COPPER bottomed and a huge rally is expected to start.Copper (HG1!) has been trading within a Channel Up for 1.5 year (since May 2022) and is consolidating at the moment on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) very close to the pattern's bottom. This is in fact a Double Bottom formation that is similar to the September 28 2022 Low.
As you can see both fractals had a 1W MA50 Double Bottom with their 1D RSI sequences also following an identical trend. The 2022 bottom initiated a rebound that hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, our Target as of now for Copper is 4.900.
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Metals
5 MINUTE GOLD SETUP.We have a break of structure (BOS). Now, I need to wait for a retracement to the breaker block or fair value gap (FVG), among other areas of interest. Then, I will switch to the 1-minute time frame to look for a bullish momentum candle. It is important that we see a clear rejection from these key areas before making an entry.
GOLD | Stop Loss Hunting Will Push Gold HigherI'm opening my 13th position: The bull flag was broken, but it was not broken obviously and strongly, the passage was too slow to suggest that the current forming trend is now fully bearish. I assume we're going to fly higher from current correction.
Here is my very cautious position:
Opening: 2625
TP: 2635
SL: 2575
Let's see what happens next!
GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?FX:XAUUSD is taking advantage of the dollar weakness and heading towards the zones of interest and liquidity 2665 - 2688. Overall, the fundamental backdrop is not stable, but at the same time weak for gold. PCE, GDP and resistance ahead....
The ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel has entered into force. This has helped to reduce demand for the US dollar, which is generally reflected in the forex market. Gold is feeling support from sustained expectations for the Fed and uncertainty over the outlook for global trade during the Trump presidency, which intends to impose new tariffs on Canada, China and Mexico. Ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US are PCE and GDP.
Technically, gold is in a sideways range and is looking up towards zones of interest from which a correction could form. But this reaction is partly dependent on the news as well....
Resistance levels: 2660, 2664, 2680
Support levels: 2620, 2605
The focus is on the imbalance zone, 0.7 fibo and 2680 area. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:XAUUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
GOLD fell rapidly in the short term, pressured by US dataIn the early trading session in Asian markets on Thursday (November 28), OANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery suddenly dropped sharply in the short term, currently trading around 2,629 USD/ounce. Gold prices gave up much of their earlier recovery gains after data showed inflation progress was stalling, as the data could make the Federal Reserve cautious about cutting interest rates further.
According to Wednesday's economic data, US durable goods orders rose 0.2% month-on-month in October. While it did not meet expectations of 0.5%, it was an improvement. improved compared to a decrease of 0.4% in September.
The number of people applying for unemployment benefits in the US in the week of November 23 remained stable at 213,000, lower than the expected level of 217,000.
The real (quarterly annually adjusted) rate of gross domestic product (GDP) in the United States in the third quarter was unchanged from its baseline value, at 2.8%, and growth slowed from 3% in the second quarter.
But the GDP report still shows that the US economy still has good resilience. GDP growth has exceeded 2% in eight of the past nine quarters.
A report released by the US Department of Commerce showed that the Fed's favorite inflation index rebounded in October compared to September. The data supports Fed officials taking a more cautious stance in recent times. next interest rate cut.
The Fed's favorite measure of inflation, the core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index that excludes volatile food and energy, rose 2.8% year-on-year in October, a highest since April this year compared to September, up 2.7%.
Additionally, the core PCE price index increased 0.3% month-over-month in October, in line with expectations.
The PCE price index increased 0.2% month-over-month and 2.3% year-on-year in October, both in line with the forecasts of analysts surveyed by Dow Jones. The PCE index's annual increase in October was higher than September's 2.1% gain.
Wednesday's data showed that U.S. personal income rose 0.6% month-on-month in October, significantly better than the expected increase of 0.3%.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's November monetary policy meeting released Tuesday showed that although Fed officials said they expected to continue cutting interest rates in the future, they said the pace Interest rate cuts will take place “gradually”.
The gold market fluctuated strongly this week. As Israel and Iran-backed Hezbollah in Lebanon declared a ceasefire, reducing demand for safe havens, gold suffered its biggest one-day drop in more than five months on Monday and prices fell to a low. most since November 18 on Tuesday.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold continues to maintain its main bearish trend after approaching and coming under pressure from the 21-day moving average (EMA21).
The drop below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement is a good signal for bearish expectations as the target behind that is at the levels of 2,606 – 2,600USD. Note to readers in the previous issue.
On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is flat below 50, if it is pointing down this can be considered a good signal for a downtrend.
As long as gold remains below the EMA21 and within the price channel, it will remain bearish in the near term and price rallies should only be considered short-term recoveries without changing the current primary trend.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold is bearish with notable points listed as follows.
Support: 2,606 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,634 – 2,644USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2579 - 2581⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2575
→Take Profit 1 2586
↨
→Take Profit 2 2591
World gold price todayWorld gold prices continued to increase slightly, with spot gold increasing by 3.2 USD to 2,632.8 USD/ounce. Gold futures last traded at $2,660.40 an ounce, up $4.80 from the bright spot.
USD weakness added momentum to gold on Wednesday. Accordingly, the US Dollar Index fell 0.8%, hitting a two-week low, increasing the appeal of gold to holders of other currencies.
However, the growth rate of this precious metal has been limited by the release of new data showing the potential distribution of chlorophyll. This indicates that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) could be very important in cutting interest rates. According to the report, US consumer spending increased sharply in October, but the slowdown appears to have been patchy in recent months.
According to the minutes of the recent policy meeting released on Tuesday, there is currently uncertainty about the direction of the economy. That increased market expectations for an interest rate cut in December after the minutes were released. According to CME's FedWatch tool, the market currently forecasts a 70% chance of a 0.25 percentage point rate cut.
GOLD → Controversial fundamental background. What's next?OANDA:XAUUSD capitalizing on the weakening of the US dollar and heading towards the areas of interest and liquidity at 2635 - 2639. But! There are signs that a flag pattern is forming. Theoretically, any attempt for gold prices to rise could be limited. PCE, GDP, and the resistance ahead...
Meanwhile, sellers pause slightly amid concerns about trade wars, geopolitical risks, expectations that the Fed will cut rates by another 25 basis points in December, recently declining US bond yields, and the USD falling overnight to a two-week low. However, ahead of the upcoming macroeconomic news from the US, namely PCE and GDP, after a relatively quiet news week, volatility is likely to be unpredictable. The question now is whether the downward momentum will continue as the price reacts to a critical support zone.
Technically, gold remains range-bound and is heading towards areas of interest from which a retracement could form. But this reaction also partly depends on the news....
The focus is on the imbalance zone, fibo 0.618 and fibo 0.5. Due to the controversial technical and fundamental background, the gold price may close inside a wide channel, which allows us to use its boundaries for trading. We are watching the resistance with a sell target for further downside
XAU USD - current sells in play, looking for buying ops
Master Key for zones
Red = Three Month
Blue = Monthly
Purple = weekly
Pink = Consolidative box example (Daily)
Orange = Daily
Risk Warning
Trading leveraged products such as Forex, commodities and CFDs, carries with it a high level of risk and so may not be suitable for every investor. Prior to trading the foreign exchange, commodity or CFD market, consider your investment objectives, level of experience and risk appetite. You should never risk more than you can afford to lose. If you fail to understand or are uncertain of the risks involved, please seek independent advice and remember to conduct due diligence as criteria varies to suit the individual.
Below are some of the take aways from the video - please listen again incase any detail is missed.
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Professional analyst with 8+ years experience in the capital markets
Focus on technical output not fundamentals
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Technical analysis of XAUUSD chartDear friends, it's Ben here!
Flag Pattern: The chart showcases a well-formed flag pattern, a classic bearish continuation signal.
Target Projection: Using the height of the previous wave 3 of the flagpole, the pattern's target is forecasted to be around $2,553.
Fibonacci Levels: The price is at a level corresponding to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement at $2,637, a strong bearish signal, with the next resistance near $2,647 (0.5 Fibonacci retracement).
Breakout Confirmation: A breakout from the flag will confirm the bearish momentum.
Trend Outlook: A macro bearish trend is indicated, supported by resistance rooted in fundamental factors...
Consider, share your opinions and questions, discuss what is happening with OANDA:XAUUSD
GOLD should continue bullish as the Dollar takes a breakcaught a nice move yesterday and looking for the move to continue today. We are sitting in a high volume level on the VP and bears are starting to fall back from being active. waiting for the next 2hours of the Asian kill zone to show me what price wants to do.
Xau/usd Massive sell as DXY continue to rise!!I believe the strength of the US dollar will continue to rise until next year, as it has been consolidating during the election period. We also discussed a similar market pattern that occurred over the last four years, which is happening again now. Therefore, there is a higher probability that we could see a significant selloff back to its monthly lows.
Follow for more breakdown
Sorry, I've already started shorting goldBros, gold rose to the 2650-2660 area as expected, and we made a very good profit on the long position we held since yesterday. At present, gold has reached a high of around 2654. Then it is obvious that since gold fell from 2721 to 2604, its 50% split line is exactly in the 2660-2665 area; and in the short term, since gold fell from 2688 to 2604, its 61.8% split line is exactly in the 2655-2660 area. So gold faces resistance in the 2655-2665 area in the short term.
If the current rebound of gold is just a correction to the downward trend, then gold may still fall again when facing this resistance area. So I have reminded everyone that you can short gold near 2653, bros, wish us good luck!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
EURCAD - The Perfect Flat Correction. 700pip Move Coming!EURCAD is in a nice 335 Flat Correction.
Wave A = 3 waves
Wave B = 3 waves
Wave C = 5 waves.
Wave C
We are currently in wave C (5 waves). We have seen wave 1, which was a leading diagonal. Wave 2 was a simple abc correction.
Wave 3 a strong bearish impulsive move.
We are now in wave 4.
It's important to note wave C can follow either an ending diagonal format or an impulsive schematic format. In the latter format, wave 4 cannot go beyond wave 1 completion, making our invalidation level 1.48725 for a risk entry.
Trade Idea:
- Look for an entry with with stops above 1.48725 (Small stops needed)
- Hold position to 1.416 (700pips)
If we break above 1.48725, it means wave C is in an ending diagonal format. If this happens, we can look for a lower timeframe trendline break or BOS.
See below for our last setup:
EURCAD 4H - Entry on break of risk trendline for a more confirmed entry
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A piptastic day on the charts today with our analysis playing out perfectly!!!!
Yesterday after completing the full swing range test at 2620, we stated we were waiting for the full swing action into 2657. The swing range did exactly what it says on the tin.
- This played out perfectly with the full swing action into 2657 completing this setup
We will now need to see ema5 lock above 2657 for a continuation, as long as the swing range provides support or a lock below the swing range will open the levels below.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2728
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2728 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2743
POTENTIALLY 2759
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2759 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2772
POTENTIALLY 2787
BEARISH TARGETS
2703 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2703 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2684 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2684 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET
2657 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2657 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2638 (DONE) - 2620 (DONE)
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Working off the fall of Silver. H4 26.11.2024Working off the fall of Silver 📉
Silver continues to fall, which I showed in the last analysis . On Monday we got a pushing volume down and if they give a new pullback, I advise to sell with targets around 29 and below. There is still potential for decrease. Major volumes remained up, major segment is also overlapped down and DPOC contract near 31.30 accumulated which gave a reaction down.
CAPITALCOM:SILVER
Hold on to the short position and don't give up!Bros, gold once rose to around 2658. Seeing the sharp rise in gold in the short term, have you given up your short position?
I still insist on holding short orders near 2653. Although gold rose sharply to near 2658 in a short period of time, it did not break through the 50% dividing line in the 2660-2665 area; and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. and the daily level resistance is also located near 2660. So I have reason to believe that after gold fails to effectively break through the 2660-2665 area, it will usher in a wave of retracement in the short term, and the retracement target is 2640-2635 area.
Therefore, I still continue to hold a short position in gold and look forward to a good result and continue our winning streak!
Bros, have you shorted gold like me? If you want to learn more detailed trading ideas and get more trading signals, you can choose to join the channel at the bottom of the article to make trading no longer difficult and make making money a pleasure!
GOLD LONG-TRADE SETUP - NOV 26🚨 Gold Trade Setup – Nov 26 🚨
Hey Traders!
Check out our latest setup for FX:XAUUSD XAUUSD (Gold). 🟡 Here's what you need to know:
📌 Trade Plan:
We’re waiting for tomorrow’s market sentiment and report outlook before triggering a market order. No pending orders for now.
📈 Buy Conditions:
Price must break above $2640 with a clear candle close to confirm trend continuation.
💡 Key Insights:
Current structure suggests a short-term breakout and retest, likely followed by a continuation of the bullish trend.
Be cautious of any perceived sell setups—they may just be bearish traps, especially with the 38.2% Fibonacci SR holding strong.
Fundamentals remain strongly bullish for Gold.
📊 Action Step:
Recreate the setup on your chart, place alerts, and be ready for tomorrow’s confirmation. Let’s trade smarter, not harder! 🚀
Cheers, and happy trading! 🫡✨