NQ1! NAS100USD NASDAQ 2021 DEC 06
NAS100 USD NQ1! NASDAQ 2021 DEC 06
Very good week for shorts. Trades remain guided by
trend channel. There is temporary demand, so market
may experience pullback.
Weekly= Very high volume down bar closing off low
= demand present.
Daily: High Ultrawide volume very wide spread down
closing off low = Demand is present
H4: Ultra High Volume down bar followed by
high volume up bar closing off high. Supply still present,
17071 16695
16417 16125
15871 15446
15538 15000
14585
Short on Test and Reject | Long on Test and Accept
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Have a profitable trading week ahead. NQ1!
NASDAQ 100 CFD
High Beta Indexes & Futures Short Side: A longer term Short PlayI'm expecting the high beta stocks to experience greater risk exposure with an index drop down to 15,100 to 15,000. Remember these are not only (1) interest rate sensitive, but they're (2) impacted by increases / decreases in Federal Reserve printing of the M2 Money Supply, and (3) where institutions "park money" when they need a very liquid place to protect it -- as well as dump it!
A comparison between S&P500 Nasdaq 100 and ARKK..!The CEO of ark Invest repeatedly talked about the possibility of a crash in Index funds while denying Her Managed ETF is one of the worst performers in the market since February 2021!
In February I publish this:
Please review her performance in 2008, to know more about her performance in a possible Bearish market!
Orange line: S&P500
Blueline: NASDAQ100
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
NASDAQ resisting the selling pressure. Well supported for now.This is an update on my previous Nasdaq analysis where I called for potential further rise within a narrower Channel Up at the top of the longer-term Channel before a new technical correction comes:
So far this view has been confirmed as the Support of the previous Low (bold black line) is holding. See the similarities between now and the mid July - August Channel Up. The RSI sequences are almost the same following an identical RSI bearish divergence on Lower Highs. That should ultimately lead to a blow-off top around 17000.
If the small Channel Up breaks downwards and cracks the previous Low, I expect NDX to seek the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and if that doesn't hold either, possibly make a Low on the bottom of the 9-month Channel Up or even the Diverging Higher Lows trend-line.
Trade accordingly and with caution as Friday's Nonfarm Payrolls report is very likely to shape the fundamental landscape of this month with regards to the Fed's taper program.
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NDX'S W/O our new Omicron indicator, blue is in play !No catalyst around beside our new in town indicator, temp one, called "Omicron". We should expect nothing
but a bull move. It seems that investors are just afraid to have a strong bullish move to new ATHsto the news form Sour Africa.
Elliott is suggesting either we at a W5 just finished W2 larger degree count OR of W3 heading for W5 of smaller degree count !
NASDAQ 100 STILL GOING LONG!I believe that nasdaq will return to highs again.
even though this covid variant came out.
Or it can drop more, I might be wrong.
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 29 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 29 WEEK
Short preference on NAS last week was good.
Market tested previous support area, will this hold? Meanwhile
will use the channel to guide entries.
Weekly: Average volume down bar closing off low = some demand.
However the low of the previous bar has been taken out, chart
may be saying it is bearish reversal.
compared to the up bar before it yet spread is narrrower than it =
Weakness expected
Daily: Average volume down bar closing off low = soem demand
H4: UHV wide spread down bar closing off low = some demand
16236 need to hold for uptrend to be intact.
17070 16695
16490 16303
16006 15896
15717 15503
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
(US100) NASDAQwhile the majority of us stocks are going down due to a profit taking phase , nasdaq seems to have reached it's maximum before a possible upcoming correction in the market.
NASDAQ has finished it's 5th wave of eliott waves.
NEXT OBJECTIVE: 16000 $
OBJECTIVE 2 : 15700 $
NASDAQ The level that has to holdNasdaq is ahead of critical crossroads as the Lower Highs on the RSI on the 1D time-frames show a bearish divergence against the Higher Highs of the actual price.
When the 1D RSI formed this sequence in the past, the index dropped at least -8% but only if the previous Low broke (black support). In mid July the Low held and Nasdaq continued on a small Channel Up towards one last Higher High before eventually correcting -8%.
As a result, I expect a Higher High as long as the previous low holds. If broken then a bottom on the Diverging Higher Lows trend-line is possible. In either case the next bullish target is 17000.
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NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 22 WEEK
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 22 WEEK
Pullback to long again last week worked well for NAS. At the moment
chart indicates overbought.
Preference is to short on weakness given the below wekaness indications.
Weekly: Average volume up bar closing off high. A little more effort
compared to the up bar before it yet spread is narrrower than it =
Weakness expected
Daily: Average volume up bar closing near middle = weakness
H4: After ultra high volume bar A, market went up on narrow spreads,
together with B being a UHV bar on narrow spread indicates
professional selling = Weakness expected
16236 need to hold for uptrend to be intact.
17070 16695
16490 16303
16006 15896
15717 15503
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
Most probable scenario in the Next 2 weeks!You can see the most important support (green lines) and resistance (red lines) to watch in the coming days in these charts!
From the most to the least probable:
- Moving between Green and Red lines: Consolidation
- Crossing below Green line: more Correction
- Crossing above Red line: Bullish rally resume.
Dow Jones: Is the very close to cross below the support line!
Best,
Moshkelgosha
DISCLAIMER
I’m not a certified financial planner/advisor, a certified financial analyst, an economist, a CPA, an accountant, or a lawyer. I’m not a finance professional through formal education. The contents on this site are for informational purposes only and do not constitute financial, accounting, or legal advice. I can’t promise that the information shared on my posts is appropriate for you or anyone else. By using this site, you agree to hold me harmless from any ramifications, financial or otherwise, that occur to you as a result of acting on information found on this site.
Expecting a larger ABC CorrectionWhen looking at the daily time frame, the Nasdaq is trading at the top of a large resistance channel which has the potential to mark the end of wave 5.
It is possible to see wave 5 continue higher and this would be confirmed if the resistance at point (B) on the chart is broken.
I am expecting to see a larger corrective ABC pattern which has a target at the previous daily high around 15700. Should the resistance at point (B) not hold, this would mean that the larger ABC correction is not on the cards and that wave 5 on the daily time frame will continue to form.
Should the ADB pattern play out as I expect it to, I will be looking to build a long position from there.
Happy trading!
Linton
This information is not intended as advice.
NDX'S Tagging 78.10 on RSI since 2009, study shows 42% up58%down58 % Chance we go down btw 2%-17% as of today
42% Chance we go up btw 2% -12% as of today
Year Short effect Long effect
2010 17% down
2010 5% down 9% up
2011 3% down 6% up
2012 11% up
2012 13% Down
2014 2%Down 7% Up
2017 9% Up
2017 2% Up (Gave it back) 6% Up
2018 5% Up 12% Down
2019 11% Down
2019 12% Up
2020 14% Down
2021....... ..... "YET TO BE HISTORY"
7 DOWN VS. 5 UP
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 08 WEEKNQ1!
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 08 WEEK
Long on pull back worked well last week.
Narrower spread up bars and shortening thrust = weakness.
Pullback / rotation may be expected.
16236 need to hold for uptrend to be intact.
17070 16695
16449 16354
16236 16146
15937 15717
15503 15274
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.
NASDAQ vastly overbought on 1DSince my last long-term update on Nasdaq 25 days ago, the price accurately recovered from the September correction, and hit both of our targets:
Currently however the picture from a technical standpoint seems to be reversing again as the index is approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 12 month Channel Up it has been trading on ever since September 2020.
The RSI in particular on the 1D time-frame is largely overbought and just a fraction away from the 80.000 Resistance which was last seen on the September 02 2020 market top. As you see on the chart that caused an immediate flash crash of more than -14%, with the index eventually finding support on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). The 1D MA100 has been an accurate buy level within this Channel Up.
A repeat of this -14% correction, depending on where it strikes (I've put it at the top of the Channel Up), could even hit the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is a level the price hasn't made contact with since April 13 2020! Naturally, the strong medium-term swing buyers are expected to be found first on the 1D MA100 again and the long-term target set on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension around 17700.
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NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 01 WEEKNQ1!
NQ1! NAS100USD 2021 NOV 01 WEEK
Short preference last week did not play out as market showed significant
strength.
Will not be chasing the high, rather will wait for pullback and support for
long entry.
Weekly: High volume up bar closing on high = strength.
Daily: High volume wide spread up bar closing on high = strength
H4: High volume up bar closing on high = strength
Entries will be based off price reactions at these levels
Short on Test & Reject | Long on Test & Accept
16419 15994
15864 15709
15524 15410
15274 15134
15001
Remember to like and follow if you find this useful.
Have a profitable trading week ahead.