Multiple Time Frame Analysis
Is TerraClassicUSD (USTC) about to moon?On the above 2 day chart price action has corrected over 80% since November 2023. A number of reasons now exist to be bullish. They include:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Trend reversal. higher highs higher lows replace lower highs lower lows.
3) Support on past resistance. Look left.
4) Everything that was said above (1 through 3) is also true for the USTC.BTC pair (see chart below). This level of confluence should not be ignored.
Is it possible price action continues correcting? Sure.
Is it probable? No
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: you decide
Timeframe for long: hours
Return: 300%
2 day USTC / BTC pair
Cronos (CRO) - Bullish divergenceOn the above 6-day chart price action has corrected 92% since November 2021 @ 70 cents. A number of reasons now exist to be long, including:
1) Price action and RSI resistance breakouts.
2) Strong bullish divergence as measured over 60 days. 8 oscillators print positive divergence with price action.
3) Look left (orange line, best seen on 2-day chart) price action prints on historical support.
4) The macro bull flag forecasts a first wave target of 30 cents.
Is it possible price action could fall further? Sure.
Is it probable? No.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: act now
Return: 400%
S&P 500 INDEX to 6000 before mid 2023Firstly a big thank you for taking me past the 10k likes on Tradingview. That’s a great milestone and tells me the ideas must be appreciated. If it is okay with you I’ll continue to share them freely.
As a thank you for taking my ideas past this milestone I want to share the idea that will challenge 95% of those reading. You will just not believe what is about to happen in the following 6-9 months. Use this idea as a cheat code to take you to the 5% club.
It is highly probable the market will rip higher and I’m betting on a new all time high before the middle of next year in the area of 6000. Then we can have our recession.
Still reading? Or have you gone straight to the comments for some club 95% ‘you mad bro’ comments?
What’s the evidence? There’s technical and fundamental. Firstly the technical on the above weekly chart:
1) A ‘great buy’ signal has printed. Look left.
2) Every year that ends with a ‘2’ for the last 70 years has beautiful symmetry with its roots in pi-cycle theory, but I’ll not go into that here, just accept it.
Each of the annual charts below are the last 70 years with years ending in a ‘2’ with the vertical lines approximately identifying a 12 month window.
1952 -
1962 -
1972 -
1982 -
1992 -
2002 -
2012 -
And finally 2022 - see a pattern?
The Fundamentals
1) Mid-term elections - the FED will not crash the market with up and coming mid-term elections. They never have in the above years.
2) Insider trading - The people making the decisions / your glorious leaders, they are actually buying the dip:
“U.S. House speaker Pelosi discloses trades in Apple and Microsoft”
Source: www.reuters.com
This is not an isolated event.
3) Sentiment is at the lowest it has been for 40 years! Not even 2008 comes close. People are so bearish right now that it is actually bullish.
4) The Put / Call ratio. The number of retail traders ‘short’ on the market is at levels not seen since August 2020. Remember then? The world was ending then too.
5) The ‘Put/Call’ ratio is printing bearish divergence just as it was back in August 2020. The market ripped higher afterwards.
Well that’s it - Hope you enjoyed, this took some hours of study and preparation.
Ww
Type: trade
Risk: <=6% of portfolio
Timeframe: 6 to 9 months
Return: 50-80%
AUDCHF / M15 / LONGAUDCHF Potential Rise from the Bullish Order Block
Bullish Order Block: 0.57808 and 0.57717
Analysis: AUDCHF is currently within a bullish order block zone between 0.57808 and 0.57717. This area has shown strong buying interest, and the price has already tested this order block, suggesting a possible upward move.
AUDCHF / M15 / LONG
LOT :- 0.3
Entry Price :- 0.57818
Take Profit :- 0.57988
Stop Loss :- 0.57648
MGC Short 11/10/2024MGC is in a sideways + down momentum in daily chart as price closed below 21EMA. It is in a downtrend in 4hr chart. Price is testing 4hr 21EMA and 200EMA. Placed a short in SZ above 4hr 21EMA (purple horizontal line) that broke high volume DZ (green box). Taking half risk because the zone is low volume. Risk= $124. Target= 1:1 and daily DZ (blue box).
Is the Kiwi Ready to Bounce? Approaching Key Support!The Kiwi took a major hit in October, dropping sharply from the 0.638 resistance level, which has held strong for over two years.
Looking at the weekly chart, we can see that the market has formed a clear range between 0.638 and 0.588—the lower level we’re now approaching.
On the daily chart, the initial drop was intense, with strong selling momentum evident in large red candles. However, as the price dropped past the halfway point of the range, momentum began to ease. This slowdown is visible in the smaller, mixed red and green candles.
This price action indicates that selling momentum is slowing as we approach the 0.588 level. In fact, the market has now started moving sideways, signaling that buyers may be accumulating at the bottom of the range.
Given these signals, I’ll be looking for buy setups using my TRFX Indicator, focusing on the 4-hour to 8-hour timeframes. Ideally, I’d like to see another dip toward or even slightly below 0.59 before entering.
The target for this setup is the top of the range, with the setup invalidated by a clear weekly break below the 0.588 support.
Let me know what you think below! :)
S&P Soars on Election Results in a Stunning RallyLast week's market movements provided a strong example of how impactful certain events can be on sentiment and momentum. In the last market recap, I highlighted uptrend continuation as the most likely scenario. However, at the start of the week, there was absolutely nothing on the chart suggesting a V-shape pivot.
Week started on a weak note, but Tuesday marked a shift, as buying interest began to surface, quickly escalating into a stunning overnight gap once preliminary election results emerged. Essentially, the election results had a similar impact on the market as an earnings report can have on a company's stock price. This influx of optimism solidified bulls' control over the market, reinforcing a strong weekly uptrend.
The buying wasn’t limited to a few sectors; instead, it was widespread, touching every major sector by the week’s end. Such broad-based buying underscores that the rally is not sector-specific but part of a larger, systemic movement. While we’re seeing robust upward momentum, it’s worth noting that both weekly and daily RSI levels are approaching overbought territory. However, as often observed in strong uptrends, prices can comfortably persist in the overbought zone. With no clear resistance above, I would strongly discourage trying to catch the top.
Important levels to watch include 585 (VAH) , which is key in the event of a potential retest of the last consolidation zone, and 568 (major weekly low) , which buyers must protect to maintain control.
P.S. If you missed this insane rally, don’t blame yourself too much. Had the election outcome been different, it’s easy to imagine the market would have plunged just as dramatically. So holding short-term position was similar to trading company earnings, which is, in a way, a form of gambling.
Bitcoin Wait for a good longThe bullish case is strong, but proper risk management is essential if you're looking to go long. The current market is heavily overleveraged with long positions, causing sharp wicks and rejections, typical of a bull run.
I plan to wait and open a position at $60,750, keeping in mind that the price could drop further to $57,700, where I also plan to enter. However, don’t sleep on that level—it might be the last opportunity to open a long at a good price!
BINANCE:BTCUSD
XAU/USD 11 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bearish.
Analysis/Intraday expectation remains the same as analysis dated 08 November 2024.
Price has now printed a bullish CHoCH indicating bullish pullback phase initiation.
Price has reacted from premium of 50% established internal range.
Intraday Expectation: Price is expected to weak internal low priced at 2,643.355
Note: Due to the Fed’s softer stance and ongoing geopolitical tensions, we should remain mindful that volatility in Gold is likely to persist.
H4 Chart:
M15 Analysis:
-> Swing: Bullish.
-> Internal: Bullish.
Analysis/bias remains the same as analysis dated 8 November 2024. Note how price is failing to target weak internal high.
Price Action Analysis: Price has printed a bullish iBOS followed by a bearish CHoCH, indicating the initiation of a bearish pullback phase.
Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to react from either the discount of 50% internal equilibrium level (EQ) or the M15 demand zone before targeting the weak internal high.
Alternative Scenario: Given that the H4 timeframe is in a bullish pullback phase, it's no surprise that the M15 chart has printed a bullish iBOS. However, with H4 price trading up to premium of 50% internal EQ and reacting from that premium zone, it wouldn’t be surprising if the price prints a bearish iBOS.
Note: With the Fed's softer policy stance and escalating geopolitical tensions, elevated price volatility is likely to persist.
M15 Chart:
DXY LONG VIEW
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XBI: Sellers Finally Taking A Chill PillHey, guys. Appreciate everyone tuning in! Wanted to take the opportunity to review AMEX:XBI . I certainly have a disappointing relationship with this one from past attempts to carry the ETF in my portfolio. Now, I tempt fate again. P.S. hope you don't mind the quick sojourn chat about COINBASE:BTCUSD and the strong weekend move there.
I believe there is certainly a short term play higher in XBI. But I also believe it can lead to a really explosive longer term move as well. I suppose, as always, only time will tell. Hope it was helpful to point out this set up at any rate.
Hope you enjoyed the review, and best of luck out there!