NIFTY Trade Setup for Tuesday (03-Dec-2024)NSE:NIFTY
Post Market Analysis by Srinivas Vemula
NIFTY Weekly Outlook
Economic Events :
USA Jobless Claims Data ( November 30)
India RBI Policy Repo Rate (06-Dec-2024)
Institutional Bias - Bearish ( NIFTY FUTURES)
Institutional Framework - Price Reversal
Institutional Reference Data Points - Premium Arrays
Institutional Price Delivery - ERL(BSL) to IRL( SSL)
ERL - External Range Liquidity
IRL - Internal Range Liquidity
BSL - Buy Side Liquidity
SSL - Sell Side Liquidity
Premium Arrays
Bearish Order block (H4)
Buy Side Liquidity (W1/H4)
Bearish FVG (H4)
Discount Arrays:
Bullish Breaker (H4)
Bullish Mitigation (M15)
Niftytrend
2 hurdles of Mother, Father line cleared, what next?Two major hurdles of Mother and Father line are cleared by Nifty. Now the major hurdle remaining is the trendline resistance at 24277. If we get a closing above this resistance Nifty can go to 24345. If and when we get a closing above 24345 Nifty will then be ready to fly and next stop can be near 24510 or even 24665. More Bullish levels await after we get a closing above 24665. These levels can be 24890, 25048 and 25277. If the trendline support at 24277 is not crossed for some reason the supports for Nifty to fall back on will be at the zone between 24097 and 24070. (24070 being the mother line of hourly chart and strong support). If 24070 is broken then the next supports will be at 23898, 23756, 23588 and finally 23292. Its looking bullish but two hurdles crossed two more (24277 and 24345) to go.
NIFTY : Levels and Plan for 03-Dec-2024Trading Plan for Nifty - 03-Dec-2024
Previous Day’s Chart Pattern Analysis:
On 02-Dec-2024, Nifty witnessed significant volatility after finding support from the mentioned support level and could manage to close near high. The index seeing resistance at 24,413, indicating profit booking near this level, while support was observed at 24,204, suggesting buyer accumulation. The yellow trend in the chart reflects sideways consolidation, green lines represent bullish moves, and red lines indicate bearish patterns. For today, the key zones from the chart will play a crucial role in determining market sentiment.
Opening Scenarios for 03-Dec-2024:
Scenario 1: Gap Up Opening (100+ Points Above 24,275)
If Nifty opens with a significant gap up above 24,375, monitor whether it sustains above the 24,413 Resistance/Support for Sideways.
- Action Plan:
- If the price stays above 24,413, look for bullish momentum towards the 24,483 Last Resistance for Intraday. Enter long positions with a target of 24,483, maintaining a stop-loss at 24,326.
- If Nifty fails to sustain above 24,413, a pullback towards 24,326 Opening Resistance/Support Zone is possible. Observe price action here before taking new trades.
- Risk Management Tip: Avoid chasing the market if the gap up is too steep, as it might lead to profit booking. Opt for spreads or hedge your positions with options.
Scenario 2: Flat Opening (Near 24,275)
In case of a flat opening around 24,275, focus on the Opening Resistance/Support Zone at 24,326.
- Action Plan:
- If Nifty breaks above 24,326 with strong volume, initiate long trades targeting 24,413, and then 24,483. Keep a stop-loss at 24,204 Opening Support.
- Conversely, if the price struggles to break 24,326 and slides below 24,275, a test of 24,204 is likely. In such a case, short positions can be considered with a target of 24,087, keeping a stop-loss at 24,326.
- Risk Management Tip: Allow the first 15-30 minutes for market stability to avoid false breakouts. Use options to trade breakouts conservatively.
Scenario 3: Gap Down Opening (100+ Points Below 24,275)
A gap-down opening below 24,175 would bring 24,087 Support Zone into focus.
- Action Plan:
- If the index holds above 24,087, expect a bounce towards 24,204 Opening Support. This could be an ideal point to go long with a stop-loss at 23,964.
- If Nifty breaches 24,087, further downside towards 23,964 is probable. In this case, short positions can be initiated with targets of 23,964, maintaining a stop-loss at 24,204.
- Risk Management Tip: In a bearish scenario, avoid aggressive trades and use protective puts to limit downside risk.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading:/b]
Position size should be limited to 2% of your capital per trade.
Use options strategies like Iron Condors or Bull Put Spreads to manage risk in volatile conditions.
Always hedge directional trades with protective options to avoid heavy losses during sudden reversals.
Summary and Conclusion:
Today's trade revolves around key levels at 24,413, 24,326, and 24,204.
Bullish scenario: Sustained trades above 24,413 could lead to higher targets of 24,483.
Bearish scenario: A breakdown below 24,087 may open the door for further weakness towards 23,964.
Sideways scenario: Consolidation is likely between 24,204 and 24,326, requiring patience for a breakout.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Traders are advised to conduct their research or consult a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
The Nifty spot intraday forecast for December 03, 2024Nifty intraday trend for December 03, 2024 is bullish. Intraday Turning points are approximate. The price is not part of the forecast since calculations relate Time. Intraday levels may vary based on the price gaps on the either side.
Technical confirmation for entries and exits is a must and do not trade with stop-loss.
The information provided is only for the educational purposes.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 02/12/2024Gap up opening expected in nifty near 24300 level. After opening it will face an immediate resistance at this level. After opening if nifty starts trading above 24350 level then possible strong bullish rally towards the 24550 level. Downside 24050 level will act as strong support for today's session. Any major downside rally only expected below this support level.
The Nifty spot intraday forecast for December 02, 2024Market Outlook for Nifty Spot on December 02, 2024
Morning Movement:
Likely to see an upward move in the morning hours.
A potential drop of around 300 points is anticipated later.
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance:
Strong resistance at 24,330.
If this level is broken, Nifty spot could rise to 24,385, provided there is no gap opening on either side.
Support:
On the downside, support levels are at 23,947 and 23,831.
Overall Sentiment:
The Nifty is expected to close on a bearish note.
Disclaimer:
These views are for educational purposes only.
Please use your own technical analysis for entry and exit decisions.
Always trade with a stop-loss to manage risks effectively.
NIFTY : Levels and Plan for 02-Dec-2024Nifty 50 Trading Plan for 02-Dec-2024
On 01-Dec-2024, Nifty traded in a well-defined structure, oscillating between the Golden Retracement Zones for buyers and sellers. The market displayed a Change of Character (CHoCH), with price initially retesting the buyer's support zone near 23,786 before reversing toward the seller's resistance zone at 24,413. Key levels such as 24,250 and 24,112 acted as dynamic Opening Support/Resistance levels. The chart also highlighted a Yellow Zone for sideways movements, Green Zones for bullish trends, and Red Zones for bearish scenarios.
Detailed Trading Plan for 02-Dec-2024
Gap-Up Opening (Above 24,250, up to 100+ points)
If Nifty opens with a gap-up beyond 24,250, it will enter the Opening Resistance Zone. In this scenario:
Watch for rejection near 24,413 or higher. If rejection is confirmed, initiate short positions targeting 24,250 as the first support and 24,112 for extended profits.
For sustained bullishness, monitor an hourly candle close above 24,413. If this occurs, consider long positions with a target at the Profit Booking Zone around 24,483.
Avoid chasing trades immediately after the gap-up. Allow prices to stabilize for 15–30 minutes to validate the trend.
Flat Opening (Near 24,112 to 24,130 range)
In case of a flat opening, the Opening Support/Resistance at 24,112 will be critical:
If prices sustain above 24,112 with strong buying, consider initiating long positions, targeting 24,250 and 24,413.
If Nifty fails to hold 24,112, expect a test of 24,030 (Buyer's Opening Support) and potentially 23,940 (Last Support for Intraday).
Use tight stop losses when trading near the flat opening zone due to potential whipsaws.
Gap-Down Opening (Below 24,030, down to 100+ points)
A gap-down opening near or below 24,030 would signal bearish sentiment:
Observe buyer activity near 23,940. If support holds, initiate longs with targets of 24,030 and 24,112.
If 23,940 is breached, expect further downside toward 23,832 or even 23,786, the Buyer's Support for sideways action.
Manage risk effectively by waiting for hourly candle confirmation in case of volatile downward moves.
Risk Management Tips for Options Traders
Trade options with a defined stop loss and avoid overleveraging.
Use spreads (e.g., Bull Call Spread or Bear Put Spread) to reduce premium outflows and limit risk.
Monitor implied volatility (IV) levels, as sudden changes can impact option premiums significantly.
Summary and Conclusion
Nifty's key levels for 02-Dec-2024 include 24,413 (Profit Booking Zone), 24,250/24,112 (Critical Opening Support/Resistance), and 23,940/23,786 (Key Buyer Support Zones).
Focus on hourly candle confirmations for validating breakouts or breakdowns.
Stay cautious during initial market volatility and align trades with the prevailing trend as highlighted by the Yellow (sideways), Green (bullish), and Red (bearish) zones.
Disclaimer
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This analysis is for educational purposes only. Please consult your financial advisor before making trading decisions.
VIEW ON NIFTY AND BANKNIFTYNifty and Bank nifty view for coming weeks.
Dollar Index, Gold, US market and 10 year US Gsec
Disclaimer -
The information provided herein is for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice and should not be construed as such. Consult a qualified financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
We are not liable for any monetary loss, that may arise directly or indirectly from the use of or reliance on the information provided.
#Nifty50 Volatile week ahead, outlook for 2-6th Dec 2024The Nifty 50 index concluded the week on a strong note, closing at 24,131, up 225 points from the previous week. The index oscillated between a high of 24,354 and a low of 23,873, staying within the predicted range of 24,500 to 23,300.
For the upcoming week, I anticipate the index to remain confined to a range of 24,750 to 23,600 . A breach of these levels could trigger significant market volatility.
A closer look at the weekly chart reveals a potential W-pattern formation. To complete this pattern, a pullback towards the 23,500-23,600 support zone is necessary. Whether this pullback materializes next week will be crucial to watch.
S&P 500 Breaks Resistance, Sets Stage for Further Gains
The S&P 500 index finally managed to breach the strong Fibonacci resistance level of 6,013. If it can sustain above the 6,000 mark, a move towards the 6,142 level, representing a 1.5% upside, is likely. Such a move could provide a positive impetus to global markets. However, a failed breakout could lead to a 2% correction, potentially testing the 5,914-5,900 support zone. Investors should be prepared for both scenarios.
The Nifty Spot direction for the month of December 2024If you listen, you might forget. If you see, you will remember. Presenting the Nifty Spot Daily/End-of-Day Trend Forecast for December 2024. Pay close attention to the calculated turning dates and their directions, as these insights can guide traders in making informed decisions. Please note that price levels may vary, as the primary focus is on timing and trend direction.
In summary, December 2024 appears to be a bearish month for the Nifty. My Timing Analysis provides valuable insights to help traders closely assess market direction.
If you are a trader, do not trade without Stop-Loss.
Long Term Nifty Outlook with Macro and Micro Economic commentaryNifty after making a new high is in volatile consolidation and correction mode. FIIs are selling big on every rally and DIIs and Retail are seeing this opportunity to consolidate their position in Indian market. Amidst all the volatility Nifty managed to close the month at 24131.
Every investor is seeking answer to one question which when will FII return to Indian market. There are too answers to this. Simple answer is they will return eventually sooner rather than later.
A more based answer is that when opportunity to earn more return elsewhere will diminish and there will be sort of global stability. Right now Ukraine and Russia conflict has opened another chapter of uncertainties. Stimulus package from China to stabilize its economy is also in an ongoing phase. Iran and Israel conflict is also contributed to environment of global uncertainties. On the other hand Maharashtra Election result has tried or is trying its best to comfort DII and retail investors.
Bond yield in US and surge in crypto post US election and China stimulus has provided a temporary oppenturnity for FIIs to make big money elsewhere. These are the Macro and Micro economic changes which led to FIIs searching better greener pastures elsewhere. Thus when the dust settles a bit and Indian companies again start giving attractive Q on Q results, FIIs will come back.
Results this quarter from India Inc in a traditionally weaker Quarter were a little below par. GDP growth was seen at 5.4% which is again slightly below par which can send Nifty into further consolidation mode. So there will be recovery from here but pointing out the timeline is a tough call even for seasoned economists.
Now coming to the Technical chart, Support and resistance levels. We can not say for sure if the bottom has already been made when earlier this month which was 23263 was the exact bottom or not but it will be an important level going below which we can see free fall in Nifty. So that will be a level to watch. On Daily candlestick chart there is currently a Cup shaped recovery in progress. There are clear trend lines suggesting that top of the channel is somewhere between 28K or 30K in the long run. Base support of the trend line includes 23263 hence that level is of prime importance. Mother line major resistance going forward will be 24367. Father Line major support will be at 23572.
Supports for Nifty remain at: 23890, 23263 to 23230 zone, 22783, 22369, 21845 and 21310.
Resistances for Nifty Remain at: Zone between 24367 to 24570, 25214, 25653 and 26277.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
Reverse H&S formation in 15 minute chart of Nifty on cards.Usually we do not look at chart with less than 1 hour candles but an interesting pattern is forming which can yield us a fresh bullish move in Nifty so I am presenting it today. If Nifty manages to stay above 24109 and can close above 24189 we can have a fresh bullish rally in Nifty which can see it pivot very fast as high as 24538. with resistances at 24270, 24348, 24423 and finally 24538.
The important levels will be the support at 24109 and resistance at 24189. Other than 24109 (which is the mother lie for 15 minute chart) important supports will be at 24124, 24063, 24024 (which is father line of 15 minute chart). Below 24024 Nifty will become weak again and Bears can then drag it to 23962 or even 23874 again.
Again the important levels to watch for the next week on resistance side will be 24189 and on support side will be 24109 and 24024 (Mother and Father lines on 15 minute chart). This is what we can read from ultra short term chart of Nifty on 15 minute candle. To know more about the Mother, Father and Small child theory, trend lines, supports and resistances read my book The Happy Candles Way to Wealth creation. In this book you will get to learn about Techno-Funda investment. Many reviewer who have read the book consider it as a hand book of investment. You can check the reviews on Amazon and google Play book. The book is available on amazon in Paperback and kindle version. E-version of the book also available on Google Play books too.
Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 29/11/2024Expected slightly gap up opening in nifty above 24000 level. After opening if it's starts trading and sustain above 24050 level then possible correction rally upto 24250 level in opening session. Downside 150-200 points rally expected below 24000 level. 23800 will act as an important support for today's session.
Nifty Intraday Support & Resistance Levels for 29.11.2024On Thursday, Nifty opened flat, hit a high of 24345.75, and then saw a sharp decline below 24000, making a low of 23873.35 as it tested the 15m demand zone. It closed at 23914.15, losing 360 points from the previous close.
Breaking below the key 24100 support (3-day low) triggered a strong downward move, dragging Nifty over 200 points. Both the Weekly Trend (50 SMA) and Daily Trend (50 SMA) remain sideways, signaling caution.
Demand/Support Zones
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23856.15 - 23940.30 (tested yesterday)
Near Demand/Support Zone (15m): 23661.75 - 23731.25
Far Demand/Support Zone (75m): 23447.15 - 23578.60
Near Support: 23189.88 (61.8% FIBO)
Far Demand/Support Zone (Daily): 22642.60 - 22910.15
Supply/Resistance Zones
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (125m): 24257.65 - 24354.55
Near Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24447.65 - 24537.60
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Daily): 24567.65 - 24978.30 (inside weekly supply)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (75m): 24636.75 - 24741.45 (inside Daily supply)
Far Supply/Resistance Zone (Weekly): 24567.65 - 25234.05
NIFTY is not stopping at the station....???NSE:NIFTY
🚂 is not stopping at the station — hope slows down soon...other wise next station is too far ... 🫥
expecting a bounce
not sure if that would sustain
best option Nifty dance around this range before starting upward journey
Otherwise next station is quite far
Key levels marked
disc: no recommendation
Review and plan for 3th November 2024Nifty future and banknifty future analysis and intraday plan.
Stock- intraday idea included.
This video is for information/education purpose only. you are 100% responsible for any actions you take by reading/viewing this post.
please consult your financial advisor before taking any action.
----Vinaykumar hiremath, CMT
NIFTY : Analysis and Levels for 29-Nov-2024
On the previous trading day, Nifty exhibited a significant shift in momentum. A Change of Character (ChoCH) was observed, indicating a possible transition between bullish and bearish phases. The index traded near the golden retracement zones, showing both buyer and seller activity. The yellow trend represents a sideways market, green signals a bullish trend, and red indicates bearish sentiment.
After a consolidation, NIFTY has shown a significant trending move on last trading session, so most probably nifty can trade sideways or in a range on Friday, but based on the chart, I have prepared trading plans for three possible opening scenarios: Gap Up, Flat, and Gap Down openings.
Gap Up Opening (+100 points or more above ₹23,957)
Resistance Focus (₹24,112-₹24,250): If Nifty opens above ₹24,057, it will directly test the golden retracement zone for sellers. Watch for bearish patterns, such as shooting stars or evening stars, in this area. If selling pressure emerges, initiate a short position.
Action Plan:
Entry: Short below ₹24,200 after confirmation of rejection.
Target: ₹23,957 (the current close) and ₹23,807 (demand zone).
Stop Loss: Above ₹24,300 to manage risk.
Breakout Potential (₹24,250+): If Nifty breaks above ₹24,250 with strong volumes, it may head toward the Resistance Zone (₹24,544-₹24,656). Consider a long trade upon breakout confirmation.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long above ₹24,250 after a 15-minute candle close.
Target: ₹24,544 and ₹24,656.
Stop Loss: Below ₹24,100 to safeguard against false breakouts.
Flat Opening (Near ₹23,957)
Golden Retracement (₹24,112): If the market consolidates around ₹23,957, wait for a decisive move. The immediate focus will be the golden retracement zone at ₹24,112.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long above ₹24,112 if the price breaks this level with volume.
Target: ₹24,250 and ₹24,544.
Stop Loss: Below ₹23,900 to minimize risk.
Demand Zone (₹23,807): If Nifty fails to sustain above ₹23,957, it could test the Golden Retracement Zone for Buyers (₹23,807-₹23,497). Look for bullish reversal patterns in this zone for long entry.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long near ₹23,807 if bullish candles like hammers form.
Target: ₹23,957 and ₹24,112.
Stop Loss: Below ₹23,497 to protect against breakdowns.
Gap Down Opening (-100 points or more below ₹23,957)
Demand Zone Test (₹23,807-₹23,497): If Nifty gaps down and opens near or below ₹23,807, focus on the demand zone. This zone is critical for potential reversals.
Action Plan:
Entry: Long near ₹23,807-₹23,497 after confirming bullish patterns.
Target: ₹23,957 and ₹24,112.
Stop Loss: Below ₹23,497 to limit losses.
Breakdown Scenario (Below ₹23,497): A breakdown below ₹23,497 signals strong bearish momentum. Short positions can be taken if confirmed by volume and candle patterns.
Action Plan:
Entry: Short below ₹23,497 after confirmation.
Target: ₹23,300-₹23,100.
Stop Loss: Above ₹23,600 to avoid unnecessary risks.
Risk Management Tips for Options Trading
Limit your position size to ensure no single trade risks more than 2% of your capital.
Use hedging strategies, such as buying protective puts or selling covered calls, to offset potential losses.
Avoid trading during the first 15-30 minutes of market opening, as this period is highly volatile.
Monitor implied volatility (IV) for options and select contracts with reasonable premiums to avoid overpaying.
Summary and Conclusion
This trading plan is designed to cater to multiple scenarios, ensuring you're prepared regardless of the market's direction. The key lies in observing critical levels like ₹24,112 and ₹23,807 and waiting for confirmation before entering trades.
Remember: Yellow trends indicate sideways movement, green signals bullish momentum, and red shows bearish sentiment. Stick to the plan, respect stop losses, and prioritize capital preservation.
Disclaimer:
I am not a SEBI-registered analyst. This trading plan is for educational purposes only. Please consult with your financial advisor or conduct your analysis before making any trading decisions.
The Nifty Spot Intraday view on November 29, 2024It is just my view on the Nifty Spot intraday on November 29, 2024. The support and resistance levels given in the picture may vary. However, I have a bullish view on Nifty Intraday. Please note that my view is only for educational purposes but not a recommendation to buy or sell.
#NIFTY Intraday Support and Resistance Levels - 28/11/2024Flat opening expected in nifty. Expected opening near 24300 level. After opening if nifty gives breakout of 24350 level then only expected strong upside bullish rally upto 24550 level. Downside 24050 level will act as an important support for index. Any major downside rally only expected below this level.