NASDAQ 100 CFD
US100/NASDAQ/USTECH/NDX100 Bullish Robbery planHello My dear Indices Traders,
This is our Day Trade master plan to Heist Bullish side of US100 Market. my dear Looterss U can enter at the any point above my entered area, Our target is Red Zone that is Hgh risk Reversal area, If There is any Bad news it make our heist very sad and if the news is favorable for us then we can continue our looting from there with help of trailing stop.
My dear Robbers please book some partial money it will manage our risk. Be safe and be careful.
US100/NASDAQ/USTECH Bearish Side Short PlanOla Ola Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist Bearish side of NASDAQ Market. Guys U can enter at my entry area or below the trending candles, Our target is Caution Zone. This is my Intraday Robbery plan. Guys Kindly Loot and escape before the Caution zone bexause trend make Pullback or Sideways so becareful.
QQQ bearish Head-and-Shoulders pattern confirmedNASDAQ:QQQ has shaped Head-and-Shoulders formation on the daily chart. Daily downtrend confirmed, weekly consolidation has started.
Please note that broad SP500 market is still technically in an uptrend, meaning that buyers are still strong. So if you plan entering SHORT on QQQ I would wait for a pullback to increase risk-reward. An example of possible trade is shown on the chart. Of course, it is important to monitor how things develop and make corrections if needed.
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
🔜 S&P 500. A key point between Bull Extension and Bear ReversalThe S&P 500 Index ( SPY) Wednesday closed down -0.22%, the Dow Jones Industrials Index
DIA closed up +0.10%, and the Nasdaq 100 Index (QQQ) closed down -0.83%.
Stocks Wednesday saw downward pressure from the +4.1 bp rise in the 10-year T-note and a sell-off of more than -2% in key chip stocks.
However, the Dow Jones Industrials saw support from blue chips such as 3M
(MMM), with a gain of +5.42%, and gains of more than +1% in Travelers (TRV), Chevron (CVX), Caterpillar (CAT), Home Depot (HD), NIKE (NKE), Goldman Sachs (GS), and Coca Cola (KO).
Stocks on Wednesday gave back some ground after Tuesday’s +1.5% rally in the Nasdaq 100 index that was sparked by optimism that the U.S. Feb CPI report was not as bad as feared and the Feb core CPI dipped to a 2-3/4 year low of +3.8% y/y. However, the Feb headline CPI of +3.2% y/y was slightly above expectations of +3.1% and was 0.2 points above last June’s 2-3/4 year low of +3.0%. Both CPI measures remain well above the Fed’s +2% inflation target.
Fed Breadcrumbs
Fed Chair Powell said last week that the Fed is “not far” from having enough confidence to cut interest rates. However, the markets are discounting the odds at virtually zero that the Fed will cut interest rates at its meeting next week since inflation is still too far above target. The odds for a rate cut are much better for the June meeting.
The markets are discounting the chances for a -25 bp rate cut at 1% for next week’s March 19-20 FOMC meeting, 13% for the following meeting on April 30-May 1, and 73% for the meeting after that on June 11-12.
Economic Reports
In some positive news for the housing market, the MBA mortgage applications index rose +7.1% in the week ended March 8, after rising +9.7% in the previous week. Mortgage purchases rose +4.7%, and refinancings rose +12.2%. The MBA’s average 30-year fixed mortgage rate in the latest week fell to a 5-week low of 6.84% from 7.02% in the previous week. The mortgage rate is currently only 13 bp above the 10-month low of 6.71% posted in December.
On the U.S. economic report front, the markets are awaiting Thursday’s U.S. retail sales and PPI reports. Feb retail sales are expected to show an increase of +0.8% m/m, reversing Jan’s -0.8% decline. Feb retail sales ex-autos are expected to rise +0.5% m/m, reversing most of Jan’s -0.6% decline. The Feb final-demand PPI is expected to rise to +1.2% y/y from Jan’s +0.9%, but the core PPI is expected to ease to +1.9% y/y from Jan’s +2.0%.
Interest Rates
June 10-year T-notes (ZNM24) Wednesday closed down -7.5 ticks. The 10-year T-note yield rose by +4.1 bp to 4.192%, up from last Friday’s 5-week low of 4.034%. T-note prices saw weakness on (1) carry-over bearishness from Tuesday’s stronger-than-expected CPI report, and (2) Wednesday’s slight rise in the 10-year breakeven inflation expectations rate to 2.31%.
T-note prices also saw supply overhang with the Treasury in the market again Wednesday, along with strong corporate bond issuance. The Treasury Wednesday sold $25 billion of 30-year T-bonds, after selling $54 billion of 3-year T-notes on Monday and $42 billion of 10-year T-notes on Tuesday.
Inflation Fears
Oil prices rose about 3% to a four-month high on Thursday (March 14) on a surprise withdrawal in US crude inventories reported on Wednesday (March 13), a bigger-than-expected drop in US petrol stocks and potential supply disruptions after recent terrorist Ukrainian attacks on Russian refineries.
Putin says Ukraine trying to disrupt Russia's presidential election.
Brent crude oil futures rose to nearly $85 per barrel - the highest mark since November, 2023. In technical terms, crude oil futures are on positive path in 2024 with near 9% YTD return, attempt to hold firmly above weekly SMA(52), while the epic triangle' breakthrough can be nearby.
High Risk - High Reward
S&P500 index (SPY) is on positive path in 2024 with +9.28% YTD return in this time. This is a 3rd highest YTD return by this time of year, next to 2012 and 2019 returns by mid-March.
Technical graph for S&P500 indicates that we are near upper line of upside channel, thanks to recent Santa rally and slight signs of US Govt Treasuries buyout in Q4 2023.
Following this path, there can a possible Bull extension, as Reversed Head-and-Shoulders Price Pattern can be in further development.
On the other hand, inflation fears can extend also, just to erase all the Bullish gain in 2024.
UPDATE: Nasdaq target 1 reached next one even higher116,956 target reached easily.
This was based off the W Formation and the price breaking above the neckline.
Then we had the run up which surpassed the first target of 16,956 - Text book.
Now the price is heading to the next target at 18,800. This is purely based off a momentum trending strategy.
The bull run is not over until it's over...
So trade cautiously and trade within the trend.
If you're predicting tops, EGO is taking over.
If you're predicting tops, Gambling mentality is lurking.
If you're trading tops - You feel you have something to prove.
Simple.
Nasdaq racing to 18,800 level - Trenders havenSInce the Nasdaq reached our take profit, our hands have been sat on!
It's tricky for a breakout trader to trade the trends. We never know how long to hold on for (with daily interests that eat up our portfolios).
So, I can only assume the uptrend will prevail until it reaches a target of 18,800. This is most likely where the US 30 will reach its target at 40,000 psychological level.
But until then, we'll just wait for our breakout pattern to emerge.
NASDAQ 100 Short Term Correction Risk AnalysisIt is important to know when the NASDAQ:NDX and a few of its components are overextended and that a minor correction, aka retracement, is imminent. It doesn't really matter if you can guess the exact day, but it does matter that you can see the risk coming so that you can plan to take action on open positions and plan ahead for new positions for swing or position trading.
The Weekly Chart above shows where very strong support will kick in. Somewhere within the Green Rectangle, the index is highly likely to find support. This is a very strong support level since it is a yearly high, and that defines where fundamentals were before this earnings season. The only thing that could derail it is an UNKNOWN negative event for the Buy Side Institutions. That is a very RARE event. So that is the long-term view.
Just for fun, let's check the Monthly DPO Cycle chart. Exactly the same line as weekly but in a more stark perspective. The cycle line is bending which is a good pattern, but it can easily peak and go sideways, which would create a dip into the index's support level if a correction goes all the way to or into that rectangle.
Okay, now the daily chart to determine the short-term or intermediate-trend support level. The first higher Rectangle is weak support. Second, lower Rectangle is moderate. There are heavily weighted stocks that have fundamentals at or within these levels as well.
CAN US100 MAKE A NEW ALL TIME HIGH ?Hello traders .
i think for nasdaq the market is still bullish ,
if the price manages to give a bullish reaction on the area it is likely that it going to give a trend continuation
for bears out there if you wanna sell look for shorts on round numbers / Psycological levels but don't hold for long its agaisnt the trend i think its going to keep going and maybe start possibly reversing on 20.000.
just a personal prediction of mine . according to the relative strenght index the market is making higher high but they are getting weaker and weaker i am thinking at the price 20000 by then the buyers will be tired and we might see a possible correction.
TARGET REACHED:Nasdaq mirroring Dow Jones & up it goes to 18,800
Our first aim was 16,956 for the Nasdaq 100, and wow, did it deliver, perfectly echoing our Dow Jones insights. It soared right to its initial goal of 16,956, just as we theorized. ANd it's been on the up ever since.
But here's where the plot thickens—into a trending market.
And let me tell you, this is where things get tricky.
For breakout traders, finding that golden entry becomes a maze.
For those eyeing reversals, it's like navigating a storm.
And for my friends playing the ranges, buying and selling becomes a guessing game.
So, what's a trader to do?
We watch, we wait.
The trend might keep climbing, sketching new patterns for us to decipher, or we simply stay the course, nudging our trailing stop loss up by the week.
Now, with eyes on a lofty new target of 18,800, I'm parked on the sidelines.
It's feeling a bit top-heavy, and without a clear strategy to dive back in,
I'm all for observing.
Patience is a trader's virtue, especially in this game.
S&P500 in 2020 & 2024. OR ARE YOU READY FOR A NEW ONE SKYFALL!?Due to recent publications by TradingView Team and many other TradingViewers I wonder, how strong people still believe in 4-years inflation/ disinflation credit cycle, with their eternal BTC-to-the-Moon expectations.
Okkkay, Google. Let it be.. Let it be... Each coin has two sides.
Just remembered, how many Covid19-talking people were there in the room a couple months before it's happened in early 2020. The main graph is comparison between SP500 4 years ago and in nowadays.
Similar, or not? - Time will show!
//
This is the end
Hold your breath and count to ten
Feel the Earth move and then
Hear my heart burst again
For this is the end
I've drowned and dreamt this moment
So overdue, I owe them
Swept away, I'm stolen
Let the sky fall
When it crumbles
We will stand tall
Face it all together
Let the sky fall
When it crumbles
We will stand tall
Face it all together
At Skyfall
At Skyfall
// Not an investment advice
Risk for Correction as Earnings Season EndsChecking the Monthly DPO chart of NASDAQ:NDX , it is important to be prepared for the risk of a correction soon after earnings season ends OR as the final week or so of reports come in. Often, the weakest reports are toward the end as there are aging technologies among these.
Corrections are necessary for a long-term uptrend to sustain.
Notice that there is more room to move up to the previous cycle peak of 2021. This new cycle peak can go higher as corporations continue to increase their revenues and earnings this year.
Also note that the extreme angle of ascent of the trend in 1998-2000 is far more severe than what has formed so far in this new bull market.
🚚🚚 The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen The first Tesla Cybertruck deliveries are set to be happen tomorrow, on November 30.
Tesla is finally ready to throw its hat into the most important vehicle segment in the US.
The long-awaited Cybertruck, with its futuristic design and embarrassing shattered-window reveal, is finally set to enter production in 2023. Its arrival could be a turning point for the market with its alien looks, high-tech features, and unique body shape.
The company will host a Cybertruck delivery event at 1 p.m. CT on November 30 at its Texas Gigafactory — a delivery event that's long been delayed by various production difficulties.
"We dug our own grave with Cybertruck," Elon Musk said on Tesla's third-quarter earnings call.
The Tesla CEO said the EV pickup truck will require a "staggering" amount of work to ramp up because "it's the nature of the newness." However, he says the company is doing its best to simplify the vehicle.
"It will be cool, but it's utilitarian," he says.
Musk has previously talked about "production hell" during Tesla's past Model 3 ramp.
In the years since its first reveal, Musk has slowly revealed new details about the truck and its performance. Here's what we know so far.
New details from Q3 earnings call
👉 Musk says he expects to reach production of about a quarter million Cybertrucks a year.
👉 "But I don't think we'll reach that output next year .... probably sometime in 2025," he says.
👉 He also talks about the challenges of the ramp-up period.
"The ramp is going to be extremely difficult. There's no way around that," Musk says. "If you want to do something radical and innovative and something's really special like the Cybertruck, it is extremely difficult because there is nothing to copy."
"The more uncharted the territory, the less predictable the outcome," he added.
Musk says he wants to "temper expectations" for the Cybertruck, predicting it will take a year to 18 months before the vehicle can become a significant cash flow contributor, he cites the difficulties of scaling production on a new vehicle, as well as selling the EV at a "price people can afford."
The CEO says demand for the Cybertruck is high, and he believes it is one of Tesla's best products.
What are the features of a Tesla Cybertruck?
Musk has made numerous claims about the truck's purported capabilities that remain to be seen. He said the Cybertruck will be able to "serve briefly as a boat," and have rear-wheel steering. Its exoskeleton-based body is the opposite of how trucks are usually produced — and how they usually look.
What actually makes it into the final list of Cybertruck features is anyone's guess.
"This is a vehicle that competes against everybody and nobody," Ivan Drury, an automotive analyst for the car-shopping website Edmunds, told Insider earlier this year. "If the Cybertruck comes to fruition looking like it did at the debut, that should be more than enough — everything else from tech and features is just icing on the cake."
He compared the Cybertruck to Hummer, a similarly large and impractical vehicle that could attract enthusiasts and wealthy luxury buyers alike.
When will a Tesla Cybertruck come on the market?
Musk confirmed in May that Tesla will make the Cybertruck available to customers later in 2023.
"Sorry for the delay, we're finally going to start delivering production Cybertrucks later this year," he said. "And I think the product, if anything, is better than expectations."
It's the first completely new Tesla product in years and comes at a time when both Tesla and the pickup truck market need some fresh ideas.
How much does Tesla's Cybertruck cost?
It's unclear how much a Cybertruck will cost. Originally, in 2019, the company said the Cybertruck would cost $40,000, but Musk has since said that the price will change.
Generally, the Tesla price range starts around $40,000 for the cheapest variant of the Tesla Model 3 and goes up to $108,490 for the Plaid variant of the Tesla Model X. The Tesla Roadster is expected to be the most expensive model once it goes into production, at a base price around $200,000.
A now-deleted contract clause aimed at preventing early customers from reselling their trucks hints that the truck may not be cheap — or plentiful — when it is finally released, experts told Business Insider.
Tesla is currently taking refundable $100 deposits.
How long does it take to charge a Cybertruck?
Tesla has said that the Cybertruck will use its new Mega Charger V4 technology and become the quickest-charging EV.
Depending on its battery size, that could mean a full charge in less than a half an hour, though details remain to be seen.
Technical highlights on Tesla stocks ahead of first Cybertruck deliveries
👉 Tesla market capitalization has more than doubled in 2023, as Tesla stock price is near $245-250 range in this time, versus $120-125 range where it was at the end of gloomy 2022.
👉 Tesla stocks broke their 52-weeks SMA key resistance earlier in Q2'23 around $215 per share, with further double confirmation of this spurt in Q3'23 and recently in Q4'23.
👉 Following the major upside channel, Tesla stocks can move upside further, to its best historical levels shortly.
🚚🚚 Happy watching a long awaited Cybertruck delivery event as historical "Moment of Tesla" is just few hours to be there.
NDX / 4H / TECHNICAL ANALYSIS NASDAQ:NDX The support level at 16019 indicates the formation of a bearish wedge pattern and an AB=CD pattern. I have identified my targets on the chart based on these formations.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Good luck
🔝 Berkshire Hathaway. Grandpa Warren Breaks The TopLegendary investor Warren Buffett was on a trip to Tokyo, the capital of Japan, ten months earlier in mid-April 2023, and the titans of the country's giant energy and commodity conglomerates were there to make their presentations.
As usual, over glasses of Coca-Cola NYSE:KO - one of Buffett's most famous investments, they walked into Warren Buffett's suite at the luxury Four Seasons hotel and individually told the 92-year-old American investor the same thing: Japanese trading houses are cheap and should accelerate their move beyond commodities.
The support of the Oracle of Omaha is an important vote of confidence in the big five Japanese trading houses - Mitsubishi Corporations TSE:8058 , Mitsui TSE:8031 , Sumitomo TSE:8053 , Itochu TSE:8001 and Marubeni TSE:8002 .
It's also a broad endorsement of Japan, that is considered to have outlived its heyday 30-35 years ago, as well as considered less relevant than Asian counterparts such as China and India.
But there's one big question: Is Buffett betting on phasing out fossil fuels, the trading house products themselves, or a combination of the two? Or something else, like impact of the weak yen!?
Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway NYSE:BRK.B reported in August 2020 that it had acquired about 5% of the shares of five trading houses, that sent their stocks up and raised their total investment value above $6 billion. When the Covid-19 pandemic dampened demand for goods, it pushed down the value of company stocks, four of which traded below book value.
“They were selling, I thought, at a ridiculous price,” - 3 years later Buffett said to CNBC, in March 2023.
Three years after the Covid-19 pandemic (that is now hardly remembered) Warren Buffett's bets on Japan have nearly tripled to over $17 billion.
But even this Growth does not stop Buffett. Staying in Tokyo last spring, Buffett confirmed intentions to buy more shares, and participate in more big deals.
In addition, Berkshire recently unveiled plans to issue its own yen-denominated bonds, which can help hedge against the depreciation of the yen against the US dollar as well as depreciation of Japanese stocks in dollar terms.
In nowadays Japan Stock Index TSE:TOPIX ended 2023 on a positive note, adding more than 25 percent at the end of the year, that is, the maximum growth over the last 10 calendar years.
Early in 2024 TSE:TOPIX continues its growth path, as technology companies stocks are rallying.
In 2024 TSE:TOPIX hit the 2,500 yen mark - point that not been seen for more than 30 years - since the first half of 1990, while another one Japan stock index Nikkei225 INDEX:NKY hit its 36'000 Milestone - the level that was not seen also since early 1990s.
The main technical graph says Berkshire Hathaway Class B NYSE:BRK.B stocks are on the runway to break its key resistance - 6-month and all time highs, to further upside price action delver.