Nasdaq -> Massively Bullish RallyHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that nas100 is actually approaching a quite obvious previous weekly structure area which is now acting as resistance at the $15.000 level.
You can also see that over the past couple of weeks, nas100 had a massively bullish rally and we are now a little bit overextended towards the upside, so I am now just waiting for a deeper push into the zone and then I do expect a short term rejection towards the downside.
On the daily timeframe you can also see that we are just rallying towards the upside without any correction, so I am now just waiting for some bearish rejection before I then do expect a short term drop also on the daily timeframe.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ 100 CFD
NAS100 Top-down analysisHello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
NDX are you rdy for long ?🧨🧨👌Nasdaq index, did you know that this index has an upward trend in the past two weeks? Well, interestingly, Bitcoin also has and I announced this in my analysis.
Well, how far the index should go up, you should be careful, I won't say here if it goes up.
Two more targets will not be seen, the first target is 15265.42, the index will go up to this price.
Our second target is 16607.19. I am giving you this information based on the method of dirty banks, so don't forget that this index is bullish to see these targets.
Nasdaq is forming a Rising Wedge pattern!!!It seems that the Nasdaq is forming a Rising Wedge pattern near the 🔴 resistance zone($ 14,060-$ 13,610) 🔴.
I expect the Nasdaq to start falling after touching the upper line of the rising wedge pattern and the resistance zone. Nasdaq's falling target could be the next 🟢 support zone($ 12,470-$ 12,040) 🟢.
Nasdaq 100 Index Analyze (NDXUSD), Daily time frame⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my Idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
NDX Swing ShortNasdaq has been rallying hard the past few weeks, thanks to tech rally due to recent growth opportunities provided by rise of AI.
But Nasdaq is reaching significant levels both from S/R perspective and market structure.
1.We are reaching the top edge of the parallel channel
2.We are at PRZ of couple of harmonics (Cypher and BAT).
3. Also, within very close proximity of the top of rising wedge.
Keep a close watch on top tech stocks (Microsoft and Nvidia) Stocks, these have been the primary reasons for a rally in NDX, if these stocks start to fall, so will NDX.
Another reason for anticipating down weeks and months in NDX is due to Breakout in DXY which is -0.81 correlated to NDX. Which means 80% of the time NDX moves opposite to DXY.
To read my DXY analysis, go over the links below.
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 22 May WeekScenario1 breakout offered a fantastic week.
Hope you had joined in the ride. Target 13740 hit, and AR tested.
Possible Scenarios:
1) Continuation Long Strategy: Long on retracement. Price has to
come down on low volume
2) Breakout failure: If there is strong volume on down move,
it may signify a yet to be completed rotation, with more potential for
downside (zone 13740 - 10710)
Price Reaction Levels
Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept
15269 13740-13913
13350 12950
Price Volume Analysis:
Weekly: Ave vol up bar close off high = potential weakness
Daily: 19 May UT bar, ave vol= = potential weakness
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
*For education purpose only.
NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2023 15 May WeekCME_MINI:NQ1!
Last week 1 trade done at short from rotation high, stopped out,
we will be looking at possible senarios below:
1) Breakout success: Price comes down on lower volume, finds support,
for a Test and Accept long. Nearest target is 13740.
2) Breakout Failure: Price rejected at higher prices, for a test and
reject short, back into rotation area.
Note: If you see higher lows being formed in the rotation area, this may
be followed by a successful break, and market will
attempt 13740. Draw your trendlines to observe.
Price Reaction Levels
Short on Test and reject | Long on Test and Accept
15186 13740 13350
12936 12130
Price Volume Analysis:
Weekly: No Demand narrower spread up bar close off high = Weakness
Daily: Higher bullish volume observed, close off high = weakness
Like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week.
*For education purpose only.
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 MAY 08NQ scenario 4, rotational trade yielded 470pts from 3 trades.
Test and Reject/Accept setups consistently offers low risk trades.
NQ was in rotation for a month now.
Friday saw a low volume mark up, and could be trapping longs.
Previous scenario planning remains.
Given the rotation has progressed thus far, inexperienced traders should just wait.
CAPS FOR EMPHASIS-MY TENDENCY TO TRADE SCENARIO4 WILL NOW BE DIMINISHED.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is resolved
Then:
2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740 = long at support of upper boundary of range
3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range = Short on rejection of 12950
4) The longer the rotation, the riskier will be rotational trade.
Long on support between 12950-13040 | Short on rejection between 13350-13212
Volume Analysis:
Friday's mark up on average volume, with close away from the high, is weakness on the bar.
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 13350
13316 12950 10710 - 11068
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
*For educational purpose only.
BIGGEST ECONOMIC CONTRACTION OF A LIFETIMEThe comparisons to the beginning of dot com are uncanny.
I compared countless indicators and the current price action is identical to the dot com beginning.
Additionally, the duration of the yield curve inversion is identical and the % of the drop is identical, almost to the decimal.
The current contraction took 5x as long to reach this point as compared with the dot com.
The dot com contraction took 2.3 years to hit bottom from the identified mark.
Scaling the time, this correction could take 10 years (5 x 2) to reach bottom.
We've enjoyed 15 years of a bull market (with some bumps along the road).
Now, we are facing the most inverted yield curve in 40 + years.
Time for the market to pay the piper.
I fear this will be a recession we will share with our children in 20 years
We are only at the start of this.
NASDAQ Correction still has some steam left.Almost 2 weeks ago we called for a multi-day correction on Nasdaq (NDX) after the price broke below the Inner Higher Lows trend-line and the 1D RSI got rejected on the 70.00 overbought Resistance:
Our view is unchanged and we see a few more days extending this correction to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) at least or the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level as it happened on the March 13 Low on the long-term Channel Up.
The only probability of this getting invalidated and start rebounding now is the potential buying pressure that the RSI Higher Lows trend-line may apply, which got hit yesterday. However we see more likely the scenario of the RSI transitioning into a Rectangle, having 43.40 as its bottom.
Our target remains 13400, which is a little under the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), that has rejected break-out attempts twice since May 05 2022.
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What if....
what if we have a yield curve that hasn't been inverted this much in 40 years
what if we've enjoyed 15 straight years of bull markets
what if this is just the start of the correction
what if I told you that I've tested 50 indicators and identified that this correction (on a weekly scale) thus far has matched identically to the START of the dot com bubble (on a daily scale)- March 2000 to June 2000
what if I told you that if you scale the duration of start of the dot com crash to this correction, this correction would be 5.9 X the duration of the dot com bubble and this correction will end it 4.5 years.
I'd encourage you to examine the start of the dot com bubble from March 2000 to June 2000 (daily scale) and compare to the current weekly Nasdaq technicals and see for yourself.
I hope this isn't the case, but what if...
Good Luck
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 24 WEEKCME_MINI:NQ1!
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 24 WEEK
NQ continued to rotate. No trades from last week per scenario1.
Weaknesses have manifested, so if you are holding long, may be
a good time to take profit during this toppish structure.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is
resolved
Then:
2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740
= long at support of upper boundary of range
3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range
= Short on rejection of 12950
4) If you can't live without trading, you may look for long on
support between 12950-13040 | Short on rejection
between 13350-13212
Volume Analysis:
Daily: With the increase in supply volume and toppish market
structure, this may usher in another round of distribution
(i.e. selling)
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 13550
13316 12950 10710 - 11068
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
What should we expect in 2023?First I would like to say "Happy New Year" to all my followers and wish you good fortune in 2023.
This chart shows yearly candles in the past 40 years for NASDAQ 100, S&P 500, and Dow Jones.
In these charts, you can see yearly changes in 2022, 2009,2008, 2001, and 2000.
To plan your investment strategies in 2023, you need to answer this question:
What stage of an Economic Cycle are we in?
To answer this question you need to know what an Economic Cycle is, and what data can help us determine its current stage.
An economic cycle is the overall state of the economy as it goes through four stages in a cyclical pattern:
- Expansion
- Peak
- Contraction
- Trough
Factors that can help determine the current stage of the economic cycle:
- GDP
- Interest rates
- Total employment
- Consumer spending
What do you think?
What stage of an Economic cycle are we in?
My answer to this question is: Economic cycle has peaked and we will enter the contraction phase in 2023.
Average Contraction Duration, peak to trough between 1854-2022: 17 months.
Once again I wish you a happy new year.
Best,
If you like to read more, here is the link to the article I used as a reference:
www.investopedia.com
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 17 WEEK
CME_MINI:NQ1!
NQ1! NAS100 NASDAQ 2023 APR 17 WEEK
12950 was supporting the market well despite increase
in distribution effort. Market participation was low though, and
shortening of thrust from high to high observed = waning
upward momentum.
Possible scenarios:
1) Market stuck in a 250pt range, wait till supply/demand is
resolved
Then:
2) Breakout of upper boundary to test 13740
= long at support of upper boundary of range
3) Breakdown of lower boundary of range
= Short on rejection of 12950
Volume Analysis:
Weekly = Ave vol narrow spread up bar close off high
= Minor weakness
Daily: Higher vol narrow spread down bar close away from low
= minor demand
Price reaction levels:
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
14361 13740 13550 - 137440
12950 10710 - 11068
Remember to Like and Follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NASDAQ Correction for few days then buy the dipNasdaq (NDX) has gone a long way since we called for a rebound on the 1D MA200:
The recent rally within this Channel Up pattern that started in December (its second Bullish Wave), came to an end after it broke the Inner Higher Lows trend-line in similar fashion as the first wave did on February 17. That pulled-back to the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level before rebounding to a Higher High.
The current 0.5 Fib is on 12460, a little under the March 28 Low and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which has been basically supporting since mid-January. If the RSI bounces off its Higher Lows trend-line, then the bottom may come earlier. In any case, we will buy this pull-back and target 13400, a potential contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which rejected the August 16 High.
The best level to buy during this run is on the Higher Lows trend-line of the RSI. A similar Higher Lows trend-line during the January bullish leg (note that both sequences started on a Double Bottom), gave 5 clear buy entries.
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Apple Is this market ready to break? This was a significant rebound, almost unimaginably unrealistic... 5-weeks of straight rallying through the tidal waves of bad economic news, rate hikes, QT, geopolitical tensions, ect...
Let's see what holds for August and September, which are two months that aren't great for stocks. If you do short, go to at least the end of September.
RSI and MACD are supporting a sell off. MA puts Apple at $160, and the Lower price of BB is $151. Was this a giant head and shoulder?
First shoulder December 2021, head at March 2022, and now the right shoulder at August 2022? Hmmm
Bullish US100H4 has shown significant bullishness with Monday establishing a low, and subsequent break of structure. I was prepared for a pullback to continue higher, however, price remains bullish with London open.
I am currently on the watch for accumulation at the demand zone to buy. Target is at the next liquidity pool.
Nasdaq Breakdown Analysis 11/04/2023Dear traders Nasdaq was down and after ny session it’s came Back and closed bullish so as you see in my chart I expect price if he reject 12997 and closed bullish it will be chance to buy and if he breks below 12997 and closed bearish it will be Chance to sell wait always for price action trade safe
Good luck