EURNZD Long near correction coming soonEUR/NZD’s rebound this month has lacked strength, just as the cross approaches a stiff hurdle at the early-May high of 1.7835. Chances are that EUR/NZD could settle in a 1.7150-1.7850 range in the near term. This follows a retreat in April from the top of a rising channel since 2015. Any break above immediate support at Tuesday’s low of 1.7570 would raise the odds of the range view.
RSI above 50 increasing bullish momentum: Pullback possible.
Data from Eurostat revealed that the euro zone economy entered into a technical recession as recently as Q1, although only just. Q4 data was revised from a 0 quarterly growth to a 0.1% contraction while the third estimate of Q1 went from 0.1% growth to a 0.1% contraction.
Deteriorating economic conditions considered alongside encouraging core inflation data suggest that the euro could come under more pressure despite the ECB adamant on further rate hikes. Markets anticipate the ECB will hike next week and again in either July or September but if subsequent inflation data heads lower, a case could be made that the committee consider a pause or even a ‘skip’ like the Fed is likely to implement.
