Midterm
BTC/USD Bearish AnalysisLooking at the 1hr chart shows that we are slowly losing momentum on the upside. While bears are struggling to break through 9.2k, bulls have been setting lower and lower highs after a significant price drops for the entire week. The possibility of the price going to the moon seems extremely unlikely. If bulls can manage to get the price up to 9.6k and break through that resistance we could be looking at a potential bull market, but we've struggled to get out of the 9.4k range so 9.6k may be quite some time away.
I've added the Bollinger bands to my chart as it seems to be more reliable at signaling overbought/oversold periods compared to the Stochastic oscillator. We can also use as a signal for volatility in the market. It looks like the bands are starting to spread out a bit, which could be indicative of stronger price action than we've seen all week.
Aside from the bands, the 144 WMA is acting as resistance at the 9.4k level which is consistent with previous support/resistance levels. As stated before, if the price manages to break through 9.4k we can expect to see a rush to 9.5k, and if the price breaks through that, we can see the same to 9.6k. But once again ~9.6k is the highest price point we've seen in two weeks so there is bound to be very strong resistance there. If the price rejects 9.6k again, that would be the 3rd or 4th rejection. At that point I expect to see the price dump quite a bit.
Overall I think we are looking at a short-mid term bearish trend. On the daily chart we currently have a doji for today which could be a reversal signal, but as of now there are 7 hours until the daily closes, so we'll have to wait and see.
Happy trading, and please leave a like if you agree or this has helped you!
BTC Bearish AnalysisAnother day of very little movement, but it's clear on just about every chart in the range of 1min - 4hr that we are in a downtrend. The highs for each significant price increase has been the result of a significant price drop, and on top of that, the highs have progressively getting lower.
Yesterday we saw a drop all the way down to 9300, and a bounce to 9400. For the last week or so we have been struggling to stay above and around 9500, but the price hasn't touched 9500 all day today. I feel that as long as we keep establishing lower highs, the price will continue to drop over time.
Since we've been trading horizontal for almost a full week now I'm not 100% confident in this analysis. I don't feel that there are crystal clear signs of the price going one way or the other. That being said, the price has been slowly decreasing which leads me to believe that we are looking at low-mid term bearish activity.
BTC/USDT Bearish(?) AnalysisThis analysis is fairly similar to yesterday's as we didn't see much movement in any direction yesterday. This may continue for a while, but it looks like we've tested resistance at ~9580 three times now, each of which has been rejected. Every time the price has tried to test the 9850 resistance selling pressure has immediately dragged the price down, which could be a sign that overall sentiment is in favor of a downtrend.
As I'm typing this we are testing the 9400 support. If we drop under 9375 or so I can see the price dropping all the way down to 9300.
I wouldn't be surprised if we bounce off this 9400 support and try and pump all the way up to near 9500. Though, if this happens we can expect to see a sharp decrease in price as pullback from a sharp increase. According to the Stoch oscillator we are headed toward oversold territory, and if we do end up there, a big pump to the 9500 seems pretty reasonable.
The market has been pretty stagnant for the last few days, so it's honestly hard to say, but overall I think we are looking at bearish signals.
Bitcoin is dead! Or isn't it?Bears will always believe they have the upper hand untill 20k breaks. Well, we ain't there yet and there are some big resistances to break before we will get there.
First one being 10k of course!
And what do we know about a horizontal trendline that has been tested week after week, day after day again and again? (Please think about the oh so strong 6k horizontal support line back in 2018...)
Yes sir, you are absolutely right! It will break and it will break in magnificent fashion!
Have fun trading guys, keep it safe!
Bigger picture of where BTC is going (Part 2)Just wanted to add to my last view: as many of you know me already, only when we pass 10,500$ with confirmations from OBV and other indicators, only then I will turn to be mainly focused on full parabolic bull run on my trades.
Meanwhile I keep accumulating BTCs on my long term portfolio investment (I guess I will stop around 14k), and I keep on focusing on shorting the market at important resistances, only after we break the first most important resistance at 10500 with a bullish trend to break the big-term bearish move, only then I will start to longing the market at important support levels (And not only bottoms like on the last Corona crush)...
I love how the market works out so nicely with my expectations on most times. remember guys, always have a plan, always play by your own rules, and always learn what you can improve, avoid FOMO, avoid emotions, avoid chasing.
Also don't forget, I'm a speculator trader, a probabilities trader, my way doesn't fit everyone out there... as I usually recommend you should always focus on finding the mid-term trend and stick to it, this will give you most wins and the best steady profits out there with less risks, try to avoid leveraging, always use SLs, and you should be fine.
PS: If you wonder what are these numbers, these are the monthly candles which I calculate for each run (personal calculations), you will also see them on my previous update.
Funding to Price relationship looks bullish.We see below the average future funding rate, which consists of Bitmex, Bybit, etc. For logical reasons, you can see a connection between the two curves. The smart thing is that you can see a flattening of the negative range at the current funding rate. If you look into the past, you can see that this is a very bullish sign. It looks like we have reached the funding bottom and can look forward to positive courses. The scale is of course unpredictable. However, I am assuming a violent pump in the next few weeks, which relates to halving. Well, speculate on good. (:
S&P 500: short/mid/long term Forecast. Conclusion: We are fuckedFirst of all: These are all just considerations on my part and should not be regarded as financial tips.
I have been very concerned with the problem in the past few weeks and see a good chance that my forecasts will come true.
I mostly refer to the Great Depression because all of the older predictions turned out to be correct.
Short-term: We will see a smaller dump. Various triggers, further unemployment rates, economic decline of 12% etc.
Mid-term: Investors continue to trust the Fed, which will continue to print money. The general population will also start investing as many will believe it can only go higher.
Long-term: The corona virus was only a trigger for the bursting of the bubble. The little upswing we will see is also called "Death Cat Bounce". It gets bad. I don't have to say more.
All right, if you disagree, just write a comment. Liken doesn't hurt either. Thanks (:
WTI Mid-Term Technical Analysis - Potential and Risk Here is a more in depth analysis of yesterday's published idea. WTI has appeared to have confirmed a new bottom with the EMI after closing repeatedly above bottom support (scripting thanks to @bonic) signaling a heavy buy signal on the weekly and monthly charts. We have to manage risk here. I have place a strong watch on the bottom uptrend support around 1.8 up to potentially 2.5 and so on. Stop loss should be used accordingly how low depending on how much you are willing to risk. Though that should be pretty clear if you stay up to date on analysis. immediate resistance but according to EMI appears likely to break through both 2.37-.39 and 2.55-6 resistance lines. If it fails to do so you may consider selling to play safe. Read the charts.
bounce off long term support
same bounce with a more current date range
GBPUSD MID-TERM FORECASTGood Day Traders,
Here is my forecast of price movement on the GBPUSD. Looking for a completion of the consolidation before entering in a long position with targets at the 128.00 area and further up before a fall in price to the downside. Let's engage in the comment section. Good luck to you all.
WHY BITCOIN CAN BE BULLISH NEXT DAYS 🧐Hello traders, please consider to put like here 💗!
Here on 4h chart I am looking at pretty simple setup of big Expanding Wedge and price sideways inside 5800 and 6800 range.
Another reason for bullish on this setup, I found similar fractal here:
To sum up here: if price will break 7000 we are going to see target in between 8000-9000 in nearest future.
Stop loss for this setup below 5800.
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[BTC] Bullish midterm tradeThis is how I will trade BTC in a bullish scenario. If we get a good break in $6909 I will buy.
Next, I will sell some % in the 3 target: $8859, $10426 and $11993.
You must adapt this strategy to your level of risk with a stop loss, lower targets and bigger % sells in the target.
If you win some $$ with this trade, you can buy me a coffee: bc1qejlru267zn25jxzs6p4tgm85el68ggx55eqdaq
NEOBTC | ABCD and triple bottom strong supportPreviously we analyzed NEO in accordance of USDT quote currency, unfortunately the position was strongly correlated with Bitcoin price action. In current market condition we received a confirmation of sustainability of NEOBTC in the mid-term
From a technical sign we have a strong buy signal because of completion of ABCD pattern and formation of triple bottom which stands now for a strong support of ascending trend
NEO is very oversold and its market value are much lower than real intrinsic price thus there is a good fundamental background for this position
We recommend to accumulate NEO and use amount you accumulated with USDT quote currency for middle term holdings
Entry price, target levels and stop loss are in the settings of automatic premium signal
BTC - Why we broke downThis may be a possible play in itself, as a measured move would have a target of around $4500.
Currently, the support is ranged from 4850-4975, but this is not extremely significant support and may mean that BTC breaks down from it towards $4500...
Whether the triangle is bullish or bearish is not relevant to me, as I only see it as some sort of symmetrical triangular formation meaning an equal chance to break out either direction.
- You may be wondering 'what was that massive pump and dump earlier today?' and my answer is: The federal reserve announced further cutting of rates towards zero, and initiating 'quantitative easing' with $700 billion. This will positively influence the prices of stocks but not forever... This is why I think BTC had a huge move up, and CMES opened after the bullish candle, but quickly sold back to the opening of the candle. -> The majority didn't think BTC was worth 5900 at the time.
- The 12hour 10SMA was exactly at the price, and this could also be why there was such a huge rejection:
After this move down BTC was back inside the triangle, and actually had a small rally to the top trendline before selling off and eventually leading to the break it.
I actually placed a short position in at exactly $5965 and played it down for a nice %60 profit.
My next support zone is between 4150 and 4250. This is also confluent with the Weekly closing below both the 200MA & 200EMA earlier today. This giving good reason for another test of the low to mid 4000's.
When in doubt zoom breakout !!While still highly volatile and very much unpredictably carried by OTC trading and other factors that can not be determined due to unforeseen market consequences or variables we cannot access I. E. Coronavirus — instead using strictly fundamentals in this deduction...
BUT For the first time since it’s inception we are starting to see some Healthy price action based on fundamentals and nothing too unpredictable with recent pullback to lower low , provides some perspective that for once BTC is not over or under valued & so those shorters wasted no time to wait is impatient shooters immediately made their entries
Assuming nothing else in terms of an anomaly/unpredictable variable comes in to play we should see 9800 support and stop loss is set at the red horizontal which is always the limit you should be setting as.
If you haven’t made your entry by now , I honestly recommend waiting/sitting this run out or risk #FOMO,
Make sure to do your taxes— Uncle Sam will play nice or play hide and seek and risk ramifications as opposed to coming forward and you’ll get clemency.
TGIF everyone peace and love and stay safe/sanitary!!
Please do check out my LinkedIn for some recent article :
TradingView/Stocktwits/IG/Twitter/LinkedIn:
-@a1mTarabichi
Right now I’ve got my eyes on gold silver and bitcoin as they are outpacing equity markets by a long shot and I have taken long positions on pretty much both tangible and intangible precious metals/commodities and I’m now a HODLer (Something I’m looking to change as I miss forex trading ;( but I’ll still keep a weekly publication for you guys as I know there are hands are full of you that enjoy my little tangents. :’)
Next major resistance at 9800 but remember to reiterate stop losses— ALWAYS!
Disclaimer
Note : T his is strictly conjecture based on my own technical analysis and not any information based on any sources from the GOP Or federal government/treasury dept / ay institution of any form this example is for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for any other use. Please invest responsibly and make all decisions based on your head; not your gut. Any projections or figures provided in this analysis are Forward-looking statements And have no basis Other than my own opinion and not information related to the GOP, SEC or wall sf in general. Just the wiz doing what he always did best — Disclaimer must be extended and extensive So forgive me as I need to truly emphasize None of the information obtained in conducting this analysis was provided by insider trading in anyway shape or form.
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Enjoy your weekend. <3 TGIF all!
-m.T
BUY HAS @ 98.8 take +16%, stop -3%Hasbro is a big toy company, one of the largest in the world. Today is New York Toy Fair (21.02.2020) this may impact positively 1st quater of 2020 for HAS.
The price on it's lows after weak earnings report, and it seems to me very pretty!
Buy @ 98.8
Take @ 115.0 (+16%)
Stop @ 95.0 (-3%)
Close stop, long run! It may take a few months to get to the take, be patient.
Low RSI. The stock price has crossed below the lower Bollinger Band, which gives us a buy signal.
Lower support line @ 96.7 (D).