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NZD

Did you miss out on the surprise NZD/USD trade? The Reserve Bank of New Zealand unexpectedly cut interest rates by 25 basis points, sending the New Zealand dollar plunging by 1% against the U.S. dollar. The move caught markets off guard, as most analysts had anticipated the central bank would hold rates steady until at least its next meeting. Today wasn’t supposed to be the day, but these are the moments traders eagerly anticipate to capitalize on sudden market shifts. The RBNZ's decision underscores a growing trend among central banks, signaling a potential global shift in monetary policy. This early rate cut hints that central banks may be increasingly focused on fostering economic growth and ensuring a soft landing amid weakening economies. The big question now: Will the Federal Reserve follow suit? The NZD/USD had been on an upward trajectory for nearly two weeks, but that rally has now reversed. The pair has broken above the 200-day moving average and is nearing the 50-day as well. The key support zone around 0.5850, which has held since last September, could now be in play, with a closer pivot point near 0.5980.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZD/USD looking bullish before RBNZ rate decisionNZD/USD has reversed the downside break sparked by US recession fears, smashing through the downtrend it had been trading in since early June on Tuesday. With RSI and MACD providing bullish signals on momentum, risks are skewing towards further gains ahead of today’s RBNZ interest rate decision. While economists are evenly split on whether the bank will cut rates by 25 basis point, I’m with market pricing that marginally favours a reduction in the cash rate to 5.25%. If that eventuates, we could see the Kiwi pull back initially. However, it will be the rate track path from the RBNZ that will likely drive direction beyond the actual decision, providing clues as to how fast and much the RBNZ expects it will have to cut rates this cycle. Whatever that indicates, NZD/USD finds itself back at the 50-day moving average, a level it has often respected over the course of this year. That creates a great setup opportunity depending on how the Kiwi performs post RBNZ. Buy a break above the level with a stop below for protection, targeting a push towards .6150. Alternatively, if the price can’t break or hold above the 50DMA, sell below the level with a stop above for protection. .6050 would be one target with .5985 after that. Good luck! DS
by FOREXcom
Keep your eyes on the RBNZ rate decision!Expect some action after the RBNZ rate decision. Watch the video for more details. FX_IDC:NZDUSD EASYMARKETS:NZDUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
NZDUSD | 15m Trade Plan | Intraday15m current market condition : Took entire buy-side liquidity During killzones: Plan A : Take a short position after a 15m bearish confirmation. Plan B : After inducement is taken, take a long position following a 15m bullish confirmation. Plan C : Wait for the entire sell-side liquidity sweep, then take a long position based on a 15m bullish confirmation. note : It's more likely that the marked demand zone will not be respected by the upcoming market session(s).
by arjTradingofficial
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.52360 1st Support: 0.51456 1st Resistance: 0.52789 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
NZD/CHF: Historical Low Signals Potential ReversalThe NZD/CHF pair recently reached a significant milestone, hitting its lowest historical point around 0.48551. This drop has caught the attention of traders, particularly as it aligns with a potential reversal pattern. Analyzing the situation through the lens of the Commitment of Traders (COT) data and seasonality trends, we've identified a promising opportunity to enter a long position in anticipation of a price surge. The drop to 0.48551 marks a critical level where the pair has historically struggled to go lower, making it a key area of interest for buyers. The significance of this bottom cannot be understated, as it represents a psychological barrier where demand is likely to increase, leading to a potential reversal. The initial signs of this reversal are already in motion, with the price showing signs of recovery from this low. Further supporting our decision is the analysis of the COT report, which provides insight into the positioning of large market participants. The latest data suggests that there has been a shift in sentiment among these traders, with an increasing number of them positioning for an upward move in the NZD/CHF pair. This shift in sentiment is a strong indicator that the pair might be poised for a recovery. Seasonality also plays a crucial role in our analysis. Historically, certain periods have been more favorable for the New Zealand dollar, leading to a rise in the NZD/CHF pair. Our study of seasonal trends aligns with the current technical setup, reinforcing the likelihood of a price surge. In light of these factors—the historical low, COT analysis, and seasonality study—we've chosen to enter a long setup in NZD/CHF, anticipating a significant upward movement in the near future. Traders should consider this opportunity, as the potential for a reversal from this historical low could lead to substantial gains. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/CHF in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
NZD/JPY: A Potential Reversal in the MakingThe NZD/JPY pair has recently caught the attention of traders following a notable drop to the 83.000 level. This move downwards was met with significant demand pressure, setting the stage for what appears to be a potential reversal. Starting from last Wednesday, the pair has shown signs of recovery, indicating that a bullish trend might be on the horizon. From a Supply and Demand perspective, the dip to 83.000 acted as a critical demand zone, where buyers stepped in to support the price. This zone, which had previously been tested, held firm, suggesting that there is substantial interest in the NZD/JPY at these levels. As the pair began to rise from this support, it confirmed that the demand pressure was strong enough to halt the decline and possibly reverse the trend. Adding to the bullish sentiment is the analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The latest data indicates a shift in positioning among large speculators and commercial traders. These market participants, who often have access to more comprehensive market data and insights, appear to be positioning themselves for a potential upward move in the NZD/JPY. This shift in sentiment among key market players further reinforces the likelihood of a reversal. Seasonality also plays a role in our bullish outlook. Historically, certain times of the year have been more favorable for the NZD/JPY pair, with increased demand for the New Zealand dollar during specific seasons. This seasonal trend, combined with the current technical setup and COT data, provides a strong case for considering a long position in the pair. In conclusion, the recent drop in NZD/JPY to the 83.000 level has sparked a potential reversal, supported by strong demand, favorable COT positioning, and seasonal factors. Traders looking to capitalize on this opportunity should consider a long position, keeping a close eye on further developments in the market. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/JPY in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
Bearish drop?NZD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.52292 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Stop loss: 0.53016 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.51116 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch?Trading the Inflation Sandwich: What to Watch? US CPI inflation (Consumer Price Index). The CPI report is expected to confirm a continuation of the disinflationary trend observed in recent months. Analysts predict the annual inflation rate to edge down to 2.9%, while the core inflation rate is likely to decelerate to 3.2%. This ongoing cooling of inflation could bolster expectations for the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to lower interest rates in September. Should inflation continue its downward trajectory, the FOMC may shift its focus to job numbers with greater intensity. Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate decision Of the 31 economists surveyed by Reuters, 9 expect the central bank to maintain its Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 5.5% for the ninth consecutive meeting, while 12 forecast a 25-basis point rate cut. A decision to hold could lend support to the New Zealand dollar (NZD), whereas a rate cut might exert downward pressure. Traders might like to keep an eye on the AUD/NZD cross, with key resistance and support levels possibly at $1.0975 and $1.0843 UK CPI inflation Following the Bank of England’s (BoE) recent decision to cut the Bank Rate by 25 basis points to 5.0%—the first reduction in four years—a fresh inflation report is due from the UK. Headline CPI inflation for July is expected to rise to 2.3% year-on-year from June's 2.0%, with estimates ranging from 2.0% to 2.4%. Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, is projected to hold steady at 3.5%, with a slight margin of variation between 3.3% and 3.5%.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD - Top Down Analysis (ICT)Quite interesting chart on NZDUSD. I give my analysis and opinion on what is likely to transpire next. Let's see what happens today (Friday) as I'm expecting the weekly to close below certain levels if I am correct in price coming for the SSL first. However, it may not happen today as there is no high impact news offering a catalyst for a manipulative move lower. We could see a weak close lower and then more aggressive action on PPI and CPI next week. Again, this is under the assumption that my bias of price wanting to go for the SSL first is correct. - R2F
Short
by Road_2_Funded
2
Potential bullish rise?NZD/JPY has bounced off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 87.19 1st Support: 85.45 1st Resistance: 89.94 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week NZD Outlook: ANZ’s Forecast for Next Week ANZ anticipates that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will maintain its current interest rates at the August 14 meeting but may signal potential rate cuts before the year ends. Although ANZ estimates a small 10-15% chance that the RBNZ might shift to an easing bias during this coming meeting. Markets are currently pricing in 89 basis points of cuts by November 2024 and 222 basis points by November 2025. However, ANZ is cautioning against expecting such drastic moves and that markets could be disappointed with this reflected in market volatility if the RBNZ doesn't deliver. A key level to watch on the downside is April’s low which has twice served as a support level in recent weeks, rebuffing sellers. NZD/USD is currently moving higher, nearing the 100 SMA on the daily chart. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests that momentum remains strong, with the potential for a softer unemployment claim report from the US influencing the pair’s short-term direction.
by BlackBull_Markets
1
Potential bullish rise?EUR/NZD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise to our take profit. Entry: 1.81106 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 1.80301 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 1.83458 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Bearish reversal?NZD/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.51841 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.52432 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.51044 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Pullback resistance ahead for the Kiwi?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6039 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6097 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.5981 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NZD/USD Continues to Decline Amid Growing Global TensionsThe NZD/USD pair extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.5920 during the European session on Tuesday. This decline is attributed to growing tensions in the Middle East and increasing fears of an economic slowdown in the United States (US). These factors have dampened the appeal of risk-sensitive currencies like the New Zealand Dollar (NZD), contributing to its continued depreciation. Market sentiment has been significantly affected by geopolitical uncertainties, leading investors to seek safer assets. The potential for further escalation in the Middle East is causing caution, and coupled with the prospects of slower economic growth in the US, the NZD is experiencing heightened pressure. From a technical perspective, we are currently refraining from taking any positions. Our focus is on observing the price action as it approaches the demand area around 0.5850. This level is of particular interest as we anticipate that the price may land there soon. Should the price react favorably at this demand area, it could present a potential trading opportunity. In summary, the NZD/USD is under strain due to global tensions and economic concerns. While we are not currently taking any positions, we are closely monitoring the market for a possible reaction near the 0.5850 demand area, which could provide insights into the pair's next movements. ✅ Please share your thoughts about NZD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Sell NZD/USD Channel Breakout (Today NFP)The NZD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.5952, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.5907 2nd Support – 0.5880 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.5984. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
9
Potential bullish rise?GBP/NZD has reversed off the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise to ur take profit. Entry: 2.1347 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 2.1220 Why we like it: A pullback support level lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 2.1711 Why we like it: A pullback resistance level aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets