Miners
GDX An Incomplete sequence Favors More DownsideThe Elliott wave view in GDX suggests that the main cycle from the August 20, 2020 peak is showing an incomplete sequence. Favoring more downside to happen based on sequence towards $24.80- $21.36 area lower before a turn back higher happens. While the short-term cycle suggests that the decline to $30.05 low ended wave 1 of (C) in 5 waves lower. Up from there, GDX did an expanded flat correction in wave 2 bounce.
While an initial 3 swing bounce ended wave ((a)) at a $31.59 high. Down from there, wave ((b)) also ended in 3 swings at $28.90 low. Then the bounce in ((c)) leg unfolded in 5 wave impulse sequence. In which, wave (i) ended at $30.16 high, wave (ii) ended at $29.95 low, wave (iii) ended at $31.54, wave (iv) ended at $31.19 low, and wave (v) ended at $31.77 high. Thus ended wave 2 as an expanded flat correction.
Below from there, GDX declined in 5 waves lower & ended small wave ((i)) of 3 at $30.15 low. And now doing a 3 swing bounce in wave ((ii)), which can see $31.29- $31.51 area before turning lower again. Near-term, as far as bounces fail below $31.77 high then ETF is expected to fail lower looking for more downside. Alternatively, if it breaks above $31.77 high then it can even see $33.01- $34.77 area higher before seeing sellers again.
GDX consolidating to downside biasQuick update that previous attempt for GDX to rally up was pre-mature. Still not yet in a bull trend.
Weekly chart had a break out above 55EMA fail in the last couple of weeks, only to bounce off a support. Technicals not totally aligned so may consolidate for a couple more weeks before some clarity forms.
Daily chart (right panel) shows the failed attempt, which now has a clear resistance line (lime green). Last week ended with a failure type downward candlestick, suggesting weakness in a rally. Technicals appear somewhat bullish, in contrast to weekly chart.
Expecting some consolidation, with a little downside bias within range.
$HUT - Hut 8 Mining Corp. a buy soon?$HUT is on a correction atm, and bounced one time exactly on the .618 retrace from the last big low to high. If we see a second confirmation low, and then break out of the supply line, we might have a very decent buying opurtunity on this crypto mining stock! Stay tuned
gold price volatility (CFD)in the past gold prices have leapt towsrd the end of the year. technical patterns on the monthly have pointed toward muted gains in gold spot, and a drawdown in bullish futures activity.
Gold spot shouldnt break $1923, and should be back down toward 1635 region by june 2022
First Majestic: Happy! 🥰🥰🥰It is increasingly looking good for the First Majestic stock, as the price is further moving away from its support at $12.56. Below that mark, we would experience a decline under $10. However, we trust the bulls here to make significant advances and push the price above $33.
Silver is the new gold!
Franco Nevada - Bullish Breakout TradeStrong Financial Position
No debt and $1.6 billion in available capital as at September 30, 2021
Generated $206.9 million in operating cash flow for the quarter
Quarterly dividend of $0.30/share
Sector-Leading ESG
Ranked #1 gold company by Sustainalytics, AA by MSCI and Prime by ISS ESG
Committed to the World Gold Council's "Responsible Gold Mining Principles"
Partnering with our operators on community and ESG initiatives
Goal of 40% diverse representation at the Board and top leadership levels
Diverse, Long-Life Portfolio
Most diverse royalty and streaming portfolio by asset, operator and country
Core assets outperforming since time of acquisition
Growth in long-life reserves
Growth and Optionality
Acquisitions, mine expansions and new mines driving growth
10.1 million ounce increase in Measured and Indicated Mineral Resources at Detour Lake
Long-term options in gold, copper and nickel
Noront consolidation likely to accelerate development of Ring of Fire properties
39.78x Price to Earnings (PE) ratio = too much
FNV (CA$178.55) is trading above estimated fair value (CA$144.54)
Technicals
Found decent support and has carved out a bull flag. If we get decent volume on a breakout to the upside , the fib extension targets are the most logical levels to look for.
FMG / Fortescue holding supportFortescue has been in a steady downtrend since the drop of iron ore prices in August. Since October, however, it was able to hold support at around 14 over and over again. With the recent drop in SGX:FEF1! this especially notable.
I am fundamentally bullish on Fortescue due to its fundamentals (balance sheet, green hydrogen ambitions, autonomous hauling) but it's hard to find a good entry point with iron ore prices plunging this rapidly.
Vox Royalty continues towards C$5 million revenue targetTORONTO, CANADA – November 2, 2021 – Vox Royalty Corp. (TSXV: VOX) (“Vox” or the “Company”), a high growth precious metals focused royalty company, is pleased to announce that it has realized preliminary quarterly royalty revenue of C$1,558,800 (US$1,223,400)(1) for the three-month period ended September 30, 2021.
Quarterly revenue benefitted from record royalty-linked gold production by Karora Resources Inc. (TSX: KRR) from the Hidden Secret and Mousehollow deposits at Higginsville covered by the Dry Creek royalty and record royalty-linked iron ore production volumes by Mineral Resources Limited (ASX: MIN) at Koolyanobbing, and consistent royalty revenues from each of the Company’s Janet Ivy gold royalty and Brauna diamond royalty. Royalty revenues relative to Q2 2021 were in line in spite of a significant reduction in realised iron ore pricing at Koolyanobbing.
Quarterly, year to date, and annual revenue guidance figures are summarized in the below table:
Kyle Floyd, Chief Executive Officer stated: “We are pleased to announce another quarter of strong royalty revenue and multiple royalty-linked production records at Higginsville and Koolyanobbing. The Vox portfolio remains on track to deliver revenue at the higher end of our expectations, even in light of revenue guidance doubling in July 2021. Further, we anticipate the first royalty revenue from our Segilola asset during Q4/Q1, following the achievement of commercial production at Segilola in October. The coming quarters present even more value accretive developments for Vox shareholders to look forward to, as we continue our industry-leading organic growth trajectory from 5 to 10 producing assets by late 2023.”
OLB is Micro MinerOLB is a micro cap miner. Their market cap is <$40m while it *should* be 5-7x this per other miner valuations like MARA, RIOT, BITF, HUT, etc. They have 600 rigs in operation and it will go grow to 1000 by the EOY. SDIG who recently just went public has 3000 miners operating and has a market cap of $500M… OLB is 1/3 the rigs but greater than 1/10th the market cap. OLB has 24000 rigs that they are ordering soon per their releases - they aren’t going to own the hash rate but they are going to hodl, have an underlying e-commerce business, and are growing their mining capacity and aggregate hash as their data centers get built. I am long this security long term until bitcoin pulls back. x
GDX looking for higher lowGDX have been so beaten for so long, and every previous attempt was not ready for that consolidation nor higher low. After a recent and decent break above the 55EMA, the Gold miners GDX ETF is retracing hard (as expected) and is now looking for a higher low, in about a week or two.
And with that, then we know the next run would be more robust.
Trading Range Breakout - Vox Royaltylooking back over 2021 the share price of this royalty company has done it all. We have seen a sell-off that culminated in massive volume (for this company) putting in a base. We then carved out a trading range before catching a bid to new 52 week highs. The recent breakout was welcomed, but the pullback to previous resistance on low volume, which is now acting as support, is crucial. Assuming the bull move is not over and buyers buy into value, the measured move of the trading range breakout would take us up to C$5.00
in the last 7 days Vox is up 5.1%
1 year up 34.2%
Oct 01 - Vox Provides Recent Development and Exploration Updates from Royalty Operating Partners Gold Standard Ventures, Genesis Minerals Limited, Metalicity Limited, Black Cat Syndicate Limited and Norwest Minerals Limited
July 29 - simplywall.st
MARA looking like Angelina Jolie from 200720% gap between BTCUSD nav performance and MARA. I believe that gap will close.
So she's looking fine as hell, a beaut.
Partnership with Beowolf should yield a 38% decline in electricity/power costs.
I believe MARA is going to be the winner out of the pack of bitcoin miners because they have been reinvesting in efficiency and growth heavily.
Their sales per employee are nearly double that of RIOT showing that they can do more with less, and if you can stomach no P/E for a decent period of time, their major investments in growth will pay off in the long run versus appearing profitable in the short-term.