Nasdaq100
XAUUSD IS BACK !With a little more drawdown today and the beginning of next week, XAUUSD has showed everyone what it was capable of the past few days by reaching such high levels ;
It has to bounce on the double uptrend green limit, then go up and wait a little for the 5th of november ;
on this day markets will go nuts for every asset, so it seems like gold might be going for a big rally to the 2780/90s
BTC POSSIBLE NEXT MOVE !With some delay on the time BTC finally decided to come down, it eventually did what we thought, came back to lower KL ;
but with the previous days' big spike up and down, it is now a perfect time for the price to "de-correct" and come back to the 75Ks, before coming back down ;
for now and the newt few weeks, it seems really tough to break 78/79K, probably next year.
US100 TOWARDS THE SKYWe missed the entry yesterday thinking it would bounce way harder than that, it actually took several hours to get back in an uptrend position ;
for now it seems a little corection to the LL is coming after the 15:30 rush ;
after that, US100 is going to the roof and taking the uptrend direction back.
NASDAQ 100 Sinks on AI Cost Woes - Full Target Breakthrough HIT!NASDAQ 100 (NDX) Analysis using Risological Swing Trader:
In the 15-minute timeframe, NASDAQ 100 (NDX) demonstrated a powerful bearish move, with all targeted profit levels being achieved in a swift drop. This short trade setup showed significant follow-through as investor sentiment shifted negatively due to concerns over escalating AI expenses reported by Wall Street's megacaps.
Key Highlights:
Entry Level: 20,429.42
Target Levels:
TP1: 20,323.94
TP2: 20,153.26
TP3: 19,982.58
TP4: 19,877.10
Stop Loss: 20,514.76
Context:
This bearish momentum aligns with Wall Street’s close on a lower note as major tech giants highlighted rising costs linked to AI developments. The day's range fluctuated between 19,880.26 and 20,227.19, underscoring the volatility and risk aversion among investors. The setup capitalized effectively on this negative sentiment, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Summary:
This trade on NASDAQ 100 hit all targets with precision, benefiting from the broader market's reaction to heightened cost pressures in the tech sector. This downward move underscores the impact of macroeconomic concerns on equity performance, particularly in high-cost sectors like AI.
MS and META brought down the entire index
USTEC continued its decline following disappointing earnings from two major tech stocks. Despite Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) reporting earnings and revenue above expectations, Apple’s shares fell in after-hours trading due to weaker sales in China. Meanwhile, the VIX has climbed to its highest level since Aug, signaling potential headwinds as elections approach.
USTEC declined steeply and failed to hold the 20000 threshold. The index broke the channel’s lower bound, and EMA21 has death-crossed EMA78, sending a bearish signal.
If USTEC fails to re-enter the channel, the index's downtrend may extend to 19700.
Conversely, if USTEC breaches 20140 after re-entering the channel, the price may gain upward momentum to 20680.
How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100How AI is Becoming a Bearish Factor for the Nasdaq 100
In 2024, the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) has risen by approximately 20%, with optimism around the integration of artificial intelligence (AI) acting as one of the bullish drivers.
However, yesterday's reports from Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta Platforms (META) indicated that AI, as a factor influencing stock prices, may be shifting from a bullish to a bearish driver. The issue lies in the rising expenses that these tech giants are incurring in the race for leadership in this area.
Earlier today, we noted that due to increasing expenditures, MSFT shares fell by roughly 4%, despite a strong earnings report.
A similar trend is seen in Meta Platforms' stock: actual earnings per share and gross revenue exceeded analysts’ expectations. However, due to high capital investments, META shares in pre-market trading today are around 3% lower than yesterday's opening.
Meanwhile, technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) index chart indicates several bearish signals:
→ Since mid-September, price fluctuations have formed an ascending channel, constructed using linear regression (shown in blue). However, following the reports from Microsoft and Meta Platforms, the index value has sharply dropped from the upper half of the channel to its lower boundary.
→ The pattern of peaks A-B-C-D shows that bulls find it difficult to maintain momentum: each successive peak only slightly exceeds the previous one, followed by a decline.
Considering this information, it is reasonable to assume that the current ascending channel may be unable to drive the price to the July 11 peak and could be breached by bears. Additionally, the formation of a bearish channel is not out of the question (its preliminary outline is shown in red).
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US100/NASDAQ NEXT MOVEAfter successfully forecasting today's move (white line), this big drawdown was unexpected but it means two things :
- it has to correct before tonight
- it will not go under the green lower uptrend limit, because then it turns into a whole new trend and the 1D/4H/2H RSI is too low for any downtrend to start now.
It will go back up at 3:30 PM fot the big daily punch.
AUDJPY GOING UP SOONEven though we missed it a little as you can see on our blue line, we had the correct idea ;
AUDJPY is still correcting this massive gap and getting a little lower before getting up again and reaching the blue zone.
However the ground is not super strong and it could break and become an interesting short posision.
US100 NEXT STEPAfter a successful long entry for today, US100 will reach a HH, reaching at the same time a KL and an uptrend limit ;
Then it is to plunge back to re establish the RSI which will drop a lot, showing a new HH coming soon after.
Remember : this is a 1D uptrend case, no matter what happens, it is going up after.
Nasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Market Leader Earnings ReportsNasdaq 100 Consolidates Ahead of Major Market Leader Earnings Reports
This week, five companies with market capitalisations exceeding $1 trillion are set to release their quarterly earnings:
→ Alphabet (GOOGL) on October 29
→ Microsoft (MSFT) on October 30
→ Meta Platforms (META) on October 30
→ Apple (AAPL) on October 31
→ Amazon (AMZN) on October 31
These results and profit forecasts from leading tech giants could fuel momentum for the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen).
For now, technical analysis of the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) chart suggests the index is in a state of consolidation. Supporting this view:
→ The blue upward channel, based on key 2024 reversals (marked with bold lines), shows price movement near the channel median, indicating a potential balance between supply and demand.
→ A narrowing triangle formation (highlighted by purple lines, with the upper line aligning with the psychological level of 20,500) reflects a reduction in volatility, signalling consolidation in anticipation of the earnings releases.
→ A decline in the ATR indicator, reaching its lowest in approximately 3.5 months, also suggests subdued market activity.
If these tech earnings surprise to the upside, it’s possible the Nasdaq 100 (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) could break out of the purple triangle, setting its sights on a fresh all-time high, surpassing the previous peak from July 11.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
US100 H2 - Short SignalUS100 H2
Here is Nasdaq, a little different as compared to US30, we have price trading as close to ATH's as you could expect, with a couple of trading tops here from last week. We also saw a huge dump on Friday, that single H2 candle demonstrates a move of 180 points, followed by two more bearish candle closes to end the trading day and trading week.
That being said, markets opened and we gapped upside around +130 points, we have sustained this, just like US30. I'm wondering whether we reject this price level we have indicated at 20,500 price and selloff back down to 20,300 price. Seeing how Nasdaq moves, if it breaks or rejects, may give us a better steer on US30 trading opportunity.