NZDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop!NZDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.6947 (horizontal swing high resistance, 100% Fibonacci extension, 78.6% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur to our major support at 0.6779 (horizontal swing low support, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
Nzdchfshort
NZDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.6945 (horizontal swing high resistance, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension) where a strong drop might occur below this level pushing price down to our major support at 1.9278 (horizontal swing low support, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDCHF Go Go Go! 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NZDCHF ShortThis pair looks like it may still be heading lower. At the moment, we'll watch for a retracement to the .50% - .618% region of the fib levels.
If price does not break above the .618 fib level, watch for a confirmation candle to short this pair to 0.67600 - 0.67500 price level.
This idea will be invalidated, should price push above the .618 fib level.
NZD/CHF - 100 Pips OpportunityNZD/CHF short potentially coming up. As long as the prices reject under the 4H 50 EMA this move is active.
If prices begins to find support and break the resistance then look for a short term buy back up.
Keeping an eye on this one as to how it will turn out.
Trade safe.
CHF breakout? - Ichimoku NZD/CHF Sell TradeThis pair formed a very strong rejection candle at tenken sen and has continued it's bearish move down. I am looking for a break of price structure to look for a short entry. I've set my TP at a previous price structure low, but I've drawn out several areas where I will look to take partial profit at or at the very least watch to see if support looks like it will hold there. If we fail to break support or climb lower then this setup may become invalidated.
NZD/CHF short setupNZD/CHF has broken below 20-DMA and is testing 23.6% Fib retracement at 0.6791.
We see strong support at 55-EMA at 0.6780, break below to see further downside.
Weakness till daily cloud at 0.6726 then likely. Further downside will see test of 38.2% Fib at 0.67.
Major trendline resistance seen at 0.69 level. Bearish invalidation likely on decisive break above.
Support levels - 0.6791 (23.6% Fib), 0.6780 (55-EMA), 0.6726 (daily cloud)
Resistance levels - 0.6837 (20-DMA), 0.69 (trendline), 0.6915 (Feb 18 high)
Watch out for break below 55-EMA to go short, target 0.6730/ 0.67
NZDCHF short intraday/swing trade setupNZDCHF short intraday/swing trade setup based on lower highs and strong red volume. Price is overextended here and showing significant signs of weakness. This engulfing red candle break to the downside has convinced me to take a short position. Please note: Trading currencies carries a high element of risk where financial loss can be significant. This analysis is not to be construed as financial advice.
Wolfe Wave Sets NZDCHF ETA TonightAs discussed in our latest webinar, Wolfe Waves are a 5-wave pattern which shows supply and demand as price moves towards an equilibrium. In essence, Wolfe Waves rely on three tops and two bottoms or the reverse, pointing to the correct direction, in order to evaluate where the next move is going.
For the NZDCHF pair, points 1 and 3 have been identified as the tops of a potential bearish Wolfe Wave, while points 2 and 4 appear to confirm this formation, given that they satisfy the Wolfe Wave conditions. The two lines extended from points 1-3 and 2-4 respectively converge, once extended, to set the ETA, which is found to be at approximately 19:00 server time tonight. The extension of the line from points 1-4 sets the expected equilibrium price, which is found to be at 0.6873.
Wolfe Wave Pattern (Image)
However, the price does not need to touch the EPA line at exactly ETA, while the price can also reach ETA without reaching the EPA level. These known pitfalls of fundamental analysis suggest that traders need to be careful, especially in days where volumes are low, such as today. While the RSI and the MACD, along with the SMA crossing the LMA at 10:00 server time, show signs of bearish behaviour, traders need to follow proper risk management rules in order to minimize their downside.
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NZDCHF breakdown?Analysis
-NZDCHF looking bearish after showing signs of reversal after buyers pushed price up into resistance, wherein sellers stepped in and pushed price down before the daily candle close.
-The price action resulted in a daily candle pinbar setup AT RESISTANCE which is a bearish sign.
-On the 1H time frame, price just broke a bullish trend to the downside.
-There is also bearish RSI divergence on the 1H time frame which further eludes to price possibly reversing to the downside.
Entry, Stops and Targets
-Short Entry: 0.68655
-Stop Loss: 0.69045 (Set stop above the high of the daily reversal candle)
-Take Profit: 0.67953 (Set targets at a minimum of 1.8 times your stop depending on entry)
*Always practice good risk management and know your limit!*
NZDCHF approaching support, potential bounce! NZDCHF is approaching our first support at 0.6714 (horizontal overlap support, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 0.6789 (38.2% fiboancci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is approaching support and we might see a corresponding rise in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.