Is oil about to crash to the 60.00 level again?Technicals perfectly matching on this charts. Momentum slowing down as you can see on the RSI. On the lower timeframe (daily and below) we recently saw the impulsive oil drop that does not look like it's going to stop really soon.
Price may go up towards the 75 level and build up some decent resistance right there before it drops down. The trendline from June 2017 is quite strong and if that significantly breaks, oil prices are likely to fall down further towards the 60 level. Maybe the weekly COI (Crude oil inventories) can push this to this area.
A significant move above 75 will make this setup invalid.
A break of the trendline or break of the lows means we can start to expect bearish movement and a drop off towards 60
Oilshort
Crude Oil Targets: Short 63,44 / 64,75 or Long 70,00. I invest in Crypto currencies and I trade CFD's. When you want to invest in crypto, I advise you to buy 'real coins' because on long term that will give you far more profit than speculate the chart with CFD's. I have bought XRP-Ripple, Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash, Ethereum, ReddCoin, FeatherCoin, Adcoin ( ACC ), Bunny Token and looking for NEO! But wait NEO to buy, because price seems to go to 30.00 first.
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What about my ' Cycle phenomenon' ? read here:
My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new analysis. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Oil long $62.90 or $60.40 ($61.15 resistance short) best to waitOil chance to go long to $62.90 or short to $60.40 between the horizontal pattern now. ($61.15 is a resistance within the short-range) best to wait now.
The Oil price is exactly between two bollinger bands , which means price- fluctuations and opening positions most of the time means losing money.
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My main strategy is called 'cycle-trading'. After years of learning and practicing after I bought a teaching-package from a visionair, I found a way of how to trade successful with CFD's on the stock-market. Every stock is following an certain cycle which repeats itself. So, movements are often appearing in the same percentage, aswel long as short. This cycles appear at all levels; when you analyse the chart at 1 month, 1 week, 1 day, 1 hour. (others I don't use). This is the case, because all in life is build by the fibonacci sequence. When you analyse the chart, you'll also see the stock market is behaving itself as the fibonacci sequence. But, still the most difficult part and what it's all about, is where does a long or a short start? and which point is telling you that the cycle is started, so that you know it will probably go to the next fibonacci resistance? .... therefore I have developed some own indicators!
The exact positions of where to open, to close and the stop loss position and take profit position is very important to be successful with trading!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
One of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts. Therefor I use the fibonacci sequence. My indicators tell to open a position or not and in combination with other own created indicators I decide where to place the stop loss and take profit positions.
- and this own indicators tell me when probably a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders! or open directly.
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are other positions than the resistances in the market!
- the moving-averages and bollinger-bands are very important indicators also. They are helping a lot! by making decisions.
And that is Why I win more than I lose in the end. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment! But don't forget; trading means investing. Sometimes you lose more than you win in the beginning of a period!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday! please consider that when you start a position on Monday. Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday are on steady markets normally calm trading days. Than, my strategies work at their best!
Don't forget to follow me, so you get updated when I post new ones. Also read my account and the 'status updates' to be informed.
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Oil is still bullish. As long as we are not breaking 59 dollarOil is still in bullish position. As long as we are not breaking 59 dollar I still believe we are in uptrend and the price can rise to 75 dollar. We have reached a critic point last week, but the week ended positive. The sentiment next Monday will decide if it will be interesting to open a long cfd! The orange line is showing which point is the position we open a trade. Stop loss position and take profit position are very important!
My strategy is to never trade on volatile markets. You will lose your money when you do! Just like last week, when came up unexpected volatility at oil, and we lost two trades. The won position a day before was at a steady market. Trade on technical-chart analysis! not on news and volatility!
Well, one of my other strategies is that trades are only interesting and ‘safe’ to open when: you can possibly lose 1/3rd of the possible profit. So; when you set the indicators after analysing resistances, and you can lose 100 but win 300, it is worth the try!
Now, I see a opportunity on Oil. The chart is horizontal but the upper horizontal resistance was broken at $59 dollar. I have pointed out the breakingpoint with the black vertical line! Last week it retraced, but when it stays above $59 dollar we are still in uptrend! Oil is just in horizontal pattern now.
How do I decide to open a position or not? First I analyse:
- sentiment on the market > are people in buy mode or short mode
- I have some own created indicators, some I show in my charts.
- and this own indicators tell me If a new long position starts or a new short > these are the positions where I place my orders!
- and again other own created indicators tell me how far long or short it probably goes. The take profit and stop loss positions are Other positions than the resistances in the market!
And that is Why I win more than I lose. Patience is everything, we’ll wait for the right moment!
Most of the times the sentiment changes on Monday!
Thank you for following and Succes with trading !
Richard from Rich.Exclusive.Trading
Crude Oil APR2018 (NYMEX)Trading Signal
Short Position (EP) : 63.05
Stop Loss (SL) : 63.75
Take Profit (TP) : 62.00
Description
CL1! have reached day resistance zone and about to go down for correction. Turtle Soup was formed during 4h time frame. Set up sell stop at 63.05 and place take profit (Buy limit) before 0.382 of FR (62.00) Wait for the market price hit entry point then, place stop loss (Buy stop) at high of the candle stick (63.75)
Money Management
Money in portfolio : $50,000
Risk Management (2%) : $1,000
Position Sizing
1 Tick value = +-$1000
Commission fee = -$30/contract
EP to SL = 0.70 Tick value = -$700/contract
Contract size to open = 1 contracts
EP to TP = 1.05 tick value = +$1,050
Expected Result
Loss = -$730
Gain = +$1,020
Risk/Reward Ratio = 1.38
OIL Top?? Might be headed to below $60 soon.If you think this move in the markets is enough to rattle your nerves, imagine what a move lower in OIL would do to the markets? OIL has extended nearly 100% beyond recent price rotation and has setup a nearly perfect rotational top pattern. If is my opinion that OIL will likely rotate lower towards $60 in the immediate future while the US majors rotate through a congestion phase till they find a new peak near March 15. Time to short OIL?? Might be the perfect time to short OIL.
Brent Crude Oil above major support, watch for a break!Brent crude oil is starting to show bearish signs and a potential reversal. Our major support remains at 68.60 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support) and a break of this would trigger a bearish move down to support at 65.98 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support). We can see that price has made a recent bearish exit of an intermediate ascending support-turned-resistance line triggering a potential reversal.
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing a pullback to 54% intermediate resistance where we expect a further drop from.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
OIL needs fresh airAs i mentioned in my previous post, USOIL touched the channel top (channel exists since 6th of October). Stochastic and RSI also indicates a SHORT correction coming. USOIL is going to touch the bottom of the channel, maybe even break it!
In longterm it is still bullish because of the international news.
PLEASE SHARE YOUR OPINION! If don't agree, comment. If agree, like and follow for more, it is a nice feedback to me :)
USDWTI Possible ShortI'm expecting a short here but either way, if it a 1 hour candle closes outside of the box I will enter a short. For best results, watch for it to close outside of the zone and then re-test the break.
Possible trend change longer term as well so you may be able to hold long term (Much longer than the three TP's.
OIL - Short 4 4 BucksThough oil is quite bullish here I'm playing for a 4$ (maybe 5$) drop ( not 44!!!) on my private account for a testback of the blue trendline or the 50 SMA.
The RSI is printing a divergence and I think when the dollar is printing it's last bounce in the following weeks that will affect oil also, so it can drop into its daily cycle low.
It's not a "Let's bet the farm on it" trade. Just a small game I think this will be my last trade in oil this year.
NEW SHORT trade from 55.93$.
Oil Remains A SellThe daily time frame shows that oil is heading to the lower orange trend line again. Stoch indicator is also supporting this indicator thats its a clear sell. Oil is also still setting lower highs and lower lows.
However, oil has already completed the bearish 5 wave Elliot structure. This is usually followed by a by bullish wave structure and indeed we can see a green wave after the 5th bearish wave. this green wave could be the 1st wave of the bullish wave structure an are now in the 2nd wave which is down. How ever this 2nd wave cant break the start of wave 1 meaning that very soon price will reverse back up again into the 3rd wave. An easy way to find this out is the Red Trend Line. If the daily candle closes above the Red Trend Line its a buy with 1st target at the Purple Trend Line and 2nd target and the Red Trend Line.
Trading advice:
1. Sell with a stop a bit above the red trend line. Target is the orange lower range. (If stop gets hit and daily candle closes above the red line then switch to buying)
2. If you dont feel comfortable with selling then either wait with buying till price has hit the lower orange range or till the daily candle closes above the red trend line.