Reading Price Action to Tell a Chart's (Liquidity) StoryUsing Domino's Pizza in this case I want to show you how simple and practical it is to find important levels and to understand why price is doing what it's doing at a certain level. If we can map out where we are going to have to put a fight, and know why we are going to put up a fight (i.e. buyers or sellers, who needs what to win the fight, who is building liquidity and in control on a certain time frame) --> Then there is no reason why we shouldn't be able to identify solid trade opportunities and take them when they're given. If we are wrong on an analysis (i.e. we lose money on the trade), it's either that you're executing trades on a different time frame than your analysis is telling you to or there is something about your analysis that is wrong or not effective enough.
DPZ Analysis coming next..
Happy Trading :)
Multiple Time Frame Analysis
HTF (H1) 'Real' Market StructureTo follow up on the 'real' market structure from the Daily, here's my few (or 'Real' Market Structure) on the Hourly.
After the rejection of the Higher Low on the Daily Structure i said we wanted to see a shift on the Hourly.
Now we just can expect something, i won't spill the beans, but maybe you can make up your own mind ;-)
HTF (Daily) 'Real' Market StructureStill Bullish on the Daily ;-)
If you follow 'real' market structure, you will come to the conclusion that the HL is not broken yet so officially we are still bullish on the Daily.
We have been temting and flirting with the Higher Low, but it still isn't broken so if we get a sign of bullishness on the H1, we could ride it back up ;-)
Algo:Bullish Momentum Intact for a Potential Upside continuationAlgo/USDT has been one of the standout performers among altcoins over the past month, with the price soaring by over 500%. After peaking just above $0.60, the coin experienced a healthy correction, forming a local low at $0.35, a level slightly above March's high.
Following this correction, BINANCE:ALGOUSDT entered a consolidation phase, creating a base around the $0.40 mark. This consolidation suggests the market is gathering strength for another potential upward move.
Currently, the price action indicates that Algo/USDT may be preparing for a new leg higher, with a likely target at the significant resistance near $0.70.
From a strategic perspective, I remain bullish as long as the $0.32 support level holds firm. The suggested approach is to buy dips, capitalizing on opportunities within this uptrend.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Support: $0.35 (recent local low), $0.32 (critical support)
- Resistance: $0.60 (previous high), $0.70 (major target resistance)
Stock Of The Day / 12.16.24 / AVGO12.16.2024 / NASDAQ:AVGO
Fundamentals. Second day of growth on the back of a positive earnings report.
Technical analysis.
Daily chart: Exit upwards from a six-month accumulation.
Premarket: Gap Up on increased volume.
Trading session: Strong non-pullback growth from the opening of the session to the level of 247.00. We are looking for an opportunity to join the uptrend on a pullback. The price pulled back to the level of 238.00, after which it returned and showed a clear hold of the level of 240.00. We are considering a long trade to continue the upward movement.
Trading scenario: pullback along the trend (false breakout with retest) of level 240.00
Entry: 241.10 on impulse up after holding the level at 19:30
Stop: 239.44 we hide it behind the previous higher low
Exit: Close part of the position before the high of the day 247.00. Close the rest of the position around 248.89 after an unsuccessful attempt to update higher high.
Risk Rewards: 1/4
[Vienmelodic] NZDCHF 17 Dec 2024 SetupNZDCHF First time breaking the downtrend structure on H4 timeframe.
and we spotted good demand area to follow trend as green rectangle shown on the image
idea :
Open Long Position with 1:3 RRR as always
We'll update the open transaction on several days..
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
XAU/USD 17 December 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price is clearly unable to target weak internal. This is due to the fact that Daily and Weekly Timeframe remain in bearish pullback phase.
Price Action Analysis:
Technically price is to target weak internal priced at 2,721.420. Price has sweeped liquidity,
for two possible reasons.
1. To assist price to complete bearish pullback phase, react at either discount of internal 50% or H4 demand zone before targeting weak internal high.
2. To assist Daily and H4 TF's to complete bearish pullback phase with price to print a bearish iBOS and target strong internal low priced at 2,536.855.
Intraday Expectation:
Intraday expectation and alternative scenario as per points 1 and 2.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bearish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 16 December 2024.
Price Action Analysis:
Since last analysis dated 13 December 2024, price has printed a double bearish iBOS
Bullish CHoCH has been printed, therefore, we are now trading within an established internal structure.
Intraday Expectation:
Price has tapped in to M15 supply zone. Technically price to target weak internal low priced at 2,643.595.
Note:
With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, volatility in Gold prices is expected to remain elevated. Traders should exercise caution, adjust risk management strategies, and stay prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment.
M15 Chart:
[Vienmelodic] AUDNZD 16 Dec 2024 - Wait & See ModeAfter breakout structure on H4 this is the spotted possible retesting area.
ussually i take the lowest area for long possition,
but if theres any H1 bullish candlestick formed anywhere within the first area, i will take long entry with market execution..
Let see on the next several days for the updates.
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
ASX dragged lower by the DowThe Dow Jones futures market fell for an 8th consecutive day on Monday, a bearish sequence not seen in over 12 years. And that's not good news for ASX 200 bulls, as the index tends to track the Dow very closely.
The daily chart looks like it wants to head to 8200, and it just 1 - 2 bearish trading days away from it looking at a typical day's range. The 1-hour trend has favoured bearish swing traders, who could seek to fade into moves towards the 20-50 hour EMAs.
[Vienmelodic] EURGBP 16 Dec 2024 SetupAfter a long downward EURGBP create a break out structure which the sight of trend changing,
i spotted a really nice demand area on M55 as shown on the image.
the idea is to place a long pending order on the area and take profit target 1:3 RRR (Green Line)
with Stop Loss slightly below the demand area (Red Line)..
We'll See the updates on the next several days.
~Cut the Losses and let the Profits Run~
Vienmelodic
BTC.D: A Critical Turning PointThe current zone is pivotal for confirming the bearish scenario on BTC.D.
Key Points:
- Death Cross on the 12h chart confirmed last week.
- PA is retesting EMAs after the cross, increasing the likelihood of further downside.
- This is a zone to add positions if weakness confirms.
Main Scenario:
1. Retest completion → continued downtrend.
2. Major support lies around 53%, with potential for deeper declines.
Risks:
A sustained move above the current MAs could invalidate the bearish outlook.