SPX 2025 Strategic Outlook 7150 points Wave Five Bull Market🔸Time to update the SPX outlook, this is 2D price chart, we are
currently entering overpriced zone and limited upside in SPX
going forward next few weeks correction / pullback.
🔸SPX price structure since 2023 is defined by a five wave impulse wave 3 completed already and currently we are in wave 4 pullback/correction until 5415 points. expecting wave four pullback to complete in January 2025.
🔸Wave 1 is 3600 to 4625, wave two 4625 to 4125, wave three 4125 to 6100,wave 4 pullback/correction now is 6100 to 5416, final bullish wave five is expected to start from 5415 to 7150 points (30% bull run). Wave 5 expected to start in January 2025 and complete sometime in Q4 2025. A/B/C 40% correction will follow as the market will enter extremely overbought zone.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: wait for the wave 4 correction to complete at/near 5415 points in January 2025 and then BUY/HOLD into wave 5 final target is 7150 points in Q4 2025. Obviously, this is a longer BUY/HOLD trade setup and patience is required with this trade. good luck!
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ 100 CFD
Short Position - NASDAQShort Position Entry: Consider initiating a short position if the Nasdaq-100 Index falls below 21,000.
Stop Loss (SL): Set a stop loss at 21,555 to manage potential losses.'
Market Sentiment: The combination of the Federal Reserve's cautious approach and rising inflation may contribute to a weakening market sentiment, potentially leading to a downward movement in the index.
his recommendation is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Stock trading involves risks, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
Nasdaq 100: Make-or-Break Trendline SupportChart Analysis:
The US 100 Index has pulled back from recent highs but remains above its rising trendline (black), maintaining the broader bullish structure.
1️⃣ Rising Trendline:
The trendline, originating from the August lows, has been a key dynamic support for the index. Price is currently testing this level around 21,150, making it a critical area to watch.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): The index remains above the 50-day SMA at 20,818, confirming short-term bullish momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Positioned at 19,438, reflecting a long-term bullish trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 51.88, signaling neutral momentum, giving room for the index to either bounce or consolidate further.
MACD: The MACD line has turned downward, suggesting weakening bullish momentum but no decisive bearish crossover yet.
What to Watch:
A bounce from the trendline could signal a continuation of the uptrend, with immediate resistance near the recent highs around 21,600.
A break below the trendline may shift attention to the 50-day SMA or the 20,800 level for potential support.
The US 100 Index remains within a broader bullish structure, with the rising trendline acting as a critical support level for near-term price action.
-MW
NASDAQ: Bullish until March 2025.Nasdaq is overbought on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 72.532, MACD = 396.420, ADX = 56.355) and is about to do the same on the 1W as well (RSI = 69.424). This is because the Bull Cycle is on full extent. However, in anticipation of Q1 2025, we are entering the final phase of the Cycle. This is a Top sequence that we've seen three time before in the last 10 years. The early signal for this is when the 3W RSI forms overbought (RSI > 70.000) LH. Each time that happened, the index had a sharp drop to at least the 3W MA50. TP = 19,000 could be an early target.
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NASDAQ rally still has lots of upside before is tops.Nasdaq (NDX) is technically respecting the 2-year Channel Up that it's been trading in since the December 26 2022 market bottom. Its most recent Higher Low was on the August 05 2024 1W candle, which initiated the Bullish Leg we're currently in.
As you see, the previous two Bullish Legs had one main pull-back/ correction sequence each and apart from that, the majority of the Leg was technically a straight uptrend. Given that the current Bullish Leg already had a strong pull-back early on (August 26 - September 02 1W candles), it may continue to rise up to its target without another correction, assuming the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) holds.
If however it has another pull-back similar to the previous Bullish Leg (March 04 - April 15 2024), then it should rise some more near the 0.236 Fibonacci level and then pull-back.
In any event, the current level is technically a solid long-term buy entry and since both previous Bullish Legs have been around +48%, we expect to see 25300 before the current one tops.
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NASDAQ: Buy near the 4H MA50.Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.360, MACD = 259.490, ADX = 43.763) as it remains within the medium term Channel Up. The recent bearish wave is correcting the uptrend towards the 4H MA50, which if technically holds, should give way to the new bullish wave. The 4H RSI is headed towards its S1 Zone, which is the buying level so you can time the entries acccordingly. Our target is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension (TP = 22,000).
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NASDAQ consolidation until the CPI.Nasdaq (NDX) hit our 21650 Target that we set exactly 2 weeks ago (November 25, see chart below) and is now entering a consolidation phase (orange Rectangle):
As long as the 4H MA50 holds, the uptrend will stay intact within this 3-month Channel Up. We believe that this consolidation is similar to the September 13 - 19 price action, which also started after a +6.80% rise and with the support of the 4H MA50, it resumed the rally and peaked on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we expect Nasdaq to stay ranged until Wednesday's U.S. CPI report and following that to resume the uptrend, targeting 22300 (just below the 1.5 Fib).
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GOLD GAPHuge trade opportunity tonight with a gap so huge that it got filled right away ;
bulls took their chance, nice job, now it should head back to the original configuration towards 2600s, then 2550s later this month ;
the first week price is always the most important, here anyone could have made a huge trade by simply aiming at filling the gap by selling.
Liquidity Crisis may happen Janet Yellen(jesus) + 12 hedgefund(12 apostles)
Liquidity Crisis may happen (i expected it first quarter of this year, but..)
most of hedgefund did buying treasury bond and then treasury bond margin loan(2009~2019)
so they made almost 50x leverage on bond market
times over and over now only t-bill s gonna be recognized as collateral
so t-bill market happend this method
t-bills yield go dig in diggg ( infinity purchasing from 12 apostles )
however t-bond yield go higher and lower and higher ( normal purchasing )
NOW 12 apostles got a trillion profit. and that was all of liqudity for ndq 21000
this liquidity is economic's tightrope walking on the twin bridge
Yellen just 2 month left
WHO IS YUDAH
WHO IS PETER
IF I WAS YOU
BUY PUT FEB
CHEERS
QQQ & the market are heading higher! BULL RUN CONTINUATION! NASDAQ:QQQ and the overall markets are heading higher based on our High Five Setup Trading Strategy and what the charts are telling us!
- Ascending triangle breakout_retest_next is higher. This was a tricky one as we broke out and over shot the rest area but we are now back above the breakout area and set for ATH push this upcoming thanksgiving week IMO.
- Dropped down to our support zone and caught a bid as we anticipated due to AVP shelf and the 9ema.
- Williams R% needed that pullback last week, and now we have a retest of support and a bounce higher in our consolidation box. Giving us a strong signal we will build on the week we just had and head towards ATH's once more.
Measure move for the Ascending Triangle is:
$560
Measure Timeframe is:
March2025
For everyone that is calling a TOP across social medias. I say NO SIR! The charts DON'T LIE!
NFA
NASDAQ Santa rally is starting.Nasdaq (NDX) has been following the blueprint of the 2020/21 Bull Cycle to high precision so far, as we showed on our analysis almost 4 months ago (August 19, see chart below):
As you can see it is already marching towards Target 1 (23250) on the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level, well inside the Channel Up. We expect that to get hit by the final week of December, which can be translated as the infamous 'Santa rally', a frequent seasonal price increase at the end of the year.
As mentioned, this Channel Up displays strong similarities with the patterns of August 2020 - November 2021 and before the COVID crash of December 2019 - February 2020. All those Channel Up patterns are within the dominant long-term structure of the 6-year Bullish Megaphone.
The key here is for the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) to hold and continue to offer support, as within those 6 years the only two times it broke were during the corrections of the 2022 Inflation Crisis and the March 2020 COVID flash crash.
As long as it holds, the current Channel Up should, besides the immediate Target 1 (23250), complete the sequence and peak towards the end of 2025 as close to a +185% rise (from the October 2022 bottom) as possible. This is why our long-term strategic Target (2) is a little lower at 27000.
As a side-note, see how well the 1W RSI held and bounced in September on the Symmetrical Support Zone, in similar fashion as 2020 - 2021. Also the 1W MACD displays a similar pattern between the two fractals.
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NASDAQ: Strong bullish breakout today targeting 21,600Nasdaq is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 61.836, MACD = 123.620, ADX = 32.041) as today posted the strongest 1D candle since Nov 7th, extending the new bullish wave. The whole sequence is supported by the 1D MA50 since September 12th. Even though we are technically more than halfway through the wave, this is still a strong buy opportunity, aiming for a +6.80% rise (TP = 21,600) as it has previously done so inside the 3 month Channel Up.
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100% upside The Best Level to BUY/HOLD TSLA🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour chart for TSLA. Strong push
after the Trump elections victory recently, however expecting limited
upside immediately going forward TSLA facing strong overhead
resistance at 360/415 this will cap upside short-term.
🔸Almost 100% gains off the lows with this recent bullish rally,
so expecting pullback/correction on profit taking intro key S/R zone
at 360/415 usd. Having said that chart pattern looks strong and I expect
more future gains in TSLA after the pullback.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: wait for TSLA to pullback after we hit
overhead resistance at/near 360/415 usd, best reload zone bulls is
265/275 usd this is also an area with liquidity gap so will get re-tested
before the bull run resumes. Final TP bulls +100% gains 500/550 USD.
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RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NASDAQ looking to hold the 4H MA50 in order to sustain the rallyNasdaq (NDX) broke on Friday above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today is looking to re-test it as a Support. The medium-term pattern has been a Channel Up since the September 06 Low and every time the 4H MA50 broke following a bottom, it held and sustained the Bullish Leg until the top.
It appears that the most common rally % within this pattern is +6.80%. As a result, assuming the 4H MA50 holds, our Target is 21650.
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NASDAQ testing the MA50 (4h). Buy signal if broken.Nasdaq is on a slow rebound following the test of the long term Buy Zone, right over the MA50 (1d).
Today it hit the MA50 (4h) and so far it is struggling to close above it.
On all prior bottoms, once the MA50 (4h) broke, it issued a bullish confirmation.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy when the price crosses above the MA50 (4h).
Targets:
1. 21450 (the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) is also rebounding after a 30.00 test. Also consistent with all prior bottoms. This is an additional buy signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan: