NVIDIA to ATH $153 until end of 2024 (16% ROI)With NASDAQ:NVDA , we are currently in a promising position to see a final exaggeration into the end of the year. The stock has risen over 180% percent in 2024 and I think we have a good chance to make 200% out of that. Looking at the chart we can see a clear uptrend trendline starting in August this year with multiple touchpoints along the line. Since October we're consolidating within the range from $131 to $153. After touching the trendline on thursday last week we're good to go higher (at least for now). Resistance will be the current ATH at $153. If we fail to hold the level at $131 on the daily chart the trade will be invalidated. That leaves us with 16.54% ROI in total.
Target Zone
$153.00
Support Zone
$131.00
Nvidia
NVIDIA (NVDA): Post-Earnings Battle Between Bulls and BearsIt is getting harder for $NVDA. Nvidia's earnings appear to have produced a muted market reaction for once. The chip maker's blowout quarterly report was good enough to support the stock but not provide another leg to its stunning rally. By any normal measure Nvidia's third-quarter numbers were stunning, as it nearly doubled its revenue from the prior year. However, its guidance wasn't as strong as some analysts had expected. Which is incredibly if you think that doubling its revenue is not enough for Nvidia to surge higher once more. Attention will now turn to the rollout of Nvidia's Blackwell artificial-intelligence chips
Our attention will stay on the chart and we can see this kind of market behaviour in the chart really well. It seems as if bulls and bears are now battling about this earnings report and there are definitely some people trapped with option calls on NVIDIA that they have bought before the earnings.
NASDAQ:NVDA has build somewhat of a trend channel and keeps on defending the lower edge of it very well in the past. The question now is if the wave ((iv)) is already finished or not.
With the fact that NASDAQ:NVDA is loosing momentum on the RSI but still being able to reclaim the VAL and putting in higher highs we think is is very likely that we are seeing some kind of pullback/blowout of those positions that have been opened and trapped at the all time high now. Still NASDAQ:NVDA is a stock that can put in 10% next week and nobody would be astonished. Therefore we are moving our stop loss from our current open position to 114.50$ and setting alerts for a possible buying opportunity again on $NVDA.
Is NVIDIA Ready to Break Out or Break Down?Good morning, trading family!
How’s everyone feeling today? Got your coffee? Charts ready? It’s time to dive in and see what the market has in store for us.
Here’s the vibe: NVIDIA’s setting up for something big—are we aiming for $142 or sliding to $119? It’s like a game of tug-of-war, and the market’s holding the rope.
Quick Tip: Remember, trading is about patience and discipline. If you’re feeling stuck, step away, take a breath, and come back with a clear head. The market’s not going anywhere.
If you want a closer look at these setups or other ideas I’m watching, feel free to check out my profile or send me a DM—I’m always happy to share insights or answer questions. Let’s make it a great day!
Kris /Mindbloome Exchange
Trade What You See
NVIDIA - The best performing copany ,enjoy a Christmas RallyHi guys, we are looking into NVIDIA, the world's most successful company which has had a tremendeous year, looking to close it with fantastic results.
Currently we are sitting in a low level oversold area on the RSI , which gives us a technical overview of forming an Ascending Channel from here onwards. Currently the Interest Rate decision by the FED will give us a necesasry boost to uplift the prices from this point forwards.
Entry on market open: 134.03
Target 1: 140.98
Target 2: 150.78
As always my friends happy trading!
P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
Robinhood TP 23- 33 After earnings ? Reasons Why !!
In Q4 2023, Robinhood’s net revenues increased by 24% year-over-year to $471 million.
This growth was driven by higher net interest, transaction-based, and other revenues1.
The company reported net income of $30 million, a significant improvement from the net loss of $166 million in Q4 20221.
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $133 million, a 62% increase year-over-year1.
Customer Growth and Assets Under Custody (AUC):
Funded Customers increased by 420 thousand year-over-year to 23.4 million1.
AUC surged by 65% year-over-year to $102.6 billion1.
Market Expectations and Confidence
Robinhood’s ability to turn a profit in Q4, coupled with its record annual revenues, suggests that its strategic initiatives are paying off. The company’s innovative features and strong financial performance have instilled confidence in investors.
Remember that stock prices often respond to earnings reports. If the market believes a company is performing well, stock prices tend to go up. Conversely, if confidence wanes, stock prices may decline2.
Keep an eye on Robinhood’s upcoming earnings report on Wednesday, May 8th, 20243. It will provide further insights into the company’s performance and may impact its stock price.
SPX 5500 BY 2025 ? REASONS WHY !!!
Optimistic Market Forecasts: Analysts and strategists, such as those from Deutsche Bank and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO, have made bullish predictions for the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank's forecast for the S&P 500 to reach 5,100 in 2024, and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO Jay Hatfield anticipates the S&P to reach as high as 5,500 points by the end of 2024.
These forecasts indicate a strong belief in the market's potential to continue its upward trend.
Strong Earnings and Valuations: The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 of 25.7 is above the 5-year and 10-year averages. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for stocks, which could be a positive sign for further market growth.
Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has already hit 23 new records in 2024 and has been performing above average historical years. This indicates strong market momentum and investor confidence.
Cumulative Weight of Top Stocks: The cumulative weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 has hit a 50-year high. This indicates that the market's performance is being significantly influenced by the performance of a small number of large-cap companies, which could potentially drive the index higher if these companies continue to perform well.
Market Resilience and Recovery: The market has shown resilience and recovery from the economic downturn, with the S&P 500 already up by 9.6% this year, which is above the average year since 1950. This resilience could be a sign of continued growth throughout the year.
Positive Outlook from Analysts: Analysts like CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 5,400 by year-end and 5,610 within the next 12 months, indicating a positive outlook for the market's performance.
Potential Rate Cuts: The expectation of rate cuts by the European Central Bank could provide a boost to the global economy and the U.S. markets, including the S&P 500.
Positive Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with a bullish outlook on the S&P 500 from various analysts and strategists. This positive sentiment could drive further investment and growth in the market.
Technology Sector Performance: The technology sector has been a leading performer, soaring 50%, indicating strong growth in this sector, which could help drive the S&P 500 higher.
Economic Data Surprises: The U.S. economy has been showing positive surprises in economic data throughout 2023, suggesting that the economy is stronger than expected, which could support the market's growth.
TESLA 206 - 216 - 230 TP
Why Tesla is Poised for a Bull Run
Tesla Inc., the leading electric vehicle (EV) manufacturer, has shown remarkable resilience and growth potential, making it a strong candidate for a bull run. Here are some key reasons:
1. Strong Financial Performance
Tesla’s financial performance has been impressive. The company’s revenue reached $81.5 billion in 20221, and its stock price has seen a 5-year total return of 795.71%, placing it in the top 10% of its industry2. Despite a decrease in net income in Q3 20233, Tesla’s overall financial health remains strong.
2. Market Leadership
Tesla continues to lead the EV market. It was the most valuable automotive brand worldwide as of June 20231 and led the battery-electric vehicle market in sales1. Despite increased competition, Tesla’s market share in the U.S. and Canada is growing, heading towards 3%, while in Europe and China, 2% is within range4.
3. Production and Delivery Growth
Tesla’s vehicle deliveries reached a record 1.31 million units in 20221, showing a steady year-over-year growth. The company’s long-term target is to increase electric car sales by an average of 50% year-over-year4.
4. Expansion Plans
Tesla is expanding its manufacturing capacity with new factories in Germany and Texas5. These new facilities will help meet the growing demand for Tesla’s vehicles, potentially driving further growth.
5. Innovative Product Line
Tesla is not resting on its laurels. The company plans to launch new models, including the Cybertruck, Semi, and Roadster6. The introduction of these new vehicles could attract new customers and boost sales.
6. Charging Infrastructure
Tesla’s plans for the world’s largest Supercharger station in California7 indicate the company’s commitment to developing a robust charging infrastructure. This will not only benefit current Tesla owners but also make EVs more appealing to potential buyers.
7. Strategic Market Moves
Tesla is making strategic moves to capture more market share, such as lowering the price of its cars in China and emphasizing online sales8. These strategies could significantly impact future earnings.
In conclusion, Tesla’s strong financial performance, market leadership, production growth, expansion plans, innovative product line, development of charging infrastructure, and strategic market moves position it well for a bull run
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development.
Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth.
The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%.
So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline?
Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges
NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline.
First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production.
Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance.
Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes
ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative.
ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper.
OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks.
This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs.
Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA.
Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs.
Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership.
Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows
Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies.
Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines.
Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts
Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround.
First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential.
Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence
Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback.
When Might a New Rally Occur?
From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line.
From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
GOOD BTC ENTRY !! SL 59K TP 72KREASONS WHY !!
Market Sentiment and Momentum:
Bitcoin soared in 2023, and experts predict further gains in 2024, potentially reaching $80,000.
Despite long-term optimism, Bitcoin experienced a recent dip.
Technical indicators suggest potential downside, but the market remains in a tug-of-war.
If buyers can push past the $44,700 resistance, a jump to $48,000 is in sight.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Launch:
The launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024 is poised to revolutionize the crypto landscape.
This move is expected to attract significant capital from both retail and institutional investors, further fueling Bitcoin’s ascent.
Bitcoin Halving Event:
Scheduled for April or May 2024, the Bitcoin halving event will curtail the yearly supply of new Bitcoin.
This reduction in supply could establish conditions where demand potentially outstrips supply, a fundamental factor in the optimistic price forecast.
Investor Confidence and Accumulation:
Investors are holding on to their BTC with conviction stronger than in 2021.
Relative realized profits show that despite a new all-time high, selling has not been as significant as during the previous cycle.
Consistent accumulation since February 2024 indicates confidence among investors, expecting further price growth.
COIN 260 - 273 AFTER EARNINGS ?Why Coinbase Could Soar to $260 Post-Earnings
Coinbase, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange platform, has been making headlines with its impressive financial performance. As we approach the next earnings release, there’s a palpable buzz around the possibility of the stock price hitting the $260 mark. Here are some compelling reasons why this could become a reality:
Strong Earnings Report: Coinbase recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04 for the quarter, significantly surpassing analysts’ consensus estimates1. This positive surprise is a testament to the company’s robust revenue generation and cost management strategies.
Revenue Growth: The company’s net revenue reached $905 million in the fourth quarter, marking a 45.2% increase from the previous quarter2. This surge in revenue reflects Coinbase’s ability to attract and retain a substantial user base, despite the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Profitability: For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2021, Coinbase reported a net income of $273 million2. This return to profitability could be a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency.
Market Position: With a mission to increase economic freedom worldwide, Coinbase has established itself as a leading platform in the crypto economy3. Its comprehensive suite of services, including trading, staking, and safekeeping, positions it well to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies.
Analyst Optimism: Some analysts have set high price targets for Coinbase, with predictions reaching as high as $2764. This optimism is fueled by the company’s consistent performance and the expanding adoption of crypto assets.
Technological Edge: Coinbase is not just a marketplace for crypto transactions; it’s also a technology provider that enables developers to create innovative crypto products3. This dual role could be a key driver in the company’s future growth and stock price appreciation.
Macro Factors: The broader financial market’s sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can significantly impact Coinbase’s stock. Positive developments in the crypto space often translate into increased trading volumes and higher revenues for exchanges like Coinbase.
COSTCO 850 AFTER EARNIGS ?? 5 STRONG REASONS WHY !!!
thanks to
WWW.CAFECITYSTUDIO.COM
NY RUNS GLOBAL INC .
Robust Financials:Costco has consistently demonstrated strong financial performance. Its revenue growth, profitability, and debt management are impressive.
The company’s ESG (Environmental, Social, and Governance) score for its industry is good, indicating responsible business practices .
Customer Loyalty and Resilience:Costco’s loyal customer base contributes to its stability. Even during economic downturns, consumers tend to remain loyal to the brand.
This loyalty makes Costco stock relatively recession-resistant, which is a valuable asset for long-term investors.
Analyst Sentiment:Over the past few months, analysts have revised their average price target for Costco upwards significantly. This suggests positive sentiment and confidence in the company’s future prospects.
There is high visibility into Costco’s activities for the coming years, supporting predictable sales.
Inflationary Pressures:The recent inflationary pressures have positively impacted Costco stock. As the Federal Reserve adjusts its monetary policy, companies like Costco may benefit from higher prices and increased consumer spending.
Valuation Considerations:While Costco’s fundamentals are strong, it’s essential to consider valuation. The company operates with relatively high earnings multiples.
Investors should weigh the potential upside against the current valuation when projecting the stock price.
$ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS NYSE:ORCL 126 AFTER EARNINGS
Strong Quarterly Earnings: Oracle has shown strong financial performance in the recent past, with its stock price soaring after reporting results that beat analysts' expectations and highlighted its position amid the AI boom. This indicates a positive market response to its financial performance, which could lead to a higher stock price in the future.
Increased Price Targets by Analysts: Analysts have increased their price targets for Oracle, with some predicting a potential rise to $126.
These optimistic forecasts suggest that the market and analysts have confidence in the company's future growth and performance.
Positive Market Sentiment: The market's response to Oracle's earnings reports has generally been positive, with the stock price rising after strong earnings reports. This suggests that if Oracle continues to report strong earnings, the market could respond positively, potentially pushing the stock price towards $126.
High Growth Potential: Analysts predict that Oracle's earnings and revenue will grow significantly over the next 3 years. This high growth potential could attract investors and drive up the stock price.
Market Leadership: Oracle is a market leader in cloud computing and database software. Its strong market position and broad scope of offerings could contribute to its continued growth and success, potentially leading to a higher stock price.
Positive Industry Outlook: The cloud computing and database software industries are expected to continue growing, driven by the increasing need for digital solutions and data management. As a leader in these spaces,
Oracle is well-positioned to benefit from this industry growth.
AI-Related Gains: Oracle has been highlighted for its position amid the AI boom, indicating its potential to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related services and solutions.
NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear.
We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again.
- the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached
- price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance.
- Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again.
So, that's it.
You have 3 ways to play this:
Long, Short, Flat.
Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-)
Happy Profits all
NVIDIA set to make one more higher high to $165?Technical Analysis:
================
A series of higher highs and higher lows in Weekly Timeframe:
NVIDIA has found support at $132, which previously acted as a resistance area during June, July, and August 24. If the stock continues to rise from this level, we could see another higher high (yellow cap) around $165. Alternatively, a deeper correction toward $104 could still be on the table if the support fails.
Fundamental Analysis:
==================
1) If NVIDIA struggles, it would suggest AI's momentum is waning—which is clearly not the case. This downtrend might simply reflect profit-taking by large traders.
2) The "Santa Rally" is in play, and NVIDIA appears to be on the "nice" list, signaling potential upward momentum.
3) NVIDIA's Blackwell product line is expected to contribute significantly to profits in the next quarterly earnings, potentially providing a substantial boost to the stock.
I bought NVIDIA stock at $145 and plan to hold sell at $160.
SHORT NVIDIA for a 15% Profit Target from yesterdays close...**NIVIDA** Failed to create a new High and Broke Support in yesterdays session on higher Volume circled below, see the stock falling at least another 15% from here dragging the S&P index with it, first target would be $110 with stop loss placed above all time high $152.90 ...