NZDUSD
Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6101
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6048
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6103
1st Support: 0.6048
1st Resistance: 0.6167
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XAU/USD : Potential Upside After Reaction to Key Demand ZoneBy analyzing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after the PPI news was announced yesterday, gold initially experienced a price surge. It climbed to $2327 before encountering selling pressure, leading to a correction of over 320 pips down to $2295.
As previously mentioned, the $2295 to $2303 range was a significant demand zone, and the price responded positively to it. Currently, gold is trading around $2331, having broken yesterday's high. If the price stabilizes above $2327, we can anticipate further growth in gold, with the first target being the liquidity pool above $2342.
Additionally, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) ahead that might be filled next week, ranging between $2348 and $2373. This presents an exciting opportunity for traders to watch for potential movements in the market.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6101
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that likes up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
NZD/USD Set to Rise: Leveraging Soft CPI and Fed Rate Cut ImpactHello Traders,
In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring NZD/USD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61500 zone. Currently, NZD/USD is trading in an uptrend and is undergoing a correction phase. This correction is bringing the pair closer to the key support and resistance area at 0.61500, a level that has historically acted as a significant pivot point.
From a fundamental perspective, yesterday's CPI data came in softer than expected. This indicates that inflationary pressures are not as strong as anticipated, suggesting a more subdued economic environment. Lower inflation reduces the urgency for aggressive monetary tightening, leading to market expectations of a more cautious approach from the Federal Reserve.
In response to the softer CPI data, the Federal Reserve did cut interest rates in its latest FOMC meeting. This dovish move is expected to weigh heavily on the USD, as lower interest rates generally lead to a weaker currency. This scenario supports our bullish outlook on NZD/USD, as a weaker USD increases the attractiveness of the NZD. Given these fundamental developments, the 0.61500 zone presents a strategic entry point for long positions in NZD/USD.
Trade safely,
Joe
NZDUSD - Long from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. My point of interest is if price go a little bit lower and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone + institutional big figure 0.61000.
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NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 0.607.
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NZD/USD Exchange Rate Falls from Nearly 5-Month HighNZD/USD Exchange Rate Falls from Nearly 5-Month High
The NZD/USD exchange rate has dropped from its highest level in nearly five months. On Wednesday, following the release of US inflation data, the NZD/USD rate exceeded 0.6220 for the first time since 15 January 2024.
However, today the rate has fallen approximately 1.3% from Friday’s peak, suggesting that the market's reaction to the US inflation news was overly emotional.
According to Reuters:
→ Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated a readiness to keep rates steady until clearer economic signals suggest a need for cuts.
→ Traders have reduced the likelihood of a Fed rate cut at the September meeting.
Meanwhile, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand does not plan to cut rates at all in 2024. According to Trading Economics, any rate cuts are unlikely before mid-2025.
Thus, the policies of the two central banks are balanced, and the current drop from nearly a 5-month high may be a return to a more balanced valuation after an emotional surge into overbought territory.
The RSI indicator supports this view.
Further technical analysis of the NZD/USD chart provides more valuable insights:
→ Since mid-April, the market has been in an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ The June peak appears to be a false breakout of the April-March highs;
→ This week, the price failed to reach the upper boundary of the channel and fell sharply to the lower boundary – a bearish sign.
The lower boundary may provide support after Thursday's decline, but if this only leads to a weak rebound, the channel could become more vulnerable to a bearish breakout.
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NZD/USD: Takeaways into ThursdayNZDUSD – Technical Overview
The overall pressure remains on the downside, with the market stalling on attempts to move up into the 0.6500 area. However, there are indications that the market may be attempting to establish a longer-term base. To alleviate medium-term downward pressure and support this prospect, a break back above 0.6500 is necessary. A monthly close below 0.5800 would intensify bearish price action.
R2: 0.6222 – 12 June high – Strong
R1: 0.6200 – Figure – Medium
S1: 0.6083 – 22 May low – Medium
S2: 0.6031 – 15 May low – Strong
NZDUSD – Fundamental Overview
The New Zealand Dollar has benefited from the risk-on sentiment following the latest soft CPI print from the US, which has renewed demand for risk-correlated assets. However, rallies have been hindered by more hawkish communications from the Fed. Key highlights on Thursday's calendar include German wholesale prices, Eurozone industrial production, US producer prices, US initial jobless claims, and some Fed speak.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZDUSD - Short Trade IdeaNZDUSD recently displaced to the downside but quickly made a recovery and displaced above the swing of the recent drop. There was buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs that were swept, but the candle bodies seem to be respecting the bearish Orderblock.
I am anticipating price now return to a discount, taking out the sellside liquidity below, into a weekly BISI.
- R2F
DXY Cheat Sheet Hello Traders,
By looking at the dollar index, we can see a zigzag pattern ( 5-3-5 ) forming.
Zigzag pattern is made of 3 waves:
Wave A = 5 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves
We are now in wave C= 5 waves, currently in subwave 3. Expecting USD weakness means XXXUSD Strength and USDXXX Weakness.
See lower timeframe:
DXY 4H - Ideally price retraces back to 50% - 61.8% fib. Wait for price to come back and then you can get in:
XXXUSD LONG
USDXXX SHORT
More Upside For Kiwi After A Pause New Zealand dollar (NZD) is declining against the US dollar (USD) since the end of last week when the US dollar surged following strong and unexpected jobs data, despite the US unemployment rate rising to 4%. Analyzing the updated wave structure, we observe that the price is trading outside of the upward channel, indicating that a correction is taking place. This is totaly normaly and expected as we can count a completed five-wave rise from April lows to June highs. Ideally, this current move is a temporary pause, forming a three-wave correction (ABC). Therefore, we expect a new upward resumption after this setback. The support levels to watch are the 50% retracement at 0.6035 and the 61.8% retracement at 0.6000, which also aligns with psychological and technical support levels from April's swing highs and May's swing lows.
Overlap resistance ahead, could it reverse?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6215
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6091
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD: Key Levels and Upcoming EventsHello Traders,
In today's session, we are closely monitoring NZD/USD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61000 zone. Currently, NZD/USD is in an uptrend and undergoing a correction phase, approaching the key support and resistance area at 0.61000.
Please be aware that tomorrow's trading will be influenced by significant events: the release of the CPI data and the FOMC meeting a few hours later. If the CPI data comes in hot, indicating higher inflation, we will cancel this trade, as it could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance. Conversely, if the CPI data is soft, it may favor our trade by leading to a dovish outlook from the Fed, potentially weakening the dollar.
Trade safely,
Joe
Levels discussed during livestream 11th June11th June
DXY: retraced and consolidating, looking to trade higher towards 105.60 resistance.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6115 SL 25 TP 35
AUDUSD: Looking for a reaction at 0.6570
USDJPY: Consolidating, Buy 157.50 SL 20 TP 45 (quick trade)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2680 SL 20 TP 35
EURUSD: Sell 1.0720 SL 20 TP 45
USDCHF: Look for reaction at 0.9012 resistance
USDCAD: Buy 1.3790 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to stay below 2315 for bearish downside continuation, strong support at 2280, looking for a bounce
Kiwi H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6101 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6072 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6167 which is an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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