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Nasdaqsignals

NASDAQ Top of the 1year Channel Up. Needs to correct.Nasdaq (NDX) is almost at the top of the long-term Channel Up that started back in January 2023 and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been supporting the current Bullish Leg since November 03 2023. That is a very aggressive wave that is most likely coming to an and as technically it resembles the previous Bullish Leg that peaked on July 18 2023 on a similar (as you can see) structure, which then corrected initially by -8.50% to the 0.3 Fibonacci retracement level just above the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). As a result, we are turning bearish and our target is 17130, which is Support 1 and where most likely contact can be made with the 1D MA100 on a marginally less fall than -8.50%. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
3
NAS100 - Interesting buy zone!Hello everyone! After the SL of yesterday, we are turning bearish on NAS100. Also because we are having rumors that start confirm itself, rumor about the US debt, but also about the NFP that gonna be bad ! Technically, I've entered a buy position due to: - 2 major liquidity uptakes. - Buy zone created through accumulation. - Strong reactions at the buy zone (Accu). Now we just wait! 🚀 If you liked it and want more, don't hesitate to subscribe and boost the post!
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by ex_rico
NASDAQ Is this a Double Top? Potential decline to 16900.Nasdaq (NDX) tested and was rejected last Friday on the 18100 Resistance, which was formed by the February 12 High. This is a technical Double Top formation and as long as it holds, there is high probability for the index to start the new Bearish Leg of the 1-year Channel Up pattern. In fact the recent February 12 High is technically as close of a Higher High for this Channel Up as possible and was formed while the 1D RSI was on Lower Highs since December 19 2023 (Bearish Divergence), similar to the July 18 2023 High. The similarities of the Bullish Leg that started on the October 26 2023 bottom with the previous that formed the July 18 2023 High, are in fact very strong. As a result, it is very probable to see a symmetrical -8.50% decline towards the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and the Support 2 level but we keep a shorter-term perspective due to the overall bullish dynamics this year and our short is 'only' targeting the 0.3 Fibonacci retracement level (as with the August 18 2023 Low) at 16900. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
3
CAN US100 MAKE A NEW ALL TIME HIGH ?Hello traders . i think for nasdaq the market is still bullish , if the price manages to give a bullish reaction on the area it is likely that it going to give a trend continuation for bears out there if you wanna sell look for shorts on round numbers / Psycological levels but don't hold for long its agaisnt the trend i think its going to keep going and maybe start possibly reversing on 20.000. just a personal prediction of mine . according to the relative strenght index the market is making higher high but they are getting weaker and weaker i am thinking at the price 20000 by then the buyers will be tired and we might see a possible correction.
EIGHTCAP:NDQ100Long
by xAB777
3
NAS100 simple trading - follow the trend A very bullish market always needs a pullback. What a great Head and Shoulders pattern for a reversal to the downside. NAS100 has officially broken below all bullish trend lines on the Daily. NAS100 is looking to create more sell pressure. With NAS100 being at the top of its weekly trend, look for a correction. Massive sell if NAS100 cannot remain above the 4hr support zone. BULLS : Buy at 17588 4hr support, If candles remain above this area and create bullish momentum, look for a target at 17661. A new higher lower should be a confirmation for continuation to the upside. BEARS : Wait for a retest to 17661 with bearish candles, Do NOT sell now but wait for a retest *Previous sell opportunity: 17730 17665 This week's trading: Look for NAS100 to consolidate and respect market support and resistance areas. Once the market has made a decision, then we trade!
FX:NAS100
by nikdobii
NASDAQ Can this selling be sustainable?Last week (February 08, see chart below), we gave a sell signal on Nasdaq (NDX) as the the price wasn't just at the top of the short-term (dashed) Channel Up, but was also approaching the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 1-year Channel Up: As the index suffered strong intra-day selling yesterday, following the higher than expected U.S. CPI report (investors initially view this as an excuse for the Fed not to cut rates quickly), it is a good time to update our outlook. In this effort, we will look at it through the shorter term 4H time-frame this time. As you can see, the price breached yesterday not only the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) but also the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), which was the first time (for the latter) since January 17, so almost 1 month. This is the first significant bearish signal for the medium-term but the confirmation will come only if a 1D candle closes below it. In that case, we expect the decline to reach first the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) - 1D MA50 (red trend-line) Support cluster and then after a rebound gets confirmation with a rejection on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), target 16550, which is Support 2 and a potential 1D MA100 (yellow trend-line) contact. In that scenario, look also for the 1D RSI breaking below its Support Zone. On the other hand, since the index is rebounding today and is already on the 4H MA50, we will wait for the daily candle closing. If it is above it (as in the cases of the February 01 and January 09 break-outs), it will most likely suggest that the bullish trend is intact. In that case, we will buy the break-out and target 18400, just below the 1.786 Fibonacci extension, which was the Target of both previous Higher Highs. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
1
NASDAQ is very close to the top of the 1-year Channel Up! Sell?Nasdaq (NDX) is extending its aggressive rise of the Bullish Leg that started on the October 26 2023 Higher Low of the 1-year Channel Up and by the strength of it, it appears it will extend it to the max. That potential max extension is in the range of 18100 - 18300, which is the top of the dashed Channel Up and the top of the dotted 1-year Channel Up, which was initiated on the market Low of January 06 2023. A news/ fundamentals based approach could time the bearish reversal after next Tuesday's U.S. CPI report. Technically though, the 1D RSI being on Lower Highs ever since December 19 2023, shows that technically we are already on a strong Bearish Divergence that can reverse any moment. The similarities with the previous Channel Up Higher High on July 18 2023 are striking, with the only exception that the current dashed Channel Up is overextending the 2nd peak. Regardless of that, the 1D RSI is coming out a similar Megaphone and appears to be on a similar Lower High as July 31 2023. A similar RSI pull-back can be seen from February 02 to March 10 2023, which resulted into a -9.35% decline for Nasdaq. The August 18 2023 decline was translated into a -8.55% decline. As a result, assuming that 18100 is a potential peak for the index, we are targeting a minimum -8.55% decline, which falls directly on Support 2 at 16550. That would break the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and make contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
5
NAS100 - WHAT THE F*** IS GOING ON? (KEY LEVELS)Hey Traders, yesterday’s market shake-up wasn’t just about the Fed's chess moves. A trifecta of less-than-stellar employment data, lukewarm tech earnings, and regional bank jitters sent the NAS100 on a rollercoaster, underscoring the fragile nature of our current economic landscape. The Fed's stance was the talk of the town, maintaining a rate plateau between 5.25% and 5.5%. But here's the kicker: the Fed's not just playing hard to get with rate cuts—they want to be absolutely sure inflation is well-tamed before making a move. The puzzle? Inflation's at a tame 1.9%, yet they're still holding out for a clearer sign. Powell's cool-headed presser post-meeting hinted at a 'wait and see' approach, calming fears of economic overheating or cooling. The good news? Inflation's behaving, and growth is chugging along. But the markets are twitchy, and the odds of a March rate cut have edged down from 'likely' to 'let's talk later.' Now, let's bring in New York Community Bancorp’s plunge into the mix. Was it a one-off, or a canary in the coal mine for the banking sector? Concerns over credit quality and margins are in the air, with all eyes on whether this spells broader banking woes or just a case of merger indigestion. As we gear up for our NAS100 price action analysis, these economic plot twists are crucial. They're the backdrop to every candlestick and trend line we're about to dissect. Stay tuned as we unravel the price story against this economic saga. Based on the provided chart of the US 100 index and considering the backdrop of the latest economic news, here is an analysis that blends market sentiment with price action analysis: What is on the chart? (key levels to look out for) 1) We have our retracement levels + the 4 hour FVG and BOS level. This area is a key resistance zone. 2) The order block that might provide us with a temporary (or permanent) bottom. You can consider it as a support level and it will determine the next step in our price action story. 3) Key daily level that is a great support area. You have the FVG + BOS level (previous ATH so significant) + discounted area. 4) This is a significant sellside level that I doubt will be broken with the current outlook which is more uncertain than bearish but still important to outline. CONCLUSIVE SENTIMENT: Given the current economic context where the Fed is cautiously optimistic yet not ready to lower rates, the failure to break the ATH in the index could reflect a market that is wary of overextension and preparing for a period of consolidation or retracement. Investors may be taking a more defensive posture, awaiting further economic indicators before committing to a direction. In essence, the sentiment appears to be one of caution, as reflected in the index's price behaviour and recent economic developments. Traders are advised to watch the key technical levels and stay informed on economic updates, as these could significantly impact market direction in the near term. As always, stay cold headed and keep your money close! HAPPY TRADING!!!!
FX:NAS100
by Lexi_Is_Trading
3
NASDAQ pulling back on high correlation with the July 2023 Top.Nasdaq (NDX) appears to be forming a Top approximately at the levels we described on our most recent idea (January 23, see chart below): Today we move to the 4H time-frame where we can discuss the shorter term parameters of this expected pull-back. As you can see right away, the July 2023 peak (and the price action that led to it) is very similar to today's attempted technical peak formation. Both sequences started with an Accumulation Phase (green ellipse), rose and then had a 10-day correction and after a short re-accumulation (circle), they peaked on approximately a +6.80% rise. During all this time, they have been trading within a (dashed) Channel Up pattern. In addition, the 4H RSI sequences between the two periods are virtually identical and we are now on the Lower Lows formation, where the actual index is below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), following the overbought 4H RSI peak. If the price continues to replicate the late July - early August 2023 sequence, then expect a Lower High and then sharp short-term correction below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). Target 1 is on Support 1 at 16560 and if we get a 1D candle closing below it, we will re-sell with Target 2 on Support 2 at 16200. That will be roughly a -8.67% decline from the top, similar to the August 18 2023 Low. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by TradingShot
3
NAS100 - MONDAY'S SMALL SHORT FOR BIG LONG! (TARGET 17265)As you might have noticed, the Nasdaq is on fire and I'm more of a reversal trader so times are harder. But, there is an old saying that states: "the trend is your ". I forgot the rest but I'll let you figure out the last word. So in homage of this old saying, we'll tighten our bullish running shoes and propose a setup that satisfies both camps. Here's what I see happening on Monday (29/01/2024): What is on the chart? (follow the steps) 1) We have our liquidity target level which gave place to the continuation of the rally. So far so good for bulls, price is going up and their net worths too. 2) Our first reversal structure, with a low taken out and the high intact. 3) This is our retracement signal, confirming the market structure shift to the downside. This is paired with the fact that price broke the hourly Tenkan and Kijun + the Tenkan and the Kijun crossed over + breaking the Kumo + breaking the latest low. Additionally, the 4H Kijun and Tenkan reside within the 1H Kumo so those too were broken (not shown on the chart to promote clarity). These are reliable reversal signals. I am not trying to be a contrarian against the general trend but, this is how we spot general highs and lows. The daily is simply bullish so it's harder to spot a minor intraday opportunity such as this one. 4) This rejection confirms our reversal idea, and strengthens the probability of sellside liquidity getting taken out. 5) This is our final target, ideally the 1 Hour FVG. Again, on Monday anything can happen of course but this seems the most likely. I want these lows taken out before anything and, therefore we can short in anticipation of these lows getting taken out! Most importantly, take some rest and have a great weekend! ;)
FX:NAS100Short
by Lexi_Is_Trading
2
Dow JonesMain analysis on #DowJones US30 is this. We hit a ST top soon around 38,500-39,000. Then we retest the 2021 high breakout before running straight parabolic all gas no breaks bears slaughtered all the way up to 44,150. Then major 4th can hit. So Just be warned now. Once 36,400 flips into support there will be 0 rest for bears. It will be explosive and relentless. Like Toyota Supra filled with Nitrogen and twin turbo engine running at peak performance level. And BigMike & BigMikes team will be Bulls, laughing all the way to the f**king bank. FYI 😉
DJ:DJILong
by Big_Mike716
NASDAQ Extremely close to a peak and a correction.Nasdaq (NDX) closed yesterday on a red 1D candle, with the 1D RSI above the 70.00 overbought barrier, but remains within the (dashed) Channel Up, as well as supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 03 2023. Based on the 1D RSI which is within a Megaphone pattern, we might be approaching a peak similar to July 19 2023, whose RSI was also inside a Megaphone on almost the same levels as now. Following the peak, the price declined initially by -8.50%. Since the start of the year the other two major declines have been around -9.50%. This suggests that if the index reverses around next week (Fed Rate Decision), we are technically aiming for 16200, which will put to a test Support 2 and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which made the bottom on the first -9.50% decline of last year on March 13. The confirmation signal for atleast a short-term sell, can be when the index breaks the 1D MA50. Also, currently, the downside potential can be as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which by its current course can make contact with the price around Support 3 (15700). The 1D MA200 has been untouched for more than 10 months (since March 13 2023). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100
by TradingShot
8
Nasdaq Crash Loading - The Black Swan The current state of the NASDAQ indicates an extreme overbought condition, with a rally influenced by speculation surrounding six potential rate cuts in 2024. However, the risk arises from the Federal Reserve's concern about inflation. If the Fed, in response to persistent inflation, opts to raise rates, it could lead to a market decline. Conversely, a decision to cut rates may not be sufficient to buoy the stock market if the number of cuts is lower than expected. Examining current fundamentals, the housing market has stabilized with low prices and mortgage rates. Although there is a rebound, a potential increase in housing speculation and mortgage rates could prompt a reassessment. Improved employee wages contribute to consumer confidence against inflation. President Joe Biden's initiatives, such as pausing student loan payments in November and plans to provide homes for 500,000 Americans, may stimulate housing demand, causing prices to rise. This could prompt a review of interest rates and a tightening of monetary policies. While I maintain a long-term bullish outlook, anticipating a correction of at least 50%, it is prudent to reevaluate macroeconomic indicators at that point to determine whether to take profits or continue holding.
NASDAQ:NDXShort
by ttfx098_
NAS100 & SPX500 - WHAT IS HAPPENING TODAY? (CONFLICTED)We are at a pivoting point in the markets, everything seems to be bullish and yet I have this bearish itch. Markets seem to be overpriced, notably the NQ. However the S&P500, has had a healthier correction and the continuation of its rally makes more sense. Since both markets are highly correlated, it would be absurd to short the NQ while the S&P500 looks so bullish. Why do I want to short the NQ? Technically it hasn't retraced as sanely as the S&P500 but that may be the nature of both markets. The NQ being more irrational (more speculative) than the rest, especially with the AI craze. So here's my two cents worth on the matter! What is on the charts? (follow the steps) 1) Highs that wicked many times in the daily bearish FVG. 2) Significant high that as I'm writing this has been taken out. 3) The retail sales session that took out lows and this is also what has me question the rally. If it is supposed to be bearish info why isn't price dropping? These are the reasons why I do not trade on certain days because I do not see clearly all the time. 4) Asian session lows, a great target for shorts. 5) A retest (or break of the daily FVG). I am not a breakout trader which is why I am not focusing on the bullish outcome because I couldn't tell you how to trade it optimally. 6) The bearish structure (that may never present itself). This all depends on the S&P500, for me to accept a short I need that double confirmation. So right now I accept everything as bullish unless shown otherwise. 7) Asian session lows taken out. 8) Finally the healthier correction that I'd want for the NQ to accept a more bullish approach. As always, happy trading everyone and have a lovely day! ;)
FX:NAS100
by Lexi_Is_Trading
NAS100 - MY INTRADAY ANALYSIS (TARGET 16630)Here I'm trying to change things up with a smaller timeframe (15min) analysis because the daily is nice but how does one trade that? Well here you have it. What is on the chart? 1) Yesterday's session low, aka sellside liquidity, that hasn't yet been taken out which gives us a juicy target for the day. 2) Yesterday's consolidation that gave the upper hand to bulls in the AM session but now it serves us for our bearish bias of the day. 3) Price wicking once more in the daily FVG and not taking out the high. Great news for bears. 4) Price retraced back into the reload zone (0.702 notably) and furthered its descent into bear territory. 5) Bearish 1 hour order block. Will be used partly for our entry coupled with the fibs. 6) London session lows that will also serve as a target. When there's an accumulation of targets it increases the probability of success when placing a trade aiming in that direction. 7) My ideal entry. To your own discretion, I can afford losing 1%, can you? (affording something isn't just monetary can also be psychological. Can you cope with losing your money once more because of the idea of a stranger on the internet?) 8) The outcome I'm looking for. If we're going for a bearish scenario this is what should (I want to) happen. NOTE: Retail Sales data release 08:30 NY time. Could make it or break it. Happy trading and have a nice day! ;)
FX:NAS100Short
by Lexi_Is_Trading
2