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Multiple Time Frame Analysis

Trade Recap: AUDUSD - LONG, 20/11/2024AU Bias Analysis: With a clear bearish leg on the 1D as a result of a bullish dollar, Price has now established a Counter Trend towards 1D EPD. The long entry is in line with the current bullish 1H range and price retraced to the 50% fib retracement level on the initial entry and the 79% fib retracement level on the second entry which is floating at BE. Grade: High Risk What I did well or could've done better: - I was not confident in he initial entry due to multiple factors indicating that price would retrace deeper into 1H discount but I followed the plan and executed regardless of what I thought would happen.
Long
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
USDSGD: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (11H) - DOWNTREND✨ USDSGD: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (11H) ✨ (DOWNTREND) SLO2 @ 1.3517 ⏳ SLO1 @ 1.3435 - TRIGGERED SSO @ 1.33573 TP1 @ 1.30517 TP2 @ 1.27948 TP3 @ 1.26056 TP4 @ 1.2500 (MAY CLOSE ALL ORDERS HERE-WILL WATCH PA ONCE TRIGGERED) TP5 @ 1.23150 BLO1 @ 1.2485⏳(BASED ON HTF) BLO1 @ 1.22432⏳(BASED ON ITF) NOTE: ONCE PA BREAKS THROUGH THIS SUPPORT I'VE IDENTIFIED, I'LL USE CAUTION AFTER TP4 SINCE THE 5W IS SHOWING A DECENT DZ THAT PA COULD PLAY IN TO CREATE THE REVERSAL TO THE UPSIDE. 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER DZ = DEMAND ZONE HTF = HIGH TIMEFRAME ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME PA = PRICE ACTION SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER SSO = SELL STOP ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day): — Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Short
by oktane
XAU/USD 20 November 2024 Intraday AnalysisH4 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bearish. Price Action Analysis: In my analysis dated 12 November 2024, I highlighted the anticipation of a bullish Change of Character (CHoCH) as an indication of a bullish phase initiation. Price has now confirmed this by printing a bullish CHoCH. Currently, price is trading within an established internal range and remains consistent with the broader pullback requirements of higher timeframes. This internal range forms the basis for today's expectations. Intraday Expectation: Price is anticipated to trade up to the premium of the internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where it is currently positioned. Alternatively, price may trade higher to reach the H4 supply zone before targeting the weak internal low at 2,536.855. Note: With the Federal Reserve's dovish stance and persisting geopolitical uncertainties, heightened volatility in Gold is expected to continue. Traders should proceed with caution and adjust risk management strategies in this high-volatility environment. H4 Chart: M15 Analysis: -> Swing: Bearish. -> Internal: Bullish. Price Action Analysis: As stated in yesterday's analysis, I mentioned that it would not be surprising if price printed a bearish internal Break of Structure (iBOS). This expectation materialised; however, the bearish momentum was short-lived as price subsequently printed a bullish iBOS. Price has now printed a bearish Change of Character (CHoCH), which allows us to establish an internal range. Currently, price is trading near the extreme of a strong internal low and has wicked into the M15 demand zone, showing a reaction. Intraday Expectation: Technically, price is expected to target the weak internal high at 2,641.940, reacting from the current M15 demand zone. Alternative Scenario: The H4 timeframe remains in a bullish pullback phase and is trading within the premium of its internal 50% equilibrium (EQ), where a reaction is observed. Consequently, it would not be surprising if the M15 timeframe printed a bearish iBOS. Note: With the Federal Reserve maintaining a dovish policy stance and geopolitical tensions persisting, Gold price volatility is expected to remain elevated. Traders should stay cautious and remain prepared for potential price whipsaws in this high-volatility environment. M15 Chart:
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Khan_YIK
AUDUSD - Trump continues to influence the dollar!The AUDUSD currency pair is located between EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of an upward correction due to the release of economic data this week, we can see the supply zone and sell within those limits with the appropriate risk reward. As long as the drawn upward trend line is maintained, the target of this corrective movement will be the ceiling of the descending channel. The recent U.S. elections have sparked two contrasting narratives about the country’s economic future. One emphasizes economic growth through tax and regulatory cuts, while the other highlights downside risks stemming from tariffs and overall policy uncertainty. However, the business cycle’s strong performance to date remains a key consideration. Forecasts suggest that U.S. economic growth will slightly slow to 2% in 2025, with unemployment rising modestly to 4.5%. Additionally, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (Core PCE) index is expected to decrease by 0.5% next year, settling at 2.3%. The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and reduce them further to 3.75% by the end of Q3 2025. On the trade policy front, significant tariff increases on China are anticipated, though no major changes are expected elsewhere. These tariffs could reduce trade volumes and raise import prices. According to a recent Federal Reserve Bank of New York report, credit application rejection rates in 2024 are projected to be significantly higher than in 2019. The report also indicates that households are expected to be less inclined to apply for credit next year. Rejection rates for mortgage refinancing and auto loans have reached record highs in the survey’s history. Furthermore, the share of Americans refraining from applying for credit due to discouragement is on the rise. Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has revised its 2025 economic growth forecast for Australia downward, citing potential negative spillovers from the expected increase in U.S. tariffs on China. In its 2025 Australia and New Zealand Outlook report, Goldman now predicts a 1.8% rise in Australia’s GDP for next year, down from its earlier 2% forecast. This adjustment reflects the anticipated impact of tariffs on Australia’s exports, given that China is its largest trading partner. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 60% tariff on Chinese exports, aiming to protect American businesses and jobs. In response, Chinese President Xi Jinping has remarked that China-Australia relations have maintained a positive trajectory of growth. He emphasized the need for enhanced coordination and cooperation between the two nations, stating that there are no fundamental conflicts of interest between them. Xi also called on Australia to create fairer trade conditions, announcing China’s readiness to increase imports of high-quality Australian products and encourage Chinese companies to invest in the country.
Short
by Ali_PSND
BTCUSDT / LONG / M15BTCUSDT may rise from the Bullish Order Block Bullish Order Block :- 91,811 and 91,502 BTCUSDT is shaping up for a potential bullish move, with a bullish order block identified between 91,811 and 91,502. This zone acts as a significant demand area where institutional buy orders are likely to cluster, offering a high-probability setup for traders. The current price is still above this level, providing an excellent opportunity to prepare for a possible long entry. Historical patterns and market behavior suggest that these zones often lead to strong reversals or trend continuations, making them crucial points for consideration. Monitoring this level closely can help capitalize on a potential upward movement once the price retraces into the order block. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and analyzing across multiple timeframes, this trade has a high probability of success. Once the price taps into the order block, there is a strong expectation of bullish momentum, potentially leading to significant upside. Stay tuned—this could be a rewarding trade opportunity! Always remember to use proper risk management while trading. 🚀
Long
by PraveenTrader1
2
EURGBP - BOE decisions will make the GBP rise!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to economic data this week, we can see a supply zone and resell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Reaching the demand zone of this currency pair will lead to scalp buying opportunities. The UK energy regulator has approved a £2 billion funding package to build a high-voltage “electricity superhighway” beneath the North Sea. This project, known as the “Eastern Green Link 1,” involves laying 196 kilometers of cable to transfer wind power from Scotland to northern England. The initiative is expected to supply electricity to approximately two million homes. Rachel Reeves, the UK’s finance minister, stated that the government aims to achieve broad and resilient economic growth. She also reaffirmed the Bank of England’s target of maintaining a 2% inflation rate. Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, noted that inflation in the services sector remains above levels compatible with the inflation target. He stressed the need for close monitoring of this sector, as it reflects labor market developments. Bailey further mentioned that a gradual approach to easing monetary policy restrictions would help manage inflation-related risks more effectively. Meanwhile, the European Commission has warned of heightened risks in its economic outlook due to the war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and protectionist trade policies. The Commission estimates Germany’s GDP growth to rise by 0.7% in 2025, down from an earlier forecast of 1.0%. Additionally, public debt in the Eurozone is expected to increase from 89.1% in 2024 to 90.0% by 2026. Inflation rates are projected at 2.4% for 2024, 2% for 2025, and 1.9% for 2026. A Bloomberg survey revealed that economists now believe Germany may face a second consecutive year of declining output. Analysts expect Germany’s GDP to shrink by 0.1% in 2024 following a 0.3% contraction in 2023.A month ago, predictions still pointed to an economic slowdown only for this year. Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that persistent weakness in domestic demand might drive inflation below 2%. He suggested that the ECB should consider shifting toward a neutral or even expansionary monetary policy. Panetta noted that the Eurozone economy remains weak, with no turning point visible in the manufacturing sector. He emphasized the need for the ECB to adopt a forward-looking approach, as excessive tightening of current monetary policies is no longer necessary. Robert Müller, another ECB official, remarked that there is no need for larger-scale measures at this time. He also hinted at the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
Short
by Ali_PSND
2
EURNZD / LONG / M15EURNZD may rise from the Bullish Order Block BULLISH ORDER BLOCK :- 1.79863 and 1.79783 EURNZD has tapped into a key bullish order block and is showing early signs of a potential reversal. This zone represents a significant area of institutional interest where buy orders are likely concentrated. The market structure remains bullish, making this an ideal level to consider entering a long position. Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC), this setup has been meticulously analyzed to align with high-probability trading zones. The price has already touched the order block, suggesting it’s time to take action. With a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, this trade offers an excellent opportunity for upside momentum. Stay tuned and let’s see how this plays out—there’s a strong chance of ending in profits! As always, remember to manage your risk effectively while trading. 🚀 EURNZD / LONG / M15 LOT :- 0.1 Entry Profit :- 1.79838 Take Profit :- 1.80048 Stop Loss :- 1.79628
Long
by PraveenTrader1
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought. However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
Long
by CityIndex
Xunlei Limited to print 300% extension?This is a short term forecast between now and the year end. On the above 2 week chart price action has corrected 80% from resistance to test support on past resistance. Reasons to be bullish: 1) The next resistance confirms support (red circles). 2) RSI resistance breakout and support confirmation. 3) No share splits. 4) Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio 29.83% ;-) Is it possible price action continues to correct? Sure. Is it probable? No Ww Type: trade Risk: small market cap. Low exposure. Timeframe for long: 3 days Return: 300%
NASDAQ:XNETLong
by without_worries
17
SGDJPY: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (1D) - CTT UPTREND✨ SGDJPY: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (1D) ✨ (UPTREND - CTT) BLO1 @ 115.10 ⏳ BLO2 @ 114.95 ⏳ -SL @ 114.60 TP1 @ 115.95 TP2 @ 116.50 TP3 @ 117.50 SLO1 @ 117.93⏳ NOTE: Let's see if we can make some quality profit/pips on this rise to the upside before it begins its drop. If my analysis is correct, then we should see a PB down to the BLO's I've suggested. THIS IS A CTT (COUNTER TREND TRADE)! I'm using professional analysis, along with a tight -SL that's well within my R:R and position allotment for such a trade. If PA continues from current price & hits the zone prior to pulling back, this trade is void and I'll just stick with the short! Let's see how this plays out ..... 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME PA = PRICE ACTION -SL = NEGATIVE STOP LOSS SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day): — Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Long
by oktane
Trade Recap: GBPJPY - SHORT, 19/11/2024GJ Bias Analysis: Price, still trading at a 1D premium, the pro-trend had been established on the 4H timeframe and short entries were in line with the bearish 1H range. Equilibrium was achieved relative to the minor swing after price protracted higher and a short entry executed after entry confirmation was received. Grade: High Risk What I did well or could've done better: - I was too risk averse when using discretion in the management of this position, which led to being stopped out at BE before an aggressive sell off to TP.
Short
by The_Modern_Day_Trader
1
SGDJPY: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (1D) - DOWNTREND (WEALTH TRADE)✨ SGDJPY: ITF CURVE ANALYSIS (1D) ✨ (DOWNTREND) SLO2 @ 119.75 ⏳ SLO1 @ 117.713 ⏳ TP1 @ 104.10 TP2 @ 96.60 TP2a @ 94.55 (Secret TP) TP3 @ 91.076 TP4 @ 82.542 BLO1 @ 80.492⏳ (DO NOT SET....YET) NOTE: There still some room for this to go up before getting to our zone. Patience on this trade to activate is key. However once in, position size appropriately to get the most from securing entry and add-ons. 🔑 BLO = BUY LIMIT ORDER ITF = INTERMEDIATE TIME FRAME SLO = SELL LIMIT ORDER TP = TAKE PROFIT Intermediate time frames (4 hours to 6 day): — Offer a clearer picture of the underlying trend compared to short-term frames. — Provide more opportunities for confirmation signals and technical analysis. — Allow for more flexible trading schedules, trades can be held overnight. — Suitable for swing traders and some positional traders.
Short
by oktane