GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Piptastic day on the charts once again, with our chart idea playing out to perfection!!!!
We were able to track and trade the entire move up from Monday confirmed with ema5 lock for each gap target. Yesterdays update finished off with ema5 cross and lock above 2679 opening 2697.
- This target was completed perfectly today followed with further cross and lock above 2697 opening 2712, which was also hit today completing this chart idea.
We can now move over to our 4H chart idea to continue to track the movement should it decide to push further up, until we share our new 1H chart idea on our Sunday update.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2645 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2645 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2661 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2661 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2679 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2679 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2697 - DONE
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
Metals
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold overall is still holding bearish. I originally expected a ‘Flat Correction’ on the lower bound of the range, but price is now creating that same correction, on the upper bound of the range. Market analysis is still valid & I’m still holding my sell position’s open.
Market structure would be invalidated if price broke ABOVE previous Wave 5 high.
GOLD FURTHER SELL OFF?! (UPDATE)Gold overall is still holding bearish. I originally expected a ‘Flat Correction’ on the lower bound of the range, but price is now creating that same correction, on the upper bound of the range. Market analysis is still valid & I’m still holding my sell position’s open.
Market structure would be invalidated if price broke ABOVE previous Wave 5 high.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 12-11: Flat Down PatternToday's pattern suggests the markets will slide downward after the CPI data came in as expected.
I believe the markets are going to roll into an Excess Phase Peak pattern over the next 5+ days - setting up a big potential downward price swing (the Anomaly Event) before the end of 2024.
Gold is moving into a CRUSH pattern today. We may see a very big price move (I suspect higher) today as traders move to hedge weakness and market concerns globally.
Bitcoin recently set a new lower low, showing us that the dominant trend is Bearish.
Bitcoin set up another potential Excess Phase Peak pattern, totaling four current Excess Phase Peak patterns in this broad sideways consolidation range.
The breakout, either to the upside or downside, in Bitcoin could be very explosive.
Remember, we continue to trade into a low liquidity price trend throughout the end of 2024. So stay cautious and stay aware of the risks for the Anomaly Event.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold (XAU/USD) Intraday Trade Idea NOWGold (XAU/USD) Intraday Trade Idea
Entry: $2,698
Stop Loss: $2,693
Target: $2,705
This setup provides a risk-reward ratio of 1:1.6, making it a favorable short-term trade opportunity. The entry is based on a key support level, with the target aligning with the next resistance zone.
It’s essential to monitor price action closely at the target level for signs of reversal or continuation.
👉 Follow me for more trading setups and updates:
XAU/USD : Gold will pump to $2700 ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price opened with a positive gap today, showing a rise from $2633 to $2676. Notably, gold finally made its next move upon reaching this level, and we have seen a correction from $2676 to $2666 so far. The key question now is where the price will close in the next 6 hours.
We might see an initial rejection, but due to recent developments in the Middle East and increased risk, further growth in gold prices is anticipated. Keep a close watch on gold's reaction to the levels of $2689 to $2695. This analysis will be updated moment by moment as the price moves!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
XAUUSD / Bearish Volatility Amid CPI ExpectationsGold Technical Analysis
The price reached our target perfectly in the previous idea.
Today the market will be volatile due to the CPI results, and we expect bearish momentum depending on the expectation is excced the previous result, so that will make a bearish volatility on the GOLD market.
As long as trades below 2706 will be bearish to get 2678, to get a more bearish area should close 4h or 1h candle below 2678 to touch 2665 and 2653
On the other hand, to be bullish should CPI release less than 2.7% to get 2719 and 2732
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 2705
Resistance Levels: 2719, 2732, 2739
Support Levels: 2678, 2665, 2653
Trend Outlook: Bearish Volatile
GOLD Trading Opportunity! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for GOLD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2693.4
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2670.0
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 2,695.926.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 2,617.334 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
XAUUSD - 4hr Bum n Run update (final)Let the Trade ride! Understand pullbacks will happen but the price is in motion. Respect the trend.
Gold has officially broken about the accumulation phase. Price has retraced back to previous resistance confirming new support. (2675)
Keep in mind:
Today
Core CPI m/m and CPI y/y
Thu
Dec 12
Core PPI m/m and PPI m/m
**Both of these red news events could shift the short term. watch for wicks and false breakouts
THE KOG REPORT - ELECTION SPECIAL - UpdateDaily chart – Election Special:
Quick update on the election chart we have been sharing since the beginning November. As you can see it’s worked well, however, at this stage of the movement we should have seen more upside movement on gold, which the accumulation is controlling. We have now added the additional level below 2590, as potential which corresponds with the KOG Report that has been posted.
Otherwise, nice clean movement, projected from the highs, swings were captured and levels worked extremely well. Red arrow was the projection, green arrows tracking movement.
Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
XAUUSD - Gold waiting for the inflation index!Gold is above EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If we maintain the drawn blue upward trend line, we can witness the continued rise of gold and the limited visibility of the channel ceiling. Within the zone of supply, we can sell with appropriate risk reward. Returning below this trend line paves the way for gold to fall and you can buy within the zone of demand.
According to a report by Bank of America, gold remains on track to reach $3,000 per ounce next year. However, investors need to be patient, as the current price consolidation phase may continue through the first half of the year.
Michael Widmer, Head of Metals Research at Bank of America, stated during the bank’s 2025 Outlook webinar: “Currently, gold is stuck in an environment where there’s nothing tangible to draw investors back into the market.”
The second-largest U.S. bank has highlighted that gold faces significant challenges in the upcoming year, including weak demand from China and pressures on Western investors, who are dealing with the prospect of higher bond yields and a strengthening U.S. dollar.
The report noted, “The Trump administration is likely to pursue a mixed economic policy that, through stronger growth, higher inflation, higher interest rates, and a stronger dollar, could limit investors’ willingness to increase gold purchases in the short term.”
Bank of America strategists predict that Trump’s economic policies, such as potential trade tariffs and similar measures, may force the Federal Reserve to slow down its pace of interest rate cuts in 2025. Analysts expect only two rate cuts next year, one in March and the other in June.
Despite these challenges, precious metals experts believe that gold and silver will remain well-supported in the coming year as economic uncertainties and geopolitical turmoil continue to boost demand for safe-haven assets.
According to a recent Reuters poll of economists, 56 out of 97 respondents forecast that the Federal Reserve will lower its interest rate to 3.50–3.75% or lower by the end of 2025. Furthermore, 93 out of 103 economists surveyed predict that the Fed will cut rates by 25 basis points during its December 18 meeting, bringing the rate to a range of 4.50–4.25%.
Investors are now focusing on the U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI), which is expected to have increased by 0.3% in November. This data could shape expectations regarding the Federal Reserve’s 2025 policy stance.
Kyle Rodda, a financial markets analyst at Capital, commented: “An expected CPI number essentially gives the Federal Reserve the green light to cut interest rates next week, and this could be the catalyst that gold has been waiting for.”
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs views the recent decline in gold prices as merely a fluctuation and expects the metal to resume its upward trajectory soon.
Goldman Sachs cited the following reasons for its outlook:
• Accommodative monetary policies
• Central bank purchases of gold
• A return of investors to the gold market
The bank also pointed out that during the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine and the subsequent freezing of Russian assets by Western nations, gold emerged as an attractive alternative to the U.S. dollar. Many central banks around the world turned to gold to diversify their reserves.
Goldman Sachs stated: “We do not expect central bank demand for gold to decline. With the Federal Reserve reducing interest rates, investors will also reenter the market. We project that gold prices will reach $3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025.”
Gold--> Is the Upswing Just Starting or Is a Pause Ahead?Hello, Amazing Friends of Brian! Let's Strategize for Today's Market!
Gold continues to showcase its resilience today, with prices trending higher and currently hovering around the $2,700 mark, up 0.22% on the day. This movement reflects a growing appetite for the safe-haven metal amid mounting uncertainty in the Middle East and speculation about a potential rate cut by the Federal Reserve. These factors are providing robust support for gold in both the medium and long term.
Yet, as the market digests these developments, the critical question arises: Can this bullish momentum sustain, or are we approaching a potential correction? Much of the answer hinges on the trajectory of the U.S. dollar, which remains a decisive force in gold’s price action.
From a technical perspective, gold is fast approaching a significant resistance level at $2,720. A breakout above this mark could ignite further buying interest, paving the way for an extended rally. Conversely, failure to breach this level might trigger a short-term pullback. However, the overall bullish structure remains intact, as evidenced by the upward trendline on the 1-hour chart.
Looking ahead, I anticipate gold to continue its upward journey, with any correction near resistance presenting a strategic buying opportunity. Key targets to watch include $2,750, $2,790, and $2,800, as highlighted on the 3-hour chart.
Let’s seize these market opportunities together—wishing you all a profitable trading day!
XAGUSD. Trading opportunityHi traders and investors!
Overall, nothing particularly interesting is happening in the market from a daily timeframe perspective. If we don't delve into lower timeframes to look for trades, silver can be considered.
Daily Timeframe Analysis
On the daily timeframe, the price has formed a range that began in April. The upper boundary is 32.5185, and the lower boundary is 26.0185. The seller's vector 9-10 is relevant, with a potential target of 26.471 (26.0185). The price has reached the level of 32.16, where the seller might resume (see previous posts). Below, a buyer’s zone has formed with an upper boundary of 31.478, what could become an obstacle for the seller.
4H Timeframe Analysis
On the 4-hour timeframe, the price has also formed a range. The upper boundary is 31.5365, and the lower boundary is 29.643. The buyer’s vector 9-10 has moved beyond the upper boundary of the range.
If the seller returns the price into the range (below 31.5365) and defends this return, the seller’s vector 10-11 will be relevant, with a potential target of 30.3165 (29.643).
If the buyer defends the breakout from the range, the potential target is to update the local high (31.286) and reach 31.5185 (the range boundary on the daily timeframe).
From my subjective point of view, the daily timeframe currently favors the continuation of the buyer's movement. However, a correction down to 30.3165 is possible.
Good luck with your trading and investments!
SILVER possible longs2024/12/11
M1 : Currently Bullish tapping into the
demand zone
W1: MSS towards bearish side
D1 : Bullish
4H : Consolidating
Narrative : Overall Monthly leg is bullish >
Weekly is currently Bearish > Daily has shifted
from bearish to bullish probably retracing
towards the weekly premium zone > 4H is
currently consolidating > when 4H turns bearish
and comes towards the D1 fresh OB we can look
for the long trade
Case 2 : Price has already tapped the weekly
premium zone and IMB, so if the 4H doesnt show
any reaction on 4H and do a MSS on daily leg
we can look for short trade too.
Gold-> Testing Resistance Levels: A Decline or a False Breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD currently consolidating within a descending channel, trading near $2,669. Technically, investors are caught in a dilemma, and the fundamental backdrop remains murky. So, what will happen next with the precious metal?
The focus early in the week shifts to demand catalysts, with news of the People's Bank of China continuing its aggressive gold buying capturing attention. This, coupled with expectations of further monetary easing, creates a supportive foundation for gold prices. Traders are pricing in an 87% probability that the central bank will cut interest rates by another 25 basis points during its meeting on December 17-18. However, despite these factors, the path forward is far from clear. Theoretically, it remains uncertain whether prices can climb higher as they approach a strong resistance level and traders remain cautious ahead of key economic data like CPI and PPI, which could shift market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, the market seems to lack a decisive trigger to escape its current consolidation phase. Personally, I foresee a high probability of a false breakout in the near term. However, if price action at the $2,677 resistance level and the upper boundary of the descending channel shows sufficient rejection, a decline could occur sooner than expected. In such a scenario, the downside target appears to be around $2,615.
Share your thoughts, opinions, and questions—let’s discuss what’s happening with OANDA:XAUUSD :)
FORECAST UPDATES: How Are We Doing? Were We Accurate?Tuesday Dec. 10, 2024.
Here are the updates to the Weekly Forex Forecast posted Saturday. We'll see if the forecasts were right on point and working out... or if we were just plain wrong.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Overlap resistance ahead?XAU/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 2,714.61
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 2,758.14
Why we like it:
there is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 2,667.31
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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