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Oilforecast

USOIL a possible breakout soon Hello everyone, as we all know the market action discounts everything :) _________________________________Make sure to Like and Follow if you like the idea_________________________________ The Crude Oil market has shown itself to be resilient as we had initially pulled back but now are turning around to show signs of life again. In the last 2 weeks, the market has been moving sideways between a Resistance located between 70.40 - 71.04 and a Support of 68.27 - 66.79. The price has increased from the last drop that happened last month in August by 15% where the market was trading near the 61$ range. Could this movement be the start of a Bearish long-term trend ?? Notice on the chart that for the last couple of months we've been having lower Tops and lower Bottoms, So if we look at the big picture of the market right now it seems that the market is having a corrective wave at the moment but a certain drop will most likely happen soon. But Technical Analysis shows that the market is still in a Bullish state. Possible Scenarios for the market : Scenario 1 : The market is having its corrective wave right now and trading near the resistance zone extended from 70.40 - 71.04, If the Bulls were able to group up and gather their power then we might see a breakout happening in that zone which could lead the market back up to the 73.84 resistance level. The market has formed 3 Outside up candlestick pattern (Strong Bullish Sign). Scenario 2 : Looking at the chart we notice that we are having some kind of a Bearish trend (It Could be Small it Could be BIg) and the price has reached the edge of the resistance zone, which could indicate that the bounce down from that zone will happen and it will drop the price to the 68.27 Level, Where the support zone start. A battle will happen between the Bulls and Bears and the Bears will win if it turns out that the bearish move is big, and a further drop will happen which could lead the market back to the 60$ level in the next 2 months. Technical indicators show : 1) The market is above the 5 10 20 50 100 and 200 MA and EMA (Strong Bullish sign) 2) The RSI is at 56.00 showing strength in the market. No divergences were found between the indicator and the market. 3) The MACD is above the 0 line which indicates that the market is in a Bullish state, With a positive crossover between the MACD line and the Signal line. Daily Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 69.76 1) 70.40 2) 69.35 2) 70.63 3) 69.12 3) 71.04 Weekly Support and Resistance : support Resistance 1) 68.27 1) 70.63 2) 66.79 2) 71.51 3) 65.91 3) 72.99 Fundamental point of view : At the beginning of the week, OPEC ( Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries ) will release the latest monthly oil market report. WTI crude oil prices have been weakening since July. This comes amid concerns about the global growth outlook as the Covid Delta variant has been sapping demand woes. US retail sales may also stir volatility, especially if Covid shows increasing signs of making its way into the economy. Earlier this week OPEC decided to increase output by 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) for the month of October, in line with its gradual plan to reintroduce supply into international markets after drastically withdrawing supply at the start of the pandemic. According to Dailyfx This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view, not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask and have a great day !! Thank you for reading.
TVC:USOIL
by GabiDahduh
Analyzing RECAF and USOIL Recently, USOIL and RECAF have both taken a tumble. Named "The Hottest Oil Play in Decades," we surely have more to see from RECAF in 2021 and 2022. As you can see, USOIL's candlestick progression is clearly notated by the dark grey line displaying price action on the front. Experts predict USOIL to bottom around $55-60 USD. After that, experts predict OIL to stabilize around $65-80 USD levels. The ultimate top predicted is $100. This would lead to gas prices around $4/gallon for your Suburu's fill up. At around $2.50, we still have plenty of room to run. However, Biden's administration has asked for lower gas prices for now, as the economy continues to recover from COVID. Will the Oil Barons be able to produce more oil to lower gas prices, or will we see gas prices once again rising up? I wouldn't put it out the question. ACTION PLAN: Currently, RECAF is still in a bear pattern, though we still a slight uptick today as price actions grapples for the last few bites of the bear. 1. Can RECAF's stock price go down to the most favorable price target for longs, $1.80-3.50 USD? Formidable support levels lie here, protecting it from falling lower. 2. Or will we remain in a bottoming formation pattern around $4.75-5.25 USD? The median price is $6.20 USD and that may be met sooner or later. Overall long price target for long-term holders: $12.81 USD Feel free to write your thoughts in the comments as well.
OTC:RECAF
by Grandmaster76
Breaking: The OPEC report is issuedOPEC monthly report was issued a few minutes ago, and the report was not positive for OPEC+ and the oil-producing countries within the group, led by Saudi Arabia. OPEC kept its forecast for oil demand in 2021 unchanged at an increase of 6 million barrels per day, bringing the average to 96.6 million barrels per day, and also kept its forecast for the growth of oil demands in 2022 by 3.3 million barrels per day, bringing the average production to 99.86 million barrels per day. While OPEC+ raised its expectations for an increase in the production of oil-producing countries outside the group by 840 thousand barrels per day, to reach an increase of 2.9 million barrels per day, with a total average of 66.9 million barrels per day in 2022. It also raised its forecast for the production growth of oil-producing countries outside the group in 2021 by 270,000 barrels per day to reach 1.1 million barrels per day, with a total average of 64 million barrels per day.
TVC:UKOIL
by basembitar
Has Oil's uptrend come to an end?My short answer is no. Oil hasn't peaked yet in my opinion, although in the short term it might chop between 63-77$ before a big breakout. As OPEC+ has decided to increase production, we might slowly see the effects of that + there are some general deflationary pressures like new Covid strains and endless lockdowns that might push oil lower in the short term. However in my opinion due to the ESG movement and the climate change proponents in general, the underinvestment in oil + forced production cuts due to protests might limit supply so much that if demand slowly increases the price of oil could skyrocket. Technically Oil is still in an uptrend and its more than a decade long bear market has come to an end. Speculators were flushed out but oil has manage to hit some key levels which if broken might attract more speculative capital in the market. Above 77$, 90$ is a very easy target and we could see it go even to 100$+. In the short term if there is a panic across all markets and we get a strong dip everywhere, I think oil could get to 42-55$, which in my opinion would be an incredible opportunity. Oil around 50$ is ok for allowing for more global growth, but it is also signaling slow growth. Low oil prices could translate in lower bond yields which would mean deflation which would allow the status quo to remain.
TVC:USOIL
by BitcoinMacro
Oil still going up ? 1W analysis Hello everyone , as we all know the market action discounts everything :) The WTI/USD closed at 74.64 last week dropping from 75.28 but the market is showing great strength , and the bears trying to stay in control . The market seems to be moving in an upward channel between the range of 83 and 63 with no breakouts yet . no signs of a reversal pattern yet . for the daily basis seems like the price might drop a bit , but on a weekly chart the data is telling us that the market seems to be getting some momentum , where indicators are telling us the movement is still bullish , lets check that data : 1_Market price trending above then 10MA , 20MA and the EMA (bullish sign). 2_RSI at 71.31 sitting in overbought zone and showing great strength in the market (bullish sign). 3_MACD creating a positive crossover with the market price (bullish sign). Support & Resistance points : support Resistance 1_71.43 1_77.66 2_68.07 2_80.53 3_65.20 3_83.89 Fundamental point of view : Margaret Yang stated that : Crude oil prices pulled back slightly during Monday’s APAC mid-day session after rising 3.5% over the last two days. The emergence of the Delta variant of Covid-19 is threatening a new round of lockdowns around the world, casting a shadow over the outlook for energy demand. A stronger US Dollar also weighed on commodity prices. "Meanwhile, unresolved deadlock between Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) remains a wildcard in the oil market. Traders are worried that escalated disputes may reignite a price war among OPEC+ members and hammer oil prices. On the other hand, a resolution may lend support for prices to aim at higher levels. This is because the planned 400k bpd production hike marks only a small fraction of an estimated global supply shortfall of 3 million bpd by the end of this year." Oil and gas production is becoming a tedious business, like coal mining or nuclear power, after the hype of previous years. Weekly data shows an increase in drilling activity in the US oil and gas sector. However, new rigs are only enough to maintain production at 11m BPD since last September, after the peak in March 2020 above 13m b/d. Even two-year highs in prices and extremely favourable financial conditions on the markets do not inspire active expansion. Without the US as a contender for market share, the main balancing force is the OPEC cartel, whose overall policy is well within the new "standards" of boring oil producers: high dividends and slow-growing supply. If the production boom is behind us, we should expect a price boom along with a demand boom. Make sure to Follow and Like for more content This is my personal opinion done with technical analysis of the market price and research online from fundamental analysts for The Fundamental point of view , not financial advice. If you have any questions please ask Thank you for reading.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by GabiDahduh
OIL- OPEC Deal or No Deal?What a lovely day this is, what a fantastic thing Technical Analysis is. Yes, we took profit perfectly today on what was a rather easy and predictable trade. The price dropped minutes later from resistance to support and off from support bouncing back up at the moment. What is important to understand now is the fundamentals. Oil price surge triggers new inflation fears as Opec talks break down The United Arab Emirates refused Saudi Arabia’s demands to increase production, leaving the meeting collapsing with no decision. Some analysts are now predicting oil will climb to $100 a barrel. Economists said surging oil prices threaten to destabilise the world economy’s fight back from the Covid doldrums. As well as being key to the cost of powering factories, oil and its associated products form a key element in most consumer goods... Check the idea below and remember who the greatest Bull of ALL TIMES is...(inflation)
TVC:USOIL
by FX_Professor
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