Members Daily Analysis June 9 2024Markets Sold off on Friday...just barely.
Interest rates surging. Dollar above 105
FOMC Wednesday at 2pm
CPI Wednesday 8:30am
Energy: Oil, Uranium & Nat Gas setting up for some trades.
NVDA
NVIDIA $NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today?NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today? What's next after that? Will Shorts come in? They say 'what goes up ,must come down.' Will this hold true for a juggernaut like NVDA? Also could this turn into a short squeeze? Will non-farm payroll fuel some volatility today? Will it be the perfect storm or just another day in the books? What are your thoughts?
NVDA Targets ExplainedLets be honest, NVDA rules the AI, Tech, and computing world. There is no reason to bet against it.
This analysis will be simple. After another bullish push to the upside, there is a buying imbalance above the volume profile. The best price action would be for it to retrace (pull-back) to $1,160, to backtest the Value Area High and sweep the liquidity below the local lows before moving higher. The next biggest area it can retrace to before moving higher would be $1,140.00, the Point of control which is the area the most volume is traded based on the FRVP pull.
Lets see how this plays out.
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Short NVDA After Stock SplitNASDAQ:NVDA shares will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on June 10th. Nvidia has completed five other stock splits since its IPO in 1999, and shares have typically declined sharply during the next year.
Regarding reversion targets (pre-adjusted):
Correction: 200 Day, currently at $657.97
Long Term Correction: 200 Week, currently at $303.14
Once split-adjusted, historical price action is typically bearish after the bubble. This has implications for semis, the broader tech trade, and equities into year end.
Nvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples AppleNvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples Apple to Reach $3 Trillion Throne
In a stunning shift of the tech world's power dynamics, Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has dethroned Apple (AAPL) as the world's most valuable company by market capitalization. Surpassing the $3 trillion mark for the first time ever, Nvidia's meteoric rise signifies the transformative power of artificial intelligence (AI) and the chipmaker's strategic positioning at the heart of this technological revolution.
From Graphics Giant to AI Powerhouse
Nvidia's journey to the top isn't a tale of overnight success. The company built its reputation on high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs) - the workhorses behind smooth gameplay and stunning visuals. However, a fortuitous discovery changed the game. These same GPUs, designed for complex graphics calculations, proved remarkably adept at handling the intricate computations demanded by AI. This adaptability propelled Nvidia into the AI arena, where its chips are now powering a vast array of groundbreaking applications.
Fueling the AI Engine
Several factors have converged to create a perfect storm for Nvidia's growth:
• The AI Explosion: The global AI market is on an exponential growth trajectory. As AI infiltrates diverse industries from healthcare to finance, the demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs is expected to skyrocket. Self-driving cars, facial recognition systems, advanced medical research – these are just a few examples of the areas where Nvidia's technology plays a critical role.
• Gaming Goes Beyond the Console: The gaming industry, a long-standing customer base for Nvidia, is experiencing a renaissance fueled by cloud gaming and virtual reality (VR). These advancements necessitate ever-more powerful graphics processing, further solidifying Nvidia's position within this lucrative market segment.
• The Crypto Craze: While a volatile factor, the ongoing cryptocurrency boom has undeniably boosted demand for Nvidia's GPUs, as they are well-suited for cryptocurrency mining. This additional demand has contributed to Nvidia's recent surge.
Can Nvidia Maintain its Momentum?
While Nvidia's current market valuation is a testament to its success, questions naturally arise about its ability to sustain this extraordinary growth trajectory. Here are some key considerations for the future:
• The Competitive Landscape: Nvidia's success has attracted the attention of rivals like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD), who are pouring resources into developing their own AI-focused chips. Maintaining its technological edge will be crucial for Nvidia to stay ahead of the pack.
• Market Fluctuations: The tech sector is notorious for its sensitivity to market movements. An economic downturn or a shift in investor sentiment could potentially trigger a correction in Nvidia's stock price.
• Innovation as the Lifeblood: The rapid pace of technological advancement demands constant innovation. Nvidia must prioritize research and development to ensure its products remain at the forefront of AI technology.
A New Era for Chipmakers
Nvidia's ascension to the $3 trillion mark signifies a pivotal moment for the semiconductor industry. It underscores the immense potential of AI and the critical role chipmakers play in driving technological innovation. As the world embraces AI at an ever-increasing rate, Nvidia stands poised to play a central role in shaping the future. However, the company's continued success hinges on its ability to navigate a competitive landscape, prioritize innovation, and weather potential market fluctuations.
What's next for #NVDA ? I see $1200+Lovely continuation pattern
$1000 is going to be reclaimed today
And with a potential 20% upside. Expect momentum to help push this thing to these projections.
Best of Luck
Make the most of the meltup!
NVDA long from $1200 to $1600 - easy 30% - pure technical playNVDA is in an incredibly strong bull market - it looks very good both fundamentally (rising revenue and profits, virtual monopoly on AI chips) and technically.
Current wave that started in Nov 23 is yet far from being done and it's very unlikely it would conclude before hitting at least $1600 maybe will even go much further to $2k area.
(NVDA) nVidia "so close"Custom indicator to track volume against median levels diverting levels of highs and lows. Basically the indicator looks to measure something that offers a view of the direction of shares and whether the shares are pulling or pushing against the price of the stock, or crypto. In this case nVidia is running eerily close to the zero hline. The split is coming up and there will be 10x more shares. Even though the stock split shows definite signs of continued growth and future gains in mcap the timing is correlated as such. The image is on the week length because I couldn't fit the entire image one the day length of time with my computer. The purple line falls as the price gains. The purple line works against the movement of the graph chart in any sense of the word.
NVDA - Antitrust Scrutiny and AI Market MilestonesMarket Chatter: Antitrust Scrutiny and Milestones in the AI and Tech Industry
Antitrust Scrutiny for AI Dominance
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), OpenAI, and Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) are facing antitrust investigations over their dominant roles in the artificial intelligence industry, according to The New York Times. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Justice Department have agreed to proceed with these investigations. The Justice Department will lead the investigation into Nvidia, while the FTC will focus on OpenAI and Microsoft.
Nvidia's Market Cap Controversy
Nvidia Corp. ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has achieved a new milestone, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly overtaking Apple’s valuation. However, this milestone has reignited debates about its true value. Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag. He acknowledges the company's compelling narrative and market momentum but remains cautious about its lofty valuation.
Short-Term Bets on Nvidia Ahead of Stock Split
As Nvidia's stock split approaches, traders are making short-term bets on the stock's movements. Data from Cboe Global Markets shows that 19 out of the 20 most actively traded options tied to Nvidia are set to expire by the end of this week. This frenzy is reminiscent of the activity seen around Tesla's stock split in 2020. On Tuesday alone, Nvidia options worth around $283 billion were traded, dwarfing the $18.7 billion traded for Apple.
Nvidia's Ascent in Market Valuation
Nvidia has rapidly climbed the ranks of the world's largest companies. Earlier this year, it surpassed Amazon to become the third-largest US company. Recently, Nvidia overtook Apple, securing the second spot with a market value of $3.01 trillion. Nvidia's shares closed at a record $1,224.40 each. The company now aims to challenge Microsoft for the number one position, needing to gain approximately $150 billion in market value to do so.
These developments highlight the dynamic nature of the tech and AI industries, with significant market movements and regulatory scrutiny shaping the landscape.
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% ContributionThe price has reached our target, as mentioned yesterday, with a gain of +1.20%, approximately $60.
The SPX has recorded a new all-time high and continues to gain. It may retest down to 5347 before pushing up to 5378.
Overall, it could potentially reach 5320 if it stabilizes below 5347. As long as it trades above 5320, an uptrend towards 5423 is expected.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 5347, it will continue its bullish trend toward 5378, and above that, it could reach 5423.
Bearish Scenario: If it stabilizes below 5347, it may drop to 5320. Stabilizing below 5320 on a 1-hour candle could lead to a decline to 5301.
Pivot Line: 5347
Resistance Lines: 5378, 5400, 5423
Support Lines: 5320, 5302, 5260
The price is expected to move between the support level of 5320 and the resistance level of 5423.
previous idea:
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% Contribution in 2024
Shares of US-based chipmaker Nvidia Inc. have had a stellar 2024, soaring nearly 150% and reaching new all-time highs. This impressive performance has significantly contributed to the $4.49 trillion (12%) increase in the S&P 500’s market capitalization, which now stands at $47.16 trillion.
Nvidia’s remarkable gains have been a major driving force behind the S&P 500’s record-breaking achievements. The chipmaker's contribution alone accounts for 36% of the index’s market cap surge this year, highlighting its pivotal role in the broader market’s upward trajectory.
In addition to Nvidia's impact, the S&P 500 has been bolstered by favorable economic indicators, including cooling jobs data, which has alleviated some inflationary pressures and supported continued market growth.
As the S&P 500 hits new records, Nvidia's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap underscores the significant influence of leading tech companies in shaping market trends and driving substantial gains across the board.
Analyzing NVDA's Breakout Patterns and Strategic Trading InsightDuring the last breakout, NVIDIA (NVDA) surged by 300 points before experiencing a sharp decline of 134 points within two days. This current situation bears a striking resemblance to the previous occurrence. Reaching 1282 would position NVDA as the most valuable company globally, contingent upon Microsoft's valuation. I possess additional market capitalization levels for comparison with Microsoft. I anticipate NVDA's final ascent towards becoming the world's most valuable company, followed by a significant pullback.
This scenario echoes Tesla's (TSLA) behavior when it announced its first stock split: a substantial run-up leading into the split date, followed by a rapid 30%+ decline over a few days.
Currently, I hold long call options for the upcoming day. I purchased 1200C on Monday, sold the majority, and retained one position overnight. My plan is to transition to put options when NVDA reaches the 1282-1300 level.
Trade Idea: 1200P 6/14 at 1282.
$NVDA Started Accumulating on May 6NASDAQ:NVDA Started Accumulating on May 6, with our buy alert from our proprietary algorithm momentum indicator. ### Algorithm Momentum Indicator
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NQ - That's about it?When NVDA surpass AAPL in market cap, the clown fiesta is ready to conclude itself. The ration of $CME_MINI:NQ1!/CBOT_MINI:YM1! has far surpassed its high back in the dot com crisis, and the collapse is a matter of time.
When we have both S&P and Dow Jones underperform Nasdaq that much, and we have a crazy high concentration on mega market cap companies, it's obvious a huge pullback, or recession, is on its way.
Not only the "Mag 7", Nasdaq is solely a casino for "semiconductors". Everything else is seriously irrelevant to the index movement at all.
Thus, I believe this shall be the ultimate chapter for a crazy long bull run, and bears will be back.
$NVDA updated levels and path to the top $1170I still think we hit the same upside levels but think we take a different path to get there than I originally thought.
I've been anticipating a big move down before we hit the top, and I still think it happens, but I think we go to different price levels and it happens in a different timeframe than I previously thought.
Everyone thinks the trade is going to be simple to the $1200 or so price target, however, I don't think it's going to be that easy.
I'm anticipating a 20% pullback before we get to the top, to shake out longs before the last leg higher.
I think we continue higher up until the $1071 zone (resistance) around May 29th. Then fall 20% or afterwards to $877 region before continuing up on the last leg higher.
What would be the catalyst? Well next week we have GDP and initial jobless claim readings on Thursday and then PCE on Friday. I think that would be the catalyst to bring price back down below $900 before the final leg higher.
I think it's a sharp quick move, then we resume the path to the top. Top should be the upper resistance levels.
Let's see if it plays out.
$NVDA path to the top - $1170ish targetUpdating my analysis with some additions of some key levels to watch for as price makes it's way higher.
I do think NASDAQ:NVDA is going to become more volatile over the coming few weeks as it works it's way to the top resistance levels.
Even though price seems to be forming a H&S top, I'm not sure that we break down here.
I think the most likely scenario is that price moves up to the midpoint at $993-1008. If it breaks it, we likely see the highs at the upper resistance levels. If it can't break that level, it sets up a move down to the lower supports. If those supports hold, then it'll set up one final move to the upper resistance levels.
My base case is move to midpoint, reject and then a final move to the highs. But reality is, price can take a number of paths from here. You'll want to long the lower supports, reduce risk at the middle supports and sell the top levels.
Let's see how it plays out over the coming month.
NVIDIA. possible another 59.23% gain. 6/June/24NVDA's 1890 (189 after splitting ) is next major resistance where price meet time by end of the year ( right after US election).
Nvidia headed towards completion areaHaving entered the area of a wave (iv), and now exited the box to the upside to challenge the recent ATH, I have to consider the possibility we're headed towards the wave (v) target area to complete this primary wave 3. However, to be clear, below the ATH of $1158.19, we're still in wave (iv). This is visible in the below 1 hour chart.
Nvidia will be embarking on a primary circle wave 4, that could last years. This will not be an event over in a matter of months.
Best to all,
Chris
NVDAThe price is moving inside upper channel
the price will reach the resistant of trend base FIBO
i am suggesting going short with stop lose 1300
MTF WAVE indicator Case study on $ALICECase study for the MTF Wave showing all entries and phases in a clear way.
Make sure to compare the ideal MTF Wave concept with the actual MTF Wave indicator below the chart to compare the wave start, short and long entries, as well as different wave phases and how they correspond to Price action.
This one geared up while showing the perfect Fake Down (large gap between gray and blue) right at the support retest after initial breakout, followed by a 116% run so far!
Nvidia Unveils Rubin AI Platform: New Frontier in Generative AIAt the 2024 Computex trade show in Taipei, Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang sent ripples through the tech world with the announcement of their next-generation AI platform, codenamed Rubin. Scheduled for release in 2026, Rubin promises to be a game-changer, pushing the boundaries of generative AI and accelerating its integration across various industries.
Huang's vision is clear: a new industrial revolution driven by AI. This vision is fueled by the ever-growing demand for high-performance AI hardware, and Nvidia is positioning itself at the forefront of this revolution. By unveiling Rubin alongside the Blackwell Ultra chip slated for 2025, Nvidia is signaling a commitment to annual upgrades in their AI accelerator technology.
This focus on rapid development reflects Nvidia's dominant position in the AI chip market, currently holding an estimated 80% market share. Rubin's arrival in 2026 signifies a significant leap forward in Nvidia's AI hardware capabilities. The platform will encompass not just next-generation GPUs, the workhorses of AI training, but also novel central processing units (CPUs) and networking chips.
While specifics about Rubin's architecture remain under wraps, some key details have emerged. The platform will leverage the next iteration of High-Bandwidth Memory (HBM4), a crucial component for tackling the data bottlenecks that often hinder AI development. Manufacturers like SK Hynix, Micron, and Samsung are expected to be instrumental in supplying this next-gen memory.
Beyond the hardware, Huang emphasized the importance of software and services in democratizing AI. This aligns with Nvidia's recent efforts to expand its software offerings, providing developers with user-friendly tools to harness the power of their AI hardware. It's likely that Rubin will be accompanied by a robust software ecosystem, enabling seamless integration and streamlined workflows for various AI applications.
The potential applications of Rubin are vast. Generative AI, a subfield of AI focused on creating new data, is expected to see a significant boost. This could revolutionize fields like drug discovery, where AI can be used to design new molecules with specific properties.
Additionally, advancements in natural language processing (NLP) facilitated by Rubin could lead to more sophisticated chatbots, capable of carrying on nuanced conversations and even generating creative text formats like poems or code.
However, significant challenges remain. Ethical considerations surrounding bias in AI algorithms and the potential misuse of generative AI capabilities need to be addressed. Additionally, ensuring equitable access to this powerful technology will be crucial to prevent exacerbating existing inequalities.
Despite these challenges, the potential benefits of Rubin are undeniable. Nvidia's commitment to annual advancements in AI hardware, coupled with a focus on user-friendly software, positions Rubin as a catalyst for the widespread adoption of AI across industries. As 2026 approaches, the tech world will be watching with keen interest to see how Rubin ushers in a new era of generative AI and its impact on the global landscape.
$EA Going to tank within the next 6-18 monthsAsAs I continue to study the market, I can't help but notice so many stocks are in outrageous ATH Levels, in such a way that I can't help but believe the market will undergo a Price Correction that will in fact catch many off guard. Who am I to say though? Just an average man with an average brain. As far as levels, If we cannot hold above May Highs, Price should retreat to below May Lows. This could be a once in a lifetime opportunity to grab long puts , Leap puts are extremely safe here imo. Good Luck.
Important section: 1071.36-1130.53Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a nice day today.
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(1M chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), which is the peak of the major uptrend.
If not, it is expected to form a downtrend and form a new trend.
(1W chart)
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is shown in the major uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the left is shown in the recent uptrend on the 1W chart.
Accordingly, if the price is maintained above the right Fibonacci ratio 3.618 (1135.97), it is expected to rise to the left Fibonacci ratio 1 (1339.36).
The important section on the 1W chart is around 848.46.
Accordingly, if it fails to rise above 1130.53, it should check for support near 848.46.
The rising channel indicated by the circle is a trend line connected between lows.
Therefore, if it cannot rise within the current rising channel, the key is whether it rises along the rising channel between lows indicated by the circle.
(1D chart)
The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is showing signs of being created at the 1071.36 point.
Accordingly, the important section on the 1D chart is around 1071.36.
Therefore, the section 1071.36-1130.53 is the important section.
This volatility period is around June 4th (June 3rd-5th).
Therefore, it is necessary to check in which direction it deviates from the section 1071.36-1130.53 after the volatility period.
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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- Big picture
It is expected that a full-scale uptrend will start after it rises above 29K.
The section expected to touch in the next bull market is 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.
We need to check the movement when this section is touched because I think a new trend can be created in the overshooting section.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to start forming a pull back pattern after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
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MAY 30 MEMBERS DAILY ANALYSISMega cap tech saw massive selling.
MSFT & NVDA hit hard today. Cloud based stocks under pressure.
Small caps ripping!
Natural Gas collapse...Profits secured! KOLD
Weak GDP & Housing data send yields lower.
