NQ1! Historical Fall and Important LevelsThe price fluctuated by more than 5% prior to the New York session, an atypical occurrence that suggests increased risk for the week ahead.
Volatility exceeding 130 should be regarded as a cautionary signal.
It may be prudent to reduce trading risks this week
This significant drop could be due to concerns that if the USA election results in a Trump victory, the USA might stop protecting Taiwan, which could cause major issues in semiconductor production.
Important liquidity levels given in the chart.
Ask any questions you might have in the comments and please boost if the idea helped you!
NASDAQ 100 CFD
U.S. Stocks' foreseeable goalsThe most important index for the reflection of the American Stocks market is the SP:SPX , so let's start with it. Unfortunately, now the chart of this index is not rich in models, so the current logic of movements in our opinion is described by the EXP model from July 30 on the daily timeframe👇
As long as the price is below the 4-point level (5 390.95), the target levels are 100% (5 125.93) and 200% (4 873.94). In case the price returns above the level of 4 point and goes beyond the trend line, there will be a second attempt to reach the target resistance level of 5 582.31 - the formally reached target of the impulse of August 1. It is necessary to mention that this pattern, despite being on the daily timeframe - is weak.
In addition, let's look at a chart of the NASDAQ:NDX - this index includes the 100 largest non-financial companies traded on the Nasdaq exchange, primarily technology stocks.
Consideration of this index is additionally interesting because most institutional managers consider BINANCE:BTCUSDT to be in the technology sector, so NASDAQ:NDX and BINANCE:BTCUSDT is often correlated.
First, let's look at the AMEXP model that formed in mid-March 2023 on the weekly timeframe and described the entire uptrend within the 2023-2024 period on this index👇
In this model we are primarily interested in the level of HP (18 289.68), currently acting as an extreme support on the weekly timeframe, and if the price can consolidate under this level, the next support will be the level of 100% (15 891.73).
More locally, on the daily timeframe, the current movement is described by the EXP model from July 24, where the price has already reached the first target level of 100% (18 355.48)👇
It is very interesting that now on NASDAQ:NDX the price has settled in the zone of 18 355.45-18 289.68 formed by 100% and HP levels and if we don't see a rebound soon and the price tries to consolidate under this zone, the next target level will be 17 296.42.
By the way, we do not exclude that the movement towards 17,296.42 will be accompanied by an attempt of CME:BTC1! to close the CME GEP at the level of $57,805👇
Time Is Melting UpA decisive moment draws near as a familiar, but forgotten trend incredulously appears.
Outlined in "S&squeezed" linked below, caution was appropriate until new highs were confirmed.
Enough time has passed. The carcasses of blown accounts can serve as a launch pad to revisit the fib that was lost at 4500.
This is now underway.
Soon to find out which way things tumble
BUY NDX100 US100🚀 Trade Alert: US100 (NASDAQ-100) 🚀
🔍 Entry Price Range: 19000 - 19060
🎯 Target Price: 19500
💼 Professional Recommendation:
We are excited to present a strategic buying opportunity in the US100 (NASDAQ-100) with an entry range of 19000 to 19060. Our target price is set at 19500, reflecting our confidence in the potential upside.
📈 Why This Trade?
🔎 Market Insight: Robust technical signals and a favorable economic outlook suggest strong upward momentum for NASDAQ-100.
📊 Risk-Reward Ratio: A clear entry range and defined target price provide an attractive risk-reward profile.
📈 Potential Gains: Achieving our target price of 19500 could result in significant gains, making this a compelling opportunity.
🛠️ Trade Execution:
🔹 Entry: Place buy orders within the range of 19000 - 19060.
🔹 Target: Aim to secure profits at the target price of 19500.
⚠️ Disclaimer: This alert is intended for informational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. Please perform your due diligence and consult with a financial advisor before executing trades.
🌟 Stay Ahead of the Market!
NASDAQ Loong!This index has been forming a falling flag pattern for the past few days, which IMO is a strong indicator for a bullish momentum. As for now, it seems to retest the upper trendline of the channel.
I do anticipate that it might cover the gap it created at 19690. My entry position is at 19150, TP at 19690 and SL at 18900
SMCI four-hour chart shows confluence.NASDAQ:SMCI shows a bullish cup and handle on the four-hour chart, as well as a bullish Gartley harmonic. Point C of the harmonic lined up with the lower four-hour 100 linear regression channel and provided the best entry. The middle of the four-hour 100 linear regression channel coincided with the handle of the cup, as well as the weekly 20 SMA, which provided another excellent entry with more confirmation.
Keep It Serious Simple (S&P and Nasdaq Correction Levels)A quick video to summarize the hours and hours of live sessions I run each and every week. Everybody is scared and nervous when the market is falling because bull market geniuses love to see ATH's every single day :)
I see simple wave structure on S&P and Nasdaq. 5th wave completion and a likely ABC or 123 correction. S&P 7-12% correction area, Nasdaq 10-15% correction area. I'm not bearish, but I am hedged for downside pressure. If it never materializes, cool. But if it does, I would like to make some money and mitigate the risk.
I'll do more of these day to day or week to week. You can find me in the trenches Monday-Friday. Happy Trading and Lots of Profits!!!
Small 'n Furious. Early 2020's Signaling A Big Midcap Run AheadThe Russell 2000 trailed the S&P 500 significantly in 2023, gaining about 17% compared to a gain of about 24% for the large cap index. That underperformance has spilled over into 2024. Year-to-date, the Russell 2000 is about 2% compared to a 7% gain in the S&P 500.
By the way, that valuation measures make the small cap Russell 2000 index much more compelling when compared to the S&P 500.
Small caps relative to the S&P 500 on a price-to-book basis is back to where it was in 1999, which was the absolute low and was a launch point of 12 years of outperformance for small caps.
As of January 31, 2024 small caps price-to-book ratio is 2.01, as it described on FTSE Russell 2000 Index Factsheet.
Like a sensationally increased shares of Supermicro NASDAQ:SMCI or e.l.f. Beauty Inc NYSE:ELF , I believe many other small cap stocks can be the best ideas for 2024, in part because of that participation in the ongoing stock market rally is improving and is no longer concentrated in just ultra-mega-cap tech stocks, like it was in 2023.
If so-called breadth improves in the stock market, then small cap stocks will catch a bid.
There are three factors will help to boost small-cap stocks in 2024.
First, fund flows into the stock market are necessary for small cap stocks to outperform. If retail funds aren't flowing into the stock market, then funds likely aren't flowing into small cap stocks.
That have changed already in late 2023 as investors start to warm up the stock market.
To be clear, let's take a look at lower technical graph, so-called "AUM", or AMEX:IWM assets under management chart, that is one of the most important ETFs metrics. While it's been correlated pretty well with IWM price action over the past two years, last December has changed the rule, as managed assets smartly jumped to almost historical highs.
Second, small cap stocks are highly levered and tend to have a higher cost of capital, so a decline or no more hikes in interest rates should benefit small cap stocks much more than large cap stocks.
To be clear, let's compare two graphs: for actual U.S. Interest Rate and Expected on Dec, 2024 Interest Rate.
Finally, an expansion in economic growth could be a "huge tailwind" for small cap stocks as they are highly exposed to the domestic economy.
An overlooked area of the stock market is set to soar in 2024 after significantly underperforming the S&P 500 last year.
In technical terms, AMEX:IWM graph is near to break its 52- and 104-weeks highs, to deliver the price 50 percent higher after a breakthrough, like it did it before, on the hottest ever edge of 2020 and 2021.
US100 / NDX / USTECH Bullish Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
This is our master plan to Heist US100/NASDAQ 100 Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
support our robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Join your hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Tesla Rebounds From Multi Year Key SupportTesla's shares rose after the announcement of new models.
Tesla shares (TSLA) rose 12 percent in post market trading on Tuesday, tracking gains in the U.S. market after the electric vehicle maker promised new, more affordable models.
Tesla said on Tuesday it would introduce new models by early 2025 using its current platforms and production lines, while backing away from more ambitious plans to produce an all-new model expected to cost $25,000.
The rise in Tesla shares provided a much-needed boost after Tesla struggled for months with tough competition and declining sales.
In technical terms, Tesla shares are supported by a multi-year uptrend.
In addition, resistance trend line is also pointed out.
USTECH Trade Plan Timeframe: 1DUSTECH Trade Plan Timeframe: 1D
#NDX100 #NASDAQ #USTECH #USTECH #TradingOpportunity #Divergence #TradingSignal #USTECHtradingsignal #Forex
Hey traders! 👋 Let's dive into a potential trading opportunity on the USTECH pair using technical analysis. 📊
📉 Previously Bullish Trend:
Firstly, on the 1D- timeframe, we've been witnessing a Bullish trend in the USTECH pair. 🐻
🔄 Bullish Flag :
However, it's crucial to note that recently, we have started to observe a Bullish Flag pattern on the One Day Time Frame. This is an important signal that the Bullish momentum might be More Stronger. 📉🔄
📊 Trade Opportunity:
Currently, we are looking at a potential trade opportunity with a Bullish bias.
📈 Entry Price: 15940
🎯 Stop Loss Level: 14042
🚀TP1: 17826
🚀TP2: 19711
💰 Investment Advice:
Please remember that trading carries risks, and it's essential to have a well-defined trading plan, proper risk management, and stop-loss orders in place. This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Make sure to do your research and consider your risk tolerance before entering any trade.
Happy trading, and may the pips be in your favour! 🚀📈💰 #HappyTrading #ProfitOpportunity #TradeSmart #CryptoSignal #StockSignal #TradingwithBelieve
CrowdStrike Holdings. Post-Earnings Call to 600CrowdStrike Holdings, Inc. is an American cybersecurity technology company based in Austin, Texas. It provides cloud workload and endpoint security, threat intelligence, and cyberattack response services.
CrowdStrike shares surged in late trading Tuesday after the security software company posted better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter ended Jan. 31. The company also offered guidance for both the April quarter and the January 2025 fiscal year that topped Wall Street estimates.
CrowdStrike was up 22% in after-hours trading following the results.
For the January quarter, CrowdStrike posted revenue of $845.3 million, up 33% from the year earlier quarter, beating Wall Street's consensus as tracked by FactSet of $839 million. Annual recurring revenue rose 34% from a year ago, to $3.44 billion.
On an adjusted basis, the company earned 95 cents a share in the quarter, well ahead of the Street consensus at 82 cents. Under generally accepted accounting principles, the company earned 22 cents.
For the April quarter, the company expects revenue of between $902.2 million and $905.8 million, with adjusted profits of 89 to 90 cents a share, ahead of Wall Street's consensus for $900 million in revenue and adjusted profits of 82 cents a share.
CrowdStrike projects revenue for the January 2025 fiscal year of $3.925 billion to $3.989 billion, with adjusted profits of $3.77 to $3.97 a share; Analysts have been calling for $3.938 billion in revenue and profits of $3.76 a share.
In a statement, CrowdStrike CEO George Kurtz said that "customers favor our single platform approach...CrowdStrike is cybersecurity's consolidator of choice, innovator of choice and platform of choice to stop breaches."
That statement appears aimed at rival Palo Alto Networks, which recently said it was " facing spending fatigue in cybersecurity."
Palo Alto is making an aggressive "platformization push," in some cases offering to give features away for free in the short-run to capture more customer IT spending budget in the long run.
Technical chart illustrates potential target can be in $500 - 600 range, that is 40 to 60 per cent above even post-earnings robust surge.
Meta Platforms 33-Days Cyclical price patternThere are many ways to make money with stocks. You can buy well-managed companies with growing earnings, hold them for years and watch the stock prices rise as the company succeeds. This conservative investing style sometimes rewards investors with huge long-term gains. For example, early investors in Microsoft or Bitcoin saw their investments grow MultiX in a decade.
This is what patient long-term investors dream about. But more often buy-and-hold investors don't hit the jackpot; rather they realize more modest returns.
Another investing style is to trade stocks very frequently with the help of computer programs that buy and sell shares of selected companies. Here traders make small profits or losses on many trades minute after minute. If you like lots of action while you're glued to a computer screen, this investing style might be for you.
Cyclical Price Pattern - An Opportunity to Make Money
And then there is every imaginable money making scheme that falls between the above two styles. You can buy mutual funds, exchange-traded funds, index funds, buy and sell individual stocks, time the market, buy on margin, sell short, buy and sell options, reinvest dividends, or some other variation on the theme. Talk with fellow investors and everyone has their own tailor-made approach to investing.
This article is about one investing style - buying and hold Meta Platforms (META) shares using Cyclical price pattern.
It's a style that I use and I know it makes money.
Buying cyclical stocks for a profit at certain points is a huge challenge but with commitment, multi-year trading experience and the proper technical tools you can consistently make money over your investing career.
Cyclical price pattern is very simple to understand. A single cycle has an upside during which prices rise to a peak and a downside or cooling off when prices fall to a bottom.
Based on this cyclical price pattern, I expect further upside price action in Meta Platforms stock, somewhere until National Unicorn Day.
Days to go: 33.
NASDAQ - Daily ready to fall?The NASDAQ has ascended for a second leg and is now poised for a potential deep pullback to test the support zone. This support area aligns with a key weekly level that typically needs to be retested before the index can mount a continued rise. You should keep a close eye on this trend, as it could present a significant opportunity in the coming period.
NAS100 SETUP PREDICTIONHHello traders this my trading setup in the higher time frame
My tactics ;
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Key Support & Resistance
Market Structure , Price Swings
Open Interest
Order Blocks & breaker block=> Expansion
liquidity => Reversal
imbalance => Retracement
Consolidation => Equalibrium
Market Maker Models buy and sell
Weekly Profiles
If you like my content please follow and hit the like button and show some love
wish you good luck and good tradinG
Volmageddon. Please Buckle Up. The Plane Will Be Landing SoonStocks are vulnerable to a 5% 'air-pocket drawdown' as greedy traders short volatility.
Tuesday's stock-market pullback on February, 13 after a hot inflation report actually showed us something else about the market.
It turns out that it did… an overcrowded short side of the options market which was reminiscent of the 2018 and 2020 'Volmageddon' events.
ProShares Short VIX Short-Term Futures ETF AMEX:SVXY graph says selling volatility is on the hot spot, like four and six years ago, in 2020 and 2018 respectively.
The "Volmageddon" episode happened six years ago after traders piled into a bunch of ETFs that were designed to return the inverse of market volatility (essentially betting on a calm market). And when volatility went up in February 2018 and in February 2020, it tanked those strategies, sending the S&P 500 down more than 10% in two weeks.
Investors appear to be taking risky bets again, specifically in VIX futures, which are assets that let investors bet on future volatility. As VIX futures expire, the S&P 500 is seeing stronger price reactions.
Based on the magnitude of the move in VIX futures, there is an increasing threat that the rising level of greed in the 'short-volatility' trade, similar to what we saw in 2018 and in 2020, could result in an air-pocket drawdown of 5% or more in the S&P 500, to 4800 points respectively.
The short-volatility trade became very popular strategy after 2010 when volatility was low, and traders could make money betting against market turbulence.
The Cboe Volatility Index, which is also dubbed as the TVC:VIX or the market's "fear gauge," is sitting around 14, near historical lows.
The rebound in interest in short-volatility strategies is once again posing a risk to the broader markets here as a negative catalyst can clearly spark a momentous, derivatives-driven selloff in the broader stock market like that which we saw in 2018 and in 2020.
It's not a major concern right away as volatility upticks have been small, and the S&P 500 has remained resilient. The market shrugged off Tuesday's pullback quite fast.
But it's worth keeping all your eyes on as all 2024 progress can be erased shortly.
Going forward, these expirations will remain dates to keep in mind as the threat of volatility will be elevated as we move further into 2024.
Technical graph for CBOE:SPX says we are still in the upside channel since Q4'22, near its upper line, with further perspective opportunities to erase 2024 gain, shrugging back to mid-line around 4800 points.
Market breadth says also there're huge divergence in CBOE:SPX and in NASDAQ:NDX all the 2024, as 50-days indicators move firmly down all the year, while indices are still up so far.