil producers, has experienced a significant drop in its exports, catching many traders off guard. The recorded volume level was the lowest since January, sending shockwaves through the trading community. This decline raises several red flags and highlights the need for a cautious approach in the current market. Factors Contributing to the Decline: Several factors have contributed to Russia's plummeting oil exports. First and foremost, the ongoing China economic slowdown has severely impacted oil demand, reducing production and exports. Furthermore, geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainties, and changing market dynamics have all affected this downward trend. The Call-to-Action: Pause Oil Trading: Given the current circumstances, traders must take a moment to pause and reassess their trading strategies. The declining oil exports from Russia should serve as a wake-up call for the trading community. It is crucial to adopt a more cautious and responsible approach to trading oil, considering the volatility and unpredictability of the market. Traders can mitigate potential risks by temporarily pausing oil trading and avoiding unnecessary losses. This pause allows for thoroughly evaluating market conditions, including supply and demand dynamics, geopolitical developments, and economic indicators. This step will enable traders to make informed decisions and adjust their strategies accordingly. Additionally, this pause serves as an opportunity to explore alternative investment avenues. Diversifying portfolios and considering other commodities or sectors can help traders reduce their dependence on oil and navigate the market with greater resilience. Exploring renewable energy sources like solar or wind power could also be a long-term investment consideration. Conclusion: The recent decline in Russia's oil exports indicates that the global oil market faces unprecedented challenges. As responsible traders, we must pause and reevaluate our strategies in light of these developments. We can protect our investments, mitigate risks, and explore alternative opportunities by temporarily taking a step back from oil trading. Let us collectively embrace this call to action and make informed decisions contributing to a more stable and sustainable trading environment. We can only navigate these uncertain times and emerge more robust in adversity through careful consideration and responsible action.
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
XTIUSD: 15/8 crude oil trading strategy today​Yesterday, oil prices continued to be suppressed technically, running below the 83 mark, showing a trend of shock consolidation. During the Asian-European trading session, the price was hit by the resistance of the 83.1 line, and quickly went down. In the afternoon, the price stabilized at the 82 mark and reversed. In the evening, it rushed up several times in the US market, but was suppressed by the 83 mark, weakened and fluctuated again, and was below 83 at the close, forming a negative line of shock and fall. Judging from the weekly chart, although there was a short-term correction of the cross K line after the continuous positive line rose last week, the overall market is still running in an upward channel. Although accompanied by a callback correction, the price shows a trend of horizontal consolidation, and there is no deep pattern of rushing up, falling back and closing down for the time being, implying that the current upward trend is not over yet, and it may still rise after the correction. In the 4-hour chart, the local upward trend has slowed down and lost the support of the middle rail, but it is currently entering the process of correction and gaining momentum, waiting for a stable rise again. The overall price continues to fluctuate and adjust below the 83 mark, and there may be expectations of a further decline in the short term. Crude oil operation strategy: sell83.3-83.6, sl60pips, tp82.0 buy81.0-81.3, sl60pips, tp83.5
FXOPEN:XTIUSD
by ActuaryJ
Oil BearishMarket Structure: Oil is in a downtrend making lower highs and lower lows and approaching a key level (resistance, downtrend line, swing high) and there is likely an accumulation of buy orders which are made up of breakout traders and stop losses of short positions. This accumulation of orders creates enough liquidity for the market to match orders at this high point before positioning to go lower. Trade: Wait for price to close above the swing high point and enter short on a sell stop @ 84.518
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by Mankz
Oil Price Cools Off as Fed Rate Increase LoomsAs a trader, it is crucial to approach these developments cautiously and consider their potential implications on oil prices. Firstly, it is worth noting that the oil market has experienced a cooling effect in response to the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. Historically, such rate hikes have led to a strengthening of the US dollar, which in turn tends to weigh on oil prices. This correlation suggests we may witness a temporary dip in oil prices in the coming weeks. However, we must also be mindful of China's ongoing efforts to stimulate its economy. The Chinese government has recently implemented various measures, such as tax cuts and infrastructure spending, to counteract the economic slowdown. While these actions are expected to boost domestic demand and potentially increase oil consumption, there are concerns regarding the sustainability and effectiveness of these stimulus efforts. Considering the potential volatility in the market, I encourage you to exercise caution when purchasing oil at this time. It is advisable to pause and carefully evaluate the market conditions before making significant trading decisions. By doing so, we can mitigate potential risks and position ourselves for better opportunities in the future. In conclusion, the recent Fed rate increase has cooled oil prices, but China's attempts to stimulate its economy introduce uncertainties. I urge you to approach the market with caution and take a pause in your oil-buying activities. Evaluating the market conditions thoroughly will help us make informed decisions and navigate these challenging times more effectively.
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by bryandowningqln
OIl Short In this short analysis, we will examine the recent price movement of oil within the range of $78.5 to $79 with a focus on the potential for a price reversal. We will explore key technical indicators, market sentiment, and other factors that suggest a possible shift in the oil's direction. Price Movement Overview: The oil market has seen a recent uptrend as the price climbed from $78.5 to $79. However, the current price range indicates a potential turning point, suggesting the possibility of a price reversal. Technical Indicators: Resistance Level: The $79 price level has acted as a significant resistance point in the recent past. Repeated failures to break above this level could signal a lack of bullish momentum and an increased probability of a reversal. Overbought Conditions: If the price surge from $78.5 to $79 has been rapid and significant, technical indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Stochastic Oscillator might signal overbought conditions. An overbought market often precedes a reversal as traders take profits, leading to a downward price correction. Market Sentiment: Market sentiment plays a crucial role in price reversals. As traders and investors become wary of the extended rally and potential resistance at $79, profit-taking and cautious approaches might be observed, adding selling pressure to the market. Fundamental Factors: Demand-Supply Balance: An analysis of the supply-demand dynamics could reveal potential imbalances in the oil market. If the demand outlook weakens or if there are signs of oversupply, it could influence traders' expectations for a price reversal. Global Economic Indicators: The health of the global economy can impact oil prices. Any negative economic data or uncertainties could lead investors to reevaluate their positions, potentially triggering a reversal. Caution for Traders and Investors: For traders seeking a potential reversal, closely monitoring key technical levels and trendlines will be essential. Confirmation of a reversal signal through technical indicators and candlestick patterns can provide a stronger basis for making trading decisions. Conclusion: The oil price movement from $78.5 to $79 indicates the potential for a reversal as the market approaches a critical resistance level and may experience profit-taking and cautious sentiment. However, traders should be cautious and use additional technical and fundamental analyses to confirm a reversal before making trading decisions.
TVC:USOILShort
by realtrademaster
Potential Cautious Impact of US Slowing Economy on Oil PricesAs an astute investor in the oil industry, I wanted to bring to your attention a recent development that could potentially affect the price of oil. The current state of the US economy, which has been exhibiting signs of slowing down, has the potential to cast a shadow over the oil market. Over the past few years, the US economy has been a driving force behind the global oil demand, contributing significantly to the increase in oil prices. However, recent economic indicators, such as declining consumer spending and a manufacturing activity slowdown, suggest a potential downturn in the US economy. This, in turn, may have a dampening effect on oil prices. Given the interdependence between the US economy and the oil market, it is crucial to approach the situation cautiously. While it is impossible to predict the exact impact on oil prices, it is reasonable to expect that the slowdown in the US economy could lead to a tighter range-bound movement in oil prices. In light of this, I encourage you to closely monitor the developments in the US economy and their potential implications on the oil market. Consider diversifying your investment portfolio and exploring strategies to help mitigate potential risks associated with the current economic climate. It is important to note that various factors influence the oil market, and the US economy is just one of them. Geopolitical tensions, supply-demand dynamics, and global economic conditions also significantly shape oil prices. Therefore, maintaining a well-informed and balanced perspective is essential when making investment decisions. As always, I recommend consulting with your financial advisor or conducting thorough research before investing. By staying informed and proactive, you can position yourself to navigate the potential challenges and capitalize on the opportunities that may arise in the oil market.
FX:USOILSPOTShort
by bryandowningqln
The Downward Trajectory: Understanding Weak Oil Market DynamicsOil looks weak. It seems extremely weak, mainly because production hasn't come down. Chinese demand is still low and might never reach its ATHs, but this, along with the US refilling its SPR, can potentially send higher oil prices. However, this is unlikely to happen before the market takes out this quadruple bottom. Until all the lows are swept, and potentially until the market trades at 43-55$, it's unlikely to see oil go up. Only those prices will make OPEC+ cut production and have 80+ as its target. Until many of these member countries feel pain, it's unlikely that oil will trade above 80$ without some other geopolitical shock. Again, oil can trade higher, but for now, the target is 60.6$, and potentially 54.2$ is next. We can look for potential longs toward 85-100$.
TVC:USOILShort
by BitcoinMacro
1
Oil continues to drop despite China rate changeThe price of oil has taken a significant hit due to China's decrease in demand. As we all know, China is an essential player in the oil market, and any rate changes can significantly impact the industry. This news is disheartening. We have seen oil prices drop dramatically recently, leaving many investors uncertain about this market's future. However, I want to encourage you not to lose hope. Despite the current challenges, investing in oil is still a wise choice. While the market may be volatile right now, we know that oil is a valuable resource that will always be in demand. The need for oil will only increase as the world grows and develops.
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
Oil continues to drop because of these market conditionsAs you are likely aware, the oil market has been experiencing a significant drop in prices in recent weeks, and this warning serves as a reminder of the potential risks involved in short selling during times of volatility. Furthermore, we are also waiting for China's announcement of interest rate cuts, which could further impact the oil market. It is essential to remain vigilant and cautious during these uncertain times. As an oil trader, I urge you to pause and carefully consider your actions before making any decisions that could significantly impact the market. We must all act responsibly and with caution to ensure the stability and sustainability of the oil market. In conclusion, I encourage you to take heed of the warning issued by Saudi Arabia and approach the current market situation cautiously.
TVC:USOILShort
by bryandowningqln
Can oil demand bounced back to drive pack price? As you may have noticed, oil prices have recently ticked up on bargain hunting, but demand worries continue to weigh heavily on the market. While this may seem like a good investment opportunity, I urge you to exercise caution. The global pandemic has caused unprecedented disruptions in the oil industry, and the future remains uncertain. Demand for oil is likely to remain suppressed for some time. In addition, the ongoing trade tensions between major economies could also impact the market. Therefore, it is important to be mindful of the risks associated with investing in oil at this time. While there may be opportunities for short-term gains, the long-term outlook remains uncertain. I encourage you to carefully consider your investment strategy and consult with a financial advisor before making any decisions. It is important to prioritize your financial well-being and make informed choices in these challenging times.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
NRGD a 3X Leveraged ETF that shorts oilNRGD goes up when oil goes down; this ETF tracks the oil futures ; it is leveraged and managed. Here on the one-hour chart with an Bollinger Bands and EMA bands indicator added, it can be seen that price had been trending down in two waves beginning June 1st , Upon dropping outside the BB lower line, price reversed upward to reach the upper BB line and reversed again. Finally, price dropped outside the BB lower line and reversed this past Thursday. The RSI oscillator has recently trended between 65 and 40, suggesting healthy price action without and oversold or overbought conditions. As it is now trending up again. I see it as suitable for a l long trade. I have plotted horizontal resistance lines in order to plan a tiered exit from a trade of 4 shares where I will partially close the position by selling a share each time price reaches one of those lines. At the same time, I will move the stop loss up to midway between its l location and that line. I will repeat this until all shares are sold. I am expecting a 12% profit overall for a week-long trade. This will be a free trade without risk after the first move of the stop loss to above the entry point. If the RSI remains below 80, I may let the last share run until I am alerted that price has hit the BB upper line by an alert or alternatively set up a trailing stop loss of 2%.
NLong
by AwesomeAvani
OIL dropped 1% as Fed call this draws uncertaintityI wanted to bring to your attention some recent developments in the oil and financial markets. Specifically, there are concerns about the impact of upcoming signals on the U.S. economy and monetary policy. This week, we expect U.S. consumer inflation data to be released on Tuesday, which will likely factor into the Federal Reserve's decision on interest rates on Wednesday. While the Fed is expected to keep rates steady, there is still some uncertainty because U.S. inflation is trending above the central bank's target range. As a result, markets are remaining cautious about any potential hawkish moves. Additionally, the dollar has firmed in Asian trade, putting pressure on oil markets by making crude more expensive for international buyers. I thought bringing these developments to your attention was essential, as they could impact this week's oil price. Please let me know if you have any questions or concerns via the comments.
TVC:USOILLong
by bryandowningqln