Midterm
BAT PATTERN WITHIN TREND: POTENTIAL DOUBLE BOTTOM HIGH RRBullish Bat Pattern within Trend with potential double bottom
For further confirmation wait for close of 4 h candle and a potential double bottom. Stops below X. Targets are 38,2 % and 61,8 % retracements as shown on the chart.
TRADE YOUR PLAN!
Peace. Felix
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Bitcoin Ascending TriangleAfter the break of the yellow triangle to the upper side and above 5200 Yuan, we are stuck in a ascending triangle. We have a big resistance above the 5350 Yuan level. We have to break the 5450 Yuan level before we can go up higher in price. The next big support level is around 5100 Yuan. After a possible downward move the price should trend up on the turquoise trendline until it hit the 5350-5450 and break it to the up side with a target around 6000-6300 Yuan.
GARTLEY WITH GOOD RR ON USDJPY!!Currently see a retracement into previous structure which now should as support. Stops below X. Because we recently saw a new structure high I am shooting for advanced targets for my second position.
TRADE YOUR PLAN!
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Brent Oil AnalysisHello,
Based on graphics, here's a fresh, simple short-/mid-term analysis on Brent Oil .
1st target: Brent at USD 66/barrel (+32% if compared to October 1st quotation)
2nd target: Brent at USD 80/barrel (+60% if compared to October 1st quotation)
Note 1: Weekly-based
Note 2: Inverse Head-and-Shoulders
Note 3: maybe there will be consolidation between USD 61-66/barrel.
Hope it's useful for someone.
Best Regards from Brazil.
VXX breakout from curving downtrendIn July 2015 VXX broke out of a curving downtrend for a great return in about a week.
Now this past week it is continuing to replicate the same pattern held in 2015.
My thoughts are that it will drop to $12.80 and then spike to a possible $26.00 if it follows the downtrend drawn.
Good RR 3.6 on Daily chart for USDJPY TP above 105. SL at 99.87Buy limit order setup at 101.35-101.4. SL control at 99.87
With the daily chart, the downside traend has been de-accelerate with lower slope side way move from mid of June. This is concurrent with BOJ's policy.
Time cycle indicate the that the price is going to have some changes.
RSI and MACD give you a good idea of long term divergence which add the confidence to long USDJPY.
Policy wise, Boj will never give their experiment of Monetary policy. (At least with Abe still in charge. )
LONG POSITION ON IBEX 35 - SPANISH GOVERNMENT ABOUT TO FORMHERE WE HAVE THE IBEX 35 INDEX IN A VERY SIMILAR WAY TO SANTANDER BANK. ALSO CHECK MY LAST ANALISIS ON SANTANDER FOR A GOOD TRADE OPPORTUNITY.
IF THE GOVERNEMENT IS FINALLY FORMED BY POLITICAL PARTIES PP + CIUDADANOS THE BIG INVESTORS WILL COME BACK TO SPAIN AND INVEST THEIR MONEY AGAIN, THAT WILL MAKE THE IBEX 35 INDEX GO UNTIL THE CLOUDS.
THE OTHER IMPORTANT EVENT WILL BE THE FINAL DECISION ON BREXIT. IF UK STAYS IN EUROPE THE IBEX 35 AND THE IMPORTANT SPANISH BANKS WILL RAISE THEIR VALUE AT THE SAME TIME OF THE SPANISH INDEX.
MY CONCLUSION. I AM WAITING UNTIL THE HORIZONTAL LEVEL IS FINALLY BROKEN AND RETESTED AS YOU SEE IN MY ANALISIS. IF THAT HAPPENS THE BUY LIMIT ORDER WILL OPEN AND A LONG TRADE CAN BE MANAGED INTO A GREAT PROFIT UNTIL THE IBEX REACHES THE 10.000 REISITANCE AGAIN, THE POINT WHERE IT WAS BEFORE THE SPANISH ELECTIONS AND THE BREXIT.
LET ME KNOW WHAT YOU THINK!
CARLOS
DXY supportive to the bullish side (multi-scenario chart)Chart using ICT orderblocks. Would rather see DXY make a small retracement at 96.2 because it can then regain strength to make a higher high. Breaks are moments we need to closely monitor price action on a lower timeframe. Technically price should not trade into the orderblocks too far, since most of these barely have any wicks. In other words, we are going to allow movement into the wicks, but not too many pips into the body. If it does move into the body of the orderblocks, we'll assume price continues to the upside. If the reaction is too heavy and has too much momentum off of the bearish orderblocks we will see a consequent move or retracement as a likely probability.
UKOIL Long-Term + Mid-TermUK OIL Giving Opportunities for Shorts and Longs Mid-Term and Long-Term
In a range between 30/50 Day trades mostly (Not holding long-term positions)
One Trade from price level 30 Long with Tight SL on positive side (Holding if we break up)
Pending Long Order at price 54.00 Flat if we break and continue up
Possible neutral at least till end of year in this range of price level 30/50
Happy Trading
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Better late then never. NZDUSD with Bullish Cypher patternFor those looking for valid entry reasons: Bullish Cypher Pattern within trend at previous structure.
Market respected the level past two day (see wicks).
Make sure to trade your plan!
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NZDUSD complex correctionI know this chart is a mess! but that's because complex corrective patterns are mess and they can form variety of combinations for long time; but eventually one of these waves is the final one and price will finish the corrective phase and start an extremely impulsive and trendy wave which non of us want to miss it, so we have to risk and take trades in each wave that can be the last wave of corrective phase.
This wave which is about to end, is one of those potential final waves.
The major idea of trade is that the whole daily correction is ending and price is going for an impulsive wave to downside (orange or red arrows), but if the waves coming out of triangle behave corrective, it's a sign that corrective phase has not finished yet and there will be waves to upside. (green arrows and green text boxes)
About green text boxes: If price tend to reverse upside and continue corrective phase, it's not necessary to do it on the trendlines, there are not support and resistance, but the probability to do it on the trendlines is higher
One step ahead of the market: Follow up on EURJPYI am looking for two different structure zones on this pair. The lower one gives us first chances to look for valid shorting opportunities. To this point we failed to retest the 61,8 % retracement, therefore the shown gartley pattern isn't activ right now.
So, if we see the lower retracement I will place my limit orders to short via the lower gartley pattern. If we move straight up I will short the higher bat pattern which comfirmed all my rules by now.
Trend Continuation via bearish Bat Pattern on USDCADRecently saw a new structure low on the daily chart. We are now retracing into previous strc. which should become resistance. The market gives us a bearish bat pattern which acts as my reason for entry. Because we expect further downside on this pair my second target will be the retest of recent lows which gives us a nice risk/reward profile.
Trade your plan.
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USDCAD FOR BETTER Risk/ Reward ENTRY AT STRUCTURE!Looking at USDCAD we see that the RSI is heavily oversold. I am long in the gartley pattern since 1.2837.
For those traders how might have missed this pattern, you get a second chance with much better RR ratio.
Remember you follow your plan!
Best of luck, Felix.
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Outlook on OIL: JUST A SIMPLE IDEAAlthough I am not actively trading OIL this is a very interesting chart. From the lows we rallied right into the 50 Dollar area, almost doubled the price since February. The magenta arrows show the impulse legs. So we are right into the last start of the impulse leg from the recent downtrend. Based on the AB=CD we could predict, that the market will give us at least a 38,2 % Retracement.
Remember: this is not a setup i trade. Just an overall outlook and maybe something to have in mind going to lower timeframes.
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BEARISH GARTLEY PATTERN WITHIN TREND FOR TCT: HIGH RRAUDUSD is still in a downtrend. Therefore we're looking to take shorting opportunities to hop on the trend.
This gartley pattern gives us pattern traders a valid short.
Depending on your personal rules you can either trade this pattern with conventional targets (38,2 & 61,8% from A-D) or as a TCT as shown on the chart.
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